Final Win Prob. pScore
2126%91
97
874%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
106.69194.5
UTA logo Jazz
121.88783.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA97
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)97
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENVan Exel S.FOUL (P3.PN)94
104
Q4 - 0:12.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENPosey Layup (16 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0UTAStarks Layup (5 PTS) (Malone 8 AST)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DENMalone STEAL (2 STL)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09UTAMalone 8' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)92
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:27DENNuggets Rebound91
100
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 291
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:27UTARussell P.FOUL (P4.PN)91
100
Q4 - 1:36DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 1:38UTAMISS Starks Layup91
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:44UTARussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:47DENMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot91
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 2:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Johnson 5' Running Hook Shot91
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 2:17DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19UTAMISS Malone 11' Jump Shot91
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 2:37DENJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS)91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 2:57UTARussell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)89
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:21DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:21DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 3:21UTARussell L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)87
97
Q4 - 3:21DENNuggets Rebound87
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:21DENMISS Johnson Layup87
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:31UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 3:31DENSUB: Lenard FOR Bowen87
96
Q4 - 3:31UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 3:31DENJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)87
95
Q4 - 3:39DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)87
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 3:39UTAPadgett S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
95
Q4 - 3:39DENAndersen 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)86
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 3:53UTAMalone 5' Running Hook Shot (24 PTS)84
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:03DENVan Exel P.FOUL (P2.T4)84
93
Q4 - 4:15DENJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)84
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 4:18DENSUB: Andersen FOR LaFrentz82
93
Q4 - 4:35DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
93
Q4 - 4:39UTAStockton Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 4:47UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 4:48DENMISS Van Exel 6' Running Jump Shot82
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 5:14UTAPadgett 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Starks 3 AST)82
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 5:30DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q4 - 5:30DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 5:30UTARussell S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
88
Q4 - 5:33UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)80
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 5:53DENSUB: Posey FOR Cheaney80
88
Q4 - 5:53DENCheaney P.FOUL (P3.T3)80
88
Q4 - 5:53DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 5:53DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 5:53UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
88
Q4 - 5:53UTAStockton S.FOUL (P4.PN)78
88
Q4 - 6:01UTAStarks P.FOUL (P2.T4)78
88
Q4 - 6:09UTAMalone P.FOUL (P3.T3)78
88
Q4 - 6:29UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Starks 2 AST)78
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 6:43DENJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 7:04DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 7:07UTAMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 7:23DENCheaney P.FOUL (P2.T2)76
86
Q4 - 7:31DENSUB: Johnson FOR Posey76
86
Q4 - 7:31UTARussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 7:34UTAMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 7:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot76
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 8:13UTAStockton 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)76
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 8:20UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 8:23DENStockton BLOCK (1 BLK)76
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 8:40DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q4 - 8:41UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 276
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 8:41UTASUB: Padgett FOR Ostertag76
84
Q4 - 8:41UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 8:41DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Andersen76
83
Q4 - 8:41UTASUB: Stockton FOR Crotty76
83
Q4 - 8:4176
83
Q4 - 8:41DENVan Exel S.FOUL (P1.T1)76
83
Q4 - 8:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
7.2%
83
92.8%
Q4 - 8:51UTAMISS Starks 23' Jump Shot76
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q4 - 9:07UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 9:09DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 276
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 9:09DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 9:09UTACrotty S.FOUL (P4.T2)75
83
Q4 - 9:12UTACrotty Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 9:27DENLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)75
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 9:49UTAStarks 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Malone 7 AST)73
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:55UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q4 - 9:57DENMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot73
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 10:22UTAStarks Foul Turnover (P1.T11)73
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 10:22UTAStarks OFF.Foul (P1)73
80
Q4 - 10:26UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q4 - 10:28DENMISS Van Exel 12' Jump Shot73
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 10:43UTAOstertag 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 6 AST)73
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 11:04DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
13.6%
78
86.4%
Q4 - 11:04DENNuggets Rebound72
78
Q4 - 11:04DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 272
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 11:04UTACrotty S.FOUL (P3.T1)72
78
Q4 - 11:16UTAOstertag Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 11:16UTAOstertag OFF.Foul (P3)72
78
Q4 - 11:34DENVan Exel 14' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)72
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 11:46UTARussell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q4 - 12:0070
78
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA70
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound70
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Russell 29' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAJAZZ Rebound70
77
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 270
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENSUB: LaFrentz FOR Bowen70
77
Q3 - 0:25.0UTASUB: Ostertag FOR Collins70
77
Q3 - 0:25.0DENBowen L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)70
77
Q3 - 0:25.0DENStevenson STEAL (1 STL)70
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot70
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0UTACrotty Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)70
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q3 - 1:06DENLenard 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 1:25UTACrotty 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)68
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q3 - 1:39DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)68
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q3 - 1:39UTAStevenson S.FOUL (P2.T4)67
75
Q3 - 1:39DENAndersen Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)67
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 1:49UTAMISS Malone 21' Jump Shot65
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 1:53DENSUB: Bowen FOR LaFrentz65
75
Q3 - 1:53DENPosey L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)65
75
Q3 - 1:53UTAJAZZ Rebound65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 1:53UTAMISS Collins 8' Jump Shot65
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 2:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 2:11DENAndersen Tip Shot (8 PTS)65
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 2:14DENMISS Van Exel 6' Running Jump Shot63
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 2:29UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 2:29UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 2:29DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
73
Q3 - 2:29DENAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
73
Q3 - 2:35UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 2:37DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 2:56UTAMalone 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)63
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 3:12DENLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P2.T6)63
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 3:12DENLaFrentz OFF.Foul (P3)63
71
Q3 - 3:18UTACollins 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crotty 5 AST)63
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 3:36DENVan Exel Layup (22 PTS)63
12.3%
69
87.7%
Q3 - 3:52UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 3:52UTACollins Tip Shot (8 PTS)61
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 3:54UTAMISS Malone Layup61
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 4:03UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 4:05DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot61
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 4:19UTACrotty 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)61
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 4:40DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
19.3%
64
80.7%
Q3 - 4:40DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 4:40UTACollins S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
64
Q3 - 4:58UTASUB: Russell FOR Kirilenko59
64
Q3 - 4:58UTASUB: Crotty FOR Stockton59
64
Q3 - 4:58UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
64
Q3 - 4:58UTACollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)59
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 5:06UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 5:09DENKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)59
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 5:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 5:15UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 5:25UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 5:28DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 5:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 5:39UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot59
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 5:57DENVan Exel 3' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 6:06UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)57
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 6:17DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 6:17DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 6:17UTAStevenson S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
64
Q3 - 6:21DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 6:23UTAMISS Malone 6' Hook Shot55
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 6:39DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)55
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 6:59UTAKirilenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)53
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 7:15DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney53
64
Q3 - 7:15DENPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)53
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 7:34UTAMalone 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)53
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 7:54DENLaFrentz Dunk (8 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)53
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 7:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 8:01UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup51
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 8:24DENVan Exel 11' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 8:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 8:36UTAMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 8:59UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 9:01DENMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot49
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 9:18UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 9:18DENSUB: Andersen FOR Hamilton49
61
Q3 - 9:18UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 9:18DENHamilton S.FOUL (P4.T2)49
60
Q3 - 9:32UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 9:34DENMISS Van Exel 14' Jump Shot49
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 9:56DENNuggets Rebound49
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 9:57UTAMISS Stockton 11' Jump Shot49
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 10:11DENCheaney P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
60
Q3 - 10:22DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)49
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:23DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 10:26DENKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)46
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 10:50UTAMalone Layup (11 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)46
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q3 - 11:08UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 11:10DENMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot46
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 11:24UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)46
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 11:36UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 11:39UTAMISS Stockton 21' Jump Shot46
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 11:51DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 11:51DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 11:51UTAStockton S.FOUL (P3.T1)44
56
Q3 - 12:0044
56
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN44
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound44
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Andersen 54' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Stevenson Layup44
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 244
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0UTACrotty P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
56
Q2 - 0:08.0UTASUB: Padgett FOR Malone43
56
Q2 - 0:08.0UTACrotty P.FOUL (P1.T4)43
56
Q2 - 0:15.0UTACrotty Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)43
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0UTASUB: Stevenson FOR Stockton43
56
Q2 - 0:22.0DENHamilton P.FOUL (P3.T2)43
56
Q2 - 0:37.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot43
6.0%
56
94.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTARussell 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crotty 4 AST)43
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 1:11DENSUB: Andersen FOR Bowen43
53
Q2 - 1:22DENVan Exel 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 1:41UTAStockton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)41
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 2:03DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
9.7%
50
90.3%
Q2 - 2:03UTAMalone S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
50
Q2 - 2:03DENBowen Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)40
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q2 - 2:22UTAMalone 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS)38
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 2:33UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
8.7%
48
91.3%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Cheaney Layup38
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 2:55DENSUB: Hamilton FOR LaFrentz38
48
Q2 - 2:55DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
48
Q2 - 3:05UTAMalone 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)38
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 3:13UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 3:15DENMISS Posey 11' Jump Shot38
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 3:33UTACollins Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 3:44DENSUB: Posey FOR Johnson38
44
Q2 - 3:54UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 3:56DENRussell BLOCK (1 BLK)38
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 4:19UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 4:19UTARussell Layup (11 PTS)38
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 4:21UTAMISS Collins Dunk38
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 4:32UTASUB: Collins FOR Ostertag38
42
Q2 - 4:32UTASUB: Malone FOR Padgett38
42
Q2 - 4:32DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Lenard38
42
Q2 - 4:32UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)38
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 4:32DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec LaFrentz )38
41
Q2 - 4:49DENVan Exel 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 5:13UTACrotty 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)36
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 5:26UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
38
Q2 - 5:26DENJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
38
Q2 - 5:36DENLenard 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)36
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 5:37DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 5:42DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot34
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:06UTAStockton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 6:23DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 6:36UTAPadgett 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)31
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 6:45DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 6:45DENNuggets Rebound30
34
Q2 - 6:45DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 230
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 6:45UTASUB: Stockton FOR Starks30
34
Q2 - 6:45UTAPadgett S.FOUL (P2.T2)30
34
Q2 - 7:04UTARussell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Crotty 3 AST)30
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 7:18UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q2 - 7:20DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup30
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 7:36UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 7:36UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS)30
22.3%
32
77.7%
Q2 - 7:37UTAMISS Ostertag Layup30
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 7:47UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 7:51DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot30
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 8:10DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 8:12UTAMISS Crotty 19' Jump Shot30
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q2 - 8:30DENLaFrentz 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)30
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 8:39DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 8:41DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot28
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q2 - 8:5828
30
Q2 - 8:58UTAPadgett Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 8:58UTAPadgett OFF.Foul (P1)28
30
Q2 - 9:17DENVan Exel 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 9:26DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 9:29UTAMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot26
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 9:51DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:51DENSUB: Van Exel FOR Posey25
30
Q2 - 9:51DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 9:51DENSUB: LaFrentz FOR Andersen24
30
Q2 - 9:51UTAOstertag S.FOUL (P2.T1)24
30
Q2 - 10:15UTACrotty 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)24
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 10:29UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 10:31DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot24
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q2 - 10:44DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 10:45UTAMISS Padgett Layup24
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 10:53UTAJAZZ Rebound24
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 10:56UTAMISS Starks 19' Jump Shot24
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 11:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 11:08DENAndersen Dunk (2 PTS)24
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 11:12DENMISS Lenard 7' Jump Shot22
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 11:27DENAndersen Violation:Defensive Goaltending22
28
Q2 - 11:27UTARussell Layup (7 PTS) (Starks 1 AST)22
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 11:38DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:38DENLenard OFF.Foul (P1)22
26
Q2 - 12:0022
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound22
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0UTAMalone OFF.Foul (P1)22
26
Q1 - 0:34.0DENPosey Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)22
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0UTAMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0UTASUB: Starks FOR Kirilenko19
26
Q1 - 0:47.0DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0UTAOstertag S.FOUL (P1.PN)18
26
Q1 - 1:05UTACrotty 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)18
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 1:10DENMalone STEAL (1 STL)18
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 1:33UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 1:33UTAJAZZ Rebound18
23
Q1 - 1:33UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 218
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 1:33DENAndersen P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
23
Q1 - 1:43DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 1:43DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 1:43UTARussell S.FOUL (P1.T4)16
23
Q1 - 1:44DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 1:48UTAMISS Malone 10' Jump Shot16
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 1:58DENSUB: Andersen FOR Hamilton16
23
Q1 - 1:58DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney16
23
Q1 - 1:58UTASUB: Ostertag FOR Collins16
23
Q1 - 1:58DENHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)16
23
Q1 - 2:13DENVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 2:30UTARussell 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)14
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:37UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 2:40DENMalone BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 2:53UTARussell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crotty 2 AST)14
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:58UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 3:03DENCollins BLOCK (2 BLK)14
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 3:10DENSUB: Bowen FOR LaFrentz14
18
Q1 - 3:10UTASUB: Russell FOR Stevenson14
18
Q1 - 3:10DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
18
Q1 - 3:23UTAStevenson Dunk (2 PTS) (Crotty 1 AST)14
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 3:25UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 3:28DENMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot14
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 3:52UTAKirilenko 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 4:07DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 4:07DENCheaney 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot12
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 4:28UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (6 PTS)12
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 4:30DENKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)12
23.0%
12
77.0%
Q1 - 4:33DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 4:36UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup12
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 4:40UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 4:41DENMISS LaFrentz Layup12
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 5:01UTACollins Layup (4 PTS)12
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 5:02UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 5:04UTAMISS Malone Layup12
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:18DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 5:18DENHamilton Layup (4 PTS)12
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot10
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 5:45UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)10
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 5:56UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
8
Q1 - 5:56DENLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 5:56DENLaFrentz OFF.Foul (P2)10
8
Q1 - 6:00UTACollins P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
8
Q1 - 6:19UTAMalone Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)10
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 6:38DENPosey 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)10
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 6:43UTASUB: Crotty FOR Stockton8
6
Q1 - 6:43UTAStockton P.FOUL (P2.T2)8
6
Q1 - 7:00UTAStockton P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 7:00DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:03UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 7:29DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:29DENCheaney Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:31DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Cheaney Layup6
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 7:35DENKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)6
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 7:50DENNuggets Rebound6
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 7:52UTAMISS Stockton 21' Jump Shot6
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 8:10DENPosey Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 8:22UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 8:22UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
22.4%
5
77.6%
Q1 - 8:22DENLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 8:22UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 8:25UTAMISS Malone Layup4
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 8:39UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot4
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 8:57DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:04UTAMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot4
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 9:19UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:21UTAMISS Stevenson Layup4
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:42DENHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)4
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 9:44DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:48UTAMISS Collins Layup2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:52UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 9:55DENCollins BLOCK (1 BLK)2
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:07UTAMalone 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 10:16UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:18DENMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:36UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:48UTAJAZZ Rebound2
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:50UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:57DENHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:06UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 11:08DENMISS Van Exel Driving Layup2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 11:31UTAKirilenko Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)2
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:47DENVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:53DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:55UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Collins vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Kirilenko0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
UTA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
29
66%
UTA
17
30
57%
Midrange
DEN
12
37
32%
UTA
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
UTA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
DEN
26
31
84%
UTA
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2648%13.0 / 27
C. Andersen1761%8.5 / 14
J. Posey1653%8.0 / 15
R. LaFrentz1056%5.0 / 9
A. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
V. Lenard739%3.5 / 9
R. Bowen563%2.5 / 4
C. Cheaney440%2.0 / 5
Z. Hamilton450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone2659%13.0 / 22
B. Russell1771%8.5 / 12
J. Stockton1478%7.0 / 9
J. Crotty12100%6.0 / 6
J. Collins1063%5.0 / 8
A. Kirilenko844%4.0 / 9
D. Stevenson528%2.5 / 9
J. Starks550%2.5 / 5
S. Padgett583%2.5 / 3
G. Ostertag467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+15
-8
98
UTA
74
+13
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
UTA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
103.4
DEN 106.6
UTA 121.8 +15.2
Pace
92.1
92.3
DEN 94.5 +10.7
UTA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
DEN 15.2 −1.9
UTA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
47.2%
DEN 44.9%
UTA 59.0% +14.1%
TO %
14.9%
16.9%
DEN 7.9% −5.3%
UTA 13.2%
ORB %
30.7%
33.5%
DEN 27.3%
UTA 29.0% +1.7%
FTrt
25.6
38.1
DEN 39.2 +17.4
UTA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
69.7%
DEN 41.2%
UTA 71.4% +30.2%
STL %
8.0%
9.8%
DEN 3.3%
UTA 4.6% +1.3%
BLK %
8.6%
10.5%
DEN 11.1%
UTA 12.1% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
50.2%
DEN 49.5%
UTA 60.2% +10.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
54.8%
DEN 65.5% +8.8%
UTA 56.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.6%
DEN 32.4%
UTA 51.5% +19.1%
3P %
32.9%
33.3%
DEN 23.1%
UTA 53.3% +30.2%
FT %
74.4%
76.3%
DEN 83.9% +1.5%
UTA 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
41.1%
DEN 36.7%
UTA 38.5% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.7%
DEN 46.8%
UTA 42.3% −4.5%
3P Att. %
18.7%
13.2%
DEN 16.5%
UTA 19.2% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsDENUTA
Possessions9187
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points97106
Rebounds3441
Assists1430
Steals34
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)32 (0)
Field Goals34-7942-78
At-the-Rim FG19-2917-30
Midrange FG12-3717-33
2-Point FG31-6634-63
3-Point FG3-138-15
Free Throws26-3114-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
45.9
26
48%
9
5
0
0
2
3
1
8
5-8
63%
9-20
45%
1-3
33%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
40.3
16
53%
5
3
3
1
2
1
1
4
8-8
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
34.0
10
56%
1
1
0
2
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 210 · 30
22.1
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 254 · 27
15.7
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
23.9
5
63%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
22.2
17
61%
9
0
0
2
1
2
4
5
7-8
88%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
20.2
7
39%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
15.8
8
44%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 34
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
50%
34
14
3
7
8
0
12
22
26-31
84%
31-66
47%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.