Final Win Prob. pScore
1746%90
88
2654%91
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
95.792100.1
MIA logo Heat
106.49487.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
100
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
100
Q4 - 0:08.0INDMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
100
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
100
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)88
99
Q4 - 0:17.0INDHarrington P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
98
Q4 - 0:17.0INDPacers Violation: Delay of game Violation88
98
Q4 - 0:17.0INDRose Driving Layup (21 PTS)88
98
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
98
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
97
Q4 - 0:23.0INDBest P.FOUL (P5.PN)86
96
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
96
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot86
96
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
96
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot86
96
Q4 - 1:12INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)86
96
Q4 - 1:26MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
96
Q4 - 1:26MIAHEAT Rebound86
95
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 286
95
Q4 - 1:26INDRose P.FOUL (P3.PN)86
95
Q4 - 1:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
95
Q4 - 1:38INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot86
95
Q4 - 1:44MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)86
95
Q4 - 1:58INDBest P.FOUL (P4.T3)86
95
Q4 - 1:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
95
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
95
Q4 - 2:22INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
95
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot86
95
Q4 - 2:44INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)86
95
Q4 - 2:58MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)83
95
Q4 - 3:19MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
95
Q4 - 3:21INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot83
95
Q4 - 3:35INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
95
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot83
95
Q4 - 3:50INDCroshere P.FOUL (P1.T2)83
95
Q4 - 4:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
95
Q4 - 4:10INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
95
Q4 - 4:22MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)83
95
Q4 - 4:27INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)83
95
Q4 - 4:27MIAHEAT Rebound83
95
Q4 - 4:30INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot83
95
Q4 - 4:46MIAJones 16' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)83
95
Q4 - 4:59MIASUB: Grant FOR House83
93
Q4 - 4:59MIASUB: Strickland FOR Ellis83
93
Q4 - 4:59MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson83
93
Q4 - 4:59INDHarrington P.FOUL (P3.T1)83
93
Q4 - 5:08INDBest 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
93
Q4 - 5:27MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)81
93
Q4 - 5:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
91
Q4 - 5:43INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
91
Q4 - 5:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (House 5 AST)81
91
Q4 - 6:17INDRose 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)81
88
Q4 - 6:24INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
88
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot79
88
Q4 - 6:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Gatling79
88
Q4 - 6:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)79
88
Q4 - 6:51INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 4 AST)79
88
Q4 - 6:57INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
88
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Gatling Layup76
88
Q4 - 6:59MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
88
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot76
88
Q4 - 7:25INDRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)76
88
Q4 - 7:38MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant73
88
Q4 - 7:38MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
88
Q4 - 7:53INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
88
Q4 - 8:13INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
88
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot71
88
Q4 - 8:36INDSUB: Miller FOR Foster71
88
Q4 - 8:36INDSUB: Croshere FOR Bender71
88
Q4 - 8:3671
88
Q4 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound71
88
Q4 - 8:37INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot71
88
Q4 - 8:55MIAGatling 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
88
Q4 - 9:17INDBender Dunk (9 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)71
86
Q4 - 9:24MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
86
Q4 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound69
86
Q4 - 9:44INDMISS Foster 15' Jump Shot69
86
Q4 - 10:06MIAEllis Dunk (14 PTS) (House 4 AST)69
86
Q4 - 10:12MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
84
Q4 - 10:14INDMISS Best 20' Jump Shot69
84
Q4 - 10:27MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)69
84
Q4 - 10:27MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P4)69
84
Q4 - 10:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)69
84
Q4 - 10:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
84
Q4 - 10:44INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot69
84
Q4 - 10:57INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
84
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
84
Q4 - 11:20INDGatling STEAL (1 STL)69
84
Q4 - 11:20MIAJump Ball Gatling vs. Foster: Tip to Grant69
84
Q4 - 11:36INDBender Violation:Defensive Goaltending69
84
Q4 - 11:36MIAJackson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)69
84
Q4 - 11:41MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
82
Q4 - 11:43INDMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot69
82
Q4 - 12:0069
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 49' 3PT Jump Shot69
82
Q3 - 0:01.0INDBest Foul Turnover (P1.T12)69
82
Q3 - 0:01.0INDBest OFF.Foul (P3)69
82
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
82
Q3 - 0:09.0INDBest P.FOUL (P2.T3)69
80
Q3 - 0:24.0INDBest 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
80
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#9)67
80
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
80
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 267
80
Q3 - 0:40.0INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
80
Q3 - 0:40.0INDSUB: Bender FOR Miller66
80
Q3 - 0:40.0MIASUB: Gatling FOR Jones66
80
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T3)66
80
Q3 - 1:06MIAHouse 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
80
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)66
78
Q3 - 1:52INDMiller Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)64
78
Q3 - 1:52MIASUB: House FOR Strickland63
78
Q3 - 1:52INDSUB: Foster FOR Croshere63
78
Q3 - 1:52INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)63
78
Q3 - 1:5263
78
Q3 - 1:52MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P2.T8)63
78
Q3 - 1:52MIAStrickland OFF.Foul (P1)63
78
Q3 - 2:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
78
Q3 - 2:09INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot63
78
Q3 - 2:34MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 13 AST)63
78
Q3 - 2:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
75
Q3 - 2:41INDMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 2:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
75
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 4' Running Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 3:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 3:13INDMISS Croshere 15' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 3:28MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)63
75
Q3 - 3:47INDRose 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
75
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill61
75
Q3 - 3:53INDSUB: Best FOR Foster61
75
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning61
75
Q3 - 3:53INDPacers Rebound61
75
Q3 - 3:53INDStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)61
75
Q3 - 4:13MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (6 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 4:24MIAHEAT Rebound61
73
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot61
73
Q3 - 4:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
73
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot61
73
Q3 - 4:59INDCroshere Dunk (12 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)61
73
Q3 - 5:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
73
Q3 - 5:05INDMISS Croshere Driving Layup59
73
Q3 - 5:12INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
73
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
73
Q3 - 5:33INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)59
73
Q3 - 5:37MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)59
73
Q3 - 5:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
73
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot59
73
Q3 - 6:04INDRose 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
73
Q3 - 6:27MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 12 AST)57
73
Q3 - 6:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
71
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot57
71
Q3 - 6:51INDRose P.FOUL (P2.T2)57
71
Q3 - 6:54INDStrickland STEAL (2 STL)57
71
Q3 - 7:13MIAGill 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)57
71
Q3 - 7:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)57
69
Q3 - 7:27INDSUB: Harrington FOR Bender57
69
Q3 - 7:27MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant57
69
Q3 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound57
69
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot57
69
Q3 - 7:38INDRose 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
69
Q3 - 7:54MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 11 AST)55
69
Q3 - 7:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
67
Q3 - 8:01INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
67
Q3 - 8:17MIAGill Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)55
67
Q3 - 8:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
65
Q3 - 8:23INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 8:35MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 10 AST)55
65
Q3 - 8:57INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)55
63
Q3 - 9:05INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
63
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot53
63
Q3 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
63
Q3 - 9:17INDMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot53
63
Q3 - 9:24INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
63
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup53
63
Q3 - 9:32INDStrickland STEAL (1 STL)53
63
Q3 - 9:48MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)53
63
Q3 - 10:02INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)53
61
Q3 - 10:02MIAGill S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
61
Q3 - 10:02INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
61
Q3 - 10:11INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
61
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot50
61
Q3 - 10:33INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T8)50
61
Q3 - 10:33INDBender OFF.Foul (P2)50
61
Q3 - 10:55MIAGrant 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)50
61
Q3 - 11:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
59
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Croshere 20' Jump Shot50
59
Q3 - 11:16MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
59
Q3 - 11:23INDFoster P.FOUL (P3.T1)50
59
Q3 - 11:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
59
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot50
59
Q3 - 11:42INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
59
Q3 - 11:50MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
59
Q3 - 12:0048
59
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
59
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound48
59
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Miller 58' 3PT Jump Shot48
59
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJones 11' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
59
Q2 - 0:05.0INDBest P.FOUL (P1.T3)48
57
Q2 - 0:27.0INDHarrington Driving Layup (12 PTS)48
57
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)46
57
Q2 - 0:53.0INDHarrington Dunk (10 PTS)46
55
Q2 - 0:54.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
55
Q2 - 0:56.0INDMISS Foster 5' Running Jump Shot44
55
Q2 - 1:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
55
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
55
Q2 - 1:15MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning44
55
Q2 - 1:15MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson44
55
Q2 - 1:15INDMiller Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)44
55
Q2 - 1:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
55
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot44
55
Q2 - 1:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
55
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot44
55
Q2 - 1:48MIAEllis 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)44
55
Q2 - 2:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
53
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 244
53
Q2 - 2:08INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
53
Q2 - 2:08INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)43
53
Q2 - 2:08MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
53
Q2 - 2:19INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
53
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot43
53
Q2 - 2:34MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
53
Q2 - 2:36INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
53
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot43
53
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Best 18' Jump Shot43
53
Q2 - 2:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
53
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot43
53
Q2 - 3:01MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant43
53
Q2 - 3:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
53
Q2 - 3:11INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 3 AST)43
53
Q2 - 3:17INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
53
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Grant Layup41
53
Q2 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
53
Q2 - 3:37INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot41
53
Q2 - 3:51MIAMourning 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)41
53
Q2 - 4:13INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 2 AST)41
51
Q2 - 4:33MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)38
51
Q2 - 4:52MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
49
Q2 - 4:54INDMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
49
Q2 - 5:10MIAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T4)38
49
Q2 - 5:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)38
49
Q2 - 5:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
49
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot38
49
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis38
49
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Strickland FOR House38
49
Q2 - 5:40INDHarrington L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)38
49
Q2 - 5:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
49
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot38
49
Q2 - 6:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
49
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot38
49
Q2 - 6:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
49
Q2 - 6:22INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS)38
49
Q2 - 6:23INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
49
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot36
49
Q2 - 6:43INDSUB: Croshere FOR Bender36
49
Q2 - 6:43MIASUB: Mourning FOR Gatling36
49
Q2 - 6:43MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T3)36
49
Q2 - 6:43MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
49
Q2 - 7:00INDFoster 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)36
49
Q2 - 7:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
49
Q2 - 7:04INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot34
49
Q2 - 7:25MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
49
Q2 - 7:38INDHarrington 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)34
46
Q2 - 7:55MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)32
46
Q2 - 8:13INDBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
44
Q2 - 8:13INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
44
Q2 - 8:13MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
44
Q2 - 8:23MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
44
Q2 - 8:30MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Foster: Tip to Gatling30
42
Q2 - 8:4130
42
Q2 - 8:41INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
42
Q2 - 9:05MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS)30
42
Q2 - 9:08INDHouse STEAL (1 STL)30
40
Q2 - 9:24MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)30
40
Q2 - 9:37INDSUB: Foster FOR Croshere30
38
Q2 - 9:37INDHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
38
Q2 - 9:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
38
Q2 - 9:40INDMISS Bender 18' Jump Shot30
38
Q2 - 9:54MIAEllis 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 10:07INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
36
Q2 - 10:12INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
36
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot30
36
Q2 - 10:32INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)30
36
Q2 - 10:43MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T1)28
36
Q2 - 10:57INDSUB: Miller FOR Rose28
36
Q2 - 10:57MIASUB: Grant FOR Jones28
36
Q2 - 10:57MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
36
Q2 - 11:00MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 11:02INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 11:17INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Jones 3' Finger Roll28
36
Q2 - 11:27MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 11:29INDMISS Best 21' Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 11:46MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
36
Q2 - 12:0028
34
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
34
Q1 - 0:02.0INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)28
34
Q1 - 0:22.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
34
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot25
34
Q1 - 0:39.0INDRose 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
34
Q1 - 1:02MIAGatling Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)23
34
Q1 - 1:14INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
32
Q1 - 1:14INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
32
Q1 - 1:14MIASUB: House FOR Strickland21
32
Q1 - 1:14INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)21
32
Q1 - 1:14MIAGatling S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
32
Q1 - 1:35MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)21
32
Q1 - 1:53INDBest Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)21
29
Q1 - 2:12INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot19
29
Q1 - 2:36INDRose 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)19
29
Q1 - 2:43INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Gatling Layup17
29
Q1 - 2:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
29
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Jackson 12' Hook Shot17
29
Q1 - 3:05INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
29
Q1 - 3:05INDPacers Rebound16
29
Q1 - 3:05MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning16
29
Q1 - 3:05INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 216
29
Q1 - 3:05MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.PN)16
29
Q1 - 3:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Harrington Layup16
29
Q1 - 3:20MIAEllis 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
29
Q1 - 3:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
27
Q1 - 3:40INDEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)16
27
Q1 - 3:52MIASUB: Ellis FOR Gill16
27
Q1 - 3:52MIASUB: Jackson FOR Grant16
27
Q1 - 3:52MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
27
Q1 - 4:06MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)16
27
Q1 - 4:24INDBender Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)16
25
Q1 - 4:26INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
25
Q1 - 4:28INDMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot14
25
Q1 - 4:47MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
25
Q1 - 5:04INDSUB: Best FOR Miller14
25
Q1 - 5:04INDSUB: Croshere FOR Rogers14
25
Q1 - 5:04INDRogers Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
25
Q1 - 5:04INDRogers OFF.Foul (P3)14
25
Q1 - 5:21MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
25
Q1 - 5:33INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
23
Q1 - 5:49MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
23
Q1 - 6:03INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
21
Q1 - 6:03INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
21
Q1 - 6:03MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
21
Q1 - 6:07INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
21
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
21
Q1 - 6:23INDMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 212
21
Q1 - 6:23INDRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
21
Q1 - 6:23MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
21
Q1 - 6:35MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
21
Q1 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound11
20
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 211
20
Q1 - 6:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
20
Q1 - 6:35INDRogers S.FOUL (P2.PN)11
20
Q1 - 6:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
20
Q1 - 6:46INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 7:01MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)11
20
Q1 - 7:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 7:14INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 7:30INDRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 111
18
Q1 - 7:31INDSUB: Harrington FOR Foster11
18
Q1 - 7:31INDFoster S.FOUL (P2.PN)11
18
Q1 - 7:31MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)11
18
Q1 - 7:43INDRose 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
16
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)9
16
Q1 - 8:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 8:16INDMISS Bender 6' Running Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 8:27MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)9
14
Q1 - 8:40INDBender 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 8:45INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
12
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 8:54INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)7
12
Q1 - 9:02MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)7
12
Q1 - 9:10INDBender P.FOUL (P1.T4)7
10
Q1 - 9:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10
Q1 - 9:16INDMISS Rogers 22' Jump Shot7
10
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
9
Q1 - 9:26INDFoster S.FOUL (P1.T3)7
8
Q1 - 9:36INDRogers 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)7
8
Q1 - 9:51MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)5
8
Q1 - 10:04INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 10:04INDPacers Rebound4
6
Q1 - 10:04INDMISS Bender Free Throw 1 of 24
6
Q1 - 10:04MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 10:18MIAJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:27INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:42MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:53INDRogers 6' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:01INDRogers P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 11:03MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS Foster 11' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:11INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:27INDRose P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:44INDRose 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Rogers: Tip to Bender0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
19
58%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
IND
19
42
45%
MIA
23
44
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
13
18
72%
MIA
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2150%10.5 / 21
R. Miller1450%7.0 / 14
A. Harrington1447%7.0 / 15
A. Croshere1246%6.0 / 13
J. Bender964%4.5 / 7
T. Best950%4.5 / 9
C. Rogers563%2.5 / 4
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2377%11.5 / 15
L. Ellis1478%7.0 / 9
K. Gill1365%6.5 / 10
B. Grant1246%6.0 / 13
A. Mourning1243%6.0 / 14
R. Strickland956%4.5 / 8
E. House975%4.5 / 6
J. Jackson433%2.0 / 6
C. Gatling440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+11
-14
89
MIA
81
+10
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
96.1
IND 95.7
MIA 106.4 +10.7
Pace
94.6
89.7
IND 100.1 +13.1
MIA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.7
IND 14.4 −2.2
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
IND 47.5%
MIA 57.0% +9.5%
TO %
15.2%
15.5%
IND 13.9% −1.1%
MIA 15.0%
ORB %
27.0%
26.7%
IND 19.5%
MIA 22.9% +3.4%
FTrt
32.8
26.8
IND 22.8 +6.3
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
59.4%
IND 40.0%
MIA 67.4% +27.4%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
IND 5.4% +1.1%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
7.8%
8.7%
IND 4.3% +1.0%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
47.7%
IND 49.4%
MIA 54.9% +5.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.6%
IND 57.9%
MIA 64.0% +6.1%
Mid FG%
40.1%
38.0%
IND 45.2%
MIA 52.3% +7.1%
3P %
33.9%
34.7%
IND 27.8%
MIA 40.0% +12.2%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
IND 72.2%
MIA 76.9% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
28.1%
IND 24.1%
MIA 31.6% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
IND 53.2% −2.5%
MIA 55.7%
3P Att. %
18.2%
14.1%
IND 22.8% +10.1%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points88100
Rebounds3541
Assists1429
Steals54
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)33 (4)
Field Goals35-7943-79
At-the-Rim FG11-1916-25
Midrange FG19-4223-44
2-Point FG30-6139-69
3-Point FG5-184-10
Free Throws13-1810-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
37.8
14
50%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'8" 215 · 29
37.0
21
50%
4
5
1
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
9-17
53%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 25
27.5
4
40%
4
1
1
0
3
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
25.9
9
64%
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 232 · 31
6.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
39.0
14
47%
9
0
0
1
2
4
3
6
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
33.0
9
50%
3
4
2
0
1
5
0
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
32.9
12
46%
8
2
0
0
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
49%
35
14
5
3
14
0
8
27
13-18
72%
30-61
49%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.