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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 1, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nuggets15%9396
2Kings85%106132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.1
36.3
23.7
13
50%
7
2
1
1
0
0
5
2
0-2
0%
5-10
2-5
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
30.3
33.1
11
44%
6
5
0
1
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
5-12
3-8
42%
45%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
30.3
36.2
16
36%
11
1
1
1
1
1
5
6
2-3
67%
4-16
5-11
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.2
24.8
36.8
5
51%
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
5-13
50%
42%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.8
18.6
23.6
8
37%
3
0
0
1
0
4
3
0
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
41%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
28.7
8.9
10
46%
7
1
0
0
2
3
4
3
0-2
0%
5-8
1-2
63%
39%
0-2
0%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.9
23.4
17.4
12
75%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-6
75%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.2
20.1
28.2
8
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27.2
13.5
22.7
9
42%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-9
3-8
33%
40%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.8
8.5
1.8
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
37%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.7
5.6
23.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-8
0%
42%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.9
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
3.0
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
32.8
35.4
9
55%
8
6
4
2
0
2
2
6
4-5
80%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.9
31.8
17.6
29
75%
12
1
1
1
3
3
3
9
8-10
80%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
31.8
36.3
21
72%
1
6
3
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
49%
3-4
75%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 24.6
29.1
39.6
20
78%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
7-9
6-12
78%
51%
1-2
50%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 34.0
23.2
28.4
10
65%
6
2
0
1
3
1
3
3
2-6
33%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.9
21.4
18.9
15
51%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
2-6
33%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 27.0
20.7
27.8
4
33%
10
0
1
1
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
16.0
25.5
7
58%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 19.5
12.9
5.6
11
72%
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
5-6
83%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.1
10.1
3.3
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Price
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.1
10.1
1.2
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 24.4
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.