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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 1, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks33%9390
23Wizards67%9997
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
44.7
34.8
25
54%
8
4
0
1
0
4
3
5
3-5
60%
11-21
7-15
52%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
37.2
32.3
17
57%
2
1
1
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
3-8
38%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
37.1
27.1
15
76%
13
2
0
1
0
1
4
9
1-2
50%
7-9
4-9
78%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.6
17.8
24.0
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.3
10.7
24.8
2
33%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.7
30.2
15.5
11
51%
7
0
1
1
4
1
2
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.0
26.9
27.8
12
102%
5
5
0
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
21.2
19.1
5
32%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.4
14.2
21.7
3
40%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
8.8
0
1-3
42%
Leon Smith
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
7.0
0
1-1
43%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
6.4
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.0
37.9
37.8
28
49%
4
8
2
2
2
1
0
4
8-10
80%
10-23
11-25
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
34.4
27.9
14
70%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.3
29.4
30.4
7
32%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
1-5
20%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 31.6
25.9
30.1
8
37%
10
1
1
1
0
0
6
4
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 22.2
23.6
19.5
5
87%
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 24.0
24.5
19.9
10
36%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
24.1
7.2
9
59%
10
0
2
0
2
0
2
8
3-6
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrone Nesby
F-G · 6'6" 245 · 26.0
21.6
16.4
12
104%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-4
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
18.6
17.2
4
50%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 31.7
33.4
1
3-6
46%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 26.0
22.4
0
3-5
53%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 19.9
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.