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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 14, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets47%95100
29Grizzlies53%9685
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.9
39.2
27.8
16
56%
2
11
1
1
0
5
1
1
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
37.8
36.9
23
53%
9
1
0
1
5
0
3
6
2-2
100%
3-13
6-12
23%
48%
5-8
63%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
25.8
31.1
8
68%
2
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.1
19.9
22.0
2
12%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-3
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.8
17.9
23.4
8
84%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
28.6
18.4
16
77%
5
1
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
4-5
80%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
24.9
4.3
13
50%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
1-1
45%
45%
1-2
50%
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27.3
19.7
12.5
12
100%
3
0
4
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-6
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.2
9.4
25.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.8
8.8
1.9
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
7.9
5.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.2
27.7
1
4-9
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.9
44.5
34.3
10
56%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.4
43.3
42.7
13
42%
8
4
1
2
3
1
2
6
1-6
17%
6-11
5-11
55%
45%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
35.8
41.4
19
60%
11
5
0
1
1
4
6
5
7-9
78%
6-12
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.6
35.6
7.6
8
32%
5
7
3
0
1
2
0
5
2-3
67%
3-7
1-2
43%
43%
0-4
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
11.9
29.2
6
60%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
22.5
25.8
20
64%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
4-6
67%
8-13
4-10
62%
46%
0-0
-
Elliot Perry
G · 6'0" · 32.9
21.7
1.1
7
90%
3
3
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.2
16.2
9.2
2
20%
4
0
0
0
2
4
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.9
8.5
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
35.1
1
5-10
48%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.3
27.5
2
4-8
45%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.2
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.