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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 9, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat58%8993
28Grizzlies42%8788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.1
38.4
29.9
18
54%
7
2
0
0
6
2
3
4
4-6
67%
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
37.2
37.6
16
66%
4
4
2
2
1
1
0
4
6-7
86%
2-5
5-10
40%
45%
2-4
50%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
36.9
35.7
4
29%
10
3
0
1
0
3
3
7
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
47%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.8
32.2
23.0
10
33%
7
1
3
1
0
2
2
5
2-3
67%
4-14
3-6
29%
43%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.7
31.7
32.0
17
51%
7
5
3
1
0
0
1
6
7-8
88%
5-13
4-10
38%
44%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
26.6
29.9
18
60%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
3-8
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
20.8
12.1
10
74%
8
0
0
0
2
2
4
4
2-4
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
16.3
15.0
0
0%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.5
13.0
0
2-5
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.8
2.1
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
40.5
16.5
14
40%
16
1
2
0
1
0
8
8
0-1
0%
7-17
3-6
41%
45%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
38.0
35.7
14
33%
11
4
1
1
1
1
4
7
2-3
67%
6-20
6-12
30%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.3
34.8
20.0
19
58%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
33.8
38.7
17
91%
3
1
3
2
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
44%
4-4
100%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.0
25.0
26.8
9
85%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
4-4
3-6
100%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.3
28.8
29.9
4
14%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-12
4-10
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.3
16.2
6.5
3
28%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.3
11.5
21.2
1
57%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
5.9
6.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Ike Fontaine
· 6'4" 210 · 26.9
5.5
13.8
3
44%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.6
23.4
1
2-5
43%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.6
11.8
0
1-2
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.