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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 26, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Rockets27%92105
10Jazz73%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.1
44.5
35.1
32
63%
4
7
1
1
2
2
0
4
8-8
100%
9-15
5-12
60%
44%
2-7
29%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.6
38.6
35.0
28
62%
4
5
3
1
4
1
1
3
6-6
100%
2-8
5-12
25%
45%
6-12
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 24.7
37.8
32.1
15
51%
8
2
0
1
2
4
2
6
3-4
75%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 27.6
35.8
26.4
15
78%
6
0
2
1
3
1
2
4
5-6
83%
5-7
3-5
71%
55%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 31.9
22.1
20.7
8
80%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.7
20.0
26.3
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-1
0%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.2
19.4
17.3
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.3
12.7
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.5
9.1
17.8
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 25.3
8.9
0
1-2
45%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 19.8
8.2
0
1-2
42%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
3.3
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.7
36.3
35.1
23
56%
7
4
1
2
1
4
3
4
5-6
83%
9-16
7-15
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.2
36.1
32.1
11
43%
8
1
0
1
0
2
5
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-4
25%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.0
28.4
30.1
20
71%
4
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
28.3
26.7
12
52%
6
1
1
1
0
0
5
1
2-6
33%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.3
7.8
25.2
2
53%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
28.3
15.3
9
60%
11
3
1
1
0
0
3
8
1-1
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.0
28.2
8.9
14
50%
4
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
6-13
1-3
46%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.1
17.3
9.5
12
90%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-6
67%
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Rusty LaRue
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
14.3
16.2
4
41%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.3
9.9
5.3
2
23%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-3
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.6
5.1
13.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
21.2
1
4-7
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.