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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 19, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors15%9393
9SuperSonics85%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.0
33.1
14.8
21
68%
10
3
1
0
0
2
3
7
11-17
65%
5-8
2-5
63%
42%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
32.1
38.2
11
46%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
5-9
6-13
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
30.1
37.9
10
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
44%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
27.1
31.5
12
47%
4
5
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
2-7
3-8
29%
44%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
11.9
26.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
27.3
17.6
6
38%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.0
26.9
16.9
12
75%
5
0
0
0
0
4
4
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
43%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
23.5
21.5
8
52%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
18.9
21.6
11
79%
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
5.6
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
3.5
1.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
39%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
11.2
1
2-4
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
39.0
35.7
19
86%
4
9
2
2
0
2
2
2
5-7
71%
4-5
3-6
80%
59%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
33.3
21.0
26
67%
3
1
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
12-16
3-6
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
31.8
36.9
21
57%
3
12
0
2
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
9-15
8-16
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
26.2
21.4
9
57%
6
4
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 26.3
15.3
24.4
6
60%
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 24.4
29.6
33.4
12
47%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
21.9
9.3
3
31%
7
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 27.0
21.7
10.6
6
43%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Art Long
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
14.9
19.4
8
68%
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 27.0
3.5
19.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 20.9
2.9
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
10.0
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.