Final Win Prob. pScore
2058%89
93
2842%87
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
103.39082.2
MEM logo Grizzlies
97.89099.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
88
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
88
Q4 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Buford 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound92
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 292
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMSUB: Fontaine FOR Battier92
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMBattier P.FOUL (P6.PN)92
88
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)92
88
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
85
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)90
85
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)90
85
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)90
84
Q4 - 0:18.0MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)90
83
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJackson S.FOUL (P4.PN)90
82
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)90
82
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
82
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
82
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMGasol P.FOUL (P3.PN)88
82
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)88
82
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMWright Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)88
82
Q4 - 0:24.0MEMMISS Buford Running Layup88
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)88
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHeat Rebound87
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 287
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MEMBattier P.FOUL (P5.PN)87
80
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
80
Q4 - 0:35.0MEMMISS Wright Dunk87
80
Q4 - 0:42.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)87
80
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot87
80
Q4 - 1:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
80
Q4 - 1:04MEMMISS Gasol Layup87
80
Q4 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound87
80
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Strickland Jump Shot87
80
Q4 - 1:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
80
Q4 - 1:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
80
Q4 - 1:14MEMBattier P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
80
Q4 - 1:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
80
Q4 - 1:31MEMMISS Buford 14' Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 1:47MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
80
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 1:59MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)85
80
Q4 - 1:59MEMWright P.FOUL (P3.T3)85
80
Q4 - 2:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
80
Q4 - 2:23MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 2:36MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)85
80
Q4 - 2:36MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound85
80
Q4 - 2:37MEMMISS Gasol 12' Turnaround Jump Shot85
80
Q4 - 2:50MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)85
80
Q4 - 2:52MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)85
80
Q4 - 3:05MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
80
Q4 - 3:05MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound83
79
Q4 - 3:05MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 283
79
Q4 - 3:05MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill83
79
Q4 - 3:05MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T3)83
79
Q4 - 3:21MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)83
79
Q4 - 3:43MEMWright REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)81
79
Q4 - 3:43MEMWright Layup (12 PTS)81
79
Q4 - 3:45MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 3:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
77
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 4:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
77
Q4 - 4:10MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 4:12MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound81
77
Q4 - 4:13MEMMISS Buford 13' Running Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 4:29MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS)81
77
Q4 - 4:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
77
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot79
77
Q4 - 4:58MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)79
77
Q4 - 5:06MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)79
74
Q4 - 5:30MEMWilliams 12' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
74
Q4 - 5:44MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)79
72
Q4 - 5:52MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)79
72
Q4 - 6:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
72
Q4 - 6:04MEMMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
72
Q4 - 6:19MIAMourning 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)77
72
Q4 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound75
72
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Strickland Running Layup75
72
Q4 - 6:53MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter75
72
Q4 - 6:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)75
72
Q4 - 6:55MEMBattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)75
72
Q4 - 7:06MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
69
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
69
Q4 - 7:23MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
69
Q4 - 7:25MEMMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
69
Q4 - 7:28MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
69
Q4 - 7:31MEMMISS Buford Layup75
69
Q4 - 7:37MIABattier STEAL (3 STL)75
69
Q4 - 7:57MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
69
Q4 - 8:02MIABuford STEAL (2 STL)75
66
Q4 - 8:14MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson75
66
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound75
66
Q4 - 8:17MEMMISS Buford 11' Running Jump Shot75
66
Q4 - 8:33MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)75
66
Q4 - 8:33MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P3)75
66
Q4 - 8:55MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)75
66
Q4 - 8:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania75
65
Q4 - 8:55MEMSUB: Battier FOR Fontaine75
65
Q4 - 8:55MEMSUB: Williams FOR Knight75
65
Q4 - 8:5575
65
Q4 - 8:55MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T2)75
65
Q4 - 8:55MEMGasol Layup (13 PTS)75
65
Q4 - 8:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
63
Q4 - 9:00MEMMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot75
63
Q4 - 9:05MEMWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)75
63
Q4 - 9:06MEMMISS Buford 21' Jump Shot75
63
Q4 - 9:34MIAStepania Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)75
63
Q4 - 9:38MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
63
Q4 - 9:40MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
63
Q4 - 9:40MEMMISS Buford Tip Shot73
63
Q4 - 9:41MEMMISS Fontaine Layup73
63
Q4 - 9:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
63
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot73
63
Q4 - 10:14MIAHeat Rebound73
63
Q4 - 10:14MEMMISS Wright 6' Hook Shot73
63
Q4 - 10:15MEMWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)73
63
Q4 - 10:18MEMMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot73
63
Q4 - 10:26MEMSUB: Wright FOR Swift73
63
Q4 - 10:26MEMKnight Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)73
63
Q4 - 10:26MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )73
62
Q4 - 10:39MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
62
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot73
62
Q4 - 10:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
62
Q4 - 10:51MEMMISS Fontaine 3PT Jump Shot73
62
Q4 - 10:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
62
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Jackson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot73
62
Q4 - 11:09MEMFontaine P.FOUL (P1.T2)73
62
Q4 - 11:21MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound73
62
Q4 - 11:21MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
62
Q4 - 11:21MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 273
61
Q4 - 11:21MIAStepania S.FOUL (P3.T1)73
61
Q4 - 11:40MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
61
Q4 - 11:40MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
61
Q4 - 11:40MEMBuford S.FOUL (P1.T1)71
61
Q4 - 11:43MEMSwift Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
61
Q4 - 12:0071
61
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM71
61
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
61
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Buford 49' 3PT Jump Shot71
61
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABuford STEAL (1 STL)71
61
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAGRIZZLIES Violation: Delay of game Violation71
61
Q3 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones71
61
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
61
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMKnight OFF.Foul (P1)71
61
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)71
61
Q3 - 0:38.0MEMWright Running Dunk (10 PTS)68
61
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWright STEAL (2 STL)68
59
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMFontaine Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)68
59
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
58
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMFontaine Running Layup (2 PTS)68
58
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
56
Q3 - 1:24MEMWright 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fontaine 1 AST)66
56
Q3 - 1:33MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
54
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot66
54
Q3 - 1:51MEMSwift Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)66
54
Q3 - 1:57MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T4)66
54
Q3 - 2:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
54
Q3 - 2:15MEMSUB: Fontaine FOR Battier65
54
Q3 - 2:15MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
54
Q3 - 2:15MIASUB: Carter FOR Grant64
54
Q3 - 2:15MIASUB: Mourning FOR Strickland64
54
Q3 - 2:15MEMWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)64
54
Q3 - 2:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
54
Q3 - 2:35MEMMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot64
54
Q3 - 3:03MIAJones 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)64
54
Q3 - 3:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
54
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot62
54
Q3 - 3:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
54
Q3 - 3:35MEMMISS Buford 5' Jump Shot62
54
Q3 - 3:46MEMSUB: Swift FOR Gasol62
54
Q3 - 3:46MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
54
Q3 - 3:46MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P1)62
54
Q3 - 3:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
54
Q3 - 3:59MEMMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot62
54
Q3 - 4:11MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
54
Q3 - 4:11MEMSUB: Knight FOR Williams61
54
Q3 - 4:11MIAHeat Rebound61
54
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 261
54
Q3 - 4:11MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T4)61
54
Q3 - 4:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
54
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot61
54
Q3 - 4:26MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
54
Q3 - 4:30MEMMISS Buford Tip Shot61
54
Q3 - 4:32MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
54
Q3 - 4:36MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot61
54
Q3 - 5:03MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS)61
54
Q3 - 5:08MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)59
54
Q3 - 5:13MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
54
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot59
54
Q3 - 5:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
54
Q3 - 5:34MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 259
54
Q3 - 5:34MEMSUB: Buford FOR Long59
54
Q3 - 5:34MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
54
Q3 - 5:34MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
53
Q3 - 5:52MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)59
53
Q3 - 6:10MEMWilliams 14' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
53
Q3 - 6:31MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill57
51
Q3 - 6:31MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)57
51
Q3 - 6:33MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
51
Q3 - 6:39MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
51
Q3 - 6:41MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot55
51
Q3 - 6:53MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
51
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 155
51
Q3 - 6:55MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning55
51
Q3 - 6:55MEMLong S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
51
Q3 - 6:55MIAGill Layup (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)55
51
Q3 - 6:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
51
Q3 - 7:00MEMMISS Gasol Layup53
51
Q3 - 7:18MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)53
51
Q3 - 7:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
51
Q3 - 7:32MEMMISS Battier 12' Turnaround Jump Shot51
51
Q3 - 7:50MIAJones Running Layup (8 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)51
51
Q3 - 7:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
51
Q3 - 7:59MEMMISS Wright Layup49
51
Q3 - 8:02MEMWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
51
Q3 - 8:07MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot49
51
Q3 - 8:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
51
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 8:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
51
Q3 - 8:38MEMWright 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)49
51
Q3 - 8:45MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
49
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot49
49
Q3 - 9:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
49
Q3 - 9:02MEMMISS Long Free Throw 1 of 149
49
Q3 - 9:02MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
49
Q3 - 9:02MEMLong 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
49
Q3 - 9:16MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)49
47
Q3 - 9:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
47
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot49
47
Q3 - 9:54MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)49
47
Q3 - 10:10MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T7)49
44
Q3 - 10:10MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P2)49
44
Q3 - 10:26MEMBattier 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
44
Q3 - 10:52MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)49
42
Q3 - 11:03MEMWright 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
42
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
40
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
40
Q3 - 11:16MEMBattier S.FOUL (P3.T2)45
40
Q3 - 11:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
40
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Mourning Layup45
40
Q3 - 11:34MEMLong Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)45
40
Q3 - 11:41MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
40
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 245
40
Q3 - 11:42MIAHeat Rebound45
40
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 245
40
Q3 - 11:42MEMLong S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
40
Q3 - 11:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
40
Q3 - 11:43MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)45
40
Q3 - 12:0045
40
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM45
40
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)45
40
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
40
Q2 - 0:05.0MEMGasol Layup (10 PTS) (Long 2 AST)45
40
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)45
38
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
38
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Gasol Layup45
38
Q2 - 0:48.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
38
Q2 - 0:49.0MEMMISS Gasol Layup45
38
Q2 - 1:02MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)45
38
Q2 - 1:11MIAGill Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
38
Q2 - 1:15MEMWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)43
38
Q2 - 1:30MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
38
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Strickland Running Layup43
38
Q2 - 1:42MIAHeat Rebound43
38
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 2:02MEMBuford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)43
38
Q2 - 2:19MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)43
36
Q2 - 2:19MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
36
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Gill Layup43
36
Q2 - 2:21MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
36
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 2:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
36
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot43
36
Q2 - 2:50MEMSUB: Buford FOR Battier43
36
Q2 - 2:5043
36
Q2 - 2:50MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)43
36
Q2 - 3:05MEMWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
36
Q2 - 3:11MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
33
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot43
33
Q2 - 3:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
33
Q2 - 3:30MEMGasol Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
33
Q2 - 3:32MEMMISS Gasol Layup43
31
Q2 - 3:51MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
31
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Strickland 11' Jump Shot43
31
Q2 - 4:06MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)43
31
Q2 - 4:18MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson43
31
Q2 - 4:18MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania43
31
Q2 - 4:26MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot43
31
Q2 - 4:50MEMWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
31
Q2 - 4:55MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
29
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot43
29
Q2 - 5:16MEMLong 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)43
29
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
27
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
27
Q2 - 5:32MEMBattier S.FOUL (P2.T3)41
27
Q2 - 5:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
27
Q2 - 5:47MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)41
27
Q2 - 5:53MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)41
25
Q2 - 6:11MEMSUB: Long FOR Knight41
25
Q2 - 6:11MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning41
25
Q2 - 6:11MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter41
25
Q2 - 6:11MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T7)41
25
Q2 - 6:11MEMGasol OFF.Foul (P1)41
25
Q2 - 6:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
25
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot41
25
Q2 - 6:54MEMGasol Layup (4 PTS)41
25
Q2 - 6:55MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
23
Q2 - 6:56MEMMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot41
23
Q2 - 7:16MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)41
23
Q2 - 7:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
23
Q2 - 7:24MEMMISS Battier 19' Jump Shot39
23
Q2 - 7:39MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
23
Q2 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound38
23
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 238
23
Q2 - 7:39MEMBattier S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
23
Q2 - 7:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
23
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Jackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot38
23
Q2 - 7:56MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Swift38
23
Q2 - 7:56MIAHeat Rebound38
23
Q2 - 7:57MEMMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
23
Q2 - 8:04MIAStepania 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)38
23
Q2 - 8:18MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
23
Q2 - 8:18MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound36
23
Q2 - 8:18MEMMISS Wright Layup36
23
Q2 - 8:32MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
23
Q2 - 8:35MEMMISS Knight Running Layup36
23
Q2 - 8:43MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
23
Q2 - 8:43MEMSwift Violation:Defensive Goaltending36
23
Q2 - 8:43MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
23
Q2 - 8:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
23
Q2 - 8:52MEMMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot34
23
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
23
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
23
Q2 - 9:11MEMSUB: Wright FOR Massenburg32
23
Q2 - 9:11MEMSUB: Battier FOR Buford32
23
Q2 - 9:11MEMSUB: Williams FOR Long32
23
Q2 - 9:11MEMMassenburg S.FOUL (P3.T1)32
23
Q2 - 9:26MEMKnight 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
23
Q2 - 9:28MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
21
Q2 - 9:30MEMMISS Buford 20' Jump Shot32
21
Q2 - 9:51MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)32
21
Q2 - 10:09MEMMassenburg 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Long 1 AST)30
21
Q2 - 10:26MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)30
19
Q2 - 10:32MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill27
19
Q2 - 10:40MEMLong Layup (5 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)27
19
Q2 - 10:46MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
17
Q2 - 10:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
17
Q2 - 10:57MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)27
17
Q2 - 11:16MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
17
Q2 - 11:16MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound27
16
Q2 - 11:16MEMMISS Long Free Throw 1 of 227
16
Q2 - 11:16MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
16
Q2 - 11:39MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)27
16
Q2 - 12:0024
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
16
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Carter 52' 3PT Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
16
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
16
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMMassenburg 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)22
16
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
14
Q1 - 1:17MEMLong Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 1:33MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)20
12
Q1 - 1:41MEM20
12
Q1 - 1:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
12
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 2:08MEMSUB: Swift FOR Gasol20
12
Q1 - 2:08MEMMassenburg P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
12
Q1 - 2:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
12
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Grant 7' Turnaround Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 2:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12
Q1 - 2:30MEMMISS Massenburg 6' Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 2:48MIAStepania 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)20
12
Q1 - 2:52MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
12
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot18
12
Q1 - 3:06MIASUB: Stepania FOR Strickland18
12
Q1 - 3:06MIASUB: Carter FOR Mourning18
12
Q1 - 3:06MEMSUB: Massenburg FOR Battier18
12
Q1 - 3:06MEMSUB: Long FOR Williams18
12
Q1 - 3:06MEMSUB: Knight FOR Wright18
12
Q1 - 3:06MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
12
Q1 - 3:17MEMBuford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)18
12
Q1 - 3:45MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
10
Q1 - 3:51MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
10
Q1 - 4:02MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
10
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot16
10
Q1 - 4:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10
Q1 - 4:11MEMMISS Battier Layup16
10
Q1 - 4:31MIAStrickland Layup (6 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 4:33MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
10
Q1 - 4:36MIAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)14
10
Q1 - 4:48MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 5:04MIAJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
7
Q1 - 5:25MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
7
Q1 - 5:31MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones12
7
Q1 - 5:31MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)12
7
Q1 - 5:34MEMSUB: Buford FOR Long12
7
Q1 - 5:34MEMWilliams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
7
Q1 - 5:34MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )12
6
Q1 - 5:44MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 5:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
6
Q1 - 5:58MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 110
6
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 5:58MEMWright 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 5:59MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 6:01MEMMISS Gasol Layup10
4
Q1 - 6:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 6:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 6:41MEMMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 6:59MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
4
Q1 - 6:59MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound10
4
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 7:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 7:18MEMMISS Wright Layup10
4
Q1 - 7:34MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)10
4
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 7:517
4
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 7:55MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 7:55MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot7
4
Q1 - 7:59MEMMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot7
4
Q1 - 8:12MIAStrickland 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 8:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
4
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 8:44MEMWilliams Running Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 9:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 9:12MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:14MEMMISS Gasol Dunk2
2
Q1 - 9:18MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:31MEMWright P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 9:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:42MEMMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:47MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 9:54MEMLong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)2
2
Q1 - 10:05MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:09MEMMISS Gasol Dunk2
2
Q1 - 10:13MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:35MEMGasol Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:42MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:58MEMLong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 11:12MIAMourning 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:24MEMMISS Williams Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:41MEMBattier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Mourning: Tip to Long0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
24
54%
MEM
15
39
38%
Midrange
MIA
17
46
37%
MEM
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
MEM
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
21
28
75%
MEM
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning1853%9.0 / 17
J. Jackson1860%9.0 / 15
R. Strickland1750%8.5 / 17
E. Jones1667%8.0 / 12
K. Gill1031%5.0 / 16
V. Stepania1071%5.0 / 7
B. Grant429%2.0 / 7
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams1959%9.5 / 16
S. Battier1794%8.5 / 9
L. Wright1439%7.0 / 18
P. Gasol1432%7.0 / 22
G. Long975%4.5 / 6
R. Buford414%2.0 / 14
T. Massenburg467%2.0 / 3
B. Knight330%1.5 / 5
I. Fontaine338%1.5 / 4
S. Swift150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+18
-14
94
MEM
77
+22
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
95.6
MIA 103.3 +5.6
MEM 97.8
Pace
89.7
93.7
MIA 82.2
MEM 99.6 +17.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 17.5
MEM 14.5 −3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.2%
MIA 46.2% +2.9%
MEM 43.3%
TO %
15.5%
16.7%
MIA 13.4%
MEM 12.7% −0.7%
ORB %
26.7%
27.8%
MIA 34.1% +0.1%
MEM 34.0%
FTrt
26.8
28.8
MIA 35.9 +16.8
MEM 19.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.6%
MIA 67.6% +21.9%
MEM 45.7%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
MIA 8.9%
MEM 8.9%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
MIA 12.0% +7.7%
MEM 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.7%
MIA 49.5% +5.9%
MEM 43.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.1%
MIA 54.2% +15.7%
MEM 38.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.6%
MIA 37.0% +0.9%
MEM 36.1%
3P %
34.7%
30.7%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 50.0%
FT %
72.4%
70.8%
MIA 75.0% +10.3%
MEM 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.4%
MIA 30.8%
MEM 43.8% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
48.9%
MIA 59.0%
MEM 40.4% −18.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.8%
MIA 10.3%
MEM 15.7% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9388
Rebounds4744
Assists2316
Steals88
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (1)
Field Goals34-7835-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2415-39
Midrange FG17-4613-36
2-Point FG30-7028-75
3-Point FG4-87-14
Free Throws21-2811-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
38.4
18
53%
7
2
0
6
2
3
3
4
4-6
67%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.2
16
67%
4
4
2
1
1
4
0
4
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
36.9
4
29%
10
3
0
0
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
32.2
10
31%
7
1
3
0
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
31.7
17
50%
7
5
3
0
0
1
1
6
7-8
88%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
26.6
18
60%
4
2
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
50%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
20.8
10
71%
8
0
0
2
2
3
4
4
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
16.3
0
0%
0
6
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 35
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
47
23
8
9
14
0
14
33
21-28
75%
30-70
43%
4-8
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.