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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors21%95112
8Bucks79%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.1
42.4
38.0
35
80%
3
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
13-17
5-12
76%
44%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
37.5
37.7
23
62%
11
1
0
1
0
3
3
8
7-8
88%
5-10
7-15
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.1
34.0
19.1
14
54%
4
10
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
30.8
28.1
9
46%
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-10
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
30.4
23.0
5
28%
6
0
1
0
5
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
44%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
22.3
24.6
16
85%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
44%
1-1
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.0
17.4
18.7
6
47%
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
1
0-3
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
14.0
3.0
0
0%
0
6
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
11.3
14.2
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 25.9
24.0
0
3-8
43%
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
5.8
0
1-2
44%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
0.8
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.3
39.2
23.1
25
63%
4
6
2
1
0
2
3
1
9-9
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
49%
4-6
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
38.0
34.9
28
69%
13
8
1
1
0
0
6
7
11-12
92%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
3-5
60%
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 35.2
37.6
35.7
14
64%
12
3
1
1
0
3
3
9
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.1
25.3
31.7
15
34%
2
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-16
7-14
31%
50%
1-5
20%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.4
19.6
20.0
2
25%
3
0
0
1
4
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
23.9
18.8
11
51%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.0
21.7
21.8
10
56%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 34.2
17.1
18.4
5
73%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 28.7
8.8
6.3
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 28.6
8.7
13.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
13.4
1
1-3
43%
Mark Pope
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.