Final Win Prob. pScore
2141%86
80
2059%88
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
95.28482.8
TOR logo Raptors
94.28688.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
81
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)80
81
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot80
81
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)80
81
Q4 - 0:08.0TORPeterson Running Layup (21 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)80
81
Q4 - 0:21.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 2)80
79
Q4 - 0:25.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
79
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
79
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS Clark 14' Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 1:04TORSUB: Williams FOR Childs80
79
Q4 - 1:04MIASUB: Jackson FOR Ellis80
79
Q4 - 1:04MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T20)80
79
Q4 - 1:04MIAEllis OFF.Foul (P4)80
79
Q4 - 1:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
79
Q4 - 1:29TORMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 1:35TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
79
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 1:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)80
79
Q4 - 1:58TORMISS Childs Driving Layup80
79
Q4 - 2:12TORSUB: Peterson FOR Williams80
79
Q4 - 2:12TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 2)80
79
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 2:17TORWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)78
79
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)78
79
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Mourning Layup78
79
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
79
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot78
79
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
79
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot78
79
Q4 - 2:33TORSUB: Childs FOR Peterson78
79
Q4 - 2:33TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 1)78
79
Q4 - 2:33TORPeterson P.FOUL (P5.T4)78
79
Q4 - 2:50TORClark Reverse Layup (4 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 3:14MIAStrickland 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)78
77
Q4 - 3:39TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
77
Q4 - 3:39TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
76
Q4 - 3:39MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.PN)75
75
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)75
75
Q4 - 4:06TORClark Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)75
75
Q4 - 4:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
75
Q4 - 4:14TORMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot75
75
Q4 - 4:22TORDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
75
Q4 - 4:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 275
75
Q4 - 4:23TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
75
Q4 - 4:23MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
74
Q4 - 4:35MIAStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)75
74
Q4 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound72
74
Q4 - 4:38MIAClark BLOCK (3 BLK)72
74
Q4 - 4:55TORDavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)72
74
Q4 - 5:13MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)72
74
Q4 - 5:31TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)69
74
Q4 - 5:31MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
73
Q4 - 5:31TORDavis Layup (18 PTS)69
73
Q4 - 5:32TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
71
Q4 - 5:34TORMISS Williams 10' Fadeaway Jumper69
71
Q4 - 5:37TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
71
Q4 - 5:39TORMISS Williams Reverse Layup69
71
Q4 - 6:05MIAMourning 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)69
71
Q4 - 6:17TORSUB: Williams FOR Childs67
71
Q4 - 6:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)67
71
Q4 - 6:31TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Childs 6 AST)67
71
Q4 - 6:36TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
68
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Peterson 10' Running Jump Shot67
68
Q4 - 6:54MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
68
Q4 - 7:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
68
Q4 - 7:04TORMISS Peterson Running Layup65
68
Q4 - 7:17MIAGrant Tip Shot (15 PTS)65
68
Q4 - 7:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)63
68
Q4 - 7:22MIAClark BLOCK (2 BLK)63
68
Q4 - 7:35TORWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T3)63
68
Q4 - 7:48TORSUB: Davis FOR Montross63
68
Q4 - 7:48TORMontross P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
68
Q4 - 8:04TORClark Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Childs 5 AST)63
68
Q4 - 8:15TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
66
Q4 - 8:16TORMISS Peterson 16' Jump Shot63
66
Q4 - 8:36MIASUB: Strickland FOR House63
66
Q4 - 8:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson63
66
Q4 - 8:3663
66
Q4 - 8:36MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)63
66
Q4 - 8:47MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
66
Q4 - 8:48TORMISS Clark 18' Jump Shot63
66
Q4 - 9:06MIAMourning Layup (13 PTS)63
66
Q4 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
66
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup61
66
Q4 - 9:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
66
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot61
66
Q4 - 9:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)61
66
Q4 - 9:40MIAHeat Rebound61
66
Q4 - 9:40MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)61
66
Q4 - 10:06TORPeterson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)61
66
Q4 - 10:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
64
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup61
64
Q4 - 10:25MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)61
64
Q4 - 10:34TORMontross 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childs 4 AST)61
64
Q4 - 10:43MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
62
Q4 - 10:46TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
62
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 261
62
Q4 - 10:46MIAHeat Rebound61
62
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 261
62
Q4 - 10:46TORSUB: Montross FOR Davis61
62
Q4 - 10:46TORDavis P.FOUL (P4.T1)61
62
Q4 - 11:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
62
Q4 - 11:04TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 261
62
Q4 - 11:04MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones61
62
Q4 - 11:04TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
62
Q4 - 11:04MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T2)61
61
Q4 - 11:17TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
61
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot61
61
Q4 - 11:33TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
61
Q4 - 11:33MIASUB: Mourning FOR Strickland61
60
Q4 - 11:33TORRAPTORS Rebound61
60
Q4 - 11:33TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 261
60
Q4 - 11:33MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T1)61
60
Q4 - 11:37TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
60
Q4 - 11:38MIAClark BLOCK (1 BLK)61
60
Q4 - 12:0061
60
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR61
60
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound61
60
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Childs 43' 3PT Jump Shot61
60
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
60
Q3 - 0:04.0TORSUB: Peterson FOR Davis59
60
Q3 - 0:04.0TORChilds P.FOUL (P1.T3)59
60
Q3 - 0:10.0TORSUB: Jackson FOR Williams59
60
Q3 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Stepania59
60
Q3 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jackson59
60
Q3 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning59
60
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
60
Q3 - 0:13.0TORMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAStrickland 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 0:49.0TORWilliams 16' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
60
Q3 - 1:10TORChilds REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
58
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 1:25MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
58
Q3 - 1:27TORMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 1:46MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P5.T16)57
58
Q3 - 1:46MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P2)57
58
Q3 - 1:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
58
Q3 - 1:54TORMISS Williams Layup57
58
Q3 - 1:56TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
58
Q3 - 1:59TORMISS Williams Layup57
58
Q3 - 2:04TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
58
Q3 - 2:06MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)57
58
Q3 - 2:12TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)57
58
Q3 - 2:23MIAWilliams STEAL (5 STL)57
58
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: House FOR Jones57
58
Q3 - 2:32TORDavis Foul Turnover (P3.T13)57
58
Q3 - 2:32TORDavis OFF.Foul (P3)57
58
Q3 - 2:44TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
58
Q3 - 2:46MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)57
58
Q3 - 3:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
58
Q3 - 3:06TORMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 3:23MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T14)57
58
Q3 - 3:37TORSUB: Childs FOR Peterson57
58
Q3 - 3:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)57
58
Q3 - 3:37TORSUB: Clark FOR Montross57
58
Q3 - 3:37MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant57
58
Q3 - 3:37TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P3.T12)57
58
Q3 - 3:37TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P4)57
58
Q3 - 3:53TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
58
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 4:13MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
58
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
58
Q3 - 4:31TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup57
58
Q3 - 4:49MIAStrickland 13' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 5:07TORWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Peterson 5 AST)55
58
Q3 - 5:24MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)55
55
Q3 - 5:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
55
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot55
55
Q3 - 5:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
55
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Davis 11' Running Jump Shot55
55
Q3 - 5:48TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 1)55
55
Q3 - 5:48TORRAPTORS Rebound55
55
Q3 - 5:48TORMISS Williams Driving Layup55
55
Q3 - 6:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
55
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot55
55
Q3 - 6:12MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
55
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 255
55
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 6:13TORDavis S.FOUL (P2.T2)54
55
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
55
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
55
Q3 - 6:42TORDavis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
55
Q3 - 7:04MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)54
53
Q3 - 7:28TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Peterson 4 AST)52
53
Q3 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Rebound52
51
Q3 - 7:34TORMISS Montross 12' Turnaround Jump Shot52
51
Q3 - 7:48TORDavis Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)52
51
Q3 - 7:48MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Grant )52
50
Q3 - 8:11MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)52
50
Q3 - 8:23TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)49
50
Q3 - 8:23TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P3)49
50
Q3 - 8:29TORHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation49
50
Q3 - 8:29TORRAPTORS Rebound49
50
Q3 - 8:30TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot49
50
Q3 - 8:40MIAWilliams STEAL (4 STL)49
50
Q3 - 8:40TORJump Ball Williams vs. Grant: Tip to Williams49
50
Q3 - 8:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)49
50
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot49
50
Q3 - 8:58TORMontross Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)49
50
Q3 - 9:19MIAStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
50
Q3 - 9:23TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
50
Q3 - 9:34TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
50
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones 15' Fadeaway Jumper47
50
Q3 - 9:50TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T1)47
50
Q3 - 10:06TORMontross 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)47
50
Q3 - 10:26MIAMourning 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)47
48
Q3 - 10:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
48
Q3 - 10:44TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
48
Q3 - 10:49TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
48
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 145
48
Q3 - 10:50MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T1)45
48
Q3 - 10:50TORWilliams Layup (14 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)45
48
Q3 - 10:53TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
46
Q3 - 10:56TORMISS Peterson 14' Jump Shot45
46
Q3 - 11:21MIAGrant 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
46
Q3 - 11:44TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
46
Q3 - 12:0043
44
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR43
44
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound43
44
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot43
44
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)43
44
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
44
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 243
44
Q2 - 0:22.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Gatling43
44
Q2 - 0:22.0TORRAPTORS Rebound43
44
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 243
44
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.PN)43
44
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
44
Q2 - 0:33.0TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
44
Q2 - 0:44.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)41
44
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T10)41
41
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)41
41
Q2 - 1:08TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
41
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Gatling FOR Grant41
40
Q2 - 1:08TORRAPTORS Rebound41
40
Q2 - 1:08TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 241
40
Q2 - 1:08MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T3)41
40
Q2 - 1:31MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)41
40
Q2 - 1:35TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)39
40
Q2 - 1:58MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 1:58MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones38
40
Q2 - 1:58TORMontross S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
40
Q2 - 1:58MIAGrant Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)38
40
Q2 - 2:15TORPeterson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
40
Q2 - 2:22TORSUB: Montross FOR Clark36
38
Q2 - 2:22MIAHeat Timeout: Official TV (Reg.1 Short 1)36
38
Q2 - 2:35MIAStrickland Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)36
38
Q2 - 2:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
38
Q2 - 2:43TORMISS Williams Layup34
38
Q2 - 2:53MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)34
38
Q2 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
38
Q2 - 3:11TORMISS Clark 13' Jump Shot34
38
Q2 - 3:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)34
38
Q2 - 3:29MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)34
38
Q2 - 3:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
38
Q2 - 3:40TORMISS Clark 6' Turnaround Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 3:53TORRAPTORS Rebound32
38
Q2 - 3:55TORMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 4:04TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
38
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 4:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
38
Q2 - 4:17TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 4:36MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)32
38
Q2 - 4:36MIAJones OFF.Foul (P2)32
38
Q2 - 4:46TORSUB: Peterson FOR Childs32
38
Q2 - 4:46MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill32
38
Q2 - 4:46MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania32
38
Q2 - 4:46TORClark Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
38
Q2 - 4:46TORClark OFF.Foul (P2)32
38
Q2 - 4:59TORRAPTORS Rebound32
38
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Stepania 1' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 5:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
38
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Grant Layup32
38
Q2 - 5:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)32
38
Q2 - 5:20TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
38
Q2 - 5:20TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 5:20MIASUB: Strickland FOR House32
37
Q2 - 5:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 0)32
37
Q2 - 5:20MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
37
Q2 - 5:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
37
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup32
37
Q2 - 5:52TORDavis Layup (13 PTS) (Childs 3 AST)32
37
Q2 - 6:09TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
35
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 6:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)32
35
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 132
35
Q2 - 6:27TORSUB: Williams FOR Peterson32
35
Q2 - 6:27TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
35
Q2 - 6:27MIAStepania 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
35
Q2 - 6:3930
35
Q2 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
35
Q2 - 6:43TORMISS Davis Tip Shot30
35
Q2 - 6:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
35
Q2 - 6:45TORMISS Davis Driving Layup30
35
Q2 - 6:48MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning30
35
Q2 - 6:53TORChilds REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot30
35
Q2 - 7:04TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
35
Q2 - 7:04TORJump Ball Davis vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill30
35
Q2 - 7:07TORSUB: Davis FOR Montross30
35
Q2 - 7:27MIAHouse 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 7:35MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
35
Q2 - 7:37TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot28
35
Q2 - 7:52MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 8:00MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35
Q2 - 8:02TORMISS Clark Driving Layup26
35
Q2 - 8:21MIAMourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
35
Q2 - 8:31MIASUB: Grant FOR Gatling24
35
Q2 - 8:31TORChilds Violation:Jump Ball24
35
Q2 - 8:31TORJump Ball Childs vs. Mourning: Tip to24
35
Q2 - 8:31TORSUB: Montross FOR Olajuwon24
35
Q2 - 8:3124
35
Q2 - 8:52TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Childs 2 AST)24
35
Q2 - 9:01MIAOlajuwon STEAL (2 STL)24
33
Q2 - 9:03MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33
Q2 - 9:05TORMISS Olajuwon 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
33
Q2 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
33
Q2 - 9:26MIASUB: Gill FOR Ellis23
33
Q2 - 9:26MIAHeat Rebound23
33
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 223
33
Q2 - 9:26TORClark S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
33
Q2 - 9:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
33
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot23
33
Q2 - 9:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
33
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Gatling 7' Jump Hook Shot23
33
Q2 - 9:53TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
33
Q2 - 10:03TORSUB: Williams FOR Williams23
30
Q2 - 10:03MIAGatling P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
30
Q2 - 10:19MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)23
30
Q2 - 10:34MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson20
30
Q2 - 10:34MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)20
30
Q2 - 10:44TORWilliams Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Childs 1 AST)20
30
Q2 - 10:50MIAOlajuwon STEAL (1 STL)20
28
Q2 - 11:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
28
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot20
28
Q2 - 11:15MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
28
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Olajuwon 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
28
Q2 - 11:26TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot20
28
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28
Q2 - 11:45TORMISS Clark Layup20
28
Q2 - 12:0020
28
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR20
28
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound20
28
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot20
28
Q1 - 0:17.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
28
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot20
28
Q1 - 0:32.0TORPeterson 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
28
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)20
26
Q1 - 1:05TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
26
Q1 - 1:05TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
25
Q1 - 1:05MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
24
Q1 - 1:20MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)18
24
Q1 - 1:36TORWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)18
24
Q1 - 1:40MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
22
Q1 - 1:57TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)18
22
Q1 - 1:57TORRAPTORS Rebound18
22
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Childs Driving Layup18
22
Q1 - 2:21TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
22
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 218
22
Q1 - 2:22MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
22
Q1 - 2:22MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania17
22
Q1 - 2:22MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones17
22
Q1 - 2:22TORSUB: Childs FOR Williams17
22
Q1 - 2:22TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 0)17
22
Q1 - 2:22TOROlajuwon S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
22
Q1 - 2:42TORWilliams Running Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)17
22
Q1 - 2:59MIAJones Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)17
20
Q1 - 3:04TOROlajuwon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
20
Q1 - 3:22TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Stepania Running Layup15
20
Q1 - 3:48TORDavis 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
20
Q1 - 4:00MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)15
18
Q1 - 4:00TORJump Ball Davis vs. Stepania: Tip to Peterson15
18
Q1 - 4:17TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 4:17MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jackson15
17
Q1 - 4:17TORSUB: Olajuwon FOR Montross15
17
Q1 - 4:17TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 4:17MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
16
Q1 - 4:28MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)15
16
Q1 - 4:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)13
16
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 213
16
Q1 - 4:42MIAHeat Rebound13
16
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 213
16
Q1 - 4:42TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
16
Q1 - 4:57TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 4:57MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
15
Q1 - 4:57TORDavis Slam Dunk (8 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)13
13
Q1 - 5:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Williams Reverse Layup11
13
Q1 - 5:29MIAStrickland Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 5:43MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning9
13
Q1 - 5:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
13
Q1 - 5:53TORDavis Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)9
13
Q1 - 5:59MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)9
11
Q1 - 6:24TORDavis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 6:36TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 6:38MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)9
9
Q1 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
9
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 6:57TORWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)9
9
Q1 - 7:01TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
9
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 7:18TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
9
Q1 - 7:29MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)9
9
Q1 - 7:57TORDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)7
9
Q1 - 8:04MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)7
7
Q1 - 8:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
7
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:35MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 8:37TORMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:51TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 25
7
Q1 - 8:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 8:51TORWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 9:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 9:08TORRAPTORS Rebound4
7
Q1 - 9:09TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 24
7
Q1 - 9:09TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 9:09MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:36MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:47TORPeterson Layup (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:49TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 9:51TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:57TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:14TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Mourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:29TORWilliams Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:37MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:54TORMontross 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:13MIAJackson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:25TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Montross vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
TOR
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
25
40%
TOR
14
29
48%
Midrange
MIA
18
42
43%
TOR
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
7
71%
107%
TOR
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
9
18
50%
TOR
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Strickland2471%12.0 / 17
A. Mourning1753%8.5 / 16
B. Grant1547%7.5 / 16
J. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
L. Ellis750%3.5 / 7
E. House467%2.0 / 3
E. Jones220%1.0 / 5
V. Stepania220%1.0 / 5
K. Gill0-0.0 / 2
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Peterson2150%10.5 / 21
A. Davis1956%9.5 / 17
J. Williams1847%9.0 / 19
A. Williams1346%6.5 / 14
E. Montross675%3.0 / 4
K. Clark425%2.0 / 8
C. Childs0-0.0 / 3
H. Olajuwon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
65
+21
-19
86
TOR
71
+21
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
TOR
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 95.2 +1.1
TOR 94.2
Pace
89.7
91.1
MIA 82.8
TOR 88.6 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.3
MIA 17.4
TOR 16.2 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.3%
MIA 48.0% +4.0%
TOR 44.0%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
MIA 19.6%
TOR 15.8% −3.8%
ORB %
26.7%
31.4%
MIA 43.2% +13.9%
TOR 29.3%
FTrt
26.8
25.5
MIA 24.3
TOR 32.0 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.9%
MIA 69.7% +8.4%
TOR 61.3%
STL %
7.4%
9.1%
MIA 8.3%
TOR 12.8% +4.5%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 10.4%
TOR 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.8%
MIA 46.5% +2.5%
TOR 44.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.9%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 48.3% +8.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.7%
MIA 42.9% +8.7%
TOR 34.2%
3P %
34.7%
34.9%
MIA 71.4% +21.4%
TOR 50.0%
FT %
72.4%
73.9%
MIA 50.0%
TOR 62.5% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.9%
MIA 33.8%
TOR 38.7% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
52.6%
MIA 56.8%
TOR 50.7% −6.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.5%
MIA 9.5%
TOR 10.7% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes24.323.3
Points8081
Rebounds4837
Assists2319
Steals711
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)12 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)25 (1)
Field Goals33-7431-75
At-the-Rim FG10-2514-29
Midrange FG18-4213-38
2-Point FG28-6727-67
3-Point FG5-74-8
Free Throws9-1815-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
42.0
17
53%
14
1
2
4
6
3
7
7
5-10
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
39.9
15
47%
10
2
1
0
4
3
6
4
1-1
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
38.4
24
71%
1
8
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
9-15
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.8
2
20%
5
8
2
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
31.6
9
50%
7
2
1
1
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
17.9
7
50%
4
0
0
1
2
4
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
12.6
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
8.8
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
6.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 35
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
48
23
7
7
19
0
19
29
9-18
50%
28-67
42%
5-7
71%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.