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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks12%9579
1Kings88%10999
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
42.4
41.4
12
33%
9
5
1
1
2
4
4
5
0-0
-
6-17
8-19
35%
44%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
40.1
33.6
8
50%
9
3
0
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-8
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
37.8
41.7
17
54%
3
2
2
2
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
5-11
40%
44%
3-9
33%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.8
37.5
29.1
13
43%
4
0
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
42%
3-7
43%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
19.3
31.9
9
58%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-6
5-11
50%
45%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.4
20.4
13.9
4
29%
4
6
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.4
16.6
10.9
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.0
12.4
17.8
4
41%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.2
5.8
7.7
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.3
5.6
7.8
4
106%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.6
2.2
4.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
7.4
0
0-1
38%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
6.5
0
1-2
42%
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
2.3
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 31.8
42.2
35.8
12
67%
6
5
2
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
41.3
40.3
19
53%
12
5
2
1
1
4
3
9
1-4
25%
9-16
11-21
56%
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 24.7
41.0
37.7
12
43%
7
2
3
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
6-11
38%
53%
2-6
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
32.7
32.5
12
61%
2
6
2
1
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 34.0
30.2
24.6
14
62%
10
4
1
1
3
1
3
7
8-12
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
19.1
20.3
11
71%
2
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.9
17.5
18.6
13
54%
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 27.0
9.4
15.6
4
106%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.2
6.7
3.7
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 19.6
3.2
0
1-1
50%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 24.5
2.0
0
0-1
49%
Brent Price
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.2
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.