Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies30%9283
28Nuggets70%9896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
39.6
36.8
10
60%
6
1
5
1
1
2
1
5
1-3
33%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
36.0
31.3
26
83%
6
6
0
1
3
3
2
4
14-15
93%
6-9
6-11
67%
51%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
27.8
28.7
14
44%
10
0
1
0
0
2
5
5
6-9
67%
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
0-0
-
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.0
26.4
9.8
10
85%
3
1
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
44%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.5
22.1
30.6
6
44%
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
30.8
28.7
8
31%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.6
28.4
28.5
5
32%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.3
20.7
21.0
4
67%
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
8.2
16.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.3
10.5
1
1-3
43%
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.9
8.9
0
1-2
47%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.3
8.5
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
35.6
22.2
11
53%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
33.9
36.1
24
67%
9
3
2
1
1
2
3
6
8-9
89%
8-14
7-14
57%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.5
24.5
26.6
22
83%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
40%
3-6
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.3
24.3
13.4
2
50%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
18.9
31.8
7
51%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.5
28.4
9.3
5
30%
4
0
2
0
2
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-8
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.1
25.7
32.0
12
61%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
1-4
25%
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.8
18.5
27.6
2
33%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
10.3
19.4
5
43%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.3
8.1
10.2
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.9
7.7
10.4
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.8
4.1
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.