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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies20%8997
7Jazz80%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
49.5
39.1
14
42%
7
3
2
1
1
1
4
3
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
43%
1-6
17%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.5
49.1
37.6
18
58%
6
1
0
1
7
2
3
3
5-10
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.8
47.8
35.6
7
35%
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.2
40.0
34.1
22
57%
5
5
1
2
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
42%
3-8
38%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
36.5
20.9
11
51%
9
1
2
1
0
1
1
8
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.1
29.8
29.0
9
51%
7
0
0
1
2
7
1
6
1-2
50%
4-8
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
18.8
17.4
9
92%
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.2
18.6
14.6
7
47%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
0-0
-
Ike Austin
C · 6'10" 288 · 32.4
4.4
0
1-1
41%
Nick Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 228 · 34.0
3.6
0
0-1
37%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.5
3.4
0
0-1
38%
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.8
2.3
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.5
52.7
35.4
23
43%
15
7
1
2
0
4
2
13
5-6
83%
9-23
8-18
39%
47%
0-1
0%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 39.8
38.6
27.4
21
61%
5
9
2
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
6-14
4-7
43%
51%
2-2
100%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
36.8
20.5
8
44%
10
3
4
1
0
2
6
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.1
19.2
17.9
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 20.8
16.9
19.5
4
50%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.0
36.2
26.3
11
46%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
27.9
22.6
6
28%
6
0
1
1
3
2
1
5
2-4
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
0-2
0%
John Crotty
G · 6'1" · 32.5
19.4
21.3
11
70%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-2
50%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
15.9
1.4
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
45%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.4
15.9
2.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 28.9
10.4
14.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
25.0
1
4-8
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.