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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 2, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Timberwolves41%97116
12Jazz59%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
42.2
38.3
26
73%
11
4
4
1
3
1
1
10
10-11
91%
8-12
7-15
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.0
29.5
39.2
17
64%
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
5-9
6-12
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.4
29.1
32.3
9
40%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
12.8
28.3
8
80%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-9
80%
48%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
10.3
25.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.1
27.2
20.7
10
58%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
6-6
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 32.3
26.8
23.9
7
44%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.4
22.9
5.9
17
78%
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
7-9
78%
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
0-0
-
William Avery
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.6
18.9
13.1
14
63%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-8
1-2
63%
42%
0-1
0%
Sam Mitchell
F · 6'7" 215 · 38.5
17.8
4.7
6
77%
5
1
2
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Felipe Lopez
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
2.6
4.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.7
4.1
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.2
43.5
24.9
25
58%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
9-10
90%
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.6
41.5
28.8
25
59%
12
6
1
1
0
3
3
9
9-12
75%
8-16
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
37.2
20.2
13
57%
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
6-10
60%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 39.9
34.1
21.1
21
56%
5
9
3
1
0
4
0
5
5-6
83%
8-14
3-6
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.2
14.4
23.6
2
20%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
19.6
21.9
4
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
16.8
20.3
7
52%
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
0
2-4
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
1-1
100%
Rusty LaRue
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
13.9
24.6
8
80%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
2-4
50%
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.6
11.9
16.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.0
7.1
14.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.3
11.4
0
1-3
44%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 20.9
10.0
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.