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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat40%8897
18Wizards60%9195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
40.0
35.9
25
53%
3
3
1
1
3
4
1
2
4-4
100%
9-17
4-9
53%
44%
1-5
20%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
38.1
30.0
18
56%
1
14
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
9-16
4-9
56%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
34.9
29.9
12
67%
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.0
32.4
32.2
12
45%
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
4-5
80%
4-11
6-11
36%
50%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.7
18.3
23.0
8
57%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
42%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
33.7
27.2
6
61%
5
7
0
1
3
5
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
21.0
20.4
12
68%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
11.7
8.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
10.1
21.7
2
50%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
41%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
5.6
0
1-1
45%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.5
4.0
0
1-1
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.7
3.7
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 24.0
38.9
34.2
19
49%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
8-18
8-17
44%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.0
37.7
27.3
37
61%
5
7
0
1
0
4
1
4
10-12
83%
12-24
6-15
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 31.7
30.7
29.0
4
33%
8
0
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.4
26.1
29.7
5
63%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 26.0
23.8
20.5
5
37%
10
2
0
0
2
0
5
5
1-4
25%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
22.1
10.3
13
72%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.5
21.8
17.0
4
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 22.2
19.2
13.0
6
77%
0
1
0
0
6
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrone Nesby
F-G · 6'6" 245 · 26.1
16.0
24.3
2
23%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 31.8
3.8
22.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
6.1
0
1-2
45%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.