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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nuggets22%8376
22Heat78%93101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
37.9
22.6
20
62%
4
1
3
0
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
8-14
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.8
32.5
28.2
7
32%
4
4
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
0-5
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
31.1
34.8
17
55%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
7-10
70%
5-11
6-14
45%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
24.8
20.1
7
32%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
41%
0-2
0%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.3
20.6
10.3
4
29%
7
0
0
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
42%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.9
34.5
3.7
10
35%
11
0
1
0
0
3
5
6
4-10
40%
3-10
0-1
30%
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.3
27.4
18.7
5
43%
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.6
23.6
14.8
5
37%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
37%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.9
7.5
11.0
1
13%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
36%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
26.3
1
4-8
44%
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.5
21.6
1
1-3
37%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.6
18.5
1
2-4
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
35.4
33.1
14
48%
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
1-6
17%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
29.8
30.9
6
33%
11
1
0
1
0
0
0
11
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.7
26.2
29.8
13
73%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-8
4-9
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.8
24.7
26.2
6
75%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.1
23.0
29.3
24
85%
7
0
0
0
3
3
3
4
12-14
86%
6-8
5-10
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
28.4
31.1
11
46%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
21.8
18.1
2
50%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
18.8
15.5
6
43%
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.5
15.2
16.5
9
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.8
7.5
1.8
8
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
4.9
3.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
4.4
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.