Final Win Prob. pScore
859%90
77
2341%87
90
ORTG#PossPace
Nets
95.18185.7
MIA logo Heat
108.48378.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)77
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0NJNMarshall 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18NJNArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25NJNArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27NJNMISS Collins 6' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03NJNJefferson 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13NJNSUB: Collins FOR Kidd71
90
Q4 - 2:13MIASUB: James FOR Jones71
90
Q4 - 2:13MIASUB: House FOR Strickland71
90
Q4 - 2:13NJNSUB: Marshall FOR Collins71
90
Q4 - 2:13NJNSUB: Armstrong FOR Kittles71
90
Q4 - 2:13NJNSUB: Johnson FOR Martin71
90
Q4 - 2:13NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)71
90
Q4 - 2:18MIAJackson Driving Layup (9 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Grant Layup71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57NJNMISS Collins 5' Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)71
88
Q4 - 3:09NJNNets Rebound71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:33NJNMISS Martin 5' Jump Shot71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:19MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:20NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 271
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:20NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones S.FOUL (P5.T2)70
86
Q4 - 4:23NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot70
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 4:51NJNMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)70
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:18NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Williams67
84
Q4 - 5:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill67
84
Q4 - 5:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)67
84
Q4 - 5:18NJNSUB: Kittles FOR Harris67
84
Q4 - 5:18NJNSUB: Collins FOR Van Horn67
84
Q4 - 5:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:37NJNMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:58NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 6:00NJNMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:08MIAGill 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 6:32NJNMISS Van Horn 11' Hook Shot67
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 6:50MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 6:58NJNSUB: Martin FOR Jefferson67
80
Q4 - 6:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)67
80
Q4 - 7:08NJNHarris Layup (11 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)67
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 7:12MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)65
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 7:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 7:21NJNMISS Williams Finger Roll65
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning65
80
Q4 - 7:38MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)65
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 7:38NJNKidd S.FOUL (P1.PN)65
79
Q4 - 7:38MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)65
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 7:59NJNVan Horn 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)65
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 8:06MIAGill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)63
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 8:09MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 8:11NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)63
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)63
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 8:2863
75
Q4 - 8:28NJNWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
75
Q4 - 8:40NJNHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)63
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q4 - 8:49MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 9:08NJNMISS Van Horn Free Throw 2 of 260
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 9:08NJNVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIASUB: Strickland FOR Jones59
75
Q4 - 9:08MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T1)59
75
Q4 - 9:13NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot59
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 259
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)59
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 9:36NJNHarris S.FOUL (P2.T4)59
74
Q4 - 9:58NJNJefferson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)59
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 10:04NJNSUB: Van Horn FOR Collins57
74
Q4 - 10:04NJNNets Rebound57
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q4 - 10:05NJNMISS Collins 16' Jump Shot57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q4 - 10:16MIAEllis 7' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)57
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q4 - 10:41NJNMISS Jefferson Layup57
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)57
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 10:54NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Johnson57
71
Q4 - 10:54MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)57
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q4 - 10:54NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T3)57
70
Q4 - 11:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q4 - 11:08NJNMISS Williams 6' Hook Shot57
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 11:28NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 257
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIAHEAT Rebound57
70
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 257
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q4 - 11:30NJNJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T2)57
70
Q4 - 11:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 11:47NJNCollins P.FOUL (P4.T1)57
70
Q4 - 12:0057
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot57
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0NJNNets Rebound57
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 257
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)56
70
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)56
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0NJNJones BLOCK (1 BLK)56
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)56
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 1:18NJNMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 256
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 1:18NJNJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q3 - 1:18NJNHarris Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)55
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMourning T.FOUL (P2.PN)54
67
Q3 - 1:18MIAGill P.FOUL (P3.PN)54
67
Q3 - 1:26MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 1:26NJNSUB: Johnson FOR Kittles54
66
Q3 - 1:26MIAHEAT Rebound54
66
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 254
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 1:26MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant54
66
Q3 - 1:26MIASUB: Jackson FOR Strickland54
66
Q3 - 1:26NJNKittles P.FOUL (P4.PN)54
66
Q3 - 1:43NJNMartin Dunk (16 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)54
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 1:47NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup52
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 2:10NJNKittles 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
9.2%
66
90.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAGrant 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS)50
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 2:55NJNGill STEAL (2 STL)50
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)50
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 3:22NJNCollins Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)50
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 3:32NJNNets Rebound50
61
Q3 - 3:32NJNMISS Collins Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 250
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q3 - 3:32NJNNets Rebound50
61
Q3 - 3:32NJNMISS Collins Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 250
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning50
61
Q3 - 3:32MIAMourning FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.PN)50
61
Q3 - 3:46MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 3:46NJNSUB: Harris FOR Kidd50
60
Q3 - 3:46MIAHEAT Rebound50
60
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 250
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 3:46NJNKittles S.FOUL (P3.PN)50
60
Q3 - 4:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)50
60
Q3 - 4:06NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 4:06NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q3 - 4:06NJNNets Rebound48
60
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical48
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 4:06NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Van Horn48
60
Q3 - 4:06NJNMartin T.FOUL (P2.PN)48
60
Q3 - 4:06MIAGill P.FOUL (P2.PN)48
60
Q3 - 4:11NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot48
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 4:35NJNJones STEAL (3 STL)48
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 4:55MIAHEAT Rebound48
59
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 248
18.3%
59
81.7%
Q3 - 4:55NJNCollins P.FOUL (P3.PN)48
59
Q3 - 4:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 5:01NJNMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)48
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)48
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 5:10NJNGill STEAL (1 STL)48
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 5:19NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)48
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Strickland )47
59
Q3 - 5:31MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)47
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 5:31NJNCollins S.FOUL (P2.T4)47
58
Q3 - 5:31MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)47
21.3%
58
78.7%
Q3 - 5:58NJNMartin Layup (12 PTS)47
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 6:00NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 6:01NJNMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
23.0%
55
77.0%
Q3 - 6:16NJNKittles S.FOUL (P2.T3)45
54
Q3 - 6:21NJNSUB: Collins FOR MacCulloch45
54
Q3 - 6:21NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P4.T2)45
54
Q3 - 6:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot45
27.6%
54
72.4%
Q3 - 6:43NJNMartin P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
54
Q3 - 7:03NJNMacCulloch 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)45
26.5%
54
73.5%
Q3 - 7:12NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
23.7%
54
76.3%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot43
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q3 - 7:35NJNVan Horn Layup (6 PTS)43
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 7:36NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 7:38NJNMISS Martin 7' Hook Shot41
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 7:40NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 7:43NJNMISS Van Horn Layup41
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 7:47NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Grant Layup41
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 8:04NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q3 - 8:04NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T4)39
54
Q3 - 8:11NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)39
54
Q3 - 8:18MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 8:37NJNMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot39
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T3)39
52
Q3 - 9:08MIAGrant Dunk (5 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)39
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q3 - 9:26NJNMISS Kidd 9' Jump Shot39
23.1%
50
76.9%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q3 - 9:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q3 - 9:57NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)39
48
Q3 - 10:15MIAMourning 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)39
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q3 - 10:25NJNMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot39
36.1%
46
63.9%
Q3 - 10:33NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot39
37.4%
46
62.6%
Q3 - 10:50NJNJones STEAL (2 STL)39
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q3 - 11:08MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)39
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q3 - 11:25NJNVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
42.7%
44
57.3%
Q3 - 11:25NJNVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
42.0%
44
58.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P2.T1)37
44
Q3 - 11:27MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)37
39.6%
44
60.4%
Q3 - 11:40NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)37
36.1%
44
63.9%
Q3 - 12:0034
44
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN34
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound34
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot34
29.2%
44
70.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0NJNJefferson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
28.7%
44
71.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Ellis Layup32
24.8%
44
75.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0NJNMartin 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)32
23.4%
44
76.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHEAT Rebound30
43
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 230
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 1:16NJNCollins P.FOUL (P1.PN)30
43
Q2 - 1:23NJNMartin P.FOUL (P1.T4)30
43
Q2 - 1:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot30
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 1:53MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson30
43
Q2 - 1:53NJNJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 1:58NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot30
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 2:20MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 2:23NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 230
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 2:23NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Van Horn30
43
Q2 - 2:23NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.PN)29
43
Q2 - 2:23NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 2:25NJNMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)29
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 2:36NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
43
Q2 - 2:36MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)29
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 2:36MIAHEAT Rebound29
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot29
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 3:00MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 3:01NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 229
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 3:01NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 3:01MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.T4)28
43
Q2 - 3:13MIAStrickland Palming Turnover (P3.T9)28
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 3:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 3:18NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 3:29NJNSUB: Kittles FOR Harris28
43
Q2 - 3:29MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T8)28
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)28
43
Q2 - 3:46NJNHarris 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)26
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 4:04NJNSUB: Collins FOR MacCulloch26
42
Q2 - 4:04NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P3.T3)26
42
Q2 - 4:04MIAMourning Driving Layup (12 PTS)26
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 4:11MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant26
40
Q2 - 4:11NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P2.T2)26
40
Q2 - 4:26MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
22.1%
40
77.9%
Q2 - 4:28NJNMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones26
40
Q2 - 4:40MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
40
Q2 - 4:54MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)26
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 5:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot26
29.5%
38
70.5%
Q2 - 5:29NJNMartin 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 5:43NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 224
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Mourning FOR Ellis24
38
Q2 - 5:44MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 5:44NJNSUB: MacCulloch FOR Williams24
37
Q2 - 5:44NJNHarris P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
37
Q2 - 5:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot24
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 6:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot24
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 6:33NJNMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot24
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)24
37
Q2 - 6:54MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Williams: Tip to Van Horn24
28.6%
37
71.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)24
37
Q2 - 7:06NJNSUB: Martin FOR Jefferson24
37
Q2 - 7:06MIASUB: Strickland FOR House24
37
Q2 - 7:21NJNVan Horn Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)24
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 7:41MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 7:55MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot22
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 8:07MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 8:09NJNMISS Williams 8' Hook Shot22
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 8:17NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot22
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 8:49NJNKidd 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning20
35
Q2 - 8:55NJNSUB: Van Horn FOR Collins20
35
Q2 - 8:55NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Kittles20
35
Q2 - 8:5520
35
Q2 - 8:55MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
35
Q2 - 8:56MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 9:07NJNMourning STEAL (2 STL)20
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 9:49NJNKittles 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 10:07NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 10:27NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)18
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q2 - 10:27NJNNets Rebound18
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 10:27NJNMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)18
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 10:28NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 10:31NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)18
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T1)18
33
Q2 - 11:02MIAEllis Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)18
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
29.8%
31
70.2%
Q2 - 11:11NJNMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot18
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 11:12NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 11:15NJNMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot18
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 11:32MIAEllis 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 11:48NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 11:48NJNWilliams Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 11:50NJNMISS Kittles Reverse Layup16
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 12:0016
29
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN16
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound16
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Jefferson 40' 3PT Jump Shot16
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.7%
29
67.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 7' Running Jump Shot16
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0NJNKittles 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)16
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0NJNNets Rebound14
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0NJNEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)14
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS)14
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot14
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)12
27
Q1 - 0:59.0NJNNets Rebound12
28.5%
27
71.5%
Q1 - 1:00NJNMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)12
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 1:27NJNMISS Martin 6' Hook Shot12
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIASUB: House FOR Strickland12
25
Q1 - 1:36MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant12
25
Q1 - 1:36MIAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
25
Q1 - 1:53NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Gill 23' Jump Shot12
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones12
25
Q1 - 2:09NJNJefferson P.FOUL (P2.T4)12
25
Q1 - 2:27NJNHarris 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 2:47NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot10
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q1 - 2:58NJNJefferson L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)10
25
Q1 - 3:10NJNSUB: Harris FOR Kidd10
25
Q1 - 3:10MIAHEAT Rebound10
29.4%
25
70.6%
Q1 - 3:12NJNMISS Martin 6' Jump Shot10
30.0%
25
70.0%
Q1 - 3:28MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)10
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning10
22
Q1 - 3:46NJNSUB: Collins FOR MacCulloch10
22
Q1 - 3:46NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Van Horn10
22
Q1 - 3:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)10
22
Q1 - 3:50NJNKittles Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)10
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)8
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 4:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q1 - 4:12NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIAGill 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)8
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q1 - 4:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 4:49NJNMISS Martin 8' Hook Shot8
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 5:13MIAGill Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)8
40.8%
20
59.2%
Q1 - 5:19NJNMourning STEAL (1 STL)8
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)8
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 6:02NJNMacCulloch Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)8
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)8
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)8
14
Q1 - 6:35NJNKittles Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)8
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)6
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 7:05NJNMartin Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)6
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 7:26NJNMartin Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)4
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 7:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 7:41NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
12
Q1 - 7:54NJNKittles 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)4
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 8:29MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 8:31NJNMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot2
50.4%
10
49.6%
Q1 - 8:44MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
10
Q1 - 8:58MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
52.0%
10
48.0%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot2
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 9:20NJNKittles 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
53.6%
8
46.4%
Q1 - 9:38MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 9:40NJNMISS Kidd 17' Jump Shot0
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 9:59NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
8
Q1 - 10:02MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 10:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 10:13NJNMISS Van Horn 14' Jump Shot0
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 10:32NJNKittles S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:35NJNJones STEAL (1 STL)0
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:54NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 11:15MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 11:32NJNMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 11:50MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Van Horn: Tip to Strickland0
59.4%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
13
25
52%
MIA
12
18
67%
Midrange
NJN
13
33
39%
MIA
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
MIA
3
4.5
5
60%
90%
Free Throws
NJN
16
24
67%
MIA
19
28
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin1956%9.5 / 17
K. Kittles1458%7.0 / 12
L. Harris1161%5.5 / 9
K. Van Horn935%4.5 / 13
R. Jefferson750%3.5 / 7
J. Kidd643%3.0 / 7
T. MacCulloch2100%1.0 / 1
J. Collins225%1.0 / 4
A. Williams214%1.0 / 7
B. Armstrong2100%1.0 / 1
D. Marshall2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2377%11.5 / 15
E. Jones2059%10.0 / 17
R. Strickland1150%5.5 / 11
K. Gill1045%5.0 / 11
B. Grant945%4.5 / 10
J. Jackson975%4.5 / 6
L. Ellis857%4.0 / 7
E. House0-0.0 / 1
M. James0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
69
+15
-12
84
MIA
67
+14
-16
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.8
96.1
NJN 95.1
MIA 108.4 +13.4
Pace
94.8
89.7
NJN 85.7 +7.0
MIA 78.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.7
NJN 16.8 −1.5
MIA 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
46.3%
NJN 43.0%
MIA 54.6% +11.6%
TO %
14.9%
15.5%
NJN 13.7% −4.3%
MIA 18.0%
ORB %
29.3%
26.7%
NJN 22.0%
MIA 41.9% +19.9%
FTrt
28.0
26.8
NJN 33.8
MIA 43.1 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
59.4%
NJN 51.7% +4.6%
MIA 47.1%
STL %
9.2%
7.4%
NJN 13.6% +5.2%
MIA 8.4%
BLK %
8.9%
8.7%
NJN 6.7%
MIA 10.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
NJN 45.3%
MIA 54.9% +9.6%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.6%
NJN 52.0%
MIA 66.7% +14.7%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.0%
NJN 39.4%
MIA 45.2% +5.8%
3P %
33.8%
34.7%
NJN 23.1%
MIA 60.0% +36.9%
FT %
73.5%
72.4%
NJN 66.7%
MIA 67.9% +1.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
28.1%
NJN 35.2% +7.5%
MIA 27.7%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
57.8%
NJN 46.5% −18.1%
MIA 64.6%
3P Att. %
17.5%
14.1%
NJN 18.3% +10.6%
MIA 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions8183
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points7790
Rebounds2745
Assists1516
Steals117
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals29-7134-65
At-the-Rim FG13-2512-18
Midrange FG13-3319-42
2-Point FG26-5831-60
3-Point FG3-133-5
Free Throws16-2419-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
35.9
19
56%
3
1
0
0
3
2
3
0
6-8
75%
5-12
42%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
34.7
6
43%
5
9
1
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 185 · 28
32.2
14
58%
3
1
1
0
4
4
0
3
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 26
27.4
9
35%
2
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
15.6
2
100%
3
0
1
2
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 22
25.5
7
50%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 23
24.5
2
25%
3
0
1
2
2
4
0
3
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 31
22.1
11
61%
0
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 30
13.0
2
14%
5
1
2
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
4.8
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 22
2.2
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 30
2.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
45%
27
15
11
4
12
0
9
18
16-24
67%
26-58
45%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.