Final Win Prob. pScore
2030%90
90
970%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
91.89887.2
MIL logo Bucks
91.79688.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIL90
88
OT1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound90
88
OT1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot90
88
OT1 - 0:03.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)90
88
OT1 - 0:03.0MIAGill P.FOUL (P2.T3)90
88
OT1 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Grant90
88
OT1 - 0:07.0MILSUB: Redd FOR Johnson90
88
OT1 - 0:07.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)90
88
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)90
88
OT1 - 0:13.0MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)88
88
OT1 - 0:18.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
88
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Jackson Layup88
88
OT1 - 0:36.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
88
OT1 - 0:38.0MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
88
OT1 - 0:52.0MIAThomas STEAL (2 STL)88
88
OT1 - 0:54.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
88
OT1 - 0:57.0MILMISS Mason Layup88
88
OT1 - 1:18MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)88
88
OT1 - 1:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 2)86
88
OT1 - 1:27MIAHeat Rebound86
88
OT1 - 1:29MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot86
88
OT1 - 1:39MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
88
OT1 - 1:41MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot86
88
OT1 - 2:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
88
OT1 - 2:04MILMISS Thomas Layup86
88
OT1 - 2:20MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)86
88
OT1 - 2:22MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
88
OT1 - 2:38MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)86
88
OT1 - 2:55MIAMourning P.FOUL (P4.T2)86
85
OT1 - 2:55MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)86
85
OT1 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
85
OT1 - 3:10MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot86
85
OT1 - 3:29MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)86
85
OT1 - 3:51MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
85
OT1 - 3:51MILBUCKS Rebound84
84
OT1 - 3:51MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 284
84
OT1 - 3:51MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis84
84
OT1 - 3:51MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.T1)84
84
OT1 - 4:03MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)84
84
OT1 - 4:23MILAllen 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
84
OT1 - 4:37MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
82
OT1 - 4:38MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot82
82
OT1 - 5:00MILJump Ball Johnson vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland82
82
OT1 - 5:0082
82
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL82
82
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
82
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
82
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSUB: Ham FOR Johnson79
82
Q4 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Mourning79
82
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)79
82
Q4 - 0:11.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
82
Q4 - 0:11.0MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
81
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.PN)79
80
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)79
80
Q4 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Strickland FOR Grant79
80
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)79
80
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
80
Q4 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Strickland79
79
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
78
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)79
78
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
78
Q4 - 0:51.0MILJohnson S.FOUL (P3.PN)77
78
Q4 - 1:11MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)77
78
Q4 - 1:11MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)77
77
Q4 - 1:11MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.PN)77
76
Q4 - 1:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
76
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 1:42MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)77
76
Q4 - 1:51MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)77
76
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Jackson Layup77
76
Q4 - 2:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
76
Q4 - 2:15MILMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 2:33MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)77
76
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 2:51MILJohnson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
76
Q4 - 2:54MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
74
Q4 - 2:56MILMISS Johnson Layup77
74
Q4 - 2:58MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
74
Q4 - 3:01MILMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot77
74
Q4 - 3:10MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)77
74
Q4 - 3:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
74
Q4 - 3:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
74
Q4 - 3:24MILThomas P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
74
Q4 - 3:30MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill75
74
Q4 - 3:30MILRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T4)75
74
Q4 - 3:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
74
Q4 - 3:49MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 275
74
Q4 - 3:49MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
74
Q4 - 3:49MIAEllis S.FOUL (P4.T3)75
73
Q4 - 4:04MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
73
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot75
73
Q4 - 4:14MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones75
73
Q4 - 4:14MILSUB: Allen FOR Redd75
73
Q4 - 4:14MILSUB: Mason FOR Ham75
73
Q4 - 4:14MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
73
Q4 - 4:21MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
73
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot75
73
Q4 - 4:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
73
Q4 - 4:42MILMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot75
73
Q4 - 5:01MIAMourning Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)75
73
Q4 - 5:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
73
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot73
73
Q4 - 5:35MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)73
73
Q4 - 5:54MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
73
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot73
73
Q4 - 6:09MIAJones Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)73
73
Q4 - 6:09MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )72
73
Q4 - 6:17MIASUB: Strickland FOR House72
73
Q4 - 6:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)72
73
Q4 - 6:27MILHam Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)72
73
Q4 - 6:37MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)72
71
Q4 - 6:58MILThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T12)72
71
Q4 - 6:58MILThomas OFF.Foul (P3)72
71
Q4 - 7:14MIAJackson Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)72
71
Q4 - 7:18MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)70
71
Q4 - 7:27MILSUB: Robinson FOR Allen70
71
Q4 - 7:27MILSUB: Johnson FOR Mason70
71
Q4 - 7:27MILBUCKS Rebound70
71
Q4 - 7:28MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 7:35MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
71
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 7:45MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
71
Q4 - 7:48MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
71
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 8:08MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)70
71
Q4 - 8:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)70
69
Q4 - 8:40MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
69
Q4 - 8:42MILMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot67
69
Q4 - 8:55MIAMason STEAL (2 STL)67
69
Q4 - 9:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
69
Q4 - 9:04MILMISS Mason 3' Layup67
69
Q4 - 9:11MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)67
69
Q4 - 9:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
69
Q4 - 9:28MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot67
69
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
69
Q4 - 9:47MIAHeat Rebound66
69
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 266
69
Q4 - 9:47MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T3)66
69
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
69
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot66
69
Q4 - 9:59MILThomas P.FOUL (P2.T2)66
69
Q4 - 10:10MIASUB: Mourning FOR Strickland66
69
Q4 - 10:10MIASUB: Jones FOR Grant66
69
Q4 - 10:10MIASUB: House FOR Gill66
69
Q4 - 10:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)66
69
Q4 - 10:11MILAllen 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)66
69
Q4 - 10:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
66
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Ellis 7' Jump Shot66
66
Q4 - 10:37MILHam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)66
66
Q4 - 10:51MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)66
64
Q4 - 11:13MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
64
Q4 - 11:13MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
63
Q4 - 11:13MIAGill S.FOUL (P1.T2)66
62
Q4 - 11:16MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T1)66
62
Q4 - 11:30MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
62
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot66
62
Q4 - 11:44MILRedd P.FOUL (P2.T1)66
62
Q4 - 12:0066
62
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
62
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound66
62
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Thomas 72' 3PT Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 0:02.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
62
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
62
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 0:40.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones66
62
Q3 - 0:40.0MIASUB: Jackson FOR Mourning66
62
Q3 - 0:40.0MILSUB: Redd FOR Johnson66
62
Q3 - 0:40.0MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T9)66
62
Q3 - 0:40.0MILThomas OFF.Foul (P1)66
62
Q3 - 0:44.0MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
62
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot66
62
Q3 - 1:08MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)66
62
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
59
Q3 - 1:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
59
Q3 - 1:35MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot64
59
Q3 - 1:53MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)64
59
Q3 - 2:09MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T8)62
59
Q3 - 2:12MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
59
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot62
59
Q3 - 2:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
59
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Allen 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
59
Q3 - 2:43MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P3.T4)62
59
Q3 - 2:55MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)62
59
Q3 - 3:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
59
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 3:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
59
Q3 - 3:27MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 260
59
Q3 - 3:27MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 3:27MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T3)60
58
Q3 - 3:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
58
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot60
58
Q3 - 3:51MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
58
Q3 - 4:00MILMason Layup (4 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 4:01MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
56
Q3 - 4:03MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 4:19MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
56
Q3 - 4:21MILMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 4:27MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
56
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 4:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
56
Q3 - 4:41MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 4:47MILSUB: Thomas FOR Alston60
56
Q3 - 4:47MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
56
Q3 - 4:54MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)60
56
Q3 - 5:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
56
Q3 - 5:06MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
56
Q3 - 5:06MILMISS Robinson Tip Shot60
56
Q3 - 5:07MILMISS Johnson Layup60
56
Q3 - 5:26MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
56
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 260
56
Q3 - 5:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 5:27MILAlston P.FOUL (P2.PN)59
56
Q3 - 5:35MILAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)59
56
Q3 - 5:51MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
53
Q3 - 5:55MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)59
53
Q3 - 6:11MILAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 10 AST)59
53
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
50
Q3 - 6:30MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
50
Q3 - 6:30MILAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)58
50
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)58
50
Q3 - 6:40MILRobinson P.FOUL (P1.T4)56
50
Q3 - 6:41MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
50
Q3 - 6:43MILMISS Alston Layup56
50
Q3 - 6:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
50
Q3 - 6:57MIASUB: Strickland FOR House55
50
Q3 - 6:57MIAHeat Rebound55
50
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 255
50
Q3 - 6:57MILJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
50
Q3 - 7:20MILAllen 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
50
Q3 - 7:46MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
48
Q3 - 7:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
48
Q3 - 7:53MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
48
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Johnson Tip Shot53
48
Q3 - 7:54MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot53
48
Q3 - 8:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
48
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot53
48
Q3 - 8:18MILSUB: Johnson FOR Przybilla53
48
Q3 - 8:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
48
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot53
48
Q3 - 8:49MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
48
Q3 - 9:09MILAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
48
Q3 - 9:24MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
48
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:38MILPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)51
48
Q3 - 9:38MIAHeat Rebound51
48
Q3 - 9:39MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:54MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
48
Q3 - 9:54MIASUB: House FOR Strickland50
48
Q3 - 9:54MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
48
Q3 - 9:54MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P3.T1)49
48
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
48
Q3 - 10:07MILMISS Mason Layup49
48
Q3 - 10:14MIARobinson STEAL (2 STL)49
48
Q3 - 10:29MILAllen 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
48
Q3 - 10:47MIAStrickland L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)49
46
Q3 - 10:47MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
46
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot49
46
Q3 - 11:06MIAHeat Rebound49
46
Q3 - 11:08MILMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot49
46
Q3 - 11:31MIAJones Layup (4 PTS)49
46
Q3 - 11:47MILAllen 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
46
Q3 - 12:0047
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound47
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Allen 70' 3PT Jump Shot47
44
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
44
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
44
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Strickland Layup45
44
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound45
44
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
44
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Jackson Layup45
44
Q2 - 0:41.0MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T6)45
44
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T3)45
44
Q2 - 0:56.0MILSUB: Thomas FOR Johnson45
44
Q2 - 1:00MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
44
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 1:17MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)45
44
Q2 - 1:35MIAGrant 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
44
Q2 - 1:47MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)43
44
Q2 - 2:10MIAJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)43
44
Q2 - 2:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
44
Q2 - 2:26MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
44
Q2 - 2:42MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 2:42MILJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4)40
44
Q2 - 2:42MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
44
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)38
44
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound38
44
Q2 - 2:57MILMISS Mason Layup38
44
Q2 - 3:16MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
44
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot38
44
Q2 - 3:36MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)38
44
Q2 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 3:52MILSUB: Mason FOR Ham36
42
Q2 - 3:52MILSUB: Robinson FOR Thomas36
42
Q2 - 3:52MIASUB: Strickland FOR House36
42
Q2 - 3:52MILAlston S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
42
Q2 - 4:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
42
Q2 - 4:03MILMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot36
42
Q2 - 4:20MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)36
42
Q2 - 4:30MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
42
Q2 - 4:31MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 4:40MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
42
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 4:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
42
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 5:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42
Q2 - 5:11MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 5:16MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
42
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 5:34MILHam Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
42
Q2 - 5:34MILHam OFF.Foul (P2)34
42
Q2 - 5:44MILSUB: Allen FOR Redd34
42
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning34
42
Q2 - 5:44MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
42
Q2 - 5:53MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)34
42
Q2 - 6:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
42
Q2 - 6:12MILMISS Thomas Layup31
42
Q2 - 6:17MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
42
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS House 9' Jump Shot31
42
Q2 - 6:32MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
42
Q2 - 6:35MILMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot31
42
Q2 - 6:48MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)31
42
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Jones FOR Gatling28
42
Q2 - 7:06MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
42
Q2 - 7:07MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot28
42
Q2 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
42
Q2 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
42
Q2 - 7:20MILHam S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
42
Q2 - 7:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
42
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot26
42
Q2 - 7:34MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
42
Q2 - 7:35MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)26
42
Q2 - 7:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
42
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Gatling Layup26
42
Q2 - 7:51MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)26
42
Q2 - 8:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
40
Q2 - 8:14MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
40
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
40
Q2 - 8:28MILSUB: Ham FOR Mason26
40
Q2 - 8:28MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
40
Q2 - 8:46MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)26
40
Q2 - 8:56MIASUB: Gatling FOR Stepania26
38
Q2 - 8:56MILSUB: Alston FOR Robinson26
38
Q2 - 8:5626
38
Q2 - 8:56MILBUCKS Rebound26
38
Q2 - 8:58MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot26
38
Q2 - 9:14MIAStepania 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)26
38
Q2 - 9:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38
Q2 - 9:31MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot24
38
Q2 - 9:53MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
38
Q2 - 10:11MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)21
38
Q2 - 10:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot21
36
Q2 - 10:32MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
36
Q2 - 10:32MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
35
Q2 - 10:32MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
34
Q2 - 10:51MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
34
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot21
34
Q2 - 11:04MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)21
34
Q2 - 11:12MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Mason Layup21
34
Q2 - 11:41MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
34
Q2 - 11:46MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
34
Q2 - 11:46MILSUB: Redd FOR Allen19
33
Q2 - 11:46MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
33
Q2 - 11:46MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
32
Q2 - 12:0019
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
32
Q1 - 0:09.0MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)19
32
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)19
30
Q1 - 0:43.0MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)17
30
Q1 - 0:48.0MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)17
28
Q1 - 0:57.0MILThomas Layup (2 PTS)17
28
Q1 - 1:10MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 1:28MILAllen 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)15
26
Q1 - 1:40MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)15
24
Q1 - 1:40MILBUCKS Rebound15
24
Q1 - 1:42MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 2:01MILBUCKS Rebound15
24
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot15
24
Q1 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
24
Q1 - 2:19MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 115
24
Q1 - 2:19MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
24
Q1 - 2:19MILRobinson 5' Running Layup (15 PTS)15
24
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill15
22
Q1 - 2:28MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning15
22
Q1 - 2:28MILSUB: Thomas FOR Alston15
22
Q1 - 2:28MILSUB: Johnson FOR Przybilla15
22
Q1 - 2:28MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
22
Q1 - 2:33MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
22
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot15
22
Q1 - 2:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
22
Q1 - 2:45MILMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot15
22
Q1 - 2:56MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)15
22
Q1 - 3:18MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)15
22
Q1 - 3:37MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)15
20
Q1 - 3:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
20
Q1 - 3:51MILMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 3:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 4:16MILRobinson 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)13
20
Q1 - 4:22MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18
Q1 - 4:24MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (4 BLK)13
18
Q1 - 4:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18
Q1 - 4:38MILMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
18
Q1 - 4:57MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
18
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 213
18
Q1 - 4:58MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 4:58MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P2.T2)12
18
Q1 - 4:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
18
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot12
18
Q1 - 5:03MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
18
Q1 - 5:05MIAPrzybilla STEAL (1 STL)12
18
Q1 - 5:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
18
Q1 - 5:26MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)12
18
Q1 - 5:43MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
16
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot12
16
Q1 - 6:05MILPrzybilla 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)12
16
Q1 - 6:25MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
14
Q1 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound10
14
Q1 - 6:45MILMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot10
14
Q1 - 6:59MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#2)10
14
Q1 - 7:12MILRobinson 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)10
14
Q1 - 7:22MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
12
Q1 - 7:22MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P1)10
12
Q1 - 7:28MILPrzybilla P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
12
Q1 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound10
12
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 7:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Strickland Layup10
12
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Strickland Layup10
12
Q1 - 8:02MILAllen 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 8:04MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10
Q1 - 8:07MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot10
10
Q1 - 8:14MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10
Q1 - 8:18MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (3 BLK)10
10
Q1 - 8:35MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 8:35MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
9
Q1 - 8:35MILRobinson Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)10
9
Q1 - 8:58MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 9:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
7
Q1 - 9:10MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot8
7
Q1 - 9:31MILPrzybilla Violation:Defensive Goaltending8
7
Q1 - 9:31MIAGill Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
7
Q1 - 9:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 9:36MILMISS Alston Layup6
7
Q1 - 9:54MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 10:09MILAllen Layup (5 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 10:19MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
5
Q1 - 10:32MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:46MIAGill 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:07MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 11:19MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (2 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:35MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Przybilla vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
20
45%
MIL
9
25
36%
Midrange
MIA
20
56
36%
MIL
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
MIL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2252%11.0 / 21
B. Grant2162%10.5 / 17
A. Mourning1447%7.0 / 15
K. Gill1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ellis867%4.0 / 6
J. Jackson735%3.5 / 10
R. Strickland315%1.5 / 10
E. House330%1.5 / 5
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen3063%15.0 / 24
G. Robinson2542%12.5 / 30
T. Thomas1155%5.5 / 10
A. Mason523%2.5 / 11
E. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
M. Redd440%2.0 / 5
D. Ham4100%2.0 / 2
R. Alston325%1.5 / 6
J. Przybilla2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+17
-13
102
MIL
81
+15
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
104.4
MIA 91.8 +0.2
MIL 91.7
Pace
89.7
92.5
MIA 87.2
MIL 88.6 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 16.5
MIL 16.3 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.7%
MIA 41.5%
MIL 42.9% +1.4%
TO %
15.5%
14.5%
MIA 13.4% −0.5%
MIL 13.9%
ORB %
26.7%
25.6%
MIA 28.3% +7.4%
MIL 20.9%
FTrt
26.8
26.9
MIA 23.9 +0.1
MIL 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
MIL 66.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
MIA 12.2% +2.8%
MIL 9.4%
BLK %
8.7%
7.1%
MIA 7.6%
MIL 7.9% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.7%
MIA 44.1%
MIL 44.4% +0.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.1%
MIA 45.0% +9.0%
MIL 36.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
45.1%
MIA 35.7%
MIL 43.9% +8.2%
3P %
34.7%
37.5%
MIA 41.7% +8.4%
MIL 33.3%
FT %
72.4%
74.8%
MIA 81.0% +1.0%
MIL 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
27.2%
MIA 22.7%
MIL 29.8% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
48.8%
MIA 63.6%
MIL 48.8% −14.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.1%
MIA 13.6%
MIL 21.4% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes27.026.0
Points9088
Rebounds4947
Assists2622
Steals129
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)38 (1)
Field Goals34-8833-84
At-the-Rim FG9-209-25
Midrange FG20-5618-41
2-Point FG29-7627-66
3-Point FG5-126-18
Free Throws17-2116-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
44.6
22
52%
6
4
7
1
2
3
2
4
7-8
88%
6-11
55%
1-6
17%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
42.1
14
47%
8
3
0
2
2
4
2
6
4-6
67%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
38.0
3
15%
6
9
0
0
2
3
3
3
1-2
50%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
35.3
21
62%
13
1
0
1
4
2
3
10
3-3
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
24.4
10
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
32.1
7
35%
7
5
2
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.8
8
67%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
15.0
3
30%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
5.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
2.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
90
44%
49
26
12
5
13
0
15
34
17-21
81%
29-76
38%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.