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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 28, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies21%8970
16Jazz79%99114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
34.6
24.2
15
55%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
3-4
75%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
34.1
39.6
12
36%
7
2
3
1
1
5
4
3
2-2
100%
5-14
4-10
36%
43%
0-2
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.5
32.8
29.0
5
28%
3
3
1
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
29.6
32.8
5
21%
7
0
0
1
3
4
2
5
1-2
50%
2-11
6-12
18%
51%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
27.2
30.3
6
32%
7
1
0
1
0
4
4
3
0-1
0%
3-9
5-11
33%
44%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.6
29.4
28.6
11
39%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-9
56%
3-6
2-5
50%
39%
0-4
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.3
22.3
20.1
7
62%
6
0
1
1
2
1
3
3
5-6
83%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
22.2
12.1
7
55%
5
1
2
0
1
1
3
2
7-10
70%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.9
8.0
9.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.3
12.1
1
1-3
42%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.0
9.9
0
1-2
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.3
8.7
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.6
27.1
31.8
10
73%
6
9
3
2
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
7-15
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.2
26.3
21.5
8
58%
9
0
0
1
0
1
6
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.2
24.6
25.7
13
81%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
19.3
21.2
7
45%
1
1
1
1
6
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 39.9
18.4
24.8
5
47%
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
0-3
4-7
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Rusty LaRue
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
29.6
20.8
12
71%
1
12
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
23.4
20.8
13
72%
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
22.4
17.6
20
54%
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-6
67%
8-15
3-6
53%
55%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.0
17.6
10.6
4
53%
10
2
1
0
0
2
4
6
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.6
14.4
19.5
6
50%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 20.9
9.0
10.8
6
100%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.3
8.0
15.4
10
79%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.