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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 26, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors19%96115
8Timberwolves81%107106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
37.4
34.8
13
47%
6
7
2
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
33.4
37.2
25
63%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
9-14
6-13
64%
45%
1-4
25%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
29.0
28.5
11
51%
0
5
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-2
0%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.0
28.0
21.1
12
51%
9
3
0
0
1
0
0
9
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.0
21.0
29.3
8
80%
9
0
0
1
1
3
4
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
29.6
23.8
11
52%
8
9
1
1
0
1
2
6
6-8
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
26.7
13.7
15
89%
3
1
0
0
4
2
1
2
1-1
100%
7-8
2-4
88%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
18.8
17.2
18
69%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
7-7
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
3-4
75%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
16.1
12.9
2
33%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
14.5
1
2-5
45%
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-0
37%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
1.5
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
41.7
38.3
31
67%
7
2
1
1
2
2
1
6
10-12
83%
9-17
8-15
53%
50%
1-1
100%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.1
39.6
35.6
28
63%
5
0
2
1
0
1
3
2
10-10
100%
9-17
6-11
53%
53%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
27.6
25.5
9
53%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.5
26.8
29.1
8
44%
5
9
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
18.9
13.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Robert Pack
G · 6'2" 190 · 33.1
21.2
18.2
4
33%
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.2
21.0
10.6
4
42%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 32.3
18.1
21.0
11
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
3-4
75%
Felipe Lopez
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27.3
17.4
7.3
11
57%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Sam Mitchell
F · 6'7" 215 · 38.6
4.0
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.8
3.6
3.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
29.2
1
4-8
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.