Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 11, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	8	Spurs	68%	97	93
	27	Nuggets	32%	91	78

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Spurs	104.5	89	91.6
Nuggets	88.6	88	85.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+10

-14

DEN

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.7%

DEN

0.87 43.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		93 100%	78 0%
Q4 - 0:06.0	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0	DEN	MISS Bateer 21' Jump Shot	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0	SAS	Parker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parks 1 AST)	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0	DEN	Hamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T17)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0	DEN	Hamilton OFF.Foul (P1)	91	78
Q4 - 0:59.0	SAS	Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0	SAS	Bryant 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	91 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:01	SAS	MISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot	89 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	DEN	Lenard Reverse Layup (10 PTS)	89 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 1:26	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	89 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:28	SAS	MISS Smith 10' Jump Shot	89 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:44	DEN	Arroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	89 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 1:49	SAS	Smith P.FOUL (P1.T3)	89	74
Q4 - 1:56	SAS	Parks Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	89 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:15	DEN	Bateer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	87 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:15	DEN	Bateer Tip Shot (7 PTS)	87 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 2:17	DEN	MISS Bateer Layup	87 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	SAS	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	87 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	SAS	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	86 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	DEN	Lenard P.FOUL (P1.PN)	85	72
Q4 - 2:37	DEN	Bateer Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	85 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 2:37	SAS	SUB: Bryant FOR Ferry	85	71
Q4 - 2:37	SAS	Ferry S.FOUL (P3.T2)	85	71
Q4 - 2:37	DEN	Bateer Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)	85 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 2:48	DEN	Bateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:53	SAS	MISS Parks 15' Fadeaway Jumper	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:01	DEN	SUB: Hamilton FOR Cheaney	85	69
Q4 - 3:01	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	85	69
Q4 - 3:01	SAS	SUB: Smith FOR Rose	85	69
Q4 - 3:15	SAS	Ferry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:18	DEN	MISS Lenard 15' Jump Shot	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:23	DEN	SUB: Bateer FOR Howard	85	69
Q4 - 3:23	SAS	SUB: Parks FOR Robinson	85	69
Q4 - 3:23	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:23	DEN	MISS Arroyo Driving Layup	85 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:43	SAS	Rose 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)	85 99.8%	69 0.2%
Q4 - 4:11	DEN	Howard Layup (14 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)	83 99.8%	69 0.2%
Q4 - 4:24	DEN	Cheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	83 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:26	SAS	MISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2	83 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:26	SAS	Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	83 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:26	DEN	Cheaney S.FOUL (P5.PN)	82	67
Q4 - 4:41	DEN	SUB: Arroyo FOR Hardaway	82	67
Q4 - 4:41	DEN	Cheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)	82 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:48	DEN	Hardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	82 99.8%	67 0.2%
Q4 - 4:51	SAS	MISS Rose 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	82 99.8%	67 0.2%
Q4 - 5:08	DEN	Lenard Layup (8 PTS)	82 99.7%	67 0.3%
Q4 - 5:12	SAS	Lenard STEAL (1 STL)	82 99.8%	65 0.2%
Q4 - 5:19	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Porter	82	65
Q4 - 5:19	DEN	Cheaney Violation:Kicked Ball	82	65
Q4 - 5:39	DEN	Lenard Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	82 99.8%	65 0.2%
Q4 - 5:52	SAS	Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	82 99.8%	65 0.2%
Q4 - 5:52	SAS	Spurs Rebound	81	65
Q4 - 5:52	SAS	MISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2	81 99.8%	65 0.2%
Q4 - 5:52	DEN	SUB: Lenard FOR McCloud	81	65
Q4 - 5:52			81	65
Q4 - 5:52	DEN	McCloud S.FOUL (P3.T4)	81	65
Q4 - 5:57	DEN	Hardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)	81 99.8%	65 0.2%
Q4 - 6:00	DEN	McCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	81 99.7%	65 0.3%
Q4 - 6:03	SAS	Howard BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 99.5%	65 0.5%
Q4 - 6:19	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	81 99.6%	65 0.4%
Q4 - 6:21	DEN	MISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 99.6%	65 0.4%
Q4 - 6:25	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	81 99.5%	65 0.5%
Q4 - 6:28	SAS	MISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot	81 99.6%	65 0.4%
Q4 - 6:40	DEN	SUB: Hardaway FOR Bateer	81	65
Q4 - 6:40	DEN	Bateer L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)	81	65
Q4 - 6:40	SAS	Spurs Rebound	81 99.6%	65 0.4%
Q4 - 6:40	DEN	MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 99.6%	65 0.4%
Q4 - 6:59	SAS	Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Porter 6 AST)	81 99.5%	65 0.5%
Q4 - 7:25	DEN	Cheaney 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)	78 98.8%	65 1.2%
Q4 - 7:52	SAS	Rose Dunk (15 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)	78 99.1%	63 0.9%
Q4 - 7:54	SAS	Daniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	76 98.9%	63 1.1%
Q4 - 7:59	DEN	MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot	76 98.7%	63 1.3%
Q4 - 8:20	DEN	SUB: Howard FOR Harvey	76	63
Q4 - 8:20	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)	76	63
Q4 - 8:22	SAS	Rose 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Porter 5 AST)	76 98.1%	63 1.9%
Q4 - 8:24	SAS	Porter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 97.5%	63 2.5%
Q4 - 8:27	SAS	MISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 97.1%	63 2.9%
Q4 - 8:32	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	74 97.5%	63 2.5%
Q4 - 8:35	DEN	MISS Harvey 13' Jump Shot	74 97.3%	63 2.7%
Q4 - 8:53	SAS	Daniels 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)	74 96.9%	63 3.1%
Q4 - 9:01	DEN	SUB: Posey FOR Bowen	72	63
Q4 - 9:01	DEN	Bateer P.FOUL (P2.T2)	72	63
Q4 - 9:09	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	72 95.2%	63 4.8%
Q4 - 9:15	SAS	Harvey BLOCK (1 BLK)	72 94.5%	63 5.5%
Q4 - 9:31	DEN	Cheaney 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McCloud 11 AST)	72 95.3%	63 4.7%
Q4 - 9:39	DEN	McCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 96.3%	61 3.7%
Q4 - 9:42	SAS	MISS Ferry 23' Jump Shot	72 96.5%	61 3.5%
Q4 - 10:06	DEN	Harvey Foul Turnover (P1.T13)	72 96.6%	61 3.4%
Q4 - 10:06	DEN	Harvey OFF.Foul (P4)	72	61
Q4 - 10:23	SAS	Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Porter 4 AST)	72 95.7%	61 4.3%
Q4 - 10:31	SAS	SUB: Robinson FOR Duncan	69	61
Q4 - 10:31	DEN	Harvey P.FOUL (P3.T1)	69	61
Q4 - 10:44	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	69	61
Q4 - 10:46	DEN	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 1	69 93.3%	61 6.7%
Q4 - 10:46	DEN	SUB: Bateer FOR Howard	69	61
Q4 - 10:46	SAS	Duncan S.FOUL (P3.T1)	69	61
Q4 - 10:46	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	69 93.5%	61 6.5%
Q4 - 10:46	DEN	Bowen Layup (8 PTS)	69 93.5%	61 6.5%
Q4 - 10:47	DEN	MISS Cheaney 7' Running Hook Shot	69 95.5%	59 4.5%
Q4 - 10:50	DEN	Cheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 94.7%	59 5.3%
Q4 - 10:54	SAS	MISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 95.1%	59 4.9%
Q4 - 10:56	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	69 95.8%	59 4.2%
Q4 - 11:00	DEN	MISS Howard 7' Fadeaway Jumper	69 95.5%	59 4.5%
Q4 - 11:24	SAS	Rose Layup (11 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)	69 94.2%	59 5.8%
Q4 - 11:33	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 92.8%	59 7.2%
Q4 - 11:40	DEN	MISS Howard 6' Running Hook Shot	67 92.4%	59 7.6%
Q4 - 12:00			67	59
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		67 91.4%	59 8.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	67 92.8%	59 7.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Porter 38' 3PT Jump Shot	67 91.8%	59 8.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0	DEN	Howard 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McCloud 10 AST)	67 92.1%	59 7.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0	SAS	Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)	67 93.6%	57 6.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0	SAS	Ferry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	64 90.5%	57 9.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0	SAS	Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK)	64 89.4%	57 10.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0	SAS	Porter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 90.5%	57 9.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0	DEN	MISS Hardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot	64 90.0%	57 10.0%
Q3 - 1:16	SAS	Rose 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)	64 88.2%	57 11.8%
Q3 - 1:29	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	62 85.8%	57 14.2%
Q3 - 1:31	DEN	MISS McCloud 20' Jump Shot	62 85.2%	57 14.8%
Q3 - 1:43	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	62 83.5%	57 16.5%
Q3 - 1:44	SAS	MISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot	62 84.3%	57 15.7%
Q3 - 2:05	DEN	Howard 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McCloud 9 AST)	62 85.5%	57 14.5%
Q3 - 2:22	SAS	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	62 87.7%	55 12.3%
Q3 - 2:22	SAS	Spurs Rebound	61	55
Q3 - 2:22	SAS	MISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2	61 87.3%	55 12.7%
Q3 - 2:22	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	61	55
Q3 - 2:22	DEN	Harvey S.FOUL (P2.PN)	61	55
Q3 - 2:35	DEN	Howard 3' Layup (8 PTS)	61 87.7%	55 12.3%
Q3 - 2:37	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	61 89.6%	53 10.4%
Q3 - 2:40	DEN	MISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 90.7%	53 9.3%
Q3 - 2:47	DEN	Harvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 89.6%	53 10.4%
Q3 - 2:50	SAS	MISS Ferry 20' Jump Shot	61 90.1%	53 9.9%
Q3 - 2:56	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	61 91.2%	53 8.8%
Q3 - 2:59	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	61 89.6%	53 10.4%
Q3 - 2:59	DEN	MISS Howard 5' Hook Shot	61 90.7%	53 9.3%
Q3 - 3:04	DEN	MISS Hardaway Driving Finger Roll	61 90.6%	53 9.4%
Q3 - 3:15	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	61 89.4%	53 10.6%
Q3 - 3:15	SAS	Spurs Rebound	60	53
Q3 - 3:15	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	60 89.1%	53 10.9%
Q3 - 3:15	SAS	SUB: Rose FOR Robinson	60	53
Q3 - 3:15	DEN	McCloud L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)	60	53
Q3 - 3:15	SAS	Spurs Rebound	60 89.5%	53 10.5%
Q3 - 3:16	SAS	MISS Porter 19' Jump Shot	60 88.2%	53 11.8%
Q3 - 3:34	DEN	Hardaway Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)	60 89.5%	53 10.5%
Q3 - 3:51	DEN	Harvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	60 87.5%	53 12.5%
Q3 - 3:52	SAS	MISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2	60 87.8%	53 12.2%
Q3 - 3:52	SAS	Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	60 88.9%	53 11.1%
Q3 - 3:52	SAS	SUB: Ferry FOR Bowen	59	53
Q3 - 3:52	DEN	SUB: Harvey FOR McDyess	59	53
Q3 - 3:52	DEN	Howard S.FOUL (P3.T4)	59	53
Q3 - 4:02	DEN	McDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	59 87.3%	53 12.7%
Q3 - 4:02	DEN	McDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	59 87.7%	52 12.3%
Q3 - 4:02	SAS	SUB: Porter FOR Parker	59	51
Q3 - 4:02	SAS	Duncan P.FOUL (P2.PN)	59	51
Q3 - 4:18	SAS	Daniels Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	59 88.9%	51 11.1%
Q3 - 4:20	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	57 87.4%	51 12.6%
Q3 - 4:23	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	57 84.9%	51 15.1%
Q3 - 4:23	DEN	MISS Bowen Tip Shot	57 86.7%	51 13.3%
Q3 - 4:26	DEN	MISS Hardaway Driving Layup	57 86.7%	51 13.3%
Q3 - 4:38	SAS	Bowen STEAL (2 STL)	57 85.0%	51 15.0%
Q3 - 4:55	DEN	McDyess Layup (17 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)	57 87.4%	51 12.6%
Q3 - 4:59	DEN	Hardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	57 88.9%	49 11.1%
Q3 - 5:01	SAS	MISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot	57 88.9%	49 11.1%
Q3 - 5:22	SAS	Spurs Rebound	57 90.2%	49 9.8%
Q3 - 5:22	SAS	MISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot	57 89.0%	49 11.0%
Q3 - 5:24	SAS	Daniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	57 90.2%	49 9.8%
Q3 - 5:28	SAS	McDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)	57 89.0%	49 11.0%
Q3 - 5:48	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Lenard	57	49
Q3 - 5:48	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)	57	49
Q3 - 5:48	DEN	Lenard Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)	57 90.2%	49 9.8%
Q3 - 6:02	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	57 88.2%	49 11.8%
Q3 - 6:02	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	57 88.7%	49 11.3%
Q3 - 6:15	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	57 89.9%	49 10.1%
Q3 - 6:18	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 88.2%	49 11.8%
Q3 - 6:18	DEN	MISS Howard Tip Shot	57 89.4%	49 10.6%
Q3 - 6:20	DEN	MISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot	57 89.4%	49 10.6%
Q3 - 6:27	SAS	McCloud STEAL (1 STL)	57 88.2%	49 11.8%
Q3 - 6:28	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57 89.9%	49 10.1%
Q3 - 6:33	DEN	MISS Howard 11' Hook Shot	57 89.4%	49 10.6%
Q3 - 6:42	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	57 88.2%	49 11.8%
Q3 - 7:07	DEN	Hardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McCloud 8 AST)	57 89.3%	49 10.7%
Q3 - 7:07	DEN	SUB: McCloud FOR Cheaney	57	46
Q3 - 7:07	SAS	SUB: Daniels FOR Smith	57	46
Q3 - 7:07	DEN		57	46
Q3 - 7:07	DEN		57	46
Q3 - 7:22	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57 91.9%	46 8.1%
Q3 - 7:24	SAS	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	57 92.2%	46 7.8%
Q3 - 7:39	DEN	Lenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	57 93.0%	46 7.0%
Q3 - 7:39	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	57	45
Q3 - 7:39	DEN	MISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 2	57 93.2%	45 6.8%
Q3 - 7:39	SAS	Smith S.FOUL (P3.T4)	57	45
Q3 - 7:50	SAS	Bowen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)	57 93.0%	45 7.0%
Q3 - 8:11	DEN	Howard L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)	57	45
Q3 - 8:11	SAS	Spurs Rebound	57 93.7%	45 6.3%
Q3 - 8:13	DEN	MISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot	57 93.4%	45 6.6%
Q3 - 8:28	DEN	Hardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	57 92.7%	45 7.3%
Q3 - 8:30	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	57 93.0%	45 7.0%
Q3 - 8:50	DEN	Lenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	57 93.7%	45 6.3%
Q3 - 8:50	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	57	44
Q3 - 8:50	DEN	MISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 2	57 93.9%	44 6.1%
Q3 - 8:50	SAS	Parker S.FOUL (P1.T3)	57	44
Q3 - 9:00	SAS	Duncan P.FOUL (P1.T2)	57	44
Q3 - 9:15	SAS	Robinson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	57 93.5%	44 6.5%
Q3 - 9:26	DEN	McDyess P.FOUL (P2.T2)	55	44
Q3 - 9:37	DEN	Lenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	55 92.6%	44 7.4%
Q3 - 9:37	SAS	Robinson Violation:Lane	55	43
Q3 - 9:37	DEN	Lenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	55 92.8%	43 7.2%
Q3 - 9:37	SAS	Bowen S.FOUL (P1.T1)	55	42
Q3 - 9:50	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	55 93.5%	42 6.5%
Q3 - 9:50	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	54 93.3%	42 6.7%
Q3 - 9:50	DEN	McDyess S.FOUL (P1.T1)	53	42
Q3 - 10:10	DEN	Lenard Driving Layup (2 PTS)	53 92.2%	42 7.8%
Q3 - 10:15	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	53 93.2%	40 6.8%
Q3 - 10:15	DEN	MISS Hardaway Driving Layup	53 93.8%	40 6.2%
Q3 - 10:31	SAS	Duncan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	53 93.2%	40 6.8%
Q3 - 10:37	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 92.3%	40 7.7%
Q3 - 10:42	DEN	MISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 91.9%	40 8.1%
Q3 - 10:57	SAS	Parker Layup (4 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)	51 91.2%	40 8.8%
Q3 - 11:11	SAS	Spurs Rebound	49 89.9%	40 10.1%
Q3 - 11:12	DEN	MISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot	49 89.4%	40 10.6%
Q3 - 11:33	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 88.4%	40 11.6%
Q3 - 11:36	SAS	Hardaway BLOCK (1 BLK)	49 88.9%	40 11.1%
Q3 - 12:00			49	40
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN		49 89.9%	40 10.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	49 88.4%	40 11.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Howard 15' Fadeaway Jumper	49 89.4%	40 10.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0	DEN	SUB: Hardaway FOR Bowen	49	40
Q2 - 0:24.0	SAS	Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	49 88.4%	40 11.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0	DEN	McDyess 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)	49 89.5%	40 10.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0	SAS	SUB: Bryant FOR Robinson	49	38
Q2 - 0:51.0	SAS	Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	49 90.9%	38 9.1%
Q2 - 1:08	DEN	Bowen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McCloud 7 AST)	49 91.5%	38 8.5%
Q2 - 1:24	SAS	Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	49 92.8%	36 7.2%
Q2 - 1:24	DEN	SUB: Lenard FOR Posey	48	36
Q2 - 1:24	SAS	Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	48 92.5%	36 7.5%
Q2 - 1:24	DEN	Posey S.FOUL (P3.PN)	47	36
Q2 - 1:42	DEN	Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	47 91.5%	36 8.5%
Q2 - 1:42	DEN	Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	47 91.7%	35 8.3%
Q2 - 1:42	SAS	Smith S.FOUL (P2.PN)	47	34
Q2 - 1:47	SAS	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	47 92.8%	34 7.2%
Q2 - 2:06	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	47	34
Q2 - 2:06	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	47 93.3%	34 6.7%
Q2 - 2:06	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	47 92.4%	34 7.6%
Q2 - 2:06	DEN	MISS Howard 12' Jump Shot	47 93.0%	34 7.0%
Q2 - 2:35	SAS	Smith 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	47 92.4%	34 7.6%
Q2 - 3:01	DEN	McDyess Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (McCloud 6 AST)	44 90.4%	34 9.6%
Q2 - 3:05	SAS	SUB: Bowen FOR Daniels	44	32
Q2 - 3:05	SAS	Robinson P.FOUL (P2.T4)	44	32
Q2 - 3:16	SAS	Duncan Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	44 91.3%	32 8.7%
Q2 - 3:20	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42 90.4%	32 9.6%
Q2 - 3:24	DEN	MISS Posey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	42 90.0%	32 10.0%
Q2 - 3:41	SAS	Daniels Driving Layup (9 PTS)	42 89.1%	32 10.9%
Q2 - 3:58	DEN	McDyess 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (McCloud 5 AST)	40 88.0%	32 12.0%
Q2 - 4:10	DEN	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	40 89.0%	30 11.0%
Q2 - 4:13	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	40 89.4%	30 10.6%
Q2 - 4:31	DEN	Bowen Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (McCloud 4 AST)	40 90.2%	30 9.8%
Q2 - 4:46	SAS	Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)	40 91.2%	28 8.8%
Q2 - 5:05	DEN	Bowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)	38 90.0%	28 10.0%
Q2 - 5:23	DEN	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 91.1%	26 8.9%
Q2 - 5:26	SAS	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	38 91.4%	26 8.6%
Q2 - 5:43	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)	38	26
Q2 - 5:43	SAS	Spurs Rebound	38 92.0%	26 8.0%
Q2 - 5:45	DEN	MISS Howard 17' Jump Shot	38 91.7%	26 8.3%
Q2 - 5:52	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 91.1%	26 8.9%
Q2 - 5:55	SAS	MISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot	38 91.4%	26 8.6%
Q2 - 6:04	DEN	SUB: Posey FOR Cheaney	38	26
Q2 - 6:04	SAS	SUB: Smith FOR Ferry	38	26
Q2 - 6:04	DEN	Cheaney P.FOUL (P3.T4)	38	26
Q2 - 6:18	DEN	McDyess 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)	38 91.7%	26 8.3%
Q2 - 6:38	SAS	Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)	38 92.4%	24 7.6%
Q2 - 6:44	DEN	McDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	35 90.8%	24 9.2%
Q2 - 6:46	SAS	McDyess STEAL (1 STL)	35 89.6%	24 10.4%
Q2 - 7:02	DEN	McDyess 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)	35 90.7%	24 9.3%
Q2 - 7:09	SAS	SUB: Duncan FOR Rose	35	22
Q2 - 7:09	DEN	SUB: Howard FOR Harvey	35	22
Q2 - 7:09	SAS	Ferry L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)	35	22
Q2 - 7:09	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	35 91.6%	22 8.4%
Q2 - 7:10	DEN	MISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot	35 92.2%	22 7.8%
Q2 - 7:24	SAS	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	35 91.5%	22 8.5%
Q2 - 7:24	DEN	SUB: McDyess FOR Bateer	34	22
Q2 - 7:24	SAS	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	34 91.4%	22 8.6%
Q2 - 7:24	DEN	McCloud S.FOUL (P1.T3)	33	22
Q2 - 7:26	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 90.7%	22 9.3%
Q2 - 7:30	DEN	MISS Cheaney 15' Fadeaway Jumper	33 90.4%	22 9.6%
Q2 - 7:45	SAS	Rose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	33 89.6%	22 10.4%
Q2 - 7:45	DEN	SUB: Cheaney FOR Arroyo	32	22
Q2 - 7:45	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Porter	32	22
Q2 - 7:45	DEN	Bateer S.FOUL (P1.T2)	32	22
Q2 - 7:45	SAS	Rose Layup (6 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)	32 88.5%	22 11.5%
Q2 - 7:58	DEN	Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	30 87.4%	22 12.6%
Q2 - 7:58	DEN	Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 87.6%	21 12.4%
Q2 - 7:58	SAS	Porter S.FOUL (P1.T2)	30	20
Q2 - 8:03	DEN	Bateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 88.2%	20 11.8%
Q2 - 8:04	SAS	MISS Porter Layup	30 88.5%	20 11.5%
Q2 - 8:08	DEN	Arroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	30 89.3%	20 10.7%
Q2 - 8:32	SAS	Ferry 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)	30 88.3%	20 11.7%
Q2 - 8:49	DEN	Bowen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	28 87.0%	20 13.0%
Q2 - 8:49	DEN	Bowen OFF.Foul (P1)	28	20
Q2 - 8:57	SAS	Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	28 85.8%	20 14.2%
Q2 - 8:57	SAS	Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	27 85.5%	20 14.5%
Q2 - 8:57			26	20
Q2 - 8:57	DEN	Harvey S.FOUL (P1.T1)	26	20
Q2 - 9:08	DEN	Bateer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	26 84.1%	20 15.9%
Q2 - 9:08	DEN	Bateer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	26 84.5%	19 15.5%
Q2 - 9:08	SAS	Ferry S.FOUL (P1.T1)	26	18
Q2 - 9:24	SAS	SUB: Robinson FOR Duncan	26	18
Q2 - 9:24	DEN	McCloud Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)	26 85.5%	18 14.5%
Q2 - 9:24	SAS	Rose T.FOUL (P2.T0)	26	17
Q2 - 9:24	DEN	SUB: Bateer FOR Howard	26	17
Q2 - 9:24	SAS	Rose Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	26 86.8%	17 13.2%
Q2 - 9:24	SAS	Rose OFF.Foul (P2)	26	17
Q2 - 9:36	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 88.0%	17 12.0%
Q2 - 9:42	DEN	MISS Bowen 5' Running Hook Shot	26 87.6%	17 12.4%
Q2 - 10:01	DEN	McCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 86.5%	17 13.5%
Q2 - 10:03	SAS	MISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 86.9%	17 13.1%
Q2 - 10:19	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	26 87.7%	17 12.3%
Q2 - 10:39	DEN	SUB: Arroyo FOR Lenard	26	17
Q2 - 10:39	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)	26	17
Q2 - 10:45	SAS	Daniels Layup (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)	26 86.5%	17 13.5%
Q2 - 10:51	DEN	Lenard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	24 85.3%	17 14.7%
Q2 - 11:09	SAS	Rose Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)	24 83.5%	17 16.5%
Q2 - 11:23	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 82.1%	17 17.9%
Q2 - 11:26	DEN	MISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot	22 81.6%	17 18.4%
Q2 - 11:28	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22 80.5%	17 19.5%
Q2 - 11:31	DEN	MISS McCloud 16' Turnaround Jump Shot	22 81.6%	17 18.4%
Q2 - 11:45	SAS	Rose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	22 80.5%	17 19.5%
Q2 - 12:00			22	17
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN		22 82.1%	17 17.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	22 80.5%	17 19.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Howard Layup	22 81.6%	17 18.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	SAS	Rose P.FOUL (P1.T3)	22	17
Q1 - 0:08.0	SAS	Porter Driving Layup (2 PTS)	22 80.4%	17 19.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	McCloud 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)	20 78.4%	17 21.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0	SAS	Daniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	20 80.4%	15 19.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0	SAS	SUB: Daniels FOR Bowen	20	15
Q1 - 0:47.0	SAS	SUB: Porter FOR Parker	20	15
Q1 - 1:01	DEN	Howard 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)	20 81.5%	15 18.5%
Q1 - 1:18	SAS	Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)	20 83.3%	13 16.7%
Q1 - 1:38	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	18 81.4%	13 18.6%
Q1 - 1:40	DEN	MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot	18 81.1%	13 18.9%
Q1 - 1:58	DEN	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 80.4%	13 19.6%
Q1 - 2:00	SAS	MISS Rose Layup	18 80.8%	13 19.2%
Q1 - 2:14	DEN	McCloud Driving Layup (2 PTS)	18 81.4%	13 18.6%
Q1 - 2:22	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Hardaway	18	11
Q1 - 2:22	SAS	Parker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	18 83.0%	11 17.0%
Q1 - 2:42	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	18	11
Q1 - 2:42	SAS	Spurs Rebound	18 84.0%	11 16.0%
Q1 - 2:44	DEN	MISS Howard 8' Jump Shot	18 83.7%	11 16.3%
Q1 - 3:04	SAS	Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	18 83.1%	11 16.9%
Q1 - 3:25	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 81.7%	11 18.3%
Q1 - 3:28	DEN	MISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot	16 81.3%	11 18.7%
Q1 - 3:35	DEN	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 80.3%	11 19.7%
Q1 - 3:37	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	16 80.8%	11 19.2%
Q1 - 3:49	DEN	Howard 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)	16 81.7%	11 18.3%
Q1 - 3:55	SAS	SUB: Rose FOR Robinson	16	9
Q1 - 3:55	DEN	SUB: McCloud FOR Posey	16	9
Q1 - 3:55	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	16 83.0%	9 17.0%
Q1 - 3:58	DEN	MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot	16 83.9%	9 16.1%
Q1 - 4:12	SAS	Duncan Dunk (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	16 81.7%	9 18.3%
Q1 - 4:16	DEN	Hardaway Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	14 80.6%	9 19.4%
Q1 - 4:40	DEN	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 79.1%	9 20.9%
Q1 - 4:42	SAS	MISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot	14 79.5%	9 20.5%
Q1 - 4:51	DEN	Posey P.FOUL (P2.T4)	14	9
Q1 - 5:06	DEN	McDyess 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)	14 79.9%	9 20.1%
Q1 - 5:12	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	14	7
Q1 - 5:16	SAS	Spurs Violation: Delay of game Violation	14	7
Q1 - 5:17	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	14 80.8%	7 19.2%
Q1 - 5:17	SAS	Duncan Tip Shot (6 PTS)	14 80.8%	7 19.2%
Q1 - 5:18	SAS	MISS Robinson Layup	12 78.8%	7 21.2%
Q1 - 5:39	SAS	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 79.6%	7 20.4%
Q1 - 5:41	DEN	MISS Hardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 79.2%	7 20.8%
Q1 - 5:54	SAS	Duncan 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 78.2%	7 21.8%
Q1 - 6:07	DEN	Posey P.FOUL (P1.T3)	10	7
Q1 - 6:15	DEN	SUB: Posey FOR Cheaney	10	7
Q1 - 6:15	DEN	Cheaney P.FOUL (P2.T2)	10	7
Q1 - 6:24	DEN	Lenard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	10 76.9%	7 23.1%
Q1 - 6:50	SAS	Smith Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	10 75.4%	7 24.6%
Q1 - 6:52	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	8 74.2%	7 25.8%
Q1 - 6:56	SAS	MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot	8 73.2%	7 26.8%
Q1 - 7:00	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 74.1%	7 25.9%
Q1 - 7:02	DEN	MISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 73.9%	7 26.1%
Q1 - 7:09	DEN	Cheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 72.9%	7 27.1%
Q1 - 7:10	SAS	MISS Bowen Layup	8 73.3%	7 26.7%
Q1 - 7:14	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 74.2%	7 25.8%
Q1 - 7:17	DEN	MISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot	8 73.8%	7 26.2%
Q1 - 7:22	DEN	Cheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 72.8%	7 27.2%
Q1 - 7:27	SAS	MISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot	8 73.2%	7 26.8%
Q1 - 7:41	DEN	Howard P.FOUL (P1.T1)	8	7
Q1 - 7:54	DEN	Hardaway Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	8 73.9%	7 26.1%
Q1 - 8:06	SAS	Robinson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	8 72.7%	7 27.3%
Q1 - 8:13	SAS	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 71.4%	7 28.6%
Q1 - 8:16	DEN	MISS Howard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	6 71.1%	7 28.9%
Q1 - 8:24	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 70.2%	7 29.8%
Q1 - 8:28	SAS	MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot	6 70.5%	7 29.5%
Q1 - 8:43	DEN	Cheaney Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	6 71.2%	7 28.8%
Q1 - 8:43	DEN	Cheaney OFF.Foul (P1)	6	7
Q1 - 8:54	SAS	Robinson Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	6 70.0%	7 30.0%
Q1 - 9:16	DEN	Howard 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)	4 69.3%	7 30.7%
Q1 - 9:26	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 70.3%	5 29.7%
Q1 - 9:28	SAS	MISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot	4 70.5%	5 29.5%
Q1 - 9:49	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 70.8%	5 29.2%
Q1 - 9:52	DEN	MISS Howard Reverse Layup	4 70.6%	5 29.4%
Q1 - 10:04	SAS	Robinson P.FOUL (P1.T2)	4	5
Q1 - 10:18	SAS	Parker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)	4 69.9%	5 30.1%
Q1 - 10:41	DEN	Cheaney 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)	2 69.1%	5 30.9%
Q1 - 10:48	SAS	Howard STEAL (1 STL)	2 69.6%	3 30.4%
Q1 - 11:00	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 69.8%	3 30.2%
Q1 - 11:03	DEN	MISS Hardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot	2 69.7%	3 30.3%
Q1 - 11:28	SAS	Duncan Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	2 69.0%	3 31.0%
Q1 - 11:40	DEN	McDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	0 68.7%	3 31.3%
Q1 - 11:40	SAS	Smith S.FOUL (P1.T1)	0	2
Q1 - 11:40	DEN	McDyess Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	0 68.8%	2 31.2%
Q1 - 12:00	DEN	Jump Ball Howard vs. Robinson: Tip to Cheaney	0 68.4%	0 31.6%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.7%

DEN

0.87 43.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

79%

DEN

54%

Midrange

SAS

36%

DEN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7.5

33%

50%

DEN

1.5

12%

Free Throws

SAS

76%

DEN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	21	88%	10.5 / 12
A. Daniels	19	63%	9.5 / 15
M. Rose	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Robinson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Parker	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Smith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Ferry	5	31%	2.5 / 8
T. Porter	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Bryant	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Parks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 4
C. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. McDyess	19	86%	9.5 / 11
J. Howard	14	35%	7.0 / 20
V. Lenard	10	38%	5.0 / 13
R. Bowen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Bateer	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Cheaney	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. McCloud	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Arroyo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Hardaway	3	17%	1.5 / 9
J. Posey	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Harvey	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+10

-14

DEN

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.09 54.7%

DEN

0.87 43.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.9 99.6	SAS 104.5 +15.9 DEN 88.6
Pace	92.4 92.1	SAS 91.6 +6.0 DEN 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.5 16.0	SAS 15.7 −1.1 DEN 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.2% 45.5%	SAS 53.5% +12.1% DEN 41.4%
TO %	14.8% 14.9%	SAS 14.7% −2.1% DEN 16.8%
ORB %	27.2% 30.7%	SAS 21.2% +0.6% DEN 20.6%
FTrt	35.3 25.6	SAS 29.2 +5.5 DEN 23.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.4% 62.3%	SAS 77.8% +6.8% DEN 71.0%
STL %	8.2% 8.0%	SAS 9.0% +2.2% DEN 6.8%
BLK %	9.5% 8.6%	SAS 6.3% DEN 8.8% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.2% 47.2%	SAS 54.7% +11.4% DEN 43.3%
Rim FG%	60.3% 55.5%	SAS 79.2% +25.0% DEN 54.2%
Mid FG%	37.6% 36.9%	SAS 36.4% DEN 43.6% +7.2%
3P %	36.2% 32.9%	SAS 33.3% +25.6% DEN 7.7%
FT %	74.2% 74.4%	SAS 76.2% DEN 83.3% +7.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.2% 33.7%	SAS 33.3% +1.8% DEN 31.6%
Mid Att. %	43.8% 47.6%	SAS 45.8% −5.5% DEN 51.3%
3P Att. %	19.0% 18.7%	SAS 20.8% +3.7% DEN 17.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	93	78
Rebounds	34	33
Assists	28	22
Steals	8	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	26 (2)
Field Goals	36-72	31-76
At-the-Rim FG	19-24	13-24
Midrange FG	12-33	17-39
2-Point FG	31-57	30-63
3-Point FG	5-15	1-13
Free Throws	16-21	15-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

8 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 26	35.2	21	88%	9	3	1	2	2	3	2	7	3-4	75%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
David Robinson C · 7'1" 250 · 37	32.5	10	56%	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	5	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 20	32.2	6	38%	3	5	2	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Steven Smith G · 6'8" 221 · 33	22.9	5	50%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 31	22.4	0	0%	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 27	28.8	19	63%	2	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Malik Rose F · 6'7" 255 · 27	21.0	18	75%	7	1	1	1	2	2	1	6	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Danny Ferry F · 6'10" 235 · 35	19.2	5	31%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Terry Porter G · 6'3" 205 · 39	15.8	5	42%	2	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Mark Bryant F · 6'9" 250 · 37	3.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cherokee Parks F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29	3.4	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Charles Smith G · 6'4" 200 · 27	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	55%	34	28	8	4	14	0	7	27	16-21	76%	31-57	54%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

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8 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 26	35.2	21	88%	9	3	1	2	2	3	2	7	3-4	75%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
David Robinson C · 7'1" 250 · 37	32.5	10	56%	5	3	1	1	1	2	0	5	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 20	32.2	6	38%	3	5	2	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Steven Smith G · 6'8" 221 · 33	22.9	5	50%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 31	22.4	0	0%	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 27	28.8	19	63%	2	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Malik Rose F · 6'7" 255 · 27	21.0	18	75%	7	1	1	1	2	2	1	6	4-5	80%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Danny Ferry F · 6'10" 235 · 35	19.2	5	31%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Terry Porter G · 6'3" 205 · 39	15.8	5	42%	2	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Mark Bryant F · 6'9" 250 · 37	3.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cherokee Parks F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29	3.4	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Charles Smith G · 6'4" 200 · 27	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	55%	34	28	8	4	14	0	7	27	16-21	76%	31-57	54%	5-15	33%

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27 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juwan Howard C · 6'9" 250 · 29	39.9	14	35%	7	1	1	1	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	7-20	35%	0-0	-
Antonio McDyess F · 6'9" 245 · 28	27.5	19	86%	4	1	1	1	1	2	0	4	3-3	100%	8-9	89%	0-0	-
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 29	26.8	10	38%	2	4	1	0	4	1	0	2	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Tim Hardaway G · 6'0" 195 · 36	24.0	3	17%	3	3	0	1	4	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%
Calbert Cheaney F · 6'7" 210 · 31	21.3	6	60%	4	0	0	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

George McCloud F · 6'8" 230 · 35	29.2	5	42%	3	11	1	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 26	22.8	8	50%	3	0	2	1	1	1	3	0	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 25	16.0	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Donnell Harvey F · 6'8" 220 · 22	12.4	0	0%	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mengke Bateer C · 6'11" 290 · 26	9.5	7	58%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Carlos Arroyo G · 6'2" 200 · 23	7.6	4	67%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zendon Hamilton F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	43%	33	22	6	5	15	0	7	26	15-18	83%	30-63	48%	1-13	8%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

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