Final Win Prob. pScore
2938%93
100
2862%96
84
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
106.49492.0
CHI logo Bulls
94.48991.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENCHI
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN100
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
100%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Bagaric 17' Jump Shot100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENHarvey 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bateer 6 AST)100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENMISS Harvey 20' Jump Shot98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20CHICrawford 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)98
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29DENLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Satterfield 11 AST)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41CHICrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41CHIBULLS Rebound95
81
Q4 - 1:41CHIMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41DENSatterfield S.FOUL (P2.PN)95
81
Q4 - 1:51DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:51DENSUB: Harvey FOR Howard94
81
Q4 - 1:51DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:51CHIRose P.FOUL (P3.PN)93
81
Q4 - 2:15CHIBagaric 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29DENMISS Satterfield 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52CHIMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot93
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 3:15DENSatterfield 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bateer 5 AST)93
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 3:28DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 3:31CHIMISS Bagaric 9' Jump Shot91
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 3:52DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lenard 5 AST)91
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 4:08DENBateer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 2 of 289
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 4:11DENNuggets Rebound89
79
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 289
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 4:11CHIHassell P.FOUL (P5.PN)89
79
Q4 - 4:14CHIHassell P.FOUL (P4.T4)89
79
Q4 - 4:27CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:27CHICrawford 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:29CHIMISS Crawford 8' Jump Shot89
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 4:52DENLenard 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Satterfield 10 AST)89
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 5:06CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q4 - 5:06CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
96.8%
76
3.2%
Q4 - 5:06DENCheaney S.FOUL (P1.PN)87
75
Q4 - 5:21CHIBULLS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)87
75
Q4 - 5:21CHISUB: Hassell FOR Robinson87
75
Q4 - 5:21DENLenard Foul Turnover (P2.T17)87
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 5:21DENLenard OFF.Foul (P4)87
75
Q4 - 5:31DENSUB: Bateer FOR Hamilton87
75
Q4 - 5:31CHIBULLS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)87
75
Q4 - 5:31CHIBagaric P.FOUL (P2.T3)87
75
Q4 - 5:43DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 5:45CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot87
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 6:10DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)87
96.4%
75
3.6%
Q4 - 6:21CHIBagaric Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)85
95.3%
75
4.7%
Q4 - 6:21DENSUB: Satterfield FOR Arroyo85
74
Q4 - 6:21DENHamilton S.FOUL (P3.T4)85
74
Q4 - 6:21CHIBagaric Layup (8 PTS)85
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 6:43CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
97.4%
72
2.6%
Q4 - 6:43DENBagaric BLOCK (1 BLK)85
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q4 - 6:58CHIJump Ball Bagaric vs. Hamilton: Tip to Howard85
72
Q4 - 7:15DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 7:16CHIMISS Bagaric Free Throw 2 of 285
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 7:16DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Harvey85
72
Q4 - 7:16CHIBULLS Rebound85
72
Q4 - 7:16CHIMISS Bagaric Free Throw 1 of 285
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 7:16DENHarvey S.FOUL (P4.T3)85
72
Q4 - 7:23DENHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T16)85
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 7:23DENHoward OFF.Foul (P3)85
72
Q4 - 7:36DENNuggets Rebound85
72
Q4 - 7:36DENMISS Lenard Free Throw Technical85
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 7:36CHIBULLS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Crawford )85
72
Q4 - 7:56CHICrawford 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)85
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 8:07DENHamilton 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)85
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 8:28CHIRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)85
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 8:4585
67
Q4 - 8:45DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T14)85
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:45DENLenard OFF.Foul (P3)85
67
Q4 - 9:01CHICrawford 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bagaric 2 AST)85
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q4 - 9:06CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:08CHIMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot85
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 9:13DENLenard P.FOUL (P2.T2)85
65
Q4 - 9:22DENHamilton Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)85
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:38DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:38CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 285
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:38CHISUB: Bagaric FOR Chandler85
65
Q4 - 9:38CHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:38DENLenard S.FOUL (P1.T1)85
64
Q4 - 9:47CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q4 - 9:50DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot85
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 10:00DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 10:03CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot85
98.9%
64
1.1%
Q4 - 10:24DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 10:36DENNuggets Rebound82
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q4 - 10:36DENCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)82
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q4 - 10:47DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q4 - 10:49CHIMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.0%
64
2.0%
Q4 - 11:07CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
64
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 182
97.1%
64
2.9%
Q4 - 11:07CHIChandler S.FOUL (P4.T2)82
64
Q4 - 11:07DENHamilton Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Harvey 5 AST)82
97.0%
64
3.0%
Q4 - 11:17DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
96.3%
64
3.7%
Q4 - 11:19CHIMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot80
96.1%
64
3.9%
Q4 - 11:33DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
95.6%
64
4.4%
Q4 - 11:33DENNuggets Rebound79
64
Q4 - 11:33DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 279
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q4 - 11:33CHIOakley S.FOUL (P1.T1)79
64
Q4 - 11:34DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot79
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q4 - 12:0079
64
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI79
95.6%
64
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENRose STEAL (2 STL)79
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHIChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)79
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
93.6%
64
6.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)79
94.0%
64
6.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHICrawford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
94.7%
64
5.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)79
95.7%
62
4.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHICrawford S.FOUL (P1.PN)78
62
Q3 - 0:35.0DENLenard Running Layup (8 PTS) (Satterfield 9 AST)78
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHIHassell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)76
93.6%
62
6.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENHamilton Layup (17 PTS) (Bateer 4 AST)76
92.4%
62
7.6%
Q3 - 1:04DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
89.6%
62
10.4%
Q3 - 1:07CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot74
89.1%
62
10.9%
Q3 - 1:17CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Satterfield 20' Jump Shot74
88.4%
62
11.6%
Q3 - 1:25DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney74
62
Q3 - 1:25CHISUB: Crawford FOR Best74
62
Q3 - 1:25CHIHassell P.FOUL (P3.T3)74
62
Q3 - 1:40CHIBest 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hassell 3 AST)74
89.7%
62
10.3%
Q3 - 1:49CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
91.5%
60
8.5%
Q3 - 1:51DENMISS Satterfield 17' Jump Shot74
91.9%
60
8.1%
Q3 - 2:16DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 2:18CHIMISS Hassell 20' Jump Shot74
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 2:28DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Howard74
60
Q3 - 2:28CHISUB: Chandler FOR Fizer74
60
Q3 - 2:28DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)74
60
Q3 - 2:28CHIBULLS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)74
60
Q3 - 2:30DENHoward Layup (21 PTS) (Satterfield 8 AST)74
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 2:35DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
88.4%
60
11.6%
Q3 - 2:38CHIMISS Oakley 20' Jump Shot72
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q3 - 2:52DENSatterfield 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)72
86.4%
60
13.6%
Q3 - 2:55DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
84.1%
60
15.9%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Satterfield Layup70
82.3%
60
17.7%
Q3 - 3:02DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
82.7%
60
17.3%
Q3 - 3:03CHIMISS Best Layup70
81.8%
60
18.2%
Q3 - 3:21DENHoward 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bateer 3 AST)70
79.8%
60
20.2%
Q3 - 3:35DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 3:37CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
76.0%
60
24.0%
Q3 - 3:53DENCheaney Layup (12 PTS) (Harvey 4 AST)68
73.5%
60
26.5%
Q3 - 3:54DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
70.1%
60
29.9%
Q3 - 3:56DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot66
67.2%
60
32.8%
Q3 - 4:03CHIHassell Dunk (12 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)66
69.2%
60
30.8%
Q3 - 4:07DENFizer STEAL (1 STL)66
72.2%
58
27.8%
Q3 - 4:35CHIBest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)66
76.2%
58
23.8%
Q3 - 4:46DENBateer Layup (5 PTS) (Harvey 3 AST)66
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q3 - 5:05CHIHassell 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 3 AST)64
77.4%
55
22.6%
Q3 - 5:19CHISUB: Oakley FOR Chandler64
53
Q3 - 5:19CHISUB: Fizer FOR Curry64
53
Q3 - 5:19DENHoward P.FOUL (P2.T1)64
53
Q3 - 5:28CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q3 - 5:31DENMISS Satterfield 21' Jump Shot64
80.9%
53
19.1%
Q3 - 5:37DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
82.9%
53
17.1%
Q3 - 5:39CHIMISS Curry 16' Jump Shot64
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q3 - 5:50DENHassell STEAL (1 STL)64
80.1%
53
19.9%
Q3 - 5:58CHIHassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)64
82.9%
53
17.1%
Q3 - 6:21DENCheaney 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bateer 2 AST)64
78.8%
53
21.2%
Q3 - 6:32DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 6:34CHIMISS Best 19' Jump Shot62
75.3%
53
24.7%
Q3 - 6:56DENSatterfield 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)62
73.0%
53
27.0%
Q3 - 7:18CHIHassell 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
68.3%
53
31.7%
Q3 - 7:41CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q3 - 7:43DENMISS Satterfield 14' Jump Shot60
72.5%
51
27.5%
Q3 - 8:10CHIRose 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 2 AST)60
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 8:19DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
79.0%
48
21.0%
Q3 - 8:19CHIHassell S.FOUL (P2.T2)59
48
Q3 - 8:19DENHoward Layup (16 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)59
76.4%
48
23.6%
Q3 - 8:23CHIRose 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)57
73.8%
48
26.2%
Q3 - 8:30DENRose STEAL (1 STL)57
76.4%
46
23.6%
Q3 - 8:52CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
79.2%
46
20.8%
Q3 - 8:55CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
81.4%
44
18.6%
Q3 - 8:57CHIMISS Curry 7' Jump Shot57
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q3 - 9:11CHIBULLS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)57
44
Q3 - 9:18DENSatterfield 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
80.7%
44
19.3%
Q3 - 9:25DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q3 - 9:27CHIMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot55
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q3 - 9:34DENHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
75.8%
44
24.2%
Q3 - 9:40DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q3 - 9:43CHIMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot55
77.7%
44
22.3%
Q3 - 10:07CHIChandler Violation:Defensive Goaltending55
44
Q3 - 10:07DENSatterfield 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)55
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q3 - 10:13DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Bateer 19' Jump Shot53
69.7%
44
30.3%
Q3 - 10:32DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q3 - 10:35CHIMISS Hassell 17' Jump Shot53
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 10:43CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 253
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q3 - 10:45DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
71.2%
44
28.8%
Q3 - 10:45CHIHassell S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
44
Q3 - 10:45DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 10:46DENChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)52
66.7%
44
33.3%
Q3 - 11:00DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 11:02CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
67.0%
44
33.0%
Q3 - 11:26DENHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T7)52
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q3 - 11:26DENHoward OFF.Foul (P1)52
44
Q3 - 11:48CHIHassell Layup (6 PTS)52
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q3 - 12:0052
42
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN52
70.8%
42
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBagaric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)52
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
70.8%
42
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENHamilton Tip Shot (15 PTS)52
70.8%
42
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 250
65.2%
42
34.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
67.2%
42
32.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIRose S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
42
Q2 - 0:01.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Fizer Layup49
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIBULLS Rebound49
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHIFizer Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)49
63.8%
42
36.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENHamilton Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)49
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
63.8%
42
36.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot49
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q2 - 1:04DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 1:08CHIMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot49
62.3%
42
37.7%
Q2 - 1:24DENHamilton 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)49
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 1:46CHIFizer Foul Turnover (P1.T3)47
56.8%
42
43.2%
Q2 - 1:46CHIFizer OFF.Foul (P2)47
42
Q2 - 2:00DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)47
54.4%
42
45.6%
Q2 - 2:00CHIBagaric S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
42
Q2 - 2:00DENHamilton Layup (10 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)46
51.2%
42
48.8%
Q2 - 2:07DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 2:09CHIMISS Fizer Layup44
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 2:29CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
43.6%
42
56.4%
Q2 - 2:31DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot44
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q2 - 2:49CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)44
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 2:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
40
Q2 - 2:56DENHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T4)44
40
Q2 - 3:12DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
49.3%
40
50.7%
Q2 - 3:12CHISUB: Hassell FOR Hoiberg43
40
Q2 - 3:12DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q2 - 3:12DENSUB: Howard FOR Andersen42
40
Q2 - 3:12CHIRose P.FOUL (P1.PN)42
40
Q2 - 3:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
46.7%
40
53.3%
Q2 - 3:18DENFizer BLOCK (1 BLK)42
44.2%
40
55.8%
Q2 - 3:26DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46.7%
40
53.3%
Q2 - 3:28CHIMISS Fizer Layup42
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 3:43DENLenard 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
43.1%
40
56.9%
Q2 - 4:05CHIBagaric 11' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)40
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 4:15CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot40
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 4:21CHIJump Ball Hoiberg vs. Arroyo: Tip to Cheaney40
38
Q2 - 4:21DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
46.1%
38
53.9%
Q2 - 4:23CHIMISS Crawford 14' Jump Shot40
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 4:39DENLenard 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)40
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 5:03CHIBagaric Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
40.0%
38
60.0%
Q2 - 5:22DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Bateer38
36
Q2 - 5:22CHISUB: Rose FOR Robinson38
36
Q2 - 5:22CHIBULLS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)38
36
Q2 - 5:22DENBateer Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
42.9%
36
57.1%
Q2 - 5:22DENBateer OFF.Foul (P3)38
36
Q2 - 5:27DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
45.8%
36
54.2%
Q2 - 5:30CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
44.9%
36
55.1%
Q2 - 5:44CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
42.9%
36
57.1%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Bateer 18' Jump Shot38
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 6:03CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 6:03CHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
46.4%
35
53.6%
Q2 - 6:03DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
34
Q2 - 6:09CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 238
48.5%
34
51.5%
Q2 - 6:10CHISUB: Bagaric FOR Curry38
34
Q2 - 6:10DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
50.1%
34
49.9%
Q2 - 6:10CHICurry S.FOUL (P3.T4)37
34
Q2 - 6:11DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 6:14DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 6:28CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 6:28CHICrawford 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 6:30CHIMISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot37
53.3%
32
46.7%
Q2 - 6:39DENCrawford STEAL (1 STL)37
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 6:56DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
54.4%
32
45.6%
Q2 - 6:58CHIMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot37
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q2 - 7:18CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 7:21DENCurry BLOCK (2 BLK)37
51.6%
32
48.4%
Q2 - 7:28DENSUB: Bateer FOR Harvey37
32
Q2 - 7:28CHISUB: Curry FOR Chandler37
32
Q2 - 7:28CHIChandler P.FOUL (P3.T3)37
32
Q2 - 7:48CHIHoiberg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q2 - 7:48CHIHoiberg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
54.2%
31
45.8%
Q2 - 7:48DENHarvey S.FOUL (P3.T2)37
30
Q2 - 7:53DENRobinson STEAL (1 STL)37
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 8:03CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 8:03DENHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T1)37
29
Q2 - 8:03CHIFizer Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)37
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 8:15DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q2 - 8:15CHIChandler S.FOUL (P2.T2)36
27
Q2 - 8:15DENHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)36
61.0%
27
39.0%
Q2 - 8:28DENSUB: Andersen FOR Cheaney34
27
Q2 - 8:28CHISUB: Chandler FOR Bagaric34
27
Q2 - 8:2834
27
Q2 - 8:28DENNuggets Rebound34
58.4%
27
41.6%
Q2 - 8:28CHIMISS Bagaric 10' Jump Shot34
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 8:44DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q2 - 8:44DENHarvey Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)34
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot32
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 9:10CHICrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bagaric 1 AST)32
52.3%
27
47.7%
Q2 - 9:23DENSUB: Harvey FOR Howard32
24
Q2 - 9:30CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q2 - 9:33DENMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot32
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 9:37DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q2 - 9:40CHIMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot32
59.5%
24
40.5%
Q2 - 9:43CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
57.7%
24
42.3%
Q2 - 9:46CHIMISS Fizer 7' Jump Shot32
59.5%
24
40.5%
Q2 - 10:06DENHamilton Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)32
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 10:22CHIRobinson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)30
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 10:28CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q2 - 10:31DENMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot30
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q2 - 10:43DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
59.7%
22
40.3%
Q2 - 10:45CHIMISS Fizer 5' Jump Shot30
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q2 - 10:55DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q2 - 10:55DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q2 - 10:55CHIFizer S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
22
Q2 - 11:07CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 11:07CHIRobinson Layup (2 PTS)28
54.1%
22
45.9%
Q2 - 11:12CHIMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q2 - 11:26DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q2 - 11:41DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.1%
20
45.9%
Q2 - 11:43CHIMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot26
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q2 - 12:0026
20
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI26
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Satterfield 7 AST)26
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Harvey24
19
Q1 - 0:09.0CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENHarvey L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)24
18
Q1 - 0:09.0CHIBULLS Rebound24
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot24
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIBagaric Dunk (2 PTS)24
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENSUB: Lenard FOR Bowen23
16
Q1 - 0:43.0CHISUB: Bagaric FOR Curry23
16
Q1 - 0:43.0CHISUB: Robinson FOR Hassell23
16
Q1 - 0:43.0CHISUB: Crawford FOR Best23
16
Q1 - 0:43.0CHICurry S.FOUL (P2.T3)23
16
Q1 - 0:43.0DENHarvey Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)23
53.4%
16
46.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 1:12DENHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Satterfield 6 AST)21
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 1:34DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 1:36CHIMISS Best 21' Jump Shot19
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 1:43DENHarvey P.FOUL (P1.T4)19
16
Q1 - 1:48DENBest STEAL (1 STL)19
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 1:57DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Satterfield Layup19
43.9%
16
56.1%
Q1 - 2:16CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 2:16CHICurry Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 2:17CHIMISS Curry Layup19
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 2:41DENSUB: Harvey FOR Bateer19
14
Q1 - 2:41DENBateer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 2:46DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 2:48CHIMISS Hassell 20' Jump Shot19
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 3:11DENCheaney 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Satterfield 5 AST)19
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 3:14DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
14
Q1 - 3:30CHICurry L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)17
14
Q1 - 3:30DENNuggets Rebound17
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 3:30CHIMISS Best 14' Jump Shot17
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 3:51DENHoward 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)17
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 4:09CHIBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 4:09CHIBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 4:09DENBateer S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
12
Q1 - 4:32DENSatterfield Layup (2 PTS) (Bateer 1 AST)15
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 4:34DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 4:38CHIMISS Best Layup13
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 4:49CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 4:52DENMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot13
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 5:13CHIBest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)13
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 5:37DENBateer 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)13
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 5:51DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 5:53CHIMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot11
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 6:04CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Bateer 9' Jump Shot11
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 6:26CHIHassell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)11
39.5%
10
60.5%
Q1 - 6:38DENBateer Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 6:38DENNuggets Rebound10
8
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Bateer Free Throw 1 of 210
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 6:38CHISUB: Fizer FOR Chandler10
8
Q1 - 6:38CHIChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 6:47DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 6:49DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot10
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 7:12CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 7:12CHIChandler Layup (4 PTS)10
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 7:15CHIMISS Best 18' Jump Shot10
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:43DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)10
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 7:55CHICurry Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 8:17DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)8
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 8:26DENNuggets Rebound6
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 8:26DENMISS Satterfield 22' Jump Shot6
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 8:53CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 8:53CHICurry Layup (2 PTS)6
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 8:56CHIMISS Hassell 10' Jump Shot6
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 9:03CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:06DENMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot6
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:09DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:11DENCurry BLOCK (1 BLK)6
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:18DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:20CHIMISS Chandler Layup6
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 9:35DENHoward 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 9:51CHIHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 9:51CHIHassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 9:51DENBateer S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 9:59CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:01DENMISS Bowen Layup4
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:06DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:08DENMISS Cheaney 15' Jump Shot4
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:20DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:22CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 10:29CHIBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:32DENMISS Bateer 18' Jump Shot4
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 10:54DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 10:56CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot4
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 11:05DENCheaney 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:25CHIChandler 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)2
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 11:33DENSatterfield P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:44DENCheaney 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Chandler vs. Bateer: Tip to Howard0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENCHI
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
CHI
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
24
67%
CHI
10
20
50%
Midrange
DEN
23
50
46%
CHI
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
4
50%
75%
CHI
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
16
25
64%
CHI
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2357%11.5 / 20
Z. Hamilton2067%10.0 / 15
V. Lenard1757%8.5 / 15
C. Cheaney1667%8.0 / 12
K. Satterfield1240%6.0 / 15
D. Harvey770%3.5 / 5
M. Bateer531%2.5 / 8
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford1650%8.0 / 16
J. Rose1454%7.0 / 13
T. Hassell1250%6.0 / 12
D. Bagaric1161%5.5 / 9
T. Best945%4.5 / 10
E. Robinson758%3.5 / 6
M. Fizer525%2.5 / 10
E. Curry433%2.0 / 6
T. Chandler450%2.0 / 4
F. Hoiberg250%1.0 / 2
C. Oakley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+17
-17
94
CHI
81
+9
-8
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
CHI
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
96.0
DEN 106.4 +12.0
CHI 94.4
Pace
92.1
92.7
DEN 92.0 +0.9
CHI 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
DEN 15.7 −0.2
CHI 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
45.6%
DEN 53.8% +10.8%
CHI 43.0%
TO %
14.9%
15.3%
DEN 16.0%
CHI 8.4% −7.6%
ORB %
30.7%
26.6%
DEN 39.5% +20.4%
CHI 19.1%
FTrt
25.6
30.2
DEN 32.1 +6.8
CHI 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
64.6%
DEN 75.6% +22.5%
CHI 53.1%
STL %
8.0%
8.3%
DEN 5.3%
CHI 7.9% +2.6%
BLK %
8.6%
6.8%
DEN 4.4%
CHI 9.5% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
47.3%
DEN 52.6% +6.9%
CHI 45.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
54.3%
DEN 66.7% +16.7%
CHI 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.0%
DEN 46.0% +8.5%
CHI 37.5%
3P %
32.9%
34.6%
DEN 50.0% +13.6%
CHI 36.4%
FT %
74.4%
72.2%
DEN 64.0%
CHI 80.0% +16.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
32.0%
DEN 30.8% +5.5%
CHI 25.3%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
54.6%
DEN 64.1%
CHI 60.8% −3.3%
3P Att. %
18.7%
13.4%
DEN 5.1%
CHI 13.9% +8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENCHI
Possessions9489
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10084
Rebounds5332
Assists3117
Steals57
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)23 (2)
Field Goals41-7832-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2410-20
Midrange FG23-5018-48
2-Point FG39-7428-68
3-Point FG2-44-11
Free Throws16-2516-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 210 · 31
38.8
16
67%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
37.5
23
57%
8
2
2
1
5
3
2
6
5-7
71%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
30.4
12
40%
7
11
1
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
28.9
5
31%
8
6
0
0
2
3
1
7
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
11.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
26.1
17
57%
2
5
1
0
2
4
1
1
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
23.0
7
70%
9
5
0
0
2
4
2
7
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
21.1
20
67%
8
0
1
2
3
3
3
5
4-7
57%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
17.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
5.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
G · 6'0" 195 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
53
31
5
3
17
0
15
38
16-25
64%
39-74
53%
2-4
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.