Final Win Prob. pScore
2526%90
89
874%98
82
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo Knicks
103.58689.6
DET logo Pistons
94.38783.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKDET
Q4 - 0:00.0NYK89
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETWallace Tip Shot (12 PTS)89
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)89
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Atkins 13' Jump Shot89
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P4.T4)89
80
Q4 - 0:24.0NYKPostell Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0NYKPostell Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETStackhouse P.FOUL (P1.PN)87
80
Q4 - 0:25.0DETAtkins P.FOUL (P4.T3)87
80
Q4 - 0:32.0NYKSUB: Postell FOR Anderson87
80
Q4 - 0:32.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)87
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)87
80
Q4 - 0:37.0NYKThomas 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 12 AST)87
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETWallace Layup (10 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)85
96.4%
80
3.6%
Q4 - 1:04NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Postell85
78
Q4 - 1:04DETSUB: Barry FOR Williamson85
78
Q4 - 1:04DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)85
78
Q4 - 1:04NYKPostell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 11 AST)85
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 1:20NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
91.0%
78
9.0%
Q4 - 1:21DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 1:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)82
81.3%
78
18.7%
Q4 - 1:42NYKWallace BLOCK (8 BLK)82
83.0%
78
17.0%
Q4 - 1:55NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
86.9%
78
13.1%
Q4 - 1:58DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot82
85.2%
78
14.8%
Q4 - 2:03DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
79.6%
78
20.4%
Q4 - 2:06DETMISS Atkins 12' Running Jump Shot82
86.0%
78
14.0%
Q4 - 2:17DETSUB: Robinson FOR Barry82
78
Q4 - 2:17NYKKnight L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)82
78
Q4 - 2:17DETPISTONS Rebound82
79.8%
78
20.2%
Q4 - 2:19NYKMISS Sprewell 14' Jump Shot82
83.0%
78
17.0%
Q4 - 2:38NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
88.8%
78
11.2%
Q4 - 2:40DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot82
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q4 - 2:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)82
79.9%
78
20.1%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Williamson Layup82
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q4 - 3:05NYKSprewell 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
76.7%
78
23.3%
Q4 - 3:28DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)79
61.2%
78
38.8%
Q4 - 3:44NYKKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
43.6%
78
56.4%
Q4 - 3:44NYKKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
41.5%
78
58.5%
Q4 - 3:44NYKKnicks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)77
78
Q4 - 3:44DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
78
Q4 - 3:54NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q4 - 3:57DETMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot77
32.4%
78
67.6%
Q4 - 4:07DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Robinson77
78
Q4 - 4:07NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Eisley77
78
Q4 - 4:07NYKSUB: Jackson FOR Weatherspoon77
78
Q4 - 4:07DETSUB: Atkins FOR Jones77
78
Q4 - 4:07NYKKnicks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)77
26.3%
78
73.7%
Q4 - 4:13NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q4 - 4:16NYKWallace BLOCK (7 BLK)77
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 4:32NYKWeatherspoon Violation:Defensive Goaltending77
78
Q4 - 4:32DETWilliamson Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)77
35.2%
78
64.8%
Q4 - 4:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)77
43.9%
76
56.1%
Q4 - 4:47DETMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
51.2%
76
48.8%
Q4 - 5:01DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
42.4%
76
57.6%
Q4 - 5:03NYKMISS Knight Tip Shot77
45.1%
76
54.9%
Q4 - 5:04NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
51.1%
76
48.9%
Q4 - 5:06NYKMISS Postell 16' Jump Shot77
45.1%
76
54.9%
Q4 - 5:22NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
51.3%
76
48.7%
Q4 - 5:24DETMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
48.6%
76
51.4%
Q4 - 5:29NYKSUB: Sprewell FOR Anderson77
76
Q4 - 5:29DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)77
76
Q4 - 5:35DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
42.5%
76
57.5%
Q4 - 5:37NYKMISS Eisley 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
45.2%
76
54.8%
Q4 - 5:57NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
51.5%
76
48.5%
Q4 - 5:58DETMISS Williamson Layup77
48.7%
76
51.3%
Q4 - 6:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)77
40.7%
76
59.3%
Q4 - 6:17NYKMISS Postell 17' Jump Shot77
43.1%
76
56.9%
Q4 - 6:34DETWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)77
48.6%
76
51.4%
Q4 - 6:48NYKKnicks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)77
40.8%
76
59.2%
Q4 - 7:11NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
46.2%
76
53.8%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Barry 15' Jump Shot77
44.0%
76
56.0%
Q4 - 7:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)77
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q4 - 7:27NYKMISS Eisley Layup77
41.2%
76
58.8%
Q4 - 7:39DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
46.4%
76
53.6%
Q4 - 7:39DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
47.6%
75
52.4%
Q4 - 7:39NYKSUB: Knight FOR Thomas77
74
Q4 - 7:3977
74
Q4 - 7:39NYKEisley S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
74
Q4 - 7:39DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
52.8%
74
47.2%
Q4 - 7:40DETMISS Robinson 9' Running Jump Shot77
58.0%
74
42.0%
Q4 - 7:50DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
52.9%
74
47.1%
Q4 - 7:52NYKWallace BLOCK (6 BLK)77
55.2%
74
44.8%
Q4 - 7:55NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
60.3%
74
39.7%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Williamson 14' Jump Shot77
58.1%
74
41.9%
Q4 - 8:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)77
51.0%
74
49.0%
Q4 - 8:07NYKBarry BLOCK (3 BLK)77
52.9%
74
47.1%
Q4 - 8:33DETWilliamson 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)77
57.3%
74
42.7%
Q4 - 8:53NYKAnderson Layup (11 PTS) (Eisley 3 AST)77
63.8%
72
36.2%
Q4 - 8:58DETWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)75
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q4 - 9:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)75
49.5%
72
50.5%
Q4 - 9:10NYKRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
51.2%
72
48.8%
Q4 - 9:33DETBarry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)75
55.3%
72
44.7%
Q4 - 9:46NYKThomas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)75
61.5%
70
38.5%
Q4 - 10:09DETWilliamson 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)73
53.2%
70
46.8%
Q4 - 10:17NYKSUB: Postell FOR Sprewell73
68
Q4 - 10:17NYKSprewell L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)73
68
Q4 - 10:33NYKThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
59.0%
68
41.0%
Q4 - 10:33NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
58.2%
68
41.8%
Q4 - 10:33DETJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)71
68
Q4 - 10:41NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
53.4%
68
46.6%
Q4 - 10:43NYKBarry BLOCK (2 BLK)71
49.5%
68
50.5%
Q4 - 11:00DETWilliamson Layup (6 PTS)71
53.4%
68
46.6%
Q4 - 11:13NYKSUB: Eisley FOR Jackson71
66
Q4 - 11:13NYKAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)71
57.1%
66
42.9%
Q4 - 11:13NYKAnderson OFF.Foul (P3)71
66
Q4 - 11:29DETBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)71
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q4 - 11:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)71
71.8%
63
28.2%
Q4 - 11:33DETMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot71
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q4 - 11:41DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
71.8%
63
28.2%
Q4 - 11:43NYKMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
73.0%
63
27.0%
Q4 - 12:0071
63
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK71
75.8%
63
24.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
75.8%
63
24.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot71
72.3%
63
27.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0NYKJackson P.FOUL (P2.T3)71
63
Q3 - 0:10.0NYKAnderson Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 10 AST)71
69.8%
63
30.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
64.9%
63
35.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
63.6%
63
36.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0DETSUB: Barry FOR Curry69
63
Q3 - 0:57.0NYKJackson 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
60.7%
63
39.3%
Q3 - 1:14DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
53.8%
63
46.2%
Q3 - 1:34NYKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
49.3%
63
50.7%
Q3 - 1:34DETSUB: Jones FOR Atkins66
63
Q3 - 1:34NYKKnicks Rebound66
63
Q3 - 1:34NYKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 266
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 1:34DETAtkins P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
63
Q3 - 1:38DETAtkins P.FOUL (P2.T1)66
63
Q3 - 1:51DETWilliamson Layup (4 PTS)66
48.9%
63
51.1%
Q3 - 1:52DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
54.3%
61
45.7%
Q3 - 1:55DETMISS Atkins 10' Running Jump Shot66
57.4%
61
42.6%
Q3 - 2:16NYKWeatherspoon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 9 AST)66
52.1%
61
47.9%
Q3 - 2:29DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)64
47.5%
61
52.5%
Q3 - 2:48DETSUB: Williamson FOR Robinson64
61
Q3 - 2:48DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
61
Q3 - 2:51NYKSprewell 11' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
42.9%
61
57.1%
Q3 - 3:03NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 3:04DETMISS Atkins Layup62
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 3:26NYKJackson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 3:47DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)60
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 3:58DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 3:59NYKMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot60
26.6%
61
73.4%
Q3 - 4:16DETWallace Tip Shot (8 PTS)60
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 4:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Curry Layup60
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q3 - 4:42DETPISTONS Rebound60
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 4:44NYKMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot60
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 4:53NYKKnicks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
59
Q3 - 5:00NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
36.9%
59
63.1%
Q3 - 5:02DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot60
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 5:12DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 5:13NYKMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot60
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 5:27NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
35.8%
59
64.2%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS Robinson 22' Jump Shot60
34.5%
59
65.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 5:40NYKMISS Jackson 9' Hook Shot60
32.9%
59
67.1%
Q3 - 5:55DETStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)60
35.9%
59
64.1%
Q3 - 6:18NYKThomas 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)60
42.2%
56
57.8%
Q3 - 6:34DETWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)58
38.6%
56
61.4%
Q3 - 6:42DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 6:44NYKMISS Sprewell 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.5%
54
56.5%
Q3 - 6:54DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)58
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 6:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 7:00NYKMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot58
43.5%
54
56.5%
Q3 - 7:11NYKKnicks Rebound58
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q3 - 7:13NYKMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot58
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 7:35DETAtkins 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
44.9%
54
55.1%
Q3 - 7:48NYKJackson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 8:10NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
44.2%
52
55.8%
Q3 - 8:12DETMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 8:22DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
40.2%
52
59.8%
Q3 - 8:24NYKMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot56
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 8:38DETRobinson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
44.2%
52
55.8%
Q3 - 8:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Curry 3PT Jump Shot56
50.5%
50
49.5%
Q3 - 8:55DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Barry56
50
Q3 - 8:55NYKWeatherspoon P.FOUL (P3.T2)56
50
Q3 - 9:06NYKThomas Tip Shot (10 PTS)56
46.9%
50
53.1%
Q3 - 9:08NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q3 - 9:10NYKMISS Weatherspoon Layup54
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 9:16NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
43.4%
50
56.6%
Q3 - 9:18DETMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot54
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 9:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q3 - 9:39NYKMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot54
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 9:57NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
43.4%
50
56.6%
Q3 - 9:58DETMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot54
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 10:16NYKSprewell 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)54
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q3 - 10:27DETCurry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)52
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q3 - 10:50DETSUB: Barry FOR Stackhouse52
50
Q3 - 10:50NYKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)52
32.3%
50
67.7%
Q3 - 11:00DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 11:00DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q3 - 11:00NYKJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
48
Q3 - 11:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 11:10DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot52
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q3 - 11:11DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS Stackhouse 7' Hook Shot52
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q3 - 11:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 11:27NYKMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot52
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q3 - 11:37NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q3 - 11:40DETMISS Robinson 12' Running Hook Shot52
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q3 - 12:0052
48
Q2 - 0:00.0NYK52
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NYKKnicks Rebound52
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0NYKWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)52
38.6%
48
61.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)52
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0NYKPostell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0NYKPostell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETCurry S.FOUL (P1.T4)50
45
Q2 - 0:49.0NYKPostell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
43.6%
45
56.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS Robinson 28' 3PT Jump Shot50
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 1:10NYKPostell 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 1:25DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:25DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
36.9%
44
63.1%
Q2 - 1:25NYKEisley P.FOUL (P1.PN)48
43
Q2 - 1:27DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
43
Q2 - 1:27DETJump Ball Curry vs. Knight: Tip to Stackhouse48
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 1:29NYKWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)48
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 1:49NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
42.8%
43
57.2%
Q2 - 1:51DETMISS Stackhouse Layup48
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q2 - 2:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q2 - 2:03NYKMISS Eisley 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
39.9%
43
60.1%
Q2 - 2:25DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 2:25DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
42.8%
42
57.2%
Q2 - 2:25NYKPostell P.FOUL (P1.PN)48
41
Q2 - 2:38NYKPostell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 2:50DETSUB: Curry FOR Barry45
41
Q2 - 2:5045
41
Q2 - 2:50NYKKnicks Rebound45
39.1%
41
60.9%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot45
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 3:08NYKPostell Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 3:16NYKPostell Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 3:16NYKPostell Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
32.2%
41
67.8%
Q2 - 3:16DETBarry FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T3)41
41
Q2 - 3:33NYKPostell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 3:35DETMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot41
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 3:55NYKSprewell Layup (10 PTS) (Postell 1 AST)41
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 3:59DETAtkins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)39
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 4:10DETSUB: Wallace FOR Williamson39
41
Q2 - 4:10NYKKnicks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)39
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 4:10NYKKnicks Rebound39
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 4:10NYKMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot39
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 4:39DETStackhouse Dunk (13 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)39
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 4:41DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 4:42NYKMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot39
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 4:53NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 4:55DETMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 5:02DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 5:04NYKMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot39
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 5:19DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Rebraca39
39
Q2 - 5:19NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Spencer39
39
Q2 - 5:24DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 5:24DETWilliamson OFF.Foul (P1)39
39
Q2 - 5:29DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 5:30NYKRebraca BLOCK (2 BLK)39
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 5:47DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 5:47DETRebraca Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 5:47NYKSpencer S.FOUL (P3.PN)39
37
Q2 - 6:07NYKPostell 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 6:25NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 6:27DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 6:32DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 6:34NYKMISS Sprewell 29' 3PT Jump Shot37
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 6:38NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 6:40DETMISS Barry 12' Jump Shot37
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 7:02NYKSprewell 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)37
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 7:15DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 7:15NYKSUB: Sprewell FOR Anderson35
36
Q2 - 7:15DETPISTONS Rebound35
36
Q2 - 7:15DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 1 of 235
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 7:15NYKSpencer S.FOUL (P2.T4)35
36
Q2 - 7:20DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 7:22NYKMISS Eisley 19' Jump Shot35
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 7:41DETPISTONS Rebound35
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 7:41DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 7:41DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 1 of 235
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 7:41NYKKnicks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)35
35
Q2 - 7:41NYKKnight S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
35
Q2 - 7:51DETSUB: Atkins FOR Jones35
35
Q2 - 7:51NYKEisley Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)35
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 8:00NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 8:02DETMISS Rebraca 12' Jump Shot35
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 8:11NYKSpencer P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
35
Q2 - 8:32NYKAnderson 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 8:51DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 9:05DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)33
35
Q2 - 9:13NYKSpencer Layup (2 PTS)33
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 9:14NYKSpencer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 9:16NYKMISS Eisley Layup31
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 9:23NYKSpencer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 9:25DETMISS Williamson 9' Hook Shot31
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 9:35NYKPostell Layup (2 PTS)31
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 9:36NYKPostell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:38NYKRebraca BLOCK (1 BLK)29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 9:40NYKPostell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:42NYKBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 9:49NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:50NYKMISS Postell Layup29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 9:56DETRebraca P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
35
Q2 - 10:13DETSUB: Robinson FOR Wallace29
35
Q2 - 10:15NYKKnicks Rebound29
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 10:15DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 229
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 10:15DETPISTONS Rebound29
35
Q2 - 10:15DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 229
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 10:15NYKKnight S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
35
Q2 - 10:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot29
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 10:34NYKEisley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 10:34NYKEisley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 10:34DETJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
35
Q2 - 10:58DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 11:08DETPISTONS Rebound27
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 11:09NYKMISS Postell 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 11:11NYKKnicks Rebound27
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 11:12NYKWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)27
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 11:36DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 12:0027
31
Q1 - 0:00.0DET27
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound27
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stackhouse Tip Shot27
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 2 of 227
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETSUB: Jones FOR Atkins27
31
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound27
31
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 1 of 227
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYKWeatherspoon S.FOUL (P2.PN)27
31
Q1 - 0:24.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0NYKWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)27
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETMISS Williamson 7' Jump Shot27
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0NYKMISS Weatherspoon 17' Jump Shot27
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q1 - 1:05NYKSUB: Eisley FOR Jackson27
31
Q1 - 1:05NYKKnicks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)27
31
Q1 - 1:11DETAtkins Driving Layup (11 PTS)27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q1 - 1:20NYKWeatherspoon 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)27
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 1:45DETAtkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rebraca 1 AST)25
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 2:04NYKAnderson Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)25
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 2:11NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot23
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 2:26NYKKnicks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)23
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 2:51DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 2:51DETSUB: Williamson FOR Curry23
25
Q1 - 2:51DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 2:51NYKAnderson P.FOUL (P2.PN)23
24
Q1 - 2:51DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q1 - 2:53NYKMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 3:16DETStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 3:29DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q1 - 3:30NYKMISS Sprewell Layup23
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 3:38NYKKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 3:40NYKMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot23
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 3:50NYKMISS Sprewell Free Throw Technical23
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 3:50NYKKnicks Rebound23
22
Q1 - 3:50DETRobinson T.FOUL (P2.T3)23
22
Q1 - 3:52DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Robinson23
22
Q1 - 3:52NYKSUB: Knight FOR Thomas23
22
Q1 - 3:52DETRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T3)23
22
Q1 - 4:14DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 4:14NYKThomas S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
21
Q1 - 4:14DETStackhouse Layup (6 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)23
27.5%
21
72.5%
Q1 - 4:33NYKThomas Layup (8 PTS) (Sprewell 2 AST)23
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 4:39DETAtkins P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
19
Q1 - 4:55DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 5:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 5:06NYKMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot21
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 5:09NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 5:10NYKMISS Sprewell 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 5:27DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 5:27DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 5:27NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P2.PN)21
15
Q1 - 5:30NYKThomas P.FOUL (P1.T4)21
15
Q1 - 5:43NYKWeatherspoon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)21
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 5:53NYKKnicks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
15
Q1 - 6:02DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)19
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 6:04NYKWallace STEAL (1 STL)19
31.4%
13
68.6%
Q1 - 6:07NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 6:10DETMISS Stackhouse Dunk19
32.5%
13
67.5%
Q1 - 6:20NYKJackson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
31.3%
13
68.7%
Q1 - 6:32DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 6:32DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 6:32NYKWeatherspoon S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
11
Q1 - 6:42NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
11
Q1 - 6:51DETPISTONS Rebound17
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 6:51NYKMISS Sprewell 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 7:07DETAtkins 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 7:23NYKAnderson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)17
9
Q1 - 7:23DETPISTONS Rebound17
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot17
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 7:45NYKSprewell Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 7:54DETRobinson P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
9
Q1 - 8:08DETRobinson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)15
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 8:19DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)15
7
Q1 - 8:28NYKAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)15
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 8:41NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 8:43DETMISS Stackhouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.2%
7
70.8%
Q1 - 8:57NYKSprewell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)12
28.3%
7
71.7%
Q1 - 9:15DETRobinson Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 9:30NYKThomas Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 9:35NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 9:37DETMISS Curry Layup8
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 9:46DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)8
5
Q1 - 9:54NYKJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:59NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 10:01DETMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:17NYKSprewell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:34DETRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)4
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 10:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:44NYKMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:47NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:49NYKWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:08DETAtkins 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:22NYKThomas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sprewell 1 AST)4
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:29DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:43NYKThomas Layup (2 PTS)2
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:45NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:47NYKMISS Thomas Layup0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Thomas: Tip to Jackson0
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNYKDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
0.90 44.9%
DET
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
12
25
48%
DET
13
22
59%
Midrange
NYK
20
46
43%
DET
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
DET
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
NYK
13
15
87%
DET
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Postell2059%10.0 / 17
K. Thomas1853%9.0 / 17
L. Sprewell1745%8.5 / 19
S. Anderson1150%5.5 / 11
M. Jackson1150%5.5 / 11
C. Weatherspoon660%3.0 / 5
T. Knight225%1.0 / 4
H. Eisley214%1.0 / 7
F. Spencer2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Atkins1869%9.0 / 13
J. Stackhouse1845%9.0 / 20
C. Williamson1454%7.0 / 13
B. Wallace1275%6.0 / 8
C. Robinson938%4.5 / 12
J. Barry528%2.5 / 9
Z. Rebraca440%2.0 / 5
M. Curry220%1.0 / 5
D. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
82
+16
-4
98
DET
74
+16
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
0.90 44.9%
DET
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
102.0
NYK 103.5 +9.2
DET 94.3
Pace
91.6
92.6
NYK 89.6 +6.0
DET 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
NYK 16.1 −1.1
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
49.7%
NYK 44.2% +2.2%
DET 42.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.0%
NYK 8.0% −5.1%
DET 13.1%
ORB %
25.7%
24.5%
NYK 28.6%
DET 29.5% +0.9%
FTrt
27.4
31.0
NYK 17.4
DET 33.3 +15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
62.0%
NYK 50.0% +1.7%
DET 48.3%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
NYK 7.0% +5.9%
DET 1.1%
BLK %
5.4%
10.2%
NYK 6.9%
DET 19.7% +12.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.3%
51.3%
NYK 44.9%
DET 46.1% +1.2%
Rim FG%
52.9%
59.4%
NYK 48.0%
DET 59.1% +11.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.1%
NYK 43.5% +12.9%
DET 30.6%
3P %
35.3%
37.6%
NYK 26.7%
DET 29.4% +2.7%
FT %
78.7%
75.6%
NYK 86.7% +10.7%
DET 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
31.6%
NYK 29.1%
DET 29.3% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
50.7%
44.4%
NYK 53.5%
DET 48.0% −5.5%
3P Att. %
20.6%
23.9%
NYK 17.4%
DET 22.7% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKDET
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points8982
Rebounds4343
Assists1814
Steals61
Blocks414
Turnovers (Team)4 (4)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals36-8629-75
At-the-Rim FG12-2513-22
Midrange FG20-4611-36
2-Point FG32-7124-58
3-Point FG4-155-17
Free Throws13-1519-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
38.5
17
45%
4
2
0
0
1
4
2
2
0-1
0%
7-14
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
35.8
11
50%
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 29
33.9
18
53%
8
0
1
2
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 32
31.9
6
60%
7
0
0
2
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 37
27.8
11
50%
5
12
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 235 · 28
23.5
2
25%
7
0
1
0
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24
21.8
20
59%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
6-6
100%
4-12
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
20.2
2
14%
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 290 · 34
6.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
G · 6'2" 185 · 31
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
45%
43
18
6
4
4
0
12
31
13-15
87%
32-71
45%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.