Final Win Prob. pScore
2240%94
86
2060%98
98
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
94.59193.7
HOU logo Rockets
106.59289.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU86
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENJohnson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUROCKETS Rebound84
97
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENLenard P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
97
Q4 - 0:46.0DENLenard Layup (20 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUGriffin Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27HOUMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DENMobley STEAL (3 STL)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07HOUThomas Dunk (15 PTS) (Norris 7 AST)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23HOUROCKETS Rebound82
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:26HOUMISS Norris 16' Fadeaway Jumper82
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:49HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:51DENMISS LaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 3:03DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
93
Q4 - 3:10HOUFrancis 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 3:36DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 3:45HOUGriffin P.FOUL (P1.T3)80
91
Q4 - 3:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)80
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 3:49HOUMISS Thomas Layup80
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 3:59HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 4:01DENGriffin BLOCK (5 BLK)80
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 4:04DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney80
91
Q4 - 4:10DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 4:12DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 4:30HOUNorris 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 4:54DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P3.T11)80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENVan Exel OFF.Foul (P1)80
89
Q4 - 5:02DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)80
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 5:04HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup80
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 5:20DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 5:20DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 5:20HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)78
89
Q4 - 5:20HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P3.T2)78
89
Q4 - 5:21DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 5:23DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup78
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 5:45DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)78
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 5:47HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot78
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 6:04DENPosey 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)78
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 6:20HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 6:20HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 6:20DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Bowen76
87
Q4 - 6:20DENPosey P.FOUL (P3.PN)76
87
Q4 - 6:38DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 6:52HOUGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Norris 6 AST)74
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:10DENVan Exel 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 7:31HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)72
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 7:31DENPosey S.FOUL (P2.T4)72
83
Q4 - 7:31HOUFrancis Driving Layup (10 PTS)72
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 7:48DENSUB: Van Exel FOR Lenard72
81
Q4 - 7:4872
81
Q4 - 7:48DENBowen P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
81
Q4 - 7:49HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 7:50DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot72
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 7:54HOUGriffin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q4 - 7:55HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 7:58DENGriffin BLOCK (4 BLK)72
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 8:19HOUNorris 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 8:44DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 8:44DENPosey Follow Up Dunk (17 PTS)72
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 8:45DENMISS LaFrentz Layup70
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 9:00HOUSUB: Thomas FOR Cato70
79
Q4 - 9:03HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)70
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q4 - 9:13HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q4 - 9:15DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot70
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q4 - 9:26HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q4 - 9:26HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 9:26DENLaFrentz S.FOUL (P2.T2)70
77
Q4 - 9:44DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 10:05DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 10:07HOUMISS Cato Layup68
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 10:15HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q4 - 10:17DENMISS Lenard 16' Jump Shot68
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q4 - 10:31DENNuggets Rebound68
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 10:32HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 268
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 10:32HOUROCKETS Rebound68
77
Q4 - 10:32HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 268
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q4 - 10:32DENLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
77
Q4 - 10:38HOUJump Ball Francis vs. Lenard: Tip to Francis68
77
Q4 - 10:38HOUROCKETS Rebound68
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 10:38HOUMISS Francis 6' Running Jump Shot68
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 10:57DENJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)68
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 11:22HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)66
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q4 - 11:35DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)66
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 11:35HOUCato S.FOUL (P3.T1)65
75
Q4 - 11:35DENLaFrentz Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)65
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q4 - 11:39HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)63
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q4 - 11:42DENNorris STEAL (2 STL)63
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q4 - 12:0063
75
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN63
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot63
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 263
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
74
Q3 - 0:24.0DENMobley STEAL (2 STL)63
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot63
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Lenard 22' Jump Shot63
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUGriffin 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)63
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 1:20HOUSUB: Griffin FOR Thomas63
72
Q3 - 1:20HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)63
72
Q3 - 1:22DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)63
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 1:35HOUThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T10)60
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 1:35HOUThomas OFF.Foul (P4)60
72
Q3 - 1:51DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 1:51DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 1:51HOUWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
72
Q3 - 1:59DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 2:00HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup58
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 2:23DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)58
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 2:39HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)56
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 2:54DENSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz56
69
Q3 - 2:54HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
69
Q3 - 2:59DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 3:02DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 3:04HOUMISS Cato Alley Oop Layup53
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 3:21DENLenard 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)53
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 3:38HOUCato Dunk (10 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)51
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 3:55DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 3:55DENNuggets Rebound50
67
Q3 - 3:55DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 250
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 3:55HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
67
Q3 - 4:19HOUWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)50
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 4:36DENBowen 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)50
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 4:58DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot48
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 5:17DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 5:17DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 5:17DENSUB: Johnson FOR Van Exel46
64
Q3 - 5:17DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney46
64
Q3 - 5:17HOUThomas S.FOUL (P3.T4)46
64
Q3 - 5:33HOUFrancis Driving Layup (7 PTS)46
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 5:45DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 5:45DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 5:45HOUWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
62
Q3 - 5:49HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)44
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 5:56HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)44
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 5:58DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot44
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 6:13HOUThomas P.FOUL (P2.T2)44
62
Q3 - 6:15DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 6:17HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 6:38DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)44
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 6:40DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 6:42DENThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)42
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 7:03HOUCato Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)42
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 7:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 7:11DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 7:22HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q3 - 7:22HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q3 - 7:22DENPosey S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
58
Q3 - 7:23HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 7:25HOUMISS Thomas Dunk42
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q3 - 7:39DENVan Exel 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)42
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 7:52DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)40
58
Q3 - 7:55HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 8:00HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q3 - 8:02DENMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot40
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q3 - 8:17HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q3 - 8:17HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q3 - 8:17DENBowen S.FOUL (P2.T1)40
53
Q3 - 8:26HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q3 - 8:28DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot40
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 8:35DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
9.7%
53
90.3%
Q3 - 8:37HOUMISS Cato Alley Oop Dunk40
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q3 - 8:52DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q3 - 8:52DENPosey Tip Shot (10 PTS)40
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot38
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q3 - 9:09HOUCato P.FOUL (P2.T1)38
53
Q3 - 9:11HOUWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 9:20HOUROCKETS Rebound38
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q3 - 9:22HOUMISS Williams Driving Layup38
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q3 - 9:39HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot38
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 9:54HOUWilliams Dunk (5 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)38
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q3 - 10:13DENCheaney Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)38
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q3 - 10:33HOUThomas Driving Layup (13 PTS)36
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 10:43HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot36
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q3 - 11:10HOUCato Dunk (4 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)36
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q3 - 11:14HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 11:16HOUMISS Mobley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot36
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q3 - 11:27DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 11:38DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 11:40HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot36
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q3 - 12:0036
47
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU36
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound36
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Norris 9' Running Jump Shot36
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot36
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUGriffin Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Norris 5 AST)36
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENNorris STEAL (1 STL)36
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 1:02HOUGriffin Dunk (16 PTS) (Norris 4 AST)36
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 1:09HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 1:10DENMISS Van Exel Layup36
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 1:22DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 1:24HOUMISS Griffin 16' Turnaround Jump Shot36
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q2 - 1:46DENJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 1:58DENSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz34
43
Q2 - 1:58DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
43
Q2 - 2:10HOUMobley Driving Dunk (5 PTS)34
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 2:15HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 2:16HOUMISS Norris 18' Jump Shot34
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 2:30DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup34
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 2:37DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 2:38HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 2:56DENLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 3:22HOUGriffin Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)32
19.1%
41
80.9%
Q2 - 3:37HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 3:39DENMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot32
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 3:55HOUSUB: Morris FOR Thomas32
39
Q2 - 3:55HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
23.3%
39
76.7%
Q2 - 4:08DENJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 4:21DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 4:23HOUMISS Mobley 7' Turnaround Jump Shot30
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 4:38HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 4:42DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 4:44DENMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 4:54HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 4:54DENSUB: Posey FOR Cheaney30
38
Q2 - 4:54DENSUB: Van Exel FOR Lenard30
38
Q2 - 4:54HOUROCKETS Rebound30
38
Q2 - 4:54HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 230
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 4:54HOUSUB: Francis FOR Torres30
38
Q2 - 4:54DENLenard S.FOUL (P2.T4)30
38
Q2 - 5:00HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS LaFrentz 15' Turnaround Jump Shot30
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 5:25HOUGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)30
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 5:36DENLaFrentz 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)30
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 5:54HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 6:03HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
35
Q2 - 6:09HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 6:11DENMISS Johnson 7' Running Hook Shot30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 6:22DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 6:24HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup30
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 6:38HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 6:40DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 6:44DENNuggets Rebound30
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 6:45DENGriffin BLOCK (3 BLK)30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 7:04HOUNorris 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 7:15HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Francis30
33
Q2 - 7:15DENSUB: Bowen FOR Williams30
33
Q2 - 7:15DENJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 7:26DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 7:29HOUMISS Thomas 5' Turnaround Jump Shot30
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 7:52DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 8:11HOUTorres 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)27
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 8:26DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 8:26DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 8:2625
31
Q2 - 8:26HOUNorris S.FOUL (P1.T2)25
31
Q2 - 8:49HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 8:49HOUGriffin Tip Shot (9 PTS)25
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 8:50HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup25
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 9:05DENLenard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 9:27HOUThomas 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)23
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 9:43DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 10:03HOUGriffin Layup (7 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)21
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q2 - 10:17DENLenard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q2 - 10:31HOUTorres Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q2 - 10:31DENSUB: Johnson FOR Van Exel19
24
Q2 - 10:31DENSUB: LaFrentz FOR Hamilton19
24
Q2 - 10:31HOUROCKETS Rebound19
24
Q2 - 10:31HOUMISS Torres Free Throw 1 of 219
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q2 - 10:31DENLenard S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
24
Q2 - 10:35HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q2 - 10:37DENGriffin BLOCK (2 BLK)19
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q2 - 10:41HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 10:46HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Van Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q2 - 11:01HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 11:01DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Posey19
23
Q2 - 11:01HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q2 - 11:01DENWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
22
Q2 - 11:11DENPosey Backcourt Turnover (P2.T4)19
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q2 - 11:32HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q2 - 11:32DENHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
21
Q2 - 11:32HOUThomas Driving Layup (8 PTS)19
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q2 - 11:44HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q2 - 11:44DENMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 219
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q2 - 11:44DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q2 - 11:44HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
19
Q2 - 11:48HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q2 - 12:0018
19
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU18
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound18
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Posey 48' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Thomas Tip Shot18
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Francis Layup18
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 218
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney18
19
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUSUB: Torres FOR Mobley18
19
Q1 - 0:19.0DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUMobley P.FOUL (P2.PN)17
19
Q1 - 0:30.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENMISS Hamilton Layup17
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Cheaney Layup17
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)17
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUGriffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)17
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 1:12DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 1:12HOUMobley S.FOUL (P1.T3)16
16
Q1 - 1:12DENPosey Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)16
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 1:15DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 1:17HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot14
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 1:23DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Bowen14
16
Q1 - 1:23HOUSUB: Griffin FOR Cato14
16
Q1 - 1:23HOUROCKETS Rebound14
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 1:24HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup14
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 1:37HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 1:39DENMISS Posey 16' Turnaround Jump Shot14
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 2:00DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 2:02HOUMISS Thomas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 2:18HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 2:20DENMISS Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot14
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 2:29HOUCato P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
16
Q1 - 2:30DENNuggets Rebound14
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 2:31DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot14
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 2:36DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 2:38HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup14
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 2:54DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 2:54DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 2:54DENSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz12
16
Q1 - 2:54DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 2:54HOUThomas S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
16
Q1 - 2:58HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 3:23DENLaFrentz Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)12
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 3:43HOUThomas Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)10
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 3:53DENMobley STEAL (1 STL)10
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 4:00HOUCato Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)10
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 4:11HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 4:13DENMISS Cheaney 14' Jump Shot10
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 4:27HOUWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 4:30HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Bowen Driving Layup10
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 4:45DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 4:47HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 5:08DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 5:27HOUWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)10
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 5:50DENLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)10
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 6:10HOUFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 6:20HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
6
Q1 - 6:29DENLaFrentz Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)8
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 6:45HOUThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 7:06DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)6
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 7:16DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 7:17HOUMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 7:36HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 7:38DENMISS Van Exel 7' Running Jump Shot4
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 7:44DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot4
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 8:00HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:02DENMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot4
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 8:19HOUThomas 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 8:34HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 8:41DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 8:43HOUMISS Mobley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 8:53DENCheaney P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:02HOUROCKETS Rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:02HOUMISS Williams Free Throw Technical4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:02DENVan Exel T.FOUL (P0.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:02DENNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation4
4
Q1 - 9:04DENLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:16HOUJump Ball Cato vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Posey2
4
Q1 - 9:16DENNuggets Rebound2
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 9:17HOUMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot2
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 9:33HOUROCKETS Rebound2
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:41DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 9:42HOUMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot2
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 10:09DENPosey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)2
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 10:28HOUThomas Layup (2 PTS)0
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 10:41DENBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:44DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:46HOUMISS Thomas 7' Hook Shot0
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:59HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 11:01DENMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot0
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMobley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 11:28DENBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:43DENMISS LaFrentz 7' Turnaround Hook Shot0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Cato vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Van Exel0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.7%
HOU
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
13
24
54%
HOU
19
34
56%
Midrange
DEN
17
42
40%
HOU
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
HOU
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
DEN
17
20
85%
HOU
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Lenard2063%10.0 / 16
J. Posey1959%9.5 / 16
R. LaFrentz1644%8.0 / 18
A. Johnson1458%7.0 / 12
C. Cheaney850%4.0 / 8
R. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
N. Van Exel414%2.0 / 14
Z. Hamilton125%0.5 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Griffin25104%12.5 / 12
K. Thomas1542%7.5 / 18
S. Francis1458%7.0 / 12
C. Mobley1343%6.5 / 15
K. Cato1260%6.0 / 10
W. Williams844%4.0 / 9
M. Norris844%4.0 / 9
O. Torres375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+13
-12
92
HOU
79
+10
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.7%
HOU
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
100.7
DEN 94.5
HOU 106.5 +12.0
Pace
92.1
90.5
DEN 93.7 +4.3
HOU 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
DEN 15.4 −0.7
HOU 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
46.5%
DEN 43.1%
HOU 54.7% +11.6%
TO %
14.9%
14.3%
DEN 11.9% −1.3%
HOU 13.2%
ORB %
30.7%
29.0%
DEN 22.2% +7.0%
HOU 15.2%
FTrt
25.6
28.6
DEN 25.0
HOU 30.7 +5.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
52.2%
DEN 54.5%
HOU 56.8% +2.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.1%
DEN 9.9% +4.5%
HOU 5.4%
BLK %
8.6%
7.6%
DEN 6.6%
HOU 9.1% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
48.2%
DEN 46.7%
HOU 54.4% +7.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
56.6%
DEN 54.2%
HOU 55.9% +1.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
DEN 40.5% +3.5%
HOU 37.0%
3P %
32.9%
33.5%
DEN 21.4%
HOU 57.1% +35.7%
FT %
74.4%
74.1%
DEN 85.0% +15.4%
HOU 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
32.3%
DEN 30.0%
HOU 45.3% +15.3%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.4%
DEN 52.5%
HOU 36.0% −16.5%
3P Att. %
18.7%
22.3%
DEN 17.5%
HOU 18.7% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points8698
Rebounds3840
Assists1821
Steals95
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals33-8037-75
At-the-Rim FG13-2419-34
Midrange FG17-4210-27
2-Point FG30-6629-61
3-Point FG3-148-14
Free Throws17-2016-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
41.9
19
59%
16
2
3
0
2
3
3
13
6-7
86%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
38.8
16
44%
6
1
0
0
2
2
1
5
4-5
80%
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
35.5
4
50%
2
0
2
2
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
32.9
4
14%
4
7
1
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 30
26.8
8
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
27.8
14
58%
1
7
0
0
3
0
1
0
0-0
-
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
21.0
20
63%
3
1
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 34
12.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
2.9
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
38
18
9
4
12
0
10
28
17-20
85%
30-66
45%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.