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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 21, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs27%99105
1Mavericks73%106102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.9
45.4
33.0
32
63%
14
5
1
1
2
2
3
11
8-10
80%
12-21
8-16
57%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.8
33.9
27.1
9
64%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
39%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.6
32.0
25.1
22
59%
12
2
0
1
1
0
5
7
12-15
80%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.8
28.8
28.2
12
50%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
15.8
13.5
2
33%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.0
30.7
26.7
9
51%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 39.0
19.3
18.2
9
51%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.3
18.6
21.0
8
52%
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
4-6
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.4
15.6
24.4
2
35%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.0
8.9
0
1-2
44%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
7.2
0
1-3
44%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
5.9
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.0
48.0
39.0
21
60%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-12
7-14
33%
49%
4-5
80%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.1
44.6
29.6
28
72%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
49%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
41.7
37.8
29
64%
14
4
2
1
2
1
2
12
7-8
88%
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
2-7
29%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
38.6
24.6
2
8%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
43%
0-5
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
32.2
31.5
12
46%
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
14.2
19.1
5
91%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
13.3
13.0
1
13%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.0
6.3
4.8
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.7
1.1
8.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.3
9.6
0
1-1
48%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.0
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.