Final Win Prob. pScore
640%95
112
1060%98
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
121.79290.7
SAS logo Spurs
94.69394.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS112
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)112
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MINPeeler Layup (17 PTS)112
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MINMISS Lopez 1' Alley Oop Layup110
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MINJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)110
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot110
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MINLopez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Avery 4 AST)110
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MINSUB: Lopez FOR Smith107
88
Q4 - 0:22.0MINSUB: Woods FOR Garnett107
88
Q4 - 0:42.0SASParks 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MINGarnett Layup (30 PTS)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MINMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16MINAvery REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MINPeeler 14' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Avery 3 AST)105
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51MINSUB: Smith FOR Nesterovic103
86
Q4 - 1:51SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T22)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54SASSPURS Rebound103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Parks 1' Layup103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08SASSUB: Smith FOR Daniels103
86
Q4 - 2:08SASSUB: Jackson FOR Robinson103
86
Q4 - 2:08SASSUB: Bryant FOR Duncan103
86
Q4 - 2:08SASSUB: Parks FOR Smith103
86
Q4 - 2:08MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)103
86
Q4 - 2:08MINGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASRobinson 1' Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50MINGarnett 1' Dunk (28 PTS)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MINJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MINJackson OFF.Foul (P5)101
84
Q4 - 3:16MINTimberwolves Rebound101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Smith 2' Layup101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27MINJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27MINJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27SASSmith P.FOUL (P2.PN)99
84
Q4 - 3:39MINPeeler Free Throw Clear Path (13 PTS)99
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 3:39SASDaniels C.P.FOUL (P2.PN)98
84
Q4 - 3:40SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)98
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 3:54MINJackson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)98
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 4:09MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 4:11SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup96
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 4:28MINAvery Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)96
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 4:28MINAvery Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 4:28SASParker S.FOUL (P1.PN)94
84
Q4 - 4:41MINJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot94
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 5:06MINPeeler 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)94
95.5%
84
4.5%
Q4 - 5:24SASDaniels 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)92
94.0%
84
6.0%
Q4 - 5:44MINJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)92
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 5:44SASSUB: Smith FOR Ferry91
82
Q4 - 5:44SASFerry S.FOUL (P2.T4)91
82
Q4 - 5:44MINJackson Layup (6 PTS)91
94.0%
82
6.0%
Q4 - 5:44MINJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
91.9%
82
8.1%
Q4 - 5:46MINMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup89
89.9%
82
10.1%
Q4 - 5:48MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)89
91.9%
82
8.1%
Q4 - 5:50MINMISS Avery 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
89.9%
82
10.1%
Q4 - 6:07SASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)89
89.4%
82
10.6%
Q4 - 6:13SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter89
82
Q4 - 6:13SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)89
82
Q4 - 6:24MINGarnett 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Avery 2 AST)89
86.1%
82
13.9%
Q4 - 6:47SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
82.4%
82
17.6%
Q4 - 6:47SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 6:47MINSUB: Garnett FOR Szczerbiak87
80
Q4 - 6:47MINAvery P.FOUL (P1.T3)87
80
Q4 - 6:50SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
86.2%
80
13.8%
Q4 - 6:52MINMISS Jackson 2' Layup87
87.3%
80
12.7%
Q4 - 7:10SASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)87
87.4%
80
12.6%
Q4 - 7:19SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose87
80
Q4 - 7:19MINPeeler P.FOUL (P3.T2)87
80
Q4 - 7:29SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 7:31MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot87
85.0%
80
15.0%
Q4 - 7:44MINTimberwolves Rebound87
87.5%
80
12.5%
Q4 - 7:48SASMISS Rose 1' Reverse Layup87
86.5%
80
13.5%
Q4 - 8:05MINAvery Layup (5 PTS)87
81.9%
80
18.1%
Q4 - 8:08SASPorter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)85
77.6%
80
22.4%
Q4 - 8:17MINAvery Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)85
73.1%
80
26.9%
Q4 - 8:17MINSUB: Jackson FOR Garnett84
80
Q4 - 8:1784
80
Q4 - 8:17SASRose S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
80
Q4 - 8:17MINAvery Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
67.7%
80
32.3%
Q4 - 8:23SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)82
61.5%
80
38.5%
Q4 - 8:31SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
55.5%
80
44.5%
Q4 - 8:34MINMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot82
57.4%
80
42.6%
Q4 - 8:52SASRose 1' Layup (10 PTS)82
61.6%
80
38.4%
Q4 - 8:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
67.7%
78
32.3%
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot82
71.4%
78
28.6%
Q4 - 9:16MINNesterovic Dunk (12 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)82
66.1%
78
33.9%
Q4 - 9:18MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
60.3%
78
39.7%
Q4 - 9:20MINMISS Szczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot80
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q4 - 9:23MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
60.3%
78
39.7%
Q4 - 9:25MINMISS Avery 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q4 - 9:41SASFerry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)80
60.3%
78
39.7%
Q4 - 9:55MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
71.4%
75
28.6%
Q4 - 9:55MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Mitchell79
75
Q4 - 9:55MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
70.5%
75
29.5%
Q4 - 9:55SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan78
75
Q4 - 9:55SASRose S.FOUL (P2.T2)78
75
Q4 - 10:12SASDaniels 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)78
64.4%
75
35.6%
Q4 - 10:29MINMitchell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)78
69.6%
73
30.4%
Q4 - 10:52SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
64.5%
73
35.5%
Q4 - 10:52SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
65.7%
72
34.3%
Q4 - 10:52MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T1)76
71
Q4 - 10:58SASSPURS Rebound76
69.6%
71
30.4%
Q4 - 10:59SASMISS Daniels 3' Layup76
72.8%
71
27.2%
Q4 - 11:17MINTimberwolves Violation: Delay of game Violation76
71
Q4 - 11:19MINGarnett 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Peeler 3 AST)76
68.2%
71
31.8%
Q4 - 11:29SASPorter P.FOUL (P1.T1)74
71
Q4 - 11:31MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
63.1%
71
36.9%
Q4 - 11:35SASMISS Rose 1' Dunk74
61.6%
71
38.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q4 - 11:48MINFerry BLOCK (1 BLK)74
59.8%
71
40.2%
Q4 - 12:0074
71
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS74
63.1%
71
36.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINGarnett 28' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MINSUB: Mitchell FOR Smith71
70
Q3 - 0:05.0SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
47.8%
70
52.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MINSmith S.FOUL (P4.PN)71
69
Q3 - 0:12.0MINSmith 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)71
52.4%
69
47.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Rose 3' Layup69
45.3%
69
54.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MINSUB: Avery FOR Billups69
69
Q3 - 0:43.0MINLopez Foul Turnover (P1.T15)69
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MINLopez OFF.Foul (P1)69
69
Q3 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)69
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)69
47.6%
68
52.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MINGarnett P.FOUL (P2.PN)69
67
Q3 - 1:00SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
52.4%
67
47.6%
Q3 - 1:02MINMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot69
52.9%
67
47.1%
Q3 - 1:14MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
56.0%
67
44.0%
Q3 - 1:16SASMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot69
54.7%
67
45.3%
Q3 - 1:32MINSUB: Lopez FOR Nesterovic69
67
Q3 - 1:32MINPeeler P.FOUL (P2.T4)69
67
Q3 - 1:38MINRose STEAL (2 STL)69
51.6%
67
48.4%
Q3 - 1:52SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
56.0%
67
44.0%
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
59.8%
65
40.2%
Q3 - 2:15MINMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot69
61.2%
65
38.8%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
64.2%
65
35.8%
Q3 - 2:45MINSUB: Smith FOR Jackson69
63
Q3 - 2:45MINJackson P.FOUL (P4.T3)69
63
Q3 - 2:57MINSUB: Peeler FOR Szczerbiak69
63
Q3 - 2:57MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
63
Q3 - 2:57MINSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P2.T13)69
68.5%
63
31.5%
Q3 - 2:57MINSzczerbiak OFF.Foul (P2)69
63
Q3 - 3:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
71.1%
63
28.9%
Q3 - 3:09SASDuncan 1' Dunk (19 PTS)69
71.1%
63
28.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup69
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 3:19SASSPURS Rebound69
74.5%
61
25.5%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 269
77.5%
61
22.5%
Q3 - 3:19SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 3:19SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson69
60
Q3 - 3:19MINJackson P.FOUL (P3.T2)69
60
Q3 - 3:33SASSUB: Ferry FOR Smith69
60
Q3 - 3:33SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)69
60
Q3 - 3:41MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 3:41MINBillups 1' Layup (12 PTS)69
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 3:44MINDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)67
72.2%
60
27.8%
Q3 - 3:48MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
74.8%
60
25.2%
Q3 - 3:50SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
73.7%
60
26.3%
Q3 - 4:07MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 4:07MINNesterovic 1' Layup (10 PTS)67
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 4:09MINMISS Garnett 3' Layup65
63.4%
60
36.6%
Q3 - 4:24MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
66.7%
60
33.3%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 265
66.1%
60
33.9%
Q3 - 4:26MINSUB: Jackson FOR Smith65
60
Q3 - 4:26SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker65
60
Q3 - 4:26SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
63.8%
60
36.2%
Q3 - 4:26MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)65
59
Q3 - 4:50MINGarnett 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)65
66.1%
59
33.9%
Q3 - 5:01SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T15)63
61.2%
59
38.8%
Q3 - 5:01SASDaniels OFF.Foul (P1)63
59
Q3 - 5:21MINNesterovic 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)63
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 5:42MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
53.2%
59
46.8%
Q3 - 5:44SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot61
51.7%
59
48.3%
Q3 - 5:57SASSmith Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)61
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q3 - 5:57MINTimberwolves T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Szczerbiak )61
58
Q3 - 6:17MINGarnett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)61
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q3 - 6:32MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
44.4%
58
55.6%
Q3 - 6:34SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 6:42MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
40.1%
58
59.9%
Q3 - 6:42SASSUB: Daniels FOR Smith57
58
Q3 - 6:42MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
39.5%
58
60.5%
Q3 - 6:42SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
58
Q3 - 6:44MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
36.6%
58
63.4%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup56
35.4%
58
64.6%
Q3 - 7:07MINSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)56
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q3 - 7:19SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)53
26.4%
58
73.6%
Q3 - 7:19SASRobinson OFF.Foul (P3)53
58
Q3 - 7:38MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)53
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q3 - 7:56SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)53
26.4%
58
73.6%
Q3 - 8:02SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q3 - 8:05MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot53
24.4%
58
75.6%
Q3 - 8:23SASSmith 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)53
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q3 - 8:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 8:39MINMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Jump Shot53
30.4%
56
69.6%
Q3 - 8:50SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T12)53
32.8%
56
67.2%
Q3 - 8:50SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P1)53
56
Q3 - 8:56SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)53
56
Q3 - 9:04MINNesterovic 2' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)53
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 9:11SASRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
56
Q3 - 9:25SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)51
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 9:42MINBillups 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 9:48MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 9:51SASMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot49
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 10:18MINNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)49
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q3 - 10:35MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 10:37SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot47
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q3 - 10:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q3 - 10:56MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot47
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 11:02MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 11:05SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot47
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 11:14SASSPURS Rebound47
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup47
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 11:28MINGarnett Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)47
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 11:37MINTimberwolves Rebound47
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot47
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 12:0047
56
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN47
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASRose 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST)47
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
21.0%
54
79.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASSUB: Rose FOR Smith47
54
Q2 - 0:29.0SASSmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)47
54
Q2 - 0:40.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MINJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
52
Q2 - 0:40.0SASSPURS Rebound47
25.2%
52
74.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot47
26.6%
52
73.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MINDaniels STEAL (1 STL)47
25.2%
52
74.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASDuncan 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)47
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q2 - 1:20MINGarnett 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)47
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q2 - 1:31MINGarnett Violation:Defensive Goaltending45
50
Q2 - 1:31SASRobinson 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)45
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 1:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
30.8%
48
69.2%
Q2 - 1:44MINMISS Szczerbiak 16' Jump Shot45
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q2 - 2:01SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)45
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q2 - 2:12MINSUB: Jackson FOR Peeler45
46
Q2 - 2:12MINSmith STEAL (2 STL)45
46
Q2 - 2:12SASJump Ball Smith vs. Szczerbiak: Tip to Duncan45
36.0%
46
64.0%
Q2 - 2:12SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)45
46
Q2 - 2:25SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 2:37SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
42.2%
44
57.8%
Q2 - 2:40MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot45
43.1%
44
56.9%
Q2 - 3:00SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS)45
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q2 - 3:04SASSPURS Rebound45
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 3:04SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup45
50.4%
42
49.6%
Q2 - 3:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Smith 3' Layup45
50.5%
42
49.5%
Q2 - 3:15MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
42
Q2 - 3:33MINSzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST)45
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 3:49SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)43
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 4:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 4:10MINMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot43
48.6%
40
51.4%
Q2 - 4:22SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter43
40
Q2 - 4:22SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose43
40
Q2 - 4:22SASRose P.FOUL (P1.T2)43
40
Q2 - 4:22MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
50.9%
40
49.1%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot43
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 4:50MINBillups 1' Layup (8 PTS)43
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 4:53MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 4:55SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
43.9%
40
56.1%
Q2 - 5:10MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
41.8%
40
58.2%
Q2 - 5:10MINNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS)41
41.8%
40
58.2%
Q2 - 5:12MINMISS Szczerbiak 8' Jump Shot39
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 5:18MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup39
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 5:39MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 5:39MINGarnett Tip Shot (10 PTS)39
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 5:42MINRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)37
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 5:54SASSUB: Smith FOR Ferry37
40
Q2 - 5:54MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
40
Q2 - 5:58SASRobinson 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)37
33.3%
40
66.7%
Q2 - 6:11SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 6:13MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot37
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 6:23MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot37
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 6:41MINGarnett P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
38
Q2 - 6:41MINRose STEAL (1 STL)37
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 6:53SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 6:53SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 6:53MINSUB: Billups FOR Avery37
36
Q2 - 6:53MINSUB: Garnett FOR Smith37
36
Q2 - 6:53MINSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)37
36
Q2 - 7:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 7:11MINMISS Peeler 17' Jump Shot37
42.2%
36
57.8%
Q2 - 7:27SASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)37
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 7:44MINPeeler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 7:44MINPeeler OFF.Foul (P1)37
33
Q2 - 8:01SASRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)37
52.0%
33
48.0%
Q2 - 8:24MINPeeler 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q2 - 8:35MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Woods35
31
Q2 - 8:35MINSUB: Smith FOR Jackson35
31
Q2 - 8:35SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan35
31
Q2 - 8:3535
31
Q2 - 8:35SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)35
52.0%
31
48.0%
Q2 - 8:56MINJackson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Avery 1 AST)35
49.4%
31
50.6%
Q2 - 9:10SASPorter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)33
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 9:29MINPeeler 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 9:53SASPorter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)31
48.8%
28
51.2%
Q2 - 10:01SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q2 - 10:04MINDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)31
54.5%
25
45.5%
Q2 - 10:06MINJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 10:09MINMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot31
54.5%
25
45.5%
Q2 - 10:17MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 10:19SASMISS Ferry 15' Jump Shot31
55.6%
25
44.4%
Q2 - 10:44MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)31
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q2 - 11:02MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 11:04MINMISS Avery 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q2 - 11:18SASFerry P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
25
Q2 - 11:35SASDuncan 3' Layup (4 PTS)28
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 11:49MINWoods P.FOUL (P2.T1)28
23
Q2 - 12:0028
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN28
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASPorter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)28
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MINSUB: Avery FOR Billups28
23
Q1 - 0:09.0MINWoods P.FOUL (P1.T4)28
23
Q1 - 0:20.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
50.3%
23
49.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MINMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot28
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)28
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)28
57.7%
20
42.3%
Q1 - 1:13SASRobinson 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:31MINBillups 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
54.7%
18
45.3%
Q1 - 1:42MINSUB: Woods FOR Nesterovic23
18
Q1 - 1:42SASSUB: Ferry FOR Smith23
18
Q1 - 1:42SASRobinson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)23
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 2:02MINBillups 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 2:19SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 2:19MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
17
Q1 - 2:19MINBillups S.FOUL (P1.T3)21
17
Q1 - 2:19SASSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)21
49.1%
17
50.9%
Q1 - 2:24SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 2:26MINMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot21
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 2:47SASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)21
53.7%
15
46.3%
Q1 - 3:08MINJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
58.2%
12
41.8%
Q1 - 3:08MINJackson 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
58.2%
12
41.8%
Q1 - 3:11MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot19
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 3:24SASRobinson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 3:41MINJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)19
58.2%
10
41.8%
Q1 - 3:41MINJackson OFF.Foul (P1)19
10
Q1 - 3:47MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
60.4%
10
39.6%
Q1 - 3:49SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot19
59.8%
10
40.2%
Q1 - 4:08MINGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)19
56.0%
10
44.0%
Q1 - 4:22MINTimberwolves Rebound17
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 4:40MINSUB: Peeler FOR Szczerbiak17
10
Q1 - 4:40MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)17
51.8%
10
48.2%
Q1 - 4:47MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
53.9%
10
46.1%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup17
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 5:02MINSUB: Jackson FOR Smith17
10
Q1 - 5:02SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker17
10
Q1 - 5:02SASSUB: Daniels FOR Smith17
10
Q1 - 5:02MINSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T4)17
51.1%
10
48.9%
Q1 - 5:02MINSmith OFF.Foul (P2)17
10
Q1 - 5:13SASSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)17
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 5:28MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 5:28MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
50.6%
10
49.4%
Q1 - 5:28SASSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
10
Q1 - 5:41SASDuncan 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
49.2%
10
50.8%
Q1 - 5:56MINBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 6:03MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot13
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 6:21MINNesterovic L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)13
8
Q1 - 6:21SASSPURS Rebound13
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:21MINSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)13
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 6:26SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)13
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 6:37MINGarnett 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)13
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 6:46MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 6:48SASMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 111
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:48MINSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
8
Q1 - 6:48SASSmith 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 7:05MINSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)11
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 7:28SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 7:32MINSmith STEAL (1 STL)8
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 7:49SASRobinson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 8:09MINGarnett 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 8:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)6
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 8:31SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 8:34MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 8:34MINMISS Nesterovic 3' Tip Shot6
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 8:36MINMISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot6
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 8:50SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 9:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:03MINMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot6
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 9:12SASSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)6
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 9:15MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 9:15MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 9:15SASRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 9:31SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 9:48MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 9:48MINSmith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 9:51MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:05MINTimberwolves Rebound2
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:05SASMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:26MINBillups Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:26MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Smith 3' Layup2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:42MINRobinson STEAL (1 STL)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:45MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:48MINMISS Szczerbiak 16' Turnaround Jump Shot2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 11:10SASSmith 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:18SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:20MINMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:34SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 11:49MINGarnett 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Garnett: Tip to Billups0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.20 60.2%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
18
27
67%
SAS
13
29
45%
Midrange
MIN
20
44
45%
SAS
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
SAS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIN
15
15
100%
SAS
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett3068%15.0 / 22
A. Peeler1794%8.5 / 9
W. Szczerbiak1458%7.0 / 12
R. Nesterovic1250%6.0 / 12
C. Billups1250%6.0 / 12
M. Jackson1169%5.5 / 8
W. Avery750%3.5 / 7
J. Smith433%2.0 / 6
F. Lopez375%1.5 / 2
S. Mitchell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2554%12.5 / 23
D. Robinson1354%6.5 / 12
T. Porter12150%6.0 / 4
M. Rose1045%5.0 / 11
A. Daniels857%4.0 / 7
C. Smith660%3.0 / 5
D. Ferry6100%3.0 / 3
S. Smith422%2.0 / 9
T. Parker233%1.0 / 3
C. Parks250%1.0 / 2
S. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
75
+16
-17
91
SAS
71
+10
-22
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.20 60.2%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.9
MIN 121.7 +27.1
SAS 94.6
Pace
92.8
92.4
MIN 90.7
SAS 94.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.5
MIN 15.9
SAS 15.3 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
49.2%
MIN 58.4% +7.0%
SAS 51.4%
TO %
14.0%
14.8%
MIN 15.9% −6.0%
SAS 21.9%
ORB %
31.3%
27.2%
MIN 43.2% +29.4%
SAS 13.8%
FTrt
25.5
35.3
MIN 18.1
SAS 27.1 +9.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
56.4%
MIN 51.1%
SAS 54.5% +3.4%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
MIN 6.5%
SAS 6.5%
BLK %
8.0%
9.5%
MIN 15.8% +8.8%
SAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
51.2%
MIN 60.2% +6.5%
SAS 53.7%
Rim FG%
59.4%
60.3%
MIN 66.7% +21.9%
SAS 44.8%
Mid FG%
42.1%
37.6%
MIN 45.5%
SAS 50.0% +4.5%
3P %
37.8%
36.2%
MIN 58.3% +12.1%
SAS 46.2%
FT %
79.8%
74.2%
MIN 100.0% +15.8%
SAS 84.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.8%
37.2%
MIN 32.5%
SAS 41.4% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
58.0%
43.8%
MIN 53.0%
SAS 40.0% −13.0%
3P Att. %
15.2%
19.0%
MIN 14.5%
SAS 18.6% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINSAS
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points11288
Rebounds4125
Assists2318
Steals66
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (0)4 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (5)21 (1)
Field Goals45-8333-70
At-the-Rim FG18-2713-29
Midrange FG20-4414-28
2-Point FG38-7127-57
3-Point FG7-126-13
Free Throws15-1516-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 26
41.0
30
68%
11
5
1
1
4
2
4
7
2-2
100%
11-19
58%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 26
39.5
12
50%
11
0
0
7
3
3
4
7
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
31.5
14
58%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
6-6
100%
1-6
17%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
30.0
12
50%
4
5
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
20.4
4
33%
3
2
0
1
2
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 32
29.4
17
94%
4
3
1
0
1
3
2
2
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 253 · 27
20.6
11
69%
5
0
1
0
2
5
3
2
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 23
18.0
7
50%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 24
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 38
2.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27
1.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
41
23
6
9
17
0
16
25
15-15
100%
38-71
54%
7-12
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.