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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 21, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings51%9992
7Spurs49%98115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 31.8
39.9
37.6
11
34%
2
6
2
2
0
0
1
1
3-5
60%
4-12
2-5
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
35.2
39.6
13
39%
4
2
1
1
1
4
1
3
5-6
83%
4-13
9-20
31%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
32.8
31.9
10
50%
0
4
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
4-10
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 24.7
31.4
38.1
11
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
5-11
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 34.1
22.6
26.5
7
34%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-3
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
23.6
19.5
8
37%
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.9
23.4
17.8
18
65%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
2-5
40%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 27.0
21.2
13.0
10
102%
5
2
3
0
4
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.2
9.9
5.2
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 19.6
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Brent Price
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.2
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.8
32.3
25.3
15
94%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
3-3
100%
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
30.0
21.2
32
77%
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
9-15
3-6
60%
49%
4-5
80%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.8
29.9
39.5
9
36%
13
6
1
1
1
6
3
10
1-1
100%
4-12
9-18
33%
48%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 32.9
27.0
24.5
9
70%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.5
12.1
30.7
10
73%
11
0
0
1
1
0
3
8
0-2
0%
5-6
4-9
83%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.2
27.4
16.0
23
58%
8
1
2
1
1
0
3
5
4-4
100%
8-16
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.9
26.6
28.8
9
65%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.3
21.0
17.9
6
75%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
18.6
6.1
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
8.0
1.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 38.9
7.0
20.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 23.9
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.