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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat21%8592
8Trail Blazers79%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 31.9
42.1
32.3
19
52%
12
3
1
0
2
2
4
8
7-10
70%
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
41.4
34.9
25
57%
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
43%
3-6
50%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
35.5
28.6
6
50%
1
11
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
40%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.6
34.3
20.6
13
44%
4
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
5-6
83%
4-11
2-5
36%
41%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
26.6
24.8
8
57%
7
3
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.3
36.9
30.7
13
57%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
3-8
38%
42%
2-3
67%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.7
17.6
17.6
2
20%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
0-1
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
16.6
23.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.7
14.1
9.9
6
60%
8
0
2
0
2
3
4
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.4
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.6
4.4
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 27.3
45.5
35.9
17
37%
12
4
1
1
1
2
2
10
2-4
50%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
1-8
13%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 28.4
43.6
36.1
12
35%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
40.3
29.2
12
44%
10
1
1
1
1
3
4
6
3-4
75%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Scottie Pippen
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 36.3
31.2
31.9
6
29%
5
4
1
2
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
1-4
25%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 32.8
25.5
27.8
7
74%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.5
31.9
23.5
19
57%
4
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
5-6
83%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
2-5
40%
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 32.1
18.3
11.4
12
67%
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 26.5
11.7
19.8
5
43%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.6
7.5
6.8
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Dudley
C · 6'11" 260 · 36.9
7.5
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.3
2.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 20.5
3.0
0
1-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.