Final Win Prob. pScore
1940%86
78
1860%89
90
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo Suns
90.78692.1
MIA logo Heat
108.48379.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0PHXMISS Majerle 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)78
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0PHXMarion P.FOUL (P2.PN)78
85
Q4 - 0:37.0PHXTsakalidis Layup (8 PTS) (Majerle 1 AST)78
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0PHXSuns Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)76
85
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0PHXJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)76
83
Q4 - 0:44.0PHXMarion 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)76
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHXSuns Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)74
83
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
82
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 274
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHXJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)74
82
Q4 - 0:53.0PHXMarbury P.FOUL (P1.T3)74
82
Q4 - 0:54.0PHXMajerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 5 AST)74
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJackson Tip Shot (23 PTS)71
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot71
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 1:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 1:59PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 2 of 271
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 1:59PHXMajerle Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T3)70
80
Q4 - 2:03PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot70
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:25PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 2:33PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 2:35PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup70
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 2:47MIAStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)70
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 3:11PHXMarbury 7' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 3:30PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot68
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 3:45PHXTsakalidis P.FOUL (P5.T2)68
77
Q4 - 3:48MIASUB: Grant FOR Carter68
77
Q4 - 3:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)68
77
Q4 - 3:53PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 3:53PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)67
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T2)66
77
Q4 - 3:58PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Mourning Layup66
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 4:30PHXMarbury Reverse Layup (15 PTS)66
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot64
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 4:56PHXMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot64
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 5:08PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot64
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 5:31PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 5:47MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot64
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 6:24PHXJohnson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)64
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 6:37PHXSUB: Johnson FOR Hardaway62
75
Q4 - 6:37PHXSuns Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)62
75
Q4 - 6:46MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)62
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 6:58PHXMISS Majerle 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJones Reverse Layup (12 PTS)62
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 7:29MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 7:31PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup62
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 7:50PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
7.4%
71
92.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 262
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 7:51PHXMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)62
70
Q4 - 8:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q4 - 8:07PHXMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q4 - 8:21PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIASUB: Strickland FOR Grant62
70
Q4 - 8:34MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania62
70
Q4 - 8:34PHXSUB: Marbury FOR Palacio62
70
Q4 - 8:34PHXSUB: Tsakalidis FOR Outlaw62
70
Q4 - 8:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)62
70
Q4 - 8:44PHXMajerle 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)62
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 9:07PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot59
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q4 - 9:15PHXGrant STEAL (2 STL)59
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q4 - 9:24PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot59
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q4 - 9:49PHXJones STEAL (2 STL)59
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 10:01MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)59
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 10:14PHXHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q4 - 10:14PHXSuns Rebound58
68
Q4 - 10:14PHXMISS Hardaway Free Throw 1 of 258
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)58
68
Q4 - 10:39MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)58
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
13.1%
65
86.9%
Q4 - 11:02PHXMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot58
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q4 - 11:13PHXSUB: Majerle FOR Voskuhl58
65
Q4 - 11:13MIAJackson Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)58
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q4 - 11:22PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q4 - 11:47MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)56
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q4 - 12:0056
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 71' 3PT Jump Shot56
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXCarter STEAL (1 STL)56
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot56
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHXPalacio Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot56
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 1:17PHXMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot56
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland56
63
Q3 - 1:36PHXSUB: Palacio FOR Marbury56
63
Q3 - 1:36PHXSuns Rebound56
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot56
17.2%
63
82.8%
Q3 - 1:57PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 1:57PHXSuns Rebound55
63
Q3 - 1:57PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 255
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 1:57MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
63
Q3 - 2:02MIAStrickland Driving Layup (13 PTS)55
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 2:05MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 2:07PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup55
19.7%
61
80.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)55
21.7%
61
78.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
25.1%
59
74.9%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot55
27.6%
59
72.4%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
25.1%
59
74.9%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
24.5%
59
75.5%
Q3 - 2:56PHXSuns Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)53
59
Q3 - 2:56MIAStepania S.FOUL (P3.T3)53
59
Q3 - 3:17MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)53
22.4%
59
77.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
29.0%
56
71.0%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot53
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q3 - 3:49PHXMarion 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)53
29.0%
56
71.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones 10' Finger Roll (8 PTS)51
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
54
Q3 - 4:25PHXMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 151
29.6%
54
70.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T2)51
54
Q3 - 4:25PHXOutlaw Layup (4 PTS)51
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
26.1%
54
73.9%
Q3 - 4:39PHXSUB: Voskuhl FOR Tsakalidis49
53
Q3 - 4:39MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
26.6%
53
73.4%
Q3 - 4:39PHXTsakalidis S.FOUL (P4.T4)49
52
Q3 - 4:54MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
29.0%
52
71.0%
Q3 - 4:56PHXMISS Tsakalidis 18' Jump Shot49
30.3%
52
69.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
33.2%
52
66.8%
Q3 - 5:28PHXMarion 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)49
36.5%
50
63.5%
Q3 - 5:48PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
33.2%
50
66.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot47
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q3 - 6:16PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
29.5%
50
70.5%
Q3 - 6:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)45
50
Q3 - 6:27MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill45
50
Q3 - 6:27MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning45
50
Q3 - 6:27MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
50
Q3 - 6:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot45
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q3 - 6:53PHXMISS Tsakalidis 3' Jump Shot45
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q3 - 7:05PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Jones Layup45
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q3 - 7:30PHXMISS Marbury 13' Jump Shot45
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 7:39PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones Running Layup45
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 8:10PHXMarbury 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Outlaw 2 AST)45
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 8:28PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 8:43PHXTsakalidis P.FOUL (P3.T3)43
50
Q3 - 8:52PHXOutlaw P.FOUL (P1.T2)43
50
Q3 - 9:17PHXTsakalidis 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)43
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)41
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q3 - 9:56PHXJohnson 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q3 - 10:14PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot39
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)39
48
Q3 - 10:39PHXOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)39
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q3 - 10:48MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q3 - 11:02PHXMarbury 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q3 - 11:16PHXTsakalidis P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
46
Q3 - 11:37PHXMarion 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 11:38PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q3 - 11:41PHXMISS Tsakalidis 19' Jump Shot33
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 12:0033
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0PHXJohnson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0PHXMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)31
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0PHXMISS Marbury 4' Jump Shot31
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jackson 9' Hook Shot31
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 1:07PHXJones STEAL (1 STL)31
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 1:23MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)31
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 1:45PHXJohnson 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJackson 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 2:04PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup29
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 2:16MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 2:16PHXMajerle S.FOUL (P2.T3)29
42
Q2 - 2:20PHXStrickland STEAL (1 STL)29
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 2:30MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHEAT Rebound29
41
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 229
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 2:30PHXVoskuhl S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
41
Q2 - 2:51PHXJohnson 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 3:13MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 3:23PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot27
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 3:40PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 3:41PHXMISS Majerle 3PT Jump Shot27
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)27
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 4:18PHXJohnson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)27
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 4:35MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 4:54PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 2 of 225
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 4:54PHXSuns Rebound25
36
Q2 - 4:54PHXMISS Majerle Free Throw 1 of 225
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 4:54MIASUB: Grant FOR Gill25
36
Q2 - 4:54MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.PN)25
36
Q2 - 5:09MIAJackson Dunk (6 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)25
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 5:27PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 5:27MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter24
34
Q2 - 5:27PHXSuns Rebound24
34
Q2 - 5:27PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 224
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)24
34
Q2 - 5:34PHXSUB: Voskuhl FOR Tsakalidis24
34
Q2 - 5:34PHXTsakalidis Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 5:34PHXTsakalidis Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 5:34PHXSuns Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)22
34
Q2 - 5:34MIAMourning FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T4)22
34
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania22
34
Q2 - 5:50PHXSUB: Tsakalidis FOR Voskuhl22
34
Q2 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)22
34
Q2 - 5:50PHXSuns Rebound22
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup22
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 6:14PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 6:26MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: Jones FOR Mourning22
33
Q2 - 6:26MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:26PHXSUB: Marion FOR Outlaw22
32
Q2 - 6:26PHXVoskuhl S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
32
Q2 - 6:48PHXJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 6:55PHXSUB: Marbury FOR Palacio22
32
Q2 - 6:55PHXSUB: Johnson FOR Hardaway22
32
Q2 - 6:55MIAJackson L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)22
32
Q2 - 6:55PHXSuns Rebound22
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 6:56PHXMISS Majerle Driving Layup22
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 7:06PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot22
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q2 - 7:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
17.0%
32
83.0%
Q2 - 7:20PHXMISS Hardaway Driving Layup22
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 7:42MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)22
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 7:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
30
Q2 - 7:57PHXMISS Palacio Free Throw 1 of 122
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
30
Q2 - 7:57PHXPalacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q2 - 8:21MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot20
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 8:39PHXSuns Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones20
30
Q2 - 8:41MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant20
30
Q2 - 8:4120
30
Q2 - 9:06MIAStepania 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)20
19.3%
30
80.7%
Q2 - 9:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q2 - 9:20PHXMISS Palacio 15' Jump Shot20
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 9:44MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 10:10PHXHardaway Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)20
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot18
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 11:04MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 11:06PHXMISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot18
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 11:20PHXMajerle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Carter 6' Hook Shot18
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 11:45PHXHardaway Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)17
24
Q2 - 11:45PHXHardaway 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q2 - 12:0015
24
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX15
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound15
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)15
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXMISS Outlaw 9' Hook Shot15
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q1 - 1:08PHXGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q1 - 1:27PHXMajerle P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
22
Q1 - 1:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 1:38MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland15
22
Q1 - 1:38PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 2 of 215
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 1:38PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 1:38PHXSUB: Majerle FOR Marion14
22
Q1 - 1:38PHXSuns Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)14
22
Q1 - 1:38MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
22
Q1 - 1:55MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)14
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 2:14PHXMarbury Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 2:24PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:26PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot12
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 2:37PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Stepania 4' Hook Shot12
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 2:54PHXJones BLOCK (1 BLK)12
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 3:05PHXSUB: Voskuhl FOR Tsakalidis12
20
Q1 - 3:05MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning12
20
Q1 - 3:05MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill12
20
Q1 - 3:05MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
20
Q1 - 3:10MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 3:20PHXMISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot12
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:47MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 3:49PHXMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot12
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 4:02PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot12
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 4:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Grant Layup12
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot12
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 4:30PHXMISS Marbury 11' Running Jump Shot12
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 4:56MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 5:07PHXSUB: Outlaw FOR Gugliotta12
16
Q1 - 5:07PHXSUB: Hardaway FOR Johnson12
16
Q1 - 5:07PHXTsakalidis P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
16
Q1 - 5:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 5:16PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot12
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMourning 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)12
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
14
Q1 - 6:00PHXMarbury Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
34.8%
14
65.2%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)10
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 6:28PHXJohnson 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)10
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMourning Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.0%
10
65.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot8
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 7:00PHXGugliotta Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 7:18PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot8
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 7:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:38PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot8
35.7%
10
64.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 8:04PHXJohnson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)8
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:34PHXJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)6
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 8:53MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 8:55PHXMISS Tsakalidis 7' Hook Shot4
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 9:27PHXTsakalidis Dunk (2 PTS)4
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:28PHXTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 9:31PHXGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)2
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 9:42PHXSuns Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)2
6
Q1 - 9:52MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)2
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 9:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 10:00PHXMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot2
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 10:12PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot2
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:31PHXGugliotta 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)2
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)0
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 10:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 11:00PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:08PHXGugliotta REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot0
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 11:21PHXMISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot0
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMourning 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Tsakalidis: Tip to Strickland0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
12
24
50%
MIA
14
21
67%
Midrange
PHX
18
39
46%
MIA
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
PHX
12
21
57%
MIA
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marbury1943%9.5 / 22
J. Johnson1882%9.0 / 11
S. Marion1238%6.0 / 16
J. Tsakalidis857%4.0 / 7
D. Majerle735%3.5 / 10
A. Hardaway638%3.0 / 8
B. Outlaw440%2.0 / 5
T. Gugliotta2100%1.0 / 1
M. Palacio233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson2388%11.5 / 13
R. Strickland2083%10.0 / 12
E. Jones1635%8.0 / 23
B. Grant1464%7.0 / 11
A. Mourning1354%6.5 / 12
V. Stepania450%2.0 / 4
K. Gill0-0.0 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
76
+9
-10
85
MIA
72
+11
-11
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.91 45.3%
MIA
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
96.1
PHX 90.7
MIA 108.4 +17.7
Pace
93.5
89.7
PHX 92.1 +13.0
MIA 79.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.7
PHX 15.6 −2.6
MIA 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
46.3%
PHX 45.8%
MIA 52.0% +6.2%
TO %
15.1%
15.5%
PHX 11.9% −0.1%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
30.1%
26.7%
PHX 16.3%
MIA 27.8% +11.5%
FTrt
23.5
26.8
PHX 29.2 +7.6
MIA 21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.4%
PHX 43.8%
MIA 55.6% +11.8%
STL %
8.6%
7.4%
PHX 5.8%
MIA 7.2% +1.4%
BLK %
7.4%
8.7%
PHX 1.6%
MIA 6.3% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
47.7%
PHX 45.3%
MIA 53.6% +8.3%
Rim FG%
56.3%
60.6%
PHX 50.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
39.8%
38.0%
PHX 46.2% +5.7%
MIA 40.5%
3P %
32.7%
34.7%
PHX 22.2%
MIA 45.5% +23.3%
FT %
76.7%
72.4%
PHX 57.1%
MIA 81.3% +24.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
28.1%
PHX 33.3% +5.0%
MIA 28.4%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
57.8%
PHX 54.2% −2.6%
MIA 56.8%
3P Att. %
15.8%
14.1%
PHX 12.5%
MIA 14.9% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes22.425.2
Points7890
Rebounds3346
Assists1420
Steals56
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals32-7236-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2414-21
Midrange FG18-3917-42
2-Point FG30-6331-63
3-Point FG2-95-11
Free Throws12-2113-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
40.8
12
38%
13
5
3
0
1
2
3
10
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 205 · 25
37.9
19
43%
1
3
1
0
3
1
1
0
7-10
70%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 21
32.4
18
82%
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
9-10
90%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 290 · 23
25.1
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 32
6.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
26.1
4
40%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 222 · 37
24.9
7
35%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 255 · 24
20.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 31
15.6
6
38%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
10.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
F · 6'9" 280 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
33
14
5
1
10
0
7
26
12-21
57%
30-63
48%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.