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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics26%95109
2Lakers74%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
46.6
39.1
30
49%
14
10
1
1
0
3
3
11
1-2
50%
7-18
5-12
39%
41%
5-12
42%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.4
43.0
38.7
33
59%
8
2
5
2
2
5
3
5
16-20
80%
4-12
6-13
33%
44%
3-7
43%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 31.4
38.7
29.0
14
54%
2
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 20.9
21.0
11.1
7
122%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
18.3
28.1
7
54%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
27.0
28.0
9
95%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
39%
1-1
100%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
17.1
4.0
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 26.9
12.7
16.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
6.5
5.4
2
36%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 28.2
5.9
25.8
2
53%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-1
0%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.0
3.4
15.5
5
125%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 20.6
4.0
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 31.5
41.3
27.5
9
51%
9
7
4
1
1
4
2
7
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 23.5
40.9
40.4
27
50%
4
9
1
2
0
2
2
2
4-5
80%
10-23
10-20
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.0
38.7
21.2
25
90%
17
1
1
0
1
3
4
13
7-9
78%
9-10
6-11
90%
55%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.6
29.8
30.8
9
56%
5
8
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
20.8
22.7
9
56%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 27.5
27.4
22.0
12
57%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
3-5
60%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
18.2
20.8
8
67%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.1
11.8
19.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mitch Richmond
G · 6'5" 220 · 36.6
4.5
6.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 22.9
4.0
11.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 35.9
2.6
3.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.