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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 25, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs49%9591
13Clippers51%9685
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.9
43.5
37.9
33
56%
13
5
0
1
0
3
4
9
7-10
70%
13-25
9-17
52%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.8
36.0
30.4
12
45%
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-7
2-5
43%
40%
1-4
25%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.6
35.6
27.5
19
77%
5
2
3
1
1
1
2
3
3-3
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.9
34.8
31.8
4
35%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
22.4
16.9
5
36%
3
1
3
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.4
27.4
18.8
3
28%
5
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.0
23.8
28.4
6
50%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.3
16.6
19.3
9
46%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.0
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
4.1
0
1-1
44%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.0
2.9
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
45.5
35.1
26
44%
17
3
2
1
1
5
6
11
4-8
50%
11-26
6-14
42%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.4
37.7
39.5
14
43%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
44%
1-7
14%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 23.0
30.7
39.3
15
56%
10
2
4
1
1
2
7
3
1-1
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.5
26.9
27.3
13
62%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
2-3
67%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.0
12.4
20.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
32.8
29.0
6
43%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 21.9
23.4
24.1
8
58%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.5
19.1
6.8
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.6
11.4
5.5
3
31%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 25.8
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Harold Jamison
F · 6'9" 269 · 25.3
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 26.6
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.