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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks62%107117
26Warriors38%103100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.0
44.7
32.4
27
56%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
9-20
6-12
45%
50%
3-4
75%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
34.2
31.3
30
72%
9
4
3
1
0
1
2
7
9-9
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
3-6
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
30.0
27.1
30
79%
4
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
6-9
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.1
26.8
23.7
7
35%
3
9
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
13.9
20.1
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
25.2
24.2
6
34%
2
3
3
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
24.0
18.1
7
61%
9
2
0
1
1
0
4
5
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.3
18.9
14.5
2
50%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.7
11.8
12.4
2
33%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.7
4.2
9.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.0
4.0
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.0
2.2
13.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
41.1
39.5
20
48%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
8-11
73%
6-14
7-15
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.1
41.0
36.8
13
38%
5
2
2
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-12
5-12
42%
46%
1-5
20%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
29.8
31.8
10
45%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
29.3
19.0
15
68%
6
1
0
0
3
5
5
1
3-7
43%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
27.9
13.0
13
67%
7
1
1
0
0
4
1
6
5-6
83%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
27.1
21.0
10
56%
4
7
4
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
21.7
5.6
19
87%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
3-3
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.0
11.5
22.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
9.1
14.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
1.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.0
29.3
1
4-10
45%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.