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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks65%101108
28Grizzlies35%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.6
44.0
37.7
32
62%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
12-13
92%
7-18
6-11
39%
52%
2-2
100%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 27.9
36.9
33.6
20
63%
7
10
3
1
0
4
2
5
4-4
100%
8-12
5-9
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.5
33.3
25.7
10
71%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.9
23.4
30.0
6
30%
6
0
1
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
0-0
-
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.1
18.6
20.4
11
81%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.4
29.1
24.9
8
50%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
2-4
50%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
27.3
18.1
7
35%
9
2
1
1
1
0
4
5
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
20.7
19.8
6
47%
3
1
1
1
0
2
3
0
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.5
6.7
12.0
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.7
6.9
0
1-2
48%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 29.8
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.4
2.5
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.2
39.3
28.0
16
51%
4
8
3
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
3-9
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.5
36.7
39.6
26
62%
11
2
0
1
1
3
4
7
6-7
86%
10-17
7-14
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.9
36.7
30.9
6
44%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
21.0
21.1
6
77%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.4
15.7
35.3
4
33%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
36.8
22.2
15
76%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.2
29.2
27.9
12
56%
5
1
2
1
3
2
1
4
2-4
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.2
21.1
14.7
12
75%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.5
3.4
8.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-2
0%
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.8
6.6
0
1-2
48%
Ike Austin
C · 6'10" 288 · 32.4
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Nick Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 228 · 34.0
3.4
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.