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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat26%8980
4Timberwolves74%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
37.3
38.2
17
49%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-9
5-11
33%
44%
3-7
43%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
29.6
30.3
6
44%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.0
25.9
34.5
10
56%
6
1
0
0
0
4
2
4
0-2
0%
5-8
6-12
63%
49%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
23.3
32.0
6
38%
0
5
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
43%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.7
15.9
20.6
3
19%
2
0
3
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
0-1
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.3
27.5
28.4
13
70%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
3-7
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.8
21.7
14.6
12
55%
5
4
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
18.3
7.1
6
61%
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.5
13.7
2.8
2
33%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
11.3
23.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.7
10.6
1.7
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
5.0
5.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.4
39.5
35.1
23
63%
4
8
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
9-12
3-7
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
34.9
40.4
12
43%
12
3
4
1
3
1
0
12
0-0
-
6-14
8-16
43%
49%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.0
34.9
38.0
22
66%
2
6
3
1
0
5
1
1
6-6
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
30.6
26.8
11
59%
6
2
0
1
0
5
0
6
3-3
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
29.6
28.0
8
67%
7
2
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Felipe Lopez
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
20.8
15.7
2
33%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 32.2
18.7
30.8
8
67%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.7
16.6
2.9
2
33%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Mitchell
F · 6'7" 215 · 38.5
9.9
7.6
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-1
100%
William Avery
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.5
2.6
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
1.7
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.4
7.0
0
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.