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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks28%9468
13Pacers72%10185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
37.3
38.7
9
27%
3
6
2
2
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-11
5-10
18%
47%
1-5
20%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
31.0
39.1
9
35%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-11
8-16
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
29.6
26.0
5
66%
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
26.9
22.5
15
66%
9
0
2
1
1
0
4
5
1-3
33%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.9
23.8
29.8
8
40%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.1
23.2
17.6
4
25%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.5
20.8
25.1
4
25%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
18.6
19.2
4
41%
6
0
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.5
17.0
8.6
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
9.4
2.4
2
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
2.5
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.4
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Leon Smith
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
2.8
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.0
33.6
34.2
10
46%
5
4
2
2
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.3
25.6
27.4
7
39%
0
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 36.6
23.5
32.3
8
58%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23.4
23.4
36.9
11
44%
8
0
0
1
3
1
0
8
1-1
100%
5-12
8-16
42%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 25.9
21.4
26.3
9
51%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.2
28.7
19.6
4
23%
11
1
3
1
0
4
2
9
2-4
50%
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.9
24.6
19.3
19
64%
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
7-10
2-5
70%
48%
1-4
25%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 21.1
24.5
22.0
7
54%
3
0
0
0
6
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
15.4
2.7
2
25%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.2
14.3
13.0
8
82%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.5
2.5
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 22.1
2.5
1.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.