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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 2, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat27%92109
5Mavericks73%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
39.7
35.4
26
81%
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
7
5-7
71%
6-10
5-10
60%
45%
3-3
100%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
32.6
29.0
11
47%
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.1
30.1
28.3
23
65%
11
2
2
0
3
3
2
9
3-4
75%
10-16
5-10
63%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
29.8
28.7
7
51%
4
1
3
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.8
23.4
18.5
7
51%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
27.4
31.7
12
68%
6
5
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
20.0
17.4
2
25%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.5
18.9
14.4
19
86%
7
3
0
0
1
4
2
5
7-7
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
12.1
11.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.7
2.1
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
1.9
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
1.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.0
40.8
37.9
25
70%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
9-13
6-13
69%
48%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
33.5
32.1
21
57%
6
1
0
1
2
4
1
5
6-8
75%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.1
29.4
26.2
16
56%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.3
18.7
22.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
12.1
12.5
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
27.3
22.7
3
17%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-5
3-6
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
21.9
18.1
8
52%
7
1
1
1
0
1
4
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
19.3
28.0
6
34%
4
0
2
1
1
1
3
1
2-4
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.9
14.6
15.3
2
25%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.6
14.5
8.1
12
60%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
4-6
67%
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27.3
7.8
8.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.8
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.