Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Timberwolves37%104117
3Mavericks63%108100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.0
45.4
35.8
31
75%
4
5
2
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
51%
3-5
60%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
38.9
28.3
17
59%
11
2
1
1
1
1
2
9
1-3
33%
8-13
4-8
62%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.4
38.2
36.1
36
64%
2
7
2
1
2
2
0
2
10-12
83%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
6-12
50%
Sam Mitchell
F · 6'7" 215 · 38.5
33.7
8.5
10
46%
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
6
2-4
50%
4-9
1-2
44%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
32.1
28.1
10
39%
12
1
3
1
1
1
4
8
2-2
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 32.2
26.6
24.7
8
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.7
13.5
9.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Felipe Lopez
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
11.6
17.9
5
102%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
37.0
1
7-15
48%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.4
6.6
0
1-2
50%
William Avery
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.5
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
1.5
0
0-0
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.0
37.0
35.8
10
24%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-14
6-12
21%
48%
0-5
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
36.5
34.8
9
38%
12
5
1
1
1
1
0
12
4-4
100%
1-6
6-11
17%
51%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.0
34.2
30.1
24
56%
6
3
0
1
0
4
1
5
3-3
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
26.6
30.9
12
47%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.6
25.6
23.9
15
101%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
7-7
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.5
21.7
20.8
6
47%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
2-4
-
42%
2-6
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
14.9
17.9
4
30%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 29.9
12.7
7.1
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
12.0
6.4
3
52%
9
1
1
0
0
3
4
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.2
10.8
12.8
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.6
8.0
9.6
6
61%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.8
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.