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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets19%9077
8Nets81%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.9
30.5
33.8
10
33%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-14
5-11
29%
45%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.1
28.9
24.8
10
50%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
40%
2-6
33%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.8
28.0
22.2
5
32%
12
1
2
1
2
3
3
9
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
41%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
19.9
36.6
6
43%
2
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
5-12
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
19.7
26.8
2
14%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
29.6
16.9
14
47%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-12
2-6
58%
42%
0-3
0%
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
28.3
23.4
12
64%
0
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
2-3
67%
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27.3
23.9
13.0
14
60%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.9
17.5
7.9
2
50%
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
36%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.9
13.6
3.7
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.2
17.0
1
2-4
46%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.2
12.6
0
2-4
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.9
31.8
37.0
11
47%
8
10
1
2
0
0
2
6
2-4
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.1
31.6
16.6
15
45%
8
2
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-4
25%
7-14
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
27.5
34.7
4
33%
3
5
0
2
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
25.8
31.4
17
55%
12
1
0
1
0
0
4
8
8-8
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Todd MacCulloch
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
19.6
21.4
14
64%
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 21.7
23.6
27.2
11
67%
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
5-5
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.2
22.4
19.3
12
75%
4
1
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.2
18.3
18.2
6
65%
3
2
0
0
1
5
2
1
4-6
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
15.0
5.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 30.4
10.2
16.4
3
61%
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.4
9.5
5.9
5
73%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
4.8
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.