Final Win Prob. pScore
2340%88
97
1860%91
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
109.08990.8
WAS logo Wizards
106.78987.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS97
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASWIZARDS Rebound97
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASMISS Hamilton 1' Layup97
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Mourning97
95
Q4 - 0:01.0WASSUB: Jones FOR Nesby97
95
Q4 - 0:01.0WASSUB: Whitney FOR Haywood97
95
Q4 - 0:01.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 2)97
95
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 14 AST)97
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASSUB: Haywood FOR Whitney95
95
Q4 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Mourning FOR Carter95
95
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
95
Q4 - 0:19.0WASJordan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (37 PTS)95
66.8%
95
33.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Mourning95
93
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)95
93
Q4 - 0:25.0WASSUB: Whitney FOR Jones95
93
Q4 - 0:25.0WASSUB: Nesby FOR Haywood95
93
Q4 - 0:25.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)95
93
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
78.8%
93
21.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
73.9%
93
26.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0WASJordan S.FOUL (P3.T4)93
93
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
62.8%
93
37.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHaywood BLOCK (6 BLK)93
44.7%
93
55.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0WASLue 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
58.1%
93
41.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 13 AST)93
70.5%
91
29.5%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
57.2%
91
42.8%
Q4 - 1:22WASMISS Jordan 9' Jump Shot91
52.4%
91
47.6%
Q4 - 1:36WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)91
91
Q4 - 1:37WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
41.7%
91
58.3%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot91
46.0%
91
54.0%
Q4 - 1:59WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)91
55.1%
91
44.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)91
40.4%
91
59.6%
Q4 - 2:47WASJordan 17' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)89
34.1%
91
65.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAJackson P.FOUL (P3.T3)89
89
Q4 - 3:12WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
41.1%
89
58.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot89
45.8%
89
54.2%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
56.7%
89
43.3%
Q4 - 3:20WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot89
52.0%
89
48.0%
Q4 - 3:33WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)89
89
Q4 - 3:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)89
42.4%
89
57.6%
Q4 - 3:33WASJordan S.FOUL (P2.T3)88
89
Q4 - 3:33MIAJones 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Strickland 12 AST)88
33.6%
89
66.4%
Q4 - 3:51WASJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jordan 7 AST)86
26.0%
89
74.0%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)86
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q4 - 4:10WASHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T2)85
87
Q4 - 4:10MIAMourning 2' Layup (9 PTS)85
25.2%
87
74.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHeat Rebound83
19.0%
87
81.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHaywood BLOCK (5 BLK)83
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q4 - 4:36WASJordan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)83
18.9%
87
81.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)83
33.1%
84
66.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
43.0%
84
57.0%
Q4 - 4:57WASMISS Hamilton 2' Layup83
39.9%
84
60.1%
Q4 - 5:00WASLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
33.0%
84
67.0%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHaywood BLOCK (4 BLK)83
37.0%
84
63.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
42.9%
84
57.1%
Q4 - 5:19WASMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot83
40.2%
84
59.8%
Q4 - 5:21WASWIZARDS Rebound83
34.5%
84
65.5%
Q4 - 5:22WASMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
40.2%
84
59.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 11 AST)83
34.4%
84
65.6%
Q4 - 5:54MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis81
84
Q4 - 5:54WASSUB: Jones FOR Laettner81
84
Q4 - 5:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)81
84
Q4 - 6:05WASJordan 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)81
29.0%
84
71.0%
Q4 - 6:17WASLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.5%
82
62.5%
Q4 - 6:37WASJordan 15' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)81
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)81
50.1%
80
49.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
37.6%
80
62.4%
Q4 - 7:36WASJordan 17' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)79
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMourning P.FOUL (P4.T2)79
78
Q4 - 8:05MIAStrickland 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
49.0%
78
51.0%
Q4 - 8:25WASSUB: Hamilton FOR Nesby77
78
Q4 - 8:25MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter77
78
Q4 - 8:2577
78
Q4 - 8:25MIAHeat Rebound77
42.3%
78
57.7%
Q4 - 8:26WASMISS Nesby 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
40.4%
78
59.6%
Q4 - 8:55MIAJackson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)77
36.3%
78
63.7%
Q4 - 8:59WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)75
30.3%
78
69.7%
Q4 - 9:20MIAGrant 3' Layup (8 PTS)75
26.5%
78
73.5%
Q4 - 9:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot73
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 9:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
21.8%
78
78.2%
Q4 - 9:48WASMISS Lue 3PT Jump Shot73
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q4 - 9:54MIALue STEAL (1 STL)73
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q4 - 9:59WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
21.8%
78
78.2%
Q4 - 9:59WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q4 - 9:59MIASUB: Grant FOR Jones73
76
Q4 - 9:59MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T1)73
76
Q4 - 10:12WASSUB: Jordan FOR Hamilton73
76
Q4 - 10:12MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)73
27.1%
76
72.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P2)73
76
Q4 - 10:25WASLue 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
31.7%
76
68.3%
Q4 - 10:44MIAJackson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)73
36.9%
74
63.1%
Q4 - 10:56WASHaywood P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
74
Q4 - 11:19WASLue 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)71
32.0%
74
68.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMourning 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
37.1%
72
62.9%
Q4 - 12:0069
72
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS69
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASSUB: Whitney FOR Haywood69
72
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)69
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0WASLaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)69
32.2%
72
67.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
37.3%
70
62.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland68
70
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
36.5%
70
63.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0WASNesby P.FOUL (P2.PN)67
70
Q3 - 0:44.0WASNesby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
32.2%
70
67.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0WASLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
28.3%
70
71.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0WASMISS Nesby 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
31.0%
70
69.0%
Q3 - 1:06WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
28.4%
70
71.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)67
29.5%
70
70.5%
Q3 - 1:20WASHamilton 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)67
32.2%
70
67.8%
Q3 - 1:23WASNesby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
37.1%
68
62.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot67
38.3%
68
61.7%
Q3 - 1:39MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant67
68
Q3 - 1:39WASHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
41.3%
68
58.7%
Q3 - 1:39WASHamilton OFF.Foul (P2)67
68
Q3 - 1:54MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)67
37.1%
68
62.9%
Q3 - 2:08WASSUB: Haywood FOR White65
68
Q3 - 2:08WASSUB: Nesby FOR Jordan65
68
Q3 - 2:08WASWhite P.FOUL (P3.T4)65
68
Q3 - 2:08MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
32.5%
68
67.5%
Q3 - 2:10WASMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot65
31.3%
68
68.7%
Q3 - 2:29MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 10 AST)65
28.5%
68
71.5%
Q3 - 2:45WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)63
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 2:45WASSUB: Lue FOR Whitney63
67
Q3 - 2:45WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)63
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)63
66
Q3 - 2:54WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 2:57WASMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot63
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 3:01WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot63
29.9%
66
70.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
66
Q3 - 3:21WASHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T3)63
66
Q3 - 3:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
32.8%
66
67.2%
Q3 - 3:21WASMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot63
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q3 - 3:23WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 3:25WASMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot63
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q3 - 3:43WASSUB: Laettner FOR Jones63
66
Q3 - 3:43MIAJones Foul Turnover (P4.T8)63
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAJones OFF.Foul (P2)63
66
Q3 - 4:04WASHamilton 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jordan 6 AST)63
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 4:12MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning63
64
Q3 - 4:12MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)63
64
Q3 - 4:12WASWIZARDS Rebound63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 4:12WASMISS White 2' Layup63
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q3 - 4:12WASWhite REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 4:13WASMISS White 2' Layup63
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q3 - 4:14WASWhite REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 4:16WASMISS Jordan 21' Jump Shot63
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q3 - 4:33WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot63
37.8%
64
62.2%
Q3 - 4:59WASJordan 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q3 - 5:21MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
44.2%
62
55.8%
Q3 - 5:37WASHamilton 15' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (White 2 AST)61
40.7%
62
59.3%
Q3 - 5:40WASWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot61
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 5:53WASJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 5:53WASJones OFF.Foul (P1)61
60
Q3 - 5:59WASHamilton Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)61
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMourning T.FOUL (P2.T1)61
59
Q3 - 5:59WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
59
Q3 - 6:02WASWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
48.0%
59
52.0%
Q3 - 6:04MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)61
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
52.3%
59
47.7%
Q3 - 6:22WASMISS Jordan 8' Jump Shot61
51.0%
59
49.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill61
59
Q3 - 6:32MIAGill P.FOUL (P4.T1)61
59
Q3 - 6:37WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
48.0%
59
52.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot61
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
52.4%
59
47.6%
Q3 - 6:50WASMISS Hamilton 3' Jump Shot61
51.0%
59
49.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q3 - 7:02MIAJones Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)60
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q3 - 7:0259
59
Q3 - 7:02MIAHeat Rebound59
59
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 259
42.3%
59
57.7%
Q3 - 7:02WASWhitney S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
59
Q3 - 7:04MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
43.6%
59
56.4%
Q3 - 7:06WASMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot59
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 7:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)59
39.7%
59
60.3%
Q3 - 7:46WASWhitney 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (White 1 AST)56
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 7:49WASWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q3 - 7:51WASMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q3 - 7:54WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
39.8%
56
60.2%
Q3 - 7:57WASMISS Jordan 7' Jump Shot56
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 8:19WASMISS Whitney 19' Jump Shot54
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 8:44WASJordan S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
56
Q3 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
29.5%
56
70.5%
Q3 - 8:50WASMISS Jones 3' Layup52
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 8:51WASJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
26.3%
56
73.7%
Q3 - 8:53WASMISS Jordan 10' Jump Shot52
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMourning 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)52
26.6%
56
73.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 9:27WASMISS White 1' Layup50
23.0%
56
77.0%
Q3 - 9:28WASWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
21.2%
56
78.8%
Q3 - 9:30WASMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot50
23.0%
56
77.0%
Q3 - 9:45MIAJones Foul Turnover (P3.T7)50
21.2%
56
78.8%
Q3 - 9:45MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)50
56
Q3 - 9:59WASHamilton Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 10:04WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot50
27.7%
54
72.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q3 - 10:22WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot50
28.8%
54
71.2%
Q3 - 10:49MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 11:08WASWhite 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jordan 5 AST)48
24.6%
54
75.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAGill 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)48
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q3 - 11:42WASWhitney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 4 AST)46
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 12:0046
50
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS46
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
28.4%
50
71.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot46
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
28.4%
50
71.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)46
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAEllis 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)46
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q2 - 1:15WASHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 1:15MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant44
49
Q2 - 1:15WASHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
48
Q2 - 1:34MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)44
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 1:41WASJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
24.8%
48
75.2%
Q2 - 2:03MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 2:03MIAEllis OFF.Foul (P1)42
48
Q2 - 2:12WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)42
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 2:12WASSUB: Laettner FOR White42
47
Q2 - 2:12WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)42
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T3)42
46
Q2 - 2:32MIAJones 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)42
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 2:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
25.3%
46
74.7%
Q2 - 2:38WASMISS Jordan 9' Jump Shot40
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWhitney STEAL (1 STL)40
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)40
46
Q2 - 3:06WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)40
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill40
45
Q2 - 3:06MIAGill S.FOUL (P3.T2)40
45
Q2 - 3:06WASJordan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)40
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q2 - 3:32WASJordan 1' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)38
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q2 - 3:51MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)38
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 3:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q2 - 3:59WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot35
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 4:20MIAStrickland 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 4:28MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter33
41
Q2 - 4:28WASWhite P.FOUL (P2.T4)33
41
Q2 - 4:42WASJordan 20' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)33
21.3%
41
78.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning33
39
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)33
23.8%
39
76.2%
Q2 - 5:16WASWhitney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 5:35MIAGill 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 5:38WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 5:50WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot31
20.2%
39
79.8%
Q2 - 5:55WASSUB: Whitney FOR Lue31
39
Q2 - 5:55WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)31
39
Q2 - 6:11WASSUB: Jones FOR Laettner31
39
Q2 - 6:11WASLaettner P.FOUL (P2.T3)31
39
Q2 - 6:11MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 6:12WASMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson31
39
Q2 - 6:25WASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot31
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 6:45WASHamilton 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)31
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 6:51WASSUB: Jordan FOR Nesby31
37
Q2 - 6:51MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
37
Q2 - 6:59WASNesby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWhite BLOCK (2 BLK)31
24.7%
37
75.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 7:18WASMISS Nesby 19' Jump Shot31
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 7:30WASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot31
24.7%
37
75.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 7:41WASMISS Laettner 4' Jump Shot31
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 8:02WASNesby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 231
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 8:03MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
25.9%
37
74.1%
Q2 - 8:03WASSUB: White FOR Haywood30
37
Q2 - 8:0330
37
Q2 - 8:03WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
37
Q2 - 8:19WASHaywood 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)30
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIACarter 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 8:38WASLue Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 8:48WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Mourning 2' Layup28
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Carter 6' Jump Shot28
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 9:09WASLue 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 9:26WASSUB: Hamilton FOR Davis27
32
Q2 - 9:26MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 9:26WASNesby S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
32
Q2 - 9:30MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 9:32WASMISS Haywood 7' Jump Shot26
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 9:45MIAGill 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)26
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIAHeat Rebound24
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)24
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 10:06WASLue 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 10:15WASWIZARDS Rebound24
30
Q2 - 10:15WASMISS Nesby Free Throw Technical24
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania24
30
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Gill FOR Strickland24
30
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Carter FOR Jones24
30
Q2 - 10:15MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Stepania )24
30
Q2 - 10:32MIAEllis 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)24
24.7%
30
75.3%
Q2 - 10:50WASHaywood 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)22
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAJones 16' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q2 - 11:43WASNesby 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)20
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q2 - 12:0020
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0WASLue 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0WASDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)20
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0WASLue P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
24
Q1 - 0:42.0WASDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAEllis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)20
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 1:01WASMISS Laettner 4' Jump Shot18
26.9%
24
73.1%
Q1 - 1:15MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant18
24
Q1 - 1:15WASSUB: Davis FOR Jordan18
24
Q1 - 1:15WASSUB: Haywood FOR Jones18
24
Q1 - 1:15WASSUB: Lue FOR Whitney18
24
Q1 - 1:15WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)18
24
Q1 - 1:20WASNesby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot18
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 1:38WASLaettner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)18
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 1:48MIANesby STEAL (2 STL)18
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 2:06WASMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot18
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)18
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 2:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot16
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 3:11WASLaettner Foul Turnover (P1.T1)16
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 3:11WASLaettner OFF.Foul (P1)16
22
Q1 - 3:26WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 3:28WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot16
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)16
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 3:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 3:58WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 214
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 3:58WASWIZARDS Rebound14
22
Q1 - 3:58WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 214
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 3:58WASSUB: Laettner FOR White14
22
Q1 - 3:58MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.PN)14
22
Q1 - 4:14MIAGrant 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot12
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 4:29WASMISS White Free Throw 2 of 212
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning12
22
Q1 - 4:29WASWIZARDS Rebound12
22
Q1 - 4:29WASMISS White Free Throw 1 of 212
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.PN)12
22
Q1 - 4:32MIANesby STEAL (1 STL)12
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 4:45WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)12
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 4:45WASSUB: Nesby FOR Hamilton12
21
Q1 - 4:45WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
20
Q1 - 5:07MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)12
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 5:21WASWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 5:21WASWIZARDS Rebound10
19
Q1 - 5:21WASMISS White Free Throw 1 of 210
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 5:21MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
19
Q1 - 5:23WASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 5:24WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot10
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)10
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 5:50WASJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)8
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 6:04WASHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation8
17
Q1 - 6:04WASWIZARDS Violation: Delay of game Violation8
17
Q1 - 6:04WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)8
17
Q1 - 6:12MIAStrickland 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 6:22WASJordan Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)6
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill6
16
Q1 - 6:22WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)6
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 6:22WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)6
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 6:22MIAGill S.FOUL (P2.T2)6
14
Q1 - 6:36WASWIZARDS Rebound6
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 6:44WASWhite P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
14
Q1 - 6:59WASHamilton 16' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)6
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAStrickland 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
12
Q1 - 7:41WASWhite 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)4
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:15WASMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot4
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:26WASWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot4
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot4
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot4
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 9:10WASJordan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 9:22MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 9:27WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot4
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 9:48WASJordan 17' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)4
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 9:52WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot4
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 10:14WASHamilton 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:16WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 10:30WASJordan 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 11:05WASMISS Hamilton 1' Layup2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 11:09WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 11:28WASHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball White vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
WAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
21
71%
WAS
8
20
40%
Midrange
MIA
24
49
49%
WAS
27
49
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
WAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
WAS
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2552%12.5 / 24
R. Strickland1856%9.0 / 16
B. Grant1267%6.0 / 9
A. Mourning1243%6.0 / 14
L. Ellis1267%6.0 / 9
K. Gill857%4.0 / 7
J. Jackson660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
A. Carter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Jordan3760%18.5 / 31
R. Hamilton1950%9.5 / 19
T. Lue1372%6.5 / 9
B. Haywood675%3.0 / 4
C. Whitney563%2.5 / 4
J. White536%2.5 / 7
P. Jones433%2.0 / 6
C. Laettner450%2.0 / 4
T. Nesby225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-12
88
WAS
78
+14
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
WAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
101.5
MIA 109.0 +2.2
WAS 106.7
Pace
89.7
91.3
MIA 90.8 +3.6
WAS 87.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.2
MIA 15.9 −0.7
WAS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.4%
MIA 53.2% +2.6%
WAS 50.6%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
MIA 12.3%
WAS 12.0% −0.3%
ORB %
26.7%
30.8%
MIA 25.0%
WAS 28.9% +3.9%
FTrt
26.8
28.0
MIA 19.0
WAS 28.2 +9.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.4%
MIA 68.3% +13.0%
WAS 55.3%
STL %
7.4%
7.6%
MIA 6.7% +1.1%
WAS 5.6%
BLK %
8.7%
6.6%
MIA 13.0% +0.1%
WAS 12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
48.3%
MIA 55.1% +3.5%
WAS 51.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.3%
MIA 71.4% +31.4%
WAS 40.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.7%
MIA 49.0%
WAS 55.1% +6.1%
3P %
34.7%
38.8%
MIA 22.2%
WAS 33.3% +11.1%
FT %
72.4%
76.5%
MIA 86.7% +14.0%
WAS 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
27.2%
MIA 26.6% +0.9%
WAS 25.6%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
61.0%
MIA 62.0% −0.8%
WAS 62.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
11.8%
MIA 11.4%
WAS 11.5% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9795
Rebounds3638
Assists2821
Steals65
Blocks99
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals41-7938-78
At-the-Rim FG15-218-20
Midrange FG24-4927-49
2-Point FG39-7035-69
3-Point FG2-93-9
Free Throws13-1516-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
40.0
25
52%
3
3
1
3
4
3
1
2
4-4
100%
9-17
53%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
38.1
18
56%
1
14
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
34.9
12
67%
10
2
1
1
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
32.4
12
43%
7
0
0
2
0
4
3
4
4-5
80%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
18.3
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
33.7
6
60%
5
7
0
3
5
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
21.0
12
67%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
11.7
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
10.1
2
50%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" · 34
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
36
28
6
9
12
0
9
27
13-15
87%
39-70
56%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.