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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Spurs68%9793
27Nuggets32%9178
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.9
35.2
34.8
21
89%
9
3
1
1
2
2
2
7
3-4
75%
9-10
8-16
90%
51%
0-0
-
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.6
32.5
26.2
10
58%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-6
67%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.8
32.2
31.1
6
38%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 32.9
22.9
22.1
5
50%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.7
22.4
30.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.0
28.8
22.8
19
65%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.3
21.0
20.2
18
80%
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
7-9
4-8
78%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.4
19.2
12.5
5
31%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 38.9
15.8
11.9
5
42%
2
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
3.5
7.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
3.4
5.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
3.0
11.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
39.9
39.7
14
35%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
7-20
7-16
35%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
27.5
18.1
19
92%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
8-9
3-6
89%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
26.8
22.7
10
40%
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.5
24.0
21.8
3
17%
3
3
0
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
39%
1-5
20%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
21.3
23.6
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.8
29.2
25.3
5
39%
3
11
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.3
22.8
21.9
8
54%
3
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.2
16.0
25.1
2
26%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.5
12.4
19.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.3
9.5
4.7
7
66%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.6
7.6
6.5
4
69%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.9
3.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.