Final Win Prob. pScore
2926%81
79
2474%89
92
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo Bulls
83.29590.2
MIA logo Heat
101.19196.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Fizer 30' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIRobinson P.FOUL (P3.PN)79
90
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHIFizer P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
88
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIHoiberg P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
86
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T19)79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHISUB: Hoiberg FOR Ollie79
85
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIRobinson P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
84
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)79
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)76
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIBulls Rebound75
84
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 275
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
84
Q4 - 0:55.0CHIBulls Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)75
84
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0CHIMiller P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
82
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIWorld Peace Driving Layup (21 PTS)75
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 1:02CHISUB: Fizer FOR Oakley73
82
Q4 - 1:02CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)73
82
Q4 - 1:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02CHIRobinson S.FOUL (P1.PN)73
81
Q4 - 1:02MIAMourning Dunk (16 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)73
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 1:15CHIJones STEAL (2 STL)73
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)73
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 1:43CHIOakley P.FOUL (P2.T4)73
76
Q4 - 1:58CHISUB: Oakley FOR Fizer73
76
Q4 - 1:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)73
76
Q4 - 1:58CHIFizer 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)73
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q4 - 2:08MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)71
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 2:22CHIWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMourning P.FOUL (P5.T3)68
76
Q4 - 2:45CHIBulls Rebound68
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 2:46CHIMISS Miller Reverse Layup68
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Miller: Tip to Ollie68
76
Q4 - 2:57CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 2:58CHIMISS Ollie 18' Jump Shot68
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 3:13CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)68
76
Q4 - 3:19MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 3:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q4 - 3:40CHIMISS Fizer Driving Layup68
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q4 - 3:50CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot68
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q4 - 4:04MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q4 - 4:06CHIMISS Fizer 19' Jump Shot68
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 4:27CHISUB: Robinson FOR Hoiberg68
72
Q4 - 4:27CHIHoiberg S.FOUL (P1.T3)68
72
Q4 - 4:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q4 - 4:47CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 268
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q4 - 4:47CHIBulls Rebound68
72
Q4 - 4:47CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 268
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q4 - 4:47CHISUB: Ollie FOR Hassell68
72
Q4 - 4:47MIAJackson S.FOUL (P4.T2)68
72
Q4 - 5:03MIAJackson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)68
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q4 - 5:27CHIHoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)68
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q4 - 5:36CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHEAT Rebound65
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q4 - 5:59CHIMISS Hassell Driving Layup65
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q4 - 6:13MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)65
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q4 - 6:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q4 - 6:32CHIMISS Miller Driving Layup65
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAStrickland 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)65
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q4 - 7:01CHIWorld Peace P.FOUL (P4.T2)65
68
Q4 - 7:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)65
68
Q4 - 7:08MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania65
68
Q4 - 7:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q4 - 7:23CHIMISS Miller 5' Jump Shot65
18.8%
68
81.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)65
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q4 - 8:05CHIHassell 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)65
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q4 - 8:11CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup63
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q4 - 8:27CHIMISS Hoiberg 19' Jump Shot63
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q4 - 8:40CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q4 - 8:54CHISUB: Miller FOR Curry63
68
Q4 - 8:54MIASUB: Strickland FOR James63
68
Q4 - 8:5463
68
Q4 - 8:54MIAHEAT Rebound63
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q4 - 8:56CHIMISS Hoiberg 21' Jump Shot63
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q4 - 9:10CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot63
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q4 - 9:31CHICurry L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)63
68
Q4 - 9:31MIAHEAT Rebound63
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q4 - 9:31CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIAEllis 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q4 - 10:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q4 - 10:16CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 263
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q4 - 10:16CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T1)62
66
Q4 - 10:28CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot62
18.1%
66
81.9%
Q4 - 10:45CHICurry Foul Turnover (P3.T17)62
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q4 - 10:45CHICurry OFF.Foul (P3)62
66
Q4 - 10:57CHISUB: World Peace FOR Robinson62
66
Q4 - 11:06CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot62
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q4 - 11:23CHIJackson STEAL (3 STL)62
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)62
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q4 - 12:0062
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 61' 3PT Jump Shot62
30.1%
63
69.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIHassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot59
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIRobinson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)59
16.9%
63
83.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHISUB: Curry FOR Ollie57
63
Q3 - 0:39.0CHISUB: Hoiberg FOR Miller57
63
Q3 - 0:39.0MIASUB: James FOR Strickland57
63
Q3 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant57
63
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)57
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 1:00CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot57
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 1:21MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 1:44CHIOllie 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)57
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 2:20CHIStepania STEAL (1 STL)55
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 2:33CHIBulls Rebound55
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 255
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 2:34MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)55
17.9%
59
82.1%
Q3 - 2:34CHISUB: Hassell FOR World Peace55
58
Q3 - 2:34CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)55
58
Q3 - 2:34CHIOllie P.FOUL (P3.PN)55
58
Q3 - 2:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Gill 10' Jump Shot55
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 2:56CHIMiller 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)53
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 3:26CHIMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
20.4%
56
79.6%
Q3 - 3:34CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
22.7%
56
77.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Strickland 5' Running Jump Shot53
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q3 - 3:48CHIWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)53
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 4:07MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHEAT Rebound53
55
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 253
23.9%
55
76.1%
Q3 - 4:07CHIFizer S.FOUL (P1.PN)53
55
Q3 - 4:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
55
Q3 - 4:20CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 153
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q3 - 4:20CHISUB: Fizer FOR Oakley53
55
Q3 - 4:20MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones53
55
Q3 - 4:20MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
55
Q3 - 4:20CHIWorld Peace Layup (15 PTS)53
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q3 - 4:41CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
19.9%
55
80.1%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot51
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 4:59MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q3 - 5:01CHIMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:19MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 5:32CHIMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot51
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning51
53
Q3 - 5:53MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T16)51
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P4)51
53
Q3 - 6:04MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)51
53
Q3 - 6:04CHIWorld Peace P.FOUL (P3.T4)51
53
Q3 - 6:06MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 6:08CHIMISS Ollie Driving Layup51
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 6:28CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 251
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 6:30CHIOllie P.FOUL (P2.T3)51
52
Q3 - 6:49CHIRobinson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q3 - 6:56CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot49
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 7:14CHIMourning STEAL (3 STL)49
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q3 - 7:38CHIBulls Rebound49
52
Q3 - 7:40MIAJump Ball Gill vs. Ollie: Tip to Miller49
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot49
21.1%
52
78.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 7:49CHIMiller FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P3.T2)49
50
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 7:59CHIMISS Oakley 18' Jump Shot49
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q3 - 8:20MIAGill Layup (6 PTS)49
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q3 - 8:32CHIMiller L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)49
48
Q3 - 8:34MIAHEAT Rebound49
30.3%
48
69.7%
Q3 - 8:35CHIMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot49
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)49
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q3 - 9:16CHIOllie 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)49
36.6%
46
63.4%
Q3 - 9:37MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
33.4%
46
66.6%
Q3 - 10:06CHIMiller Dunk (17 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)47
35.8%
44
64.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)45
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q3 - 10:37CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)45
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q3 - 10:44CHIBulls Rebound45
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q3 - 10:45CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)45
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q3 - 11:01CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot45
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q3 - 11:24CHIOakley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)45
29.1%
44
70.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)43
26.5%
44
73.5%
Q3 - 11:53CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q3 - 11:53CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q3 - 11:53MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T1)41
42
Q3 - 12:0041
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)41
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)38
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot38
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones Finger Roll38
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIWorld Peace P.FOUL (P2.T4)38
40
Q2 - 1:06CHIMiller 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)36
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 1:40MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 1:42CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 236
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 1:42CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
23.4%
38
76.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Mourning35
38
Q2 - 1:42MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jackson35
38
Q2 - 1:42MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
38
Q2 - 1:42CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 1:43CHIMISS Ollie Driving Layup35
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)35
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 1:57CHIJackson STEAL (2 STL)35
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 2:34CHIMourning STEAL (2 STL)35
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 2:41CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
25.7%
36
74.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup35
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 2:47CHIGill STEAL (1 STL)35
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
25.7%
36
74.3%
Q2 - 3:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 235
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:18CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q2 - 3:18MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
34
Q2 - 3:27CHISUB: Robinson FOR Mercer34
34
Q2 - 3:27CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)34
34
Q2 - 3:27MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T13)34
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P2)34
34
Q2 - 3:46CHISUB: Mercer FOR Hassell34
34
Q2 - 3:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
34
Q2 - 3:47CHIMourning STEAL (1 STL)34
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 4:10CHIMISS Oakley 18' Jump Shot34
30.5%
32
69.5%
Q2 - 4:32CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot34
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones34
32
Q2 - 4:44CHISUB: Oakley FOR Fizer34
32
Q2 - 4:44CHISUB: World Peace FOR Robinson34
32
Q2 - 4:44CHIOllie P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
32
Q2 - 4:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 5:00CHIMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 5:16CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot34
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot34
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 5:50CHIFizer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 6:03CHISUB: Ollie FOR Hoiberg32
32
Q2 - 6:03MIASUB: Strickland FOR James32
32
Q2 - 6:03CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
32
Q2 - 6:16MIAMourning Driving Layup (6 PTS)32
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 6:30CHIMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot32
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)32
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis32
28
Q2 - 7:02CHIHassell P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
28
Q2 - 7:20CHIFizer Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 7:52CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)30
36.3%
25
63.7%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)30
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q2 - 8:01CHIJackson STEAL (1 STL)30
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)30
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q2 - 8:41CHIRobinson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)30
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q2 - 8:57CHISUB: Miller FOR Curry28
22
Q2 - 8:57CHISUB: Hassell FOR Mercer28
22
Q2 - 8:57MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania28
22
Q2 - 8:5728
22
Q2 - 8:57MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
22
Q2 - 9:06CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot28
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q2 - 9:28CHIRobinson Dunk (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)28
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)26
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q2 - 9:40CHIJames STEAL (2 STL)26
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q2 - 9:56MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q2 - 10:08CHICurry Dunk (2 PTS)26
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q2 - 10:09CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 10:11CHIMISS Mercer Driving Layup24
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot24
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q2 - 10:43CHICurry L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)24
20
Q2 - 10:43MIAHEAT Rebound24
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q2 - 10:43CHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot24
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHEAT Rebound24
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot24
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 11:20CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot24
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:29CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)24
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 11:31CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:33CHIStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)24
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 11:34CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:38CHIMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot24
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 12:0024
20
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Mercer 10' Running Jump Shot24
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot24
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot24
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot24
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHISUB: Robinson FOR World Peace24
18
Q1 - 0:54.0CHICurry Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHICurry OFF.Foul (P1)24
18
Q1 - 1:12MIAEllis Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 1:21CHIMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot24
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 1:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill24
16
Q1 - 1:36CHISUB: Curry FOR Miller24
16
Q1 - 1:36MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T8)24
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 1:36MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P1)24
16
Q1 - 1:55CHIWorld Peace Layup (9 PTS)24
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 2:08CHIMiller Layup (10 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)22
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning20
16
Q1 - 2:21CHISUB: Fizer FOR Ollie20
16
Q1 - 2:21CHISUB: Hoiberg FOR Oakley20
16
Q1 - 2:21CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
16
Q1 - 2:28MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 2:35MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
35.1%
14
64.9%
Q1 - 2:36CHIMISS Oakley 16' Jump Shot20
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 2:46CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot20
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIASUB: James FOR Strickland19
14
Q1 - 3:06CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 3:14CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot18
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 3:34CHIOllie 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)18
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 3:52CHIMercer Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones16
14
Q1 - 3:59MIASUB: Jackson FOR Grant16
14
Q1 - 4:12CHIBulls Rebound16
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot16
27.4%
14
72.6%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 4:29CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 116
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 4:29MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)16
14
Q1 - 4:29CHIWorld Peace Layup (7 PTS)16
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot14
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 4:54CHIOllie Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)14
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )13
14
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 5:26CHIMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot13
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 5:33CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.4%
12
73.6%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot13
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 6:01CHIMiller Dunk (6 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)13
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 6:21CHIGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)11
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)11
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
10
Q1 - 6:59CHIMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)11
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 7:12CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:24CHIMiller P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
10
Q1 - 7:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 7:32CHIMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot9
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:02MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 8:08CHIMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot9
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:25CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 8:33CHIMISS Mercer Reverse Layup9
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:37CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:40CHIMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot9
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)9
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:12CHIMiller 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 9:25MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 9:47CHIWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)7
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMourning Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 10:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 10:13CHIMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot4
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 10:51CHIOakley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 11:05MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 11:26CHIWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:30MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:42CHIWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:42CHIWorld Peace OFF.Foul (P1)0
2
Q1 - 11:50MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:50MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
25.7%
1
74.3%
Q1 - 11:50CHIOakley P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Miller: Tip to Strickland0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
13
25
52%
MIA
12
17
71%
Midrange
CHI
13
38
34%
MIA
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
CHI
9
17
53%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2455%12.0 / 22
B. Miller1963%9.5 / 15
E. Robinson945%4.5 / 10
K. Ollie758%3.5 / 6
M. Fizer643%3.0 / 7
T. Hassell550%2.5 / 5
C. Oakley440%2.0 / 5
F. Hoiberg330%1.5 / 5
E. Curry233%1.0 / 3
R. Mercer0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2053%10.0 / 19
R. Strickland2083%10.0 / 12
A. Mourning1794%8.5 / 9
J. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
L. Ellis956%4.5 / 8
K. Gill643%3.0 / 7
B. Grant660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania220%1.0 / 5
M. James0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
77
+9
-18
86
MIA
71
+7
-20
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.0
96.1
CHI 83.2
MIA 101.1 +17.9
Pace
92.7
89.7
CHI 90.2
MIA 96.1 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.7
CHI 16.0
MIA 15.0 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.3%
CHI 46.7%
MIA 53.7% +7.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.5%
CHI 18.7% −2.7%
MIA 21.4%
ORB %
26.6%
26.7%
CHI 14.6%
MIA 16.7% +2.1%
FTrt
30.2
26.8
CHI 22.7
MIA 34.3 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
59.4%
CHI 50.0%
MIA 55.9% +5.9%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
CHI 14.7% +1.5%
MIA 13.2%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
CHI 5.7% +0.9%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
47.7%
CHI 45.9%
MIA 56.1% +10.2%
Rim FG%
54.3%
60.6%
CHI 52.0%
MIA 70.6% +18.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.0%
CHI 34.2%
MIA 50.0% +15.8%
3P %
34.6%
34.7%
CHI 50.0% +21.4%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
72.2%
72.4%
CHI 52.9%
MIA 87.0% +34.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
28.1%
CHI 33.3% +8.0%
MIA 25.4%
Mid Att. %
54.6%
57.8%
CHI 50.7% −3.1%
MIA 53.7%
3P Att. %
13.4%
14.1%
CHI 16.0%
MIA 20.9% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points7992
Rebounds3140
Assists1619
Steals1412
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)35 (5)
Field Goals32-7534-67
At-the-Rim FG13-2512-17
Midrange FG13-3818-36
2-Point FG26-6330-53
3-Point FG6-124-14
Free Throws9-1720-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 261 · 26
39.6
19
63%
7
3
2
0
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 22
36.2
24
55%
3
4
6
1
4
4
1
2
5-12
42%
5-11
45%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 195 · 29
31.2
7
58%
2
2
0
0
2
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 38
23.0
4
40%
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 26
15.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 26
29.1
9
45%
0
2
2
1
3
3
0
0
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 23
25.0
6
43%
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
17.1
3
30%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 23
15.0
5
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 295 · 19
8.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
3
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 19
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
31
16
14
3
18
0
6
25
9-17
53%
26-63
41%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.