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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets31%9476
18Pistons69%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 22.8
37.9
39.9
12
34%
4
7
0
2
2
4
0
4
2-8
25%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
2-5
40%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 31.2
34.4
34.5
14
48%
0
2
3
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
4-10
29%
43%
3-7
43%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 32.2
26.1
29.7
4
52%
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 26.9
21.5
23.9
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 33.5
18.7
28.7
11
63%
3
3
1
1
1
4
2
1
3-4
75%
4-7
5-11
57%
47%
0-0
-
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 27.3
20.8
18.1
4
35%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 33.4
18.8
23.7
1
13%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 24.9
18.4
14.0
5
51%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
16.6
17.3
3
52%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bullard
F · 6'10" 229 · 34.6
16.2
2.8
10
100%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
41%
2-2
100%
Kirk Haston
F · 6'9" 242 · 22.8
5.8
2.3
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
4.6
1.3
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
41.1
30.0
5
39%
16
1
5
1
2
0
7
9
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.1
34.0
32.3
21
59%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
46%
4-6
67%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 27.2
33.3
31.4
27
55%
4
7
1
1
0
3
2
2
8-10
80%
8-15
5-12
53%
47%
1-5
20%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.4
24.0
28.4
4
34%
3
0
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
23.7
20.0
8
58%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.4
24.0
13.2
12
86%
3
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.5
21.4
18.0
2
50%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.1
18.1
22.5
17
76%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Alexander
F · 6'10" 265 · 32.4
11.1
11.4
6
38%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
4.3
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 26.2
2.7
10.7
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
2.3
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.