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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 27, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat42%8680
20Raptors58%8881
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32.1
42.0
34.0
17
52%
14
1
2
0
4
6
7
7
5-10
50%
6-12
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.1
39.9
27.8
15
49%
10
2
1
1
0
4
6
4
1-1
100%
7-15
3-7
47%
46%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.7
38.4
29.6
24
71%
1
8
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
9-15
4-9
60%
44%
2-2
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.4
37.8
36.3
2
20%
5
8
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
31.6
31.2
9
51%
7
2
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
43%
1-3
33%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
17.9
12.4
7
51%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.9
12.6
20.4
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
8.8
12.4
2
19%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-3
0%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.8
6.6
11.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.6
4.3
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.8
7.6
0
1-2
40%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
3.4
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 28.9
43.3
26.3
18
51%
10
2
5
1
1
0
3
7
8-13
62%
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
42.4
34.7
21
51%
2
5
1
1
0
3
2
0
3-4
75%
6-15
5-10
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
40.1
36.2
19
58%
10
1
2
1
2
5
5
5
3-3
100%
8-15
5-12
53%
42%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.6
37.8
32.5
13
47%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
1-4
25%
3-9
4-8
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Eric Montross
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.5
22.8
12.5
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 26.9
25.3
26.0
4
25%
6
0
0
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
5-9
25%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Childs
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.3
20.4
11.2
0
0%
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Hakeem Olajuwon
C · 7'0" 255 · 39.2
7.8
15.8
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 25.8
0.2
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
18.5
1
4-8
45%
Dell Curry
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 37.8
13.1
0
1-3
44%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.