Final Win Prob. pScore
855%89
83
2545%87
88
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
89.29394.9
MIA logo Heat
97.89088.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
88
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
88
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 0:07.0SASSUB: Jackson FOR Rose83
88
Q4 - 0:07.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)83
88
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)83
87
Q4 - 0:07.0SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan83
86
Q4 - 0:07.0SASDuncan P.FOUL (P6.PN)83
86
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
86
Q4 - 0:11.0SASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
86
Q4 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
86
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
86
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 0:42.0SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson82
86
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)82
86
Q4 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning81
86
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P6.PN)81
86
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)81
86
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)81
86
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)81
86
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan P.FOUL (P5.T3)81
84
Q4 - 1:19MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
84
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot81
84
Q4 - 1:38MIAJackson P.FOUL (P3.T4)81
84
Q4 - 1:39MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)81
84
Q4 - 1:59SASPorter Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)81
84
Q4 - 2:06SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)81
84
Q4 - 2:07MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)81
84
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
81
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Porter 12' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 2:49SASSpurs Rebound81
81
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Daniels Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 281
81
Q4 - 2:49SASSpurs Rebound81
81
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Daniels Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 281
81
Q4 - 2:4981
81
Q4 - 2:49MIAGrant FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P5.T3)81
81
Q4 - 2:53SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
81
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup81
81
Q4 - 3:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
81
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 3:24SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
81
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 3:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
81
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 4:01SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
81
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 4:18MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
81
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
81
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 281
81
Q4 - 4:38MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
81
Q4 - 4:38SASSUB: Smith FOR Jackson81
80
Q4 - 4:38SASDaniels P.FOUL (P1.T2)81
80
Q4 - 4:54SASJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T18)81
80
Q4 - 4:54SASJackson OFF.Foul (P3)81
80
Q4 - 5:08MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Mourning 4 AST)81
80
Q4 - 5:33SASRobinson 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
78
Q4 - 5:47MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound79
77
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 279
77
Q4 - 5:47SASJackson S.FOUL (P2.T1)79
77
Q4 - 6:00SASDuncan Violation:Kicked Ball79
77
Q4 - 6:13SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T17)79
77
Q4 - 6:13SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P4)79
77
Q4 - 6:16MIASUB: Jones FOR House79
77
Q4 - 6:16MIAMourning P.FOUL (P5.T2)79
77
Q4 - 6:29MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)79
77
Q4 - 6:41MIASUB: Grant FOR Gatling79
75
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)79
75
Q4 - 6:42SASJackson Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)79
75
Q4 - 6:52SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
75
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot77
75
Q4 - 7:13SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)77
75
Q4 - 7:29MIAGatling P.FOUL (P4.T1)75
75
Q4 - 7:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
75
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot75
75
Q4 - 7:53SASJackson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
75
Q4 - 8:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
75
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot73
75
Q4 - 8:28MIASUB: Strickland FOR Jones73
75
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T16)73
75
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P3)73
75
Q4 - 8:41MIAGatling Layup (4 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)73
75
Q4 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
73
Q4 - 8:52SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot73
73
Q4 - 9:08SASSpurs Rebound73
73
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
73
Q4 - 9:24SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)73
73
Q4 - 9:30SASSUB: Robinson FOR Rose71
73
Q4 - 9:43MIAJackson 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
73
Q4 - 9:58MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania71
71
Q4 - 9:58SASPorter Foul Turnover (P3.T15)71
71
Q4 - 9:58SASPorter OFF.Foul (P3)71
71
Q4 - 10:17MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)71
71
Q4 - 10:37MIASUB: Gatling FOR Ellis71
68
Q4 - 10:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)71
68
Q4 - 10:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
68
Q4 - 10:42SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot71
68
Q4 - 11:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)71
68
Q4 - 11:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
65
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot71
65
Q4 - 11:31SASRose 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)71
65
Q4 - 11:48MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T8)69
65
Q4 - 11:48MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P1)69
65
Q4 - 12:0069
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
65
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 40' 3PT Jump Shot69
65
Q3 - 0:02.0SASStepania STEAL (1 STL)69
65
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)69
65
Q3 - 0:39.0SASPorter Foul Turnover (P2.T13)69
65
Q3 - 0:39.0SASPorter OFF.Foul (P2)69
65
Q3 - 0:46.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
65
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot69
65
Q3 - 1:07SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
65
Q3 - 1:07SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 1:07MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant67
65
Q3 - 1:07SASSUB: Jackson FOR Smith67
65
Q3 - 1:07MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)67
65
Q3 - 1:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
65
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 1:33SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
65
Q3 - 1:33SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
65
Q3 - 1:33MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.PN)65
65
Q3 - 1:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
65
Q3 - 1:34SASMISS Rose 6' Hook Shot65
65
Q3 - 1:35SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
65
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 1:49MIAGrant Tip Shot (6 PTS)65
65
Q3 - 1:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
63
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Ellis 5' Hook Shot65
63
Q3 - 2:12SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)65
63
Q3 - 2:26SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker63
63
Q3 - 2:26SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
63
Q3 - 2:26MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)63
63
Q3 - 2:43SASRose Dunk (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)63
63
Q3 - 2:50SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
63
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot61
63
Q3 - 3:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
63
Q3 - 3:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 261
63
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: House FOR Strickland61
63
Q3 - 3:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)61
63
Q3 - 3:08MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
63
Q3 - 3:08SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
63
Q3 - 3:11SASMISS Rose 9' Running Hook Shot60
63
Q3 - 3:20SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
63
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Strickland 11' Jump Shot60
63
Q3 - 3:37SASRose Dunk (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)60
63
Q3 - 3:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)58
63
Q3 - 4:05MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
60
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Parker Driving Layup58
60
Q3 - 4:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
60
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 4:35MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
60
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 4:49MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill58
60
Q3 - 4:49MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T4)58
60
Q3 - 5:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
60
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 5:08SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)58
60
Q3 - 5:23MIAJones 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)58
60
Q3 - 5:36MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning58
58
Q3 - 5:36SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
58
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Daniels FOR Jackson57
58
Q3 - 5:36SASSpurs Rebound57
58
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 257
58
Q3 - 5:36MIAGill S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
58
Q3 - 5:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
58
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 5:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
58
Q3 - 5:52SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 5:58MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)57
58
Q3 - 6:00SASJones STEAL (1 STL)57
58
Q3 - 6:12MIAMourning P.FOUL (P4.T2)57
58
Q3 - 6:20SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
58
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 6:37SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson57
58
Q3 - 6:37MIAHEAT Rebound57
58
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 6:58MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 7:15SASRobinson Driving Layup (5 PTS)57
56
Q3 - 7:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 7:27SASRobinson S.FOUL (P4.T2)55
55
Q3 - 7:27MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)55
55
Q3 - 7:38SASJackson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)55
53
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
53
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 7:57SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T1)53
51
Q3 - 8:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
51
Q3 - 8:15SASJackson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)53
51
Q3 - 8:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
51
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS)50
51
Q3 - 9:10MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T4)48
51
Q3 - 9:10MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)48
51
Q3 - 9:23SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)48
51
Q3 - 9:27MIAGill P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
51
Q3 - 9:35SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
51
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot48
51
Q3 - 10:06SASParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
51
Q3 - 10:22MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)46
51
Q3 - 10:28SASStrickland STEAL (2 STL)46
51
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
51
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot46
51
Q3 - 10:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)46
51
Q3 - 11:00SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)46
51
Q3 - 11:02SASSpurs Rebound44
51
Q3 - 11:05SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
51
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 11:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
51
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 11:43SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
51
Q3 - 12:0042
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
51
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot42
51
Q2 - 0:25.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
51
Q2 - 0:25.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
51
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)40
51
Q2 - 0:25.0SASSpurs Rebound40
51
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Gill 11' Jump Shot40
51
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Gill Reverse Layup40
51
Q2 - 0:38.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
51
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
51
Q2 - 0:38.0SASRose Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
51
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAStrickland 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
51
Q2 - 1:11SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
49
Q2 - 1:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
49
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot35
49
Q2 - 1:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
49
Q2 - 1:52SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 235
49
Q2 - 1:52MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning35
49
Q2 - 1:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
49
Q2 - 1:52MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.PN)34
49
Q2 - 2:09MIAEllis Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)34
49
Q2 - 2:14SASMourning STEAL (1 STL)34
47
Q2 - 2:29MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
47
Q2 - 2:52SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 2:52MIAGill S.FOUL (P1.T4)33
45
Q2 - 2:52SASSmith Reverse Layup (6 PTS)33
45
Q2 - 3:08SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
45
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot31
45
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant31
45
Q2 - 3:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
45
Q2 - 3:30SASRose 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)31
45
Q2 - 3:43SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot29
45
Q2 - 4:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
45
Q2 - 4:08SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 129
45
Q2 - 4:08MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning29
45
Q2 - 4:08SASSUB: Rose FOR Bryant29
45
Q2 - 4:08MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson29
45
Q2 - 4:08SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter29
45
Q2 - 4:08MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.T3)29
45
Q2 - 4:08SASDaniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
45
Q2 - 4:12SASBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
45
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot27
45
Q2 - 4:37MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
45
Q2 - 4:39SASMISS Bryant Layup27
45
Q2 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
45
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot27
45
Q2 - 5:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
45
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot27
45
Q2 - 5:20SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
45
Q2 - 5:27MIAStrickland 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)27
45
Q2 - 5:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
43
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot27
43
Q2 - 5:55MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)27
43
Q2 - 6:12SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
40
Q2 - 6:24MIASUB: Mourning FOR Gatling25
40
Q2 - 6:24MIA25
40
Q2 - 6:29SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
40
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot25
40
Q2 - 6:47SASBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
40
Q2 - 6:47MIASUB: Strickland FOR House24
40
Q2 - 6:47SASSUB: Smith FOR Jackson24
40
Q2 - 6:47SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose24
40
Q2 - 6:47SASBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
40
Q2 - 6:47MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis23
40
Q2 - 6:47MIAGatling S.FOUL (P2.T2)23
40
Q2 - 6:49SASBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
40
Q2 - 6:51SASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
40
Q2 - 6:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
40
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot23
40
Q2 - 7:11SASJackson Foul Turnover (P3.T7)23
40
Q2 - 7:11SASJackson OFF.Foul (P1)23
40
Q2 - 7:21SASSpurs Rebound23
40
Q2 - 7:22MIAJump Ball Gatling vs. Bryant: Tip to23
40
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot23
40
Q2 - 7:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
40
Q2 - 7:29SASJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)23
40
Q2 - 7:49MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)23
40
Q2 - 8:09SASDaniels Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)23
38
Q2 - 8:29MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)21
38
Q2 - 8:45SASRose 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
36
Q2 - 8:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning19
36
Q2 - 8:5519
36
Q2 - 8:55MIAGatling P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
36
Q2 - 9:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
36
Q2 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound19
35
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 219
35
Q2 - 9:05SASSUB: Bryant FOR Duncan19
35
Q2 - 9:05MIASUB: Gatling FOR Jones19
35
Q2 - 9:05SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T2)19
35
Q2 - 9:29SASDuncan Dunk (7 PTS)19
35
Q2 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
35
Q2 - 9:34SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot17
35
Q2 - 9:59MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)17
35
Q2 - 10:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33
Q2 - 10:04SASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)17
33
Q2 - 10:07SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot17
33
Q2 - 10:15SASJackson STEAL (1 STL)17
33
Q2 - 10:33MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)17
33
Q2 - 11:01SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)17
31
Q2 - 11:08SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot14
31
Q2 - 11:30SASPorter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)14
31
Q2 - 11:30SASPorter OFF.Foul (P1)14
31
Q2 - 11:35MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
31
Q2 - 11:35MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
30
Q2 - 11:35SASRose S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
29
Q2 - 11:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
29
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Ellis Layup14
29
Q2 - 11:43MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29
Q2 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot14
29
Q2 - 12:0014
29
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS14
29
Q1 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot14
29
Q1 - 0:09.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
29
Q1 - 0:09.0SASSpurs Rebound13
29
Q1 - 0:09.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 213
29
Q1 - 0:09.0SASSUB: Jackson FOR Smith13
29
Q1 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant13
29
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
29
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)13
29
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot13
27
Q1 - 1:01MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)13
27
Q1 - 1:07MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25
Q1 - 1:09SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot13
25
Q1 - 1:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
25
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot13
25
Q1 - 1:34SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker13
25
Q1 - 1:34SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
25
Q1 - 1:56MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)13
25
Q1 - 2:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
23
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot13
23
Q1 - 2:15MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
23
Q1 - 2:24MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill13
23
Q1 - 2:24MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
23
Q1 - 2:38MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
23
Q1 - 2:38MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
22
Q1 - 2:38MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning13
21
Q1 - 2:38SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
21
Q1 - 2:51SASRose Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)13
21
Q1 - 2:52SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
21
Q1 - 2:55SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot11
21
Q1 - 3:14MIAGill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
21
Q1 - 3:15MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
18
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Jones Dunk11
18
Q1 - 3:30SASDuncan Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
18
Q1 - 3:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
18
Q1 - 3:35SASMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot9
18
Q1 - 3:45MIAGrant Illegal Pick Turnover (P1.T2)9
18
Q1 - 3:50SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson9
18
Q1 - 3:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
18
Q1 - 3:50SASRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T2)9
18
Q1 - 4:12SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)9
18
Q1 - 4:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
18
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot7
18
Q1 - 4:42MIAJones Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
18
Q1 - 4:52SASSmith Reverse Layup (4 PTS)7
16
Q1 - 4:54SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
16
Q1 - 4:56SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot5
16
Q1 - 5:11MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)5
16
Q1 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound5
16
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS Mourning 21' Jump Shot5
16
Q1 - 5:35MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
16
Q1 - 5:37SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
16
Q1 - 5:55SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
16
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
16
Q1 - 6:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
16
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot5
16
Q1 - 6:33SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
16
Q1 - 6:33MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
16
Q1 - 6:33SASRobinson Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
16
Q1 - 6:47MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)2
16
Q1 - 6:58SASSUB: Daniels FOR Jackson2
14
Q1 - 6:58SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)2
14
Q1 - 6:58SASRobinson OFF.Foul (P2)2
14
Q1 - 7:11MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)2
14
Q1 - 7:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
12
Q1 - 7:26SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot2
12
Q1 - 7:33SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
12
Q1 - 7:39MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation2
12
Q1 - 7:40MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
12
Q1 - 7:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot2
10
Q1 - 8:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
10
Q1 - 8:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
9
Q1 - 8:09SASRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 8:18MIAHEAT Rebound2
8
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup2
8
Q1 - 8:30MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8
Q1 - 8:32SASMISS Robinson 6' Hook Shot2
8
Q1 - 8:53MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
8
Q1 - 9:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:02SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:19MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:33SASSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 9:43SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
4
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:10SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:28SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:51SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
4
Q1 - 11:01MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Strickland Running Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:17SASStrickland STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:43MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Robinson: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
19
79%
MIA
10
18
56%
Midrange
SAS
15
42
36%
MIA
18
52
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
17
24
71%
MIA
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2956%14.5 / 26
M. Rose2059%10.0 / 17
S. Jackson1275%6.0 / 8
S. Smith735%3.5 / 10
D. Robinson750%3.5 / 7
A. Daniels433%2.0 / 6
T. Parker250%1.0 / 2
M. Bryant233%1.0 / 3
T. Porter0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2450%12.0 / 24
R. Strickland1761%8.5 / 14
A. Mourning1341%6.5 / 16
B. Grant1071%5.0 / 7
J. Jackson964%4.5 / 7
L. Ellis630%3.0 / 10
K. Gill542%2.5 / 6
C. Gatling467%2.0 / 3
E. House0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+10
-19
84
MIA
82
+12
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
96.1
SAS 89.2
MIA 97.8 +8.5
Pace
92.4
89.7
SAS 94.9 +6.7
MIA 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.7
SAS 15.2 −1.2
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
46.3%
SAS 47.1% +2.0%
MIA 45.1%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
SAS 19.1%
MIA 9.1% −10.0%
ORB %
27.2%
26.7%
SAS 23.7% +2.8%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
35.3
26.8
SAS 34.3 +13.6
MIA 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
59.4%
SAS 40.6%
MIA 67.6% +27.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
SAS 3.2%
MIA 7.8% +4.6%
BLK %
9.5%
8.7%
SAS 2.9%
MIA 3.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
47.7%
SAS 49.4% +3.1%
MIA 46.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
60.6%
SAS 78.9% +23.3%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
SAS 35.7% +1.1%
MIA 34.6%
3P %
36.2%
34.7%
SAS 22.2%
MIA 50.0% +27.8%
FT %
74.2%
72.4%
SAS 70.8%
MIA 82.4% +11.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
28.1%
SAS 27.1% +5.2%
MIA 22.0%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
57.8%
SAS 60.0% −3.4%
MIA 63.4%
3P Att. %
19.0%
14.1%
SAS 12.9%
MIA 14.6% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points8388
Rebounds4338
Assists1323
Steals37
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals32-7034-82
At-the-Rim FG15-1910-18
Midrange FG15-4218-52
2-Point FG30-6128-70
3-Point FG2-96-12
Free Throws17-2414-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
45.6
29
56%
12
1
0
2
2
6
3
9
7-10
70%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 221 · 33
34.1
7
35%
6
2
0
0
3
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'8" 220 · 24
25.4
12
75%
0
0
1
0
4
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
24.1
2
50%
2
5
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 250 · 36
22.5
7
50%
7
2
0
0
1
4
0
7
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
36.6
4
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
23.9
0
0%
3
1
1
0
4
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
22.9
20
59%
9
1
0
0
2
1
3
6
6-7
86%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
5.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
C · 6'11" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
49%
43
13
3
2
19
0
9
34
17-24
71%
30-61
49%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.