Final Win Prob. pScore
2334%87
90
1666%91
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
96.89385.1
Hornets
109.089100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHH
Q4 - 0:00.0CHH90
97
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJones Layup (27 PTS)90
97
Q4 - 0:15.0CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
97
Q4 - 0:15.0CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)88
96
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
95
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)88
95
Q4 - 0:17.0CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
95
Q4 - 0:17.0HORNETS Rebound88
94
Q4 - 0:17.0CHHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 288
94
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.PN)88
94
Q4 - 0:17.0HORNETS Rebound88
94
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot88
94
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound88
94
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
94
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)88
94
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
94
Q4 - 0:36.0CHHMISS Wesley Free Throw 2 of 288
94
Q4 - 0:36.0HORNETS Rebound88
94
Q4 - 0:36.0CHHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 288
94
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
94
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHouse 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)88
94
Q4 - 1:10CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)86
94
Q4 - 1:10HORNETS Rebound86
93
Q4 - 1:10CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 286
93
Q4 - 1:10MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.PN)86
93
Q4 - 1:17MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)86
93
Q4 - 1:26CHHMagloire Dunk (18 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)84
93
Q4 - 1:40MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)84
91
Q4 - 1:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)82
91
Q4 - 1:53CHHMashburn Layup (21 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)82
91
Q4 - 2:09CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)82
89
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
89
Q4 - 2:32CHHMashburn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)82
89
Q4 - 3:00MIAMourning 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)82
86
Q4 - 3:15MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)80
86
Q4 - 3:24CHHBrown Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)80
86
Q4 - 3:40MIADavis STEAL (5 STL)80
84
Q4 - 3:51CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
84
Q4 - 3:51CHHSUB: Wesley FOR Augmon80
83
Q4 - 3:51CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 3:51MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
82
Q4 - 3:58CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)80
82
Q4 - 4:00CHHMISS Augmon 17' Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 4:24MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)80
82
Q4 - 4:45CHHMashburn 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)77
82
Q4 - 5:00CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
80
Q4 - 5:04CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)77
80
Q4 - 5:04CHHMISS Magloire Tip Shot77
80
Q4 - 5:08CHHMISS Davis Layup77
80
Q4 - 5:16CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
80
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot77
80
Q4 - 5:33CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
80
Q4 - 5:33CHHMagloire Tip Shot (16 PTS)77
80
Q4 - 5:36CHHMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot77
78
Q4 - 6:03MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
78
Q4 - 6:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)75
78
Q4 - 6:10MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter75
78
Q4 - 6:10MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania75
78
Q4 - 6:10CHHDavis P.FOUL (P2.T3)75
78
Q4 - 6:28CHHAugmon 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)75
78
Q4 - 6:51CHHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
76
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot75
76
Q4 - 7:10CHHAugmon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)75
76
Q4 - 7:33MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
74
Q4 - 7:33MIAHeat Rebound74
74
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 274
74
Q4 - 7:33CHHMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
74
Q4 - 7:48CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 7:48CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 7:48MIASUB: Grant FOR Gatling74
72
Q4 - 7:48MIACarter S.FOUL (P4.T4)74
72
Q4 - 7:48CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
72
Q4 - 7:49CHHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot74
72
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)74
72
Q4 - 8:17MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
72
Q4 - 8:21CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 8:34CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
72
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 8:44CHHSUB: Brown FOR Lynch71
72
Q4 - 8:44MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis71
72
Q4 - 8:44CHHSUB: Mashburn FOR Wesley71
72
Q4 - 8:4471
72
Q4 - 9:06CHHDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)71
72
Q4 - 9:28MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)71
69
Q4 - 9:28HORNETS Rebound71
69
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS House Layup71
69
Q4 - 9:45CHHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
69
Q4 - 9:45CHHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
68
Q4 - 9:45MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
67
Q4 - 10:00MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)71
67
Q4 - 10:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
67
Q4 - 10:24CHHMISS Wesley Free Throw 2 of 269
67
Q4 - 10:24CHHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
67
Q4 - 10:24MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
66
Q4 - 10:24CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
66
Q4 - 10:24CHHMISS Augmon Layup69
66
Q4 - 10:29MIAAugmon STEAL (2 STL)69
66
Q4 - 10:50CHHDavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)69
66
Q4 - 11:14MIAGatling 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
64
Q4 - 11:25CHHLynch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)67
64
Q4 - 11:26MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
64
Q4 - 11:26MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
64
Q4 - 11:26HORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)65
64
Q4 - 11:26CHHLynch S.FOUL (P1.T1)65
64
Q4 - 11:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
64
Q4 - 11:30CHHMISS Davis 1' Layup65
64
Q4 - 11:36CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
64
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot65
64
Q4 - 12:0065
64
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
64
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)65
64
Q3 - 0:02.0CHHWesley P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
64
Q3 - 0:07.0HORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)62
64
Q3 - 0:07.0CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
64
Q3 - 0:07.0CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAGatling Layup (2 PTS) (House 3 AST)62
64
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
64
Q3 - 0:56.0CHHMISS Campbell Layup60
64
Q3 - 1:13CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
64
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 1:28MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones60
64
Q3 - 1:31MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
64
Q3 - 1:34CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 1:48CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
64
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 1:55MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
64
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 2:13CHHAugmon Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)60
64
Q3 - 2:17MIALynch STEAL (1 STL)60
64
Q3 - 2:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
64
Q3 - 2:23CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 2:33CHHSUB: Lynch FOR Brown60
64
Q3 - 2:33CHHSUB: Augmon FOR Davis60
64
Q3 - 2:33MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T3)60
64
Q3 - 2:51MIAHouse Driving Layup (5 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 2:59CHHWesley 20' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)58
64
Q3 - 3:01MIASUB: Gatling FOR Grant58
62
Q3 - 3:01HORNETS Rebound58
62
Q3 - 3:01CHHMISS Mashburn Layup58
62
Q3 - 3:18MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)58
62
Q3 - 3:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
62
Q3 - 3:31CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 3:36CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
62
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 3:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
62
Q3 - 3:56CHHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 4:01CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
62
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 4:22CHHWesley 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)55
62
Q3 - 4:38MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
60
Q3 - 4:38MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)54
60
Q3 - 4:38CHHSUB: Campbell FOR Magloire53
60
Q3 - 4:38MIASUB: House FOR Gill53
60
Q3 - 4:38MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland53
60
Q3 - 4:38MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning53
60
Q3 - 4:38CHHDavis S.FOUL (P1.T1)53
60
Q3 - 4:40CHHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)53
60
Q3 - 5:04MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)53
60
Q3 - 5:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
60
Q3 - 5:16CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 5:29CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
60
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 5:49MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
60
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 6:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
60
Q3 - 6:12CHHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 6:30MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
60
Q3 - 6:48CHHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)49
60
Q3 - 7:04MIAMourning Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)49
57
Q3 - 7:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)47
57
Q3 - 7:20CHHMashburn 8' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)47
57
Q3 - 7:37CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
55
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
55
Q3 - 7:53CHHMagloire 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)47
55
Q3 - 8:14MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)47
53
Q3 - 8:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
53
Q3 - 8:22CHHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 8:29CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
53
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 8:52CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
53
Q3 - 8:52CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
52
Q3 - 8:52MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T2)47
51
Q3 - 9:05CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
51
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Strickland Layup47
51
Q3 - 9:14CHHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)47
51
Q3 - 9:20MIAMourning P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
51
Q3 - 9:35HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)47
51
Q3 - 9:36MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)47
51
Q3 - 9:49CHHWesley Layup (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)44
51
Q3 - 10:04MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)44
49
Q3 - 10:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
49
Q3 - 10:21CHHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot41
49
Q3 - 10:32CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
49
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Mourning 14' Hook Shot41
49
Q3 - 10:44MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
49
Q3 - 10:46CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
49
Q3 - 10:46CHHMISS Brown 4' Hook Shot41
49
Q3 - 10:50CHHMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot41
49
Q3 - 11:11MIAGill Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)41
49
Q3 - 11:17CHHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)39
49
Q3 - 11:24CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
49
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot39
49
Q3 - 11:44CHHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)39
49
Q3 - 12:0039
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
49
Q2 - 0:06.0CHHMashburn 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
49
Q2 - 0:25.0CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
47
Q2 - 0:27.0CHHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot39
47
Q2 - 0:44.0CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
47
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot39
47
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
47
Q2 - 1:06CHHMagloire Layup (10 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)39
47
Q2 - 1:27MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)39
45
Q2 - 1:38CHHMagloire Layup (8 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)37
45
Q2 - 1:57CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
43
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 237
43
Q2 - 1:59CHHSUB: Lynch FOR Brown37
43
Q2 - 1:59MIAHeat Rebound37
43
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 237
43
Q2 - 1:59CHHBrown P.FOUL (P3.PN)37
43
Q2 - 2:14HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
43
Q2 - 2:14CHHWesley Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)37
43
Q2 - 2:17MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)37
43
Q2 - 2:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
43
Q2 - 2:38CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
43
Q2 - 2:38CHHMISS Brown Layup37
43
Q2 - 2:42CHHMISS Wesley 6' Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 2:58MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 3:13CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 3:13MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant35
42
Q2 - 3:13MIASUB: House FOR Ellis35
42
Q2 - 3:13MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter35
42
Q2 - 3:13CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 3:13MIACarter P.FOUL (P3.PN)35
41
Q2 - 3:13CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
41
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 3:27CHHMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)35
41
Q2 - 3:31CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
41
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Stepania Layup35
41
Q2 - 3:48CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
41
Q2 - 3:48CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
40
Q2 - 3:48MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.PN)35
39
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 4:03CHHSUB: Wesley FOR Augmon34
39
Q2 - 4:03CHHSUB: Mashburn FOR Lynch34
39
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 4:03MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning33
39
Q2 - 4:03CHHBrown S.FOUL (P2.T4)33
39
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
39
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
39
Q2 - 4:20CHHDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)33
39
Q2 - 4:44MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)33
36
Q2 - 4:53MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
36
Q2 - 4:57CHHMISS Augmon 9' Jump Shot31
36
Q2 - 5:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
36
Q2 - 5:15MIAGrant Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
36
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot29
36
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
36
Q2 - 5:33CHHMagloire 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 5:44CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
34
Q2 - 5:48MIALynch BLOCK (1 BLK)29
34
Q2 - 6:00CHHMagloire P.FOUL (P2.T3)29
34
Q2 - 6:10CHHDavis 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)29
34
Q2 - 6:26HORNETS Rebound29
32
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 6:49CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
32
Q2 - 6:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill29
31
Q2 - 6:49CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 6:49MIAGill S.FOUL (P3.T4)29
30
Q2 - 6:55MIAGill P.FOUL (P2.T3)29
30
Q2 - 7:11CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
30
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot29
30
Q2 - 7:20CHHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)29
30
Q2 - 7:32MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 7:52CHHBrown 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)27
30
Q2 - 8:04CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
28
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot27
28
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
28
Q2 - 8:20CHHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 227
28
Q2 - 8:20CHHSUB: Brown FOR Mashburn27
28
Q2 - 8:20MIASUB: Carter FOR House27
28
Q2 - 8:20CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)27
28
Q2 - 8:20MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T2)27
27
Q2 - 8:28CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 8:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27
Q2 - 8:52CHHMISS Augmon 17' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 8:58MIASUB: Mourning FOR Jones27
27
Q2 - 8:58CHHSUB: Magloire FOR Campbell27
27
Q2 - 8:5827
27
Q2 - 9:00HORNETS Rebound27
27
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 9:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
27
Q2 - 9:17CHHMISS Campbell 6' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 9:30CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 9:41CHHCampbell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
27
Q2 - 9:55MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 2 AST)27
27
Q2 - 10:04CHHSUB: Davis FOR Wesley25
27
Q2 - 10:04CHHWesley P.FOUL (P2.T2)25
27
Q2 - 10:13MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27
Q2 - 10:15CHHMISS Wesley 14' Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 10:21MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)25
27
Q2 - 10:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
27
Q2 - 10:31CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 10:48MIAGill Layup (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)25
27
Q2 - 11:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
27
Q2 - 11:04CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 223
27
Q2 - 11:04CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
27
Q2 - 11:04MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
26
Q2 - 11:20CHHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 11:42CHHMashburn P.FOUL (P2.T1)23
26
Q2 - 11:42CHHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
26
Q2 - 11:48MIAEllis Violation:Kicked Ball23
26
Q2 - 12:0023
26
Q1 - 0:00.0CHH23
26
Q1 - 0:01.0MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)23
26
Q1 - 0:14.0CHHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
26
Q1 - 0:14.0HORNETS Rebound23
25
Q1 - 0:14.0CHHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 223
25
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
25
Q1 - 0:18.0CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
25
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Gill 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
25
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 0:50.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning23
25
Q1 - 0:50.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Strickland23
25
Q1 - 0:50.0CHHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
25
Q1 - 0:50.0CHHBrown OFF.Foul (P1)23
25
Q1 - 0:55.0CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
25
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 1:18CHHMashburn Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)23
25
Q1 - 1:23CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
23
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Jones Layup23
23
Q1 - 1:38CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
23
Q1 - 1:38CHHDavis Layup (11 PTS)23
23
Q1 - 1:39CHHMISS Davis Layup23
21
Q1 - 1:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
21
Q1 - 1:59MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Strickland 9' Jump Shot21
21
Q1 - 2:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21
Q1 - 2:15CHHMISS Campbell 6' Hook Shot21
21
Q1 - 2:35CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
21
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 121
21
Q1 - 2:36MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter21
21
Q1 - 2:36CHHCampbell S.FOUL (P2.T4)21
21
Q1 - 2:36MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)21
21
Q1 - 2:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21
Q1 - 2:46CHHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 219
21
Q1 - 2:46CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
21
Q1 - 2:46MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.PN)19
20
Q1 - 2:57MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)19
20
Q1 - 3:07MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)19
20
Q1 - 3:07CHHCampbell T.FOUL (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 3:07CHHCampbell P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 3:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
20
Q1 - 3:21CHHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)18
20
Q1 - 3:28CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
17
Q1 - 3:29CHHMISS Wesley Free Throw 2 of 218
17
Q1 - 3:29CHHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 3:29MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
16
Q1 - 3:34CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
16
Q1 - 3:37CHHMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 3:47CHHSUB: Campbell FOR Magloire18
16
Q1 - 3:47MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
16
Q1 - 3:48CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
16
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 3:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16
Q1 - 4:01CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 4:14CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
16
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 4:27MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant18
16
Q1 - 4:27MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland18
16
Q1 - 4:27MIASUB: House FOR Gill18
16
Q1 - 4:27CHHMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
16
Q1 - 4:27CHHMagloire OFF.Foul (P1)18
16
Q1 - 4:50MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)18
16
Q1 - 4:54CHHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)16
16
Q1 - 5:02MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)16
16
Q1 - 5:26CHHDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)14
16
Q1 - 5:43MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 6:06CHHMagloire 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)12
13
Q1 - 6:27MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
11
Q1 - 6:28CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
11
Q1 - 6:28CHHMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 212
11
Q1 - 6:28HORNETS Rebound12
11
Q1 - 6:28CHHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 212
11
Q1 - 6:28MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
11
Q1 - 6:41MIAGill 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)12
11
Q1 - 7:07CHHMashburn 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 7:12MIAMashburn STEAL (1 STL)10
9
Q1 - 7:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9
Q1 - 7:16CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
9
Q1 - 7:16CHHMISS Magloire Tip Shot10
9
Q1 - 7:20CHHMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 7:31CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 7:54CHHBrown 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)10
9
Q1 - 8:12HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
7
Q1 - 8:12MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)10
7
Q1 - 8:28CHHDavis Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T2)10
7
Q1 - 8:33MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 8:36CHHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
7
Q1 - 8:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 8:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 8:48CHHWesley S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 9:02CHHWesley Layup (5 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 9:09CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 9:30CHHWesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 9:45MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 9:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:52CHHMISS Magloire Layup4
2
Q1 - 10:11MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:11MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:11CHHMashburn S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:26CHHDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:32MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)2
0
Q1 - 10:40MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:42CHHMISS Magloire 6' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:02MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:23CHHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:34CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00CHHJump Ball Magloire vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHH
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CHH
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
22
77%
CHH
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
42
31%
CHH
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
CHH
7
10.5
10
70%
105%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
CHH
24
36
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2771%13.5 / 19
A. Mourning1447%7.0 / 15
B. Grant1260%6.0 / 10
E. House1246%6.0 / 13
R. Strickland840%4.0 / 10
K. Gill857%4.0 / 7
V. Stepania542%2.5 / 6
C. Gatling467%2.0 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2269%11.0 / 16
J. Mashburn2258%11.0 / 19
J. Magloire1864%9.0 / 14
D. Wesley1647%8.0 / 17
P. Brown1554%7.5 / 14
S. Augmon433%2.0 / 6
E. Campbell0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+8
-12
89
CHH
73
+15
-16
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CHH
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 96.8
CHH 109.0 +12.2
Pace
89.7
94.4
MIA 85.1
CHH 100.5 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.2
MIA 16.9
CHH 14.3 −2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.6%
MIA 48.8%
CHH 51.4% +2.6%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
MIA 12.1% −3.5%
CHH 15.6%
ORB %
26.7%
30.6%
MIA 17.1%
CHH 34.1% +17.0%
FTrt
26.8
32.0
MIA 20.0
CHH 50.7 +30.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.8%
MIA 58.3%
CHH 69.7% +11.4%
STL %
7.4%
8.7%
MIA 9.7%
CHH 12.4% +2.7%
BLK %
8.7%
8.4%
MIA 9.8% +8.2%
CHH 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.2%
MIA 50.6%
CHH 53.3% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.4%
MIA 77.3% +27.3%
CHH 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.2%
MIA 31.0%
CHH 38.5% +7.5%
3P %
34.7%
34.8%
MIA 37.5%
CHH 70.0% +32.5%
FT %
72.4%
74.5%
MIA 75.0% +8.3%
CHH 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
33.5%
MIA 27.5%
CHH 31.0% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
51.4%
MIA 52.5% −2.4%
CHH 54.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
15.1%
MIA 20.0% +5.9%
CHH 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHH
Possessions9389
Possession Minutes26.221.3
Points9097
Rebounds3649
Assists2123
Steals911
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)34 (0)
Field Goals36-8033-71
At-the-Rim FG17-2211-22
Midrange FG13-4215-39
2-Point FG30-6426-61
3-Point FG6-167-10
Free Throws12-1624-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
41.1
27
71%
4
0
2
0
1
4
0
4
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
4-9
44%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
34.0
12
60%
11
1
1
1
1
4
4
7
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
32.8
14
47%
4
0
0
3
1
1
0
4
0-3
0%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
26.1
8
40%
1
9
1
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
20.9
8
57%
3
2
3
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
28.0
12
46%
0
3
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
19.0
5
42%
7
1
0
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
17.4
0
0%
3
4
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
13.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 35
7.2
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
36
21
9
6
12
0
7
29
12-16
75%
30-64
47%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.