Final Win Prob. pScore
360%94
96
2240%91
88
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo Lakers
105.59188.1
MIA logo Heat
100.08891.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL96
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)96
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0LALLakers Rebound95
86
Q4 - 0:31.0LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIASUB: Gatling FOR Grant95
86
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P6.PN)95
86
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0LALBryant Dunk (19 PTS)95
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0LALMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot93
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 1:16LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 293
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 1:17LALGeorge P.FOUL (P2.PN)93
83
Q4 - 1:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)93
83
Q4 - 1:26LALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:49LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHouse AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P4.PN)92
83
Q4 - 1:49LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot92
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 2:15LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:15LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)92
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:15MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)91
83
Q4 - 2:15MIAStrickland Layup (19 PTS)91
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:17MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot91
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:40LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 2:40LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)90
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.PN)89
81
Q4 - 2:45MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)89
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 2:55LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)89
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 2:55LALLakers Rebound88
79
Q4 - 2:55LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 288
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 2:5588
79
Q4 - 2:55MIAMourning P.FOUL (P5.PN)88
79
Q4 - 3:06MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 3:06LALSUB: Bryant FOR Shaw88
78
Q4 - 3:06MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 3:06LALO'Neal P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
77
Q4 - 3:15LALGeorge P.FOUL (P1.T4)88
77
Q4 - 3:27LALHorry P.FOUL (P2.T3)88
77
Q4 - 3:42LALFisher 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)86
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 4:15LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 286
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 4:15LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)86
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMourning P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
75
Q4 - 4:29MIAStrickland Driving Layup (17 PTS)85
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 4:46LALGeorge Layup (13 PTS) (Shaw 1 AST)85
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 4:48LALShaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)83
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 4:52LALMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot83
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 5:00LALShaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 5:02LALMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
97.4%
73
2.6%
Q4 - 5:18MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)83
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 5:26LALMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot83
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 5:38LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 5:52LALShaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 5:52LALLakers Rebound82
71
Q4 - 5:52LALMISS Shaw Free Throw 1 of 282
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAHouse S.FOUL (P3.T4)82
71
Q4 - 6:13LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot82
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q4 - 6:27MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania82
71
Q4 - 6:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)82
71
Q4 - 6:30LALO'Neal Layup (34 PTS) (Horry 7 AST)82
97.3%
71
2.7%
Q4 - 6:42LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 280
96.2%
71
3.8%
Q4 - 6:43LALSUB: Fisher FOR Hunter80
71
Q4 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound80
71
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 280
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 6:43MIASUB: Grant FOR Gatling80
71
Q4 - 6:43MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter80
71
Q4 - 6:43LALHorry S.FOUL (P1.T2)80
71
Q4 - 6:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot80
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q4 - 7:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
94.1%
71
5.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot80
95.2%
71
4.8%
Q4 - 7:34LALO'Neal Dunk (32 PTS)80
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q4 - 7:52LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
92.6%
71
7.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot78
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAHEAT Rebound78
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup78
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q4 - 8:14LALHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)78
89.3%
71
10.7%
Q4 - 8:36LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
83.2%
71
16.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
79.4%
71
20.6%
Q4 - 8:45LALMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot75
80.6%
71
19.4%
Q4 - 9:08LALSUB: Shaw FOR Walker75
71
Q4 - 9:08LALSUB: O'Neal FOR Bryant75
71
Q4 - 9:08LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)75
71
Q4 - 9:08MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
78.5%
71
21.5%
Q4 - 9:13LALMISS George 12' Jump Shot75
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T3)75
71
Q4 - 9:29LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot75
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q4 - 9:36LALWalker P.FOUL (P2.T1)75
71
Q4 - 9:56LALWalker 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)75
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q4 - 10:01MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)73
71
Q4 - 10:13MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)73
73.4%
71
26.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
77.7%
69
22.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot73
80.2%
69
19.8%
Q4 - 10:25LALStepania STEAL (1 STL)73
77.7%
69
22.3%
Q4 - 10:33LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q4 - 10:35LALMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
78.8%
69
21.2%
Q4 - 10:45LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot73
80.3%
69
19.7%
Q4 - 11:07MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
77.0%
69
23.0%
Q4 - 11:09LALMISS George 3PT Jump Shot73
78.1%
69
21.9%
Q4 - 11:15MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)73
69
Q4 - 11:15MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Walker: Tip to73
69
Q4 - 11:15LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q4 - 11:17LALMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot73
78.1%
69
21.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)73
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q4 - 11:42LALCarter STEAL (1 STL)73
83.8%
67
16.2%
Q4 - 12:0073
67
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL73
86.4%
67
13.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound73
86.4%
67
13.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot73
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Stepania73
67
Q3 - 0:24.0LALSUB: Fisher FOR O'Neal73
67
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T6)73
85.3%
67
14.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAGatling OFF.Foul (P2)73
67
Q3 - 0:43.0LALO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)73
67
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHEAT Rebound73
83.0%
67
17.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
83.7%
67
16.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAGatling Layup (8 PTS)73
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q3 - 1:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q3 - 1:13LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot73
87.8%
65
12.2%
Q3 - 1:21LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
89.1%
65
10.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q3 - 1:46LALHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 3 AST)73
87.3%
65
12.7%
Q3 - 1:49MIASUB: Gatling FOR Grant70
65
Q3 - 2:01LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
81.3%
65
18.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot70
80.4%
65
19.6%
Q3 - 2:15LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)70
78.3%
65
21.7%
Q3 - 2:15LALLakers Rebound69
65
Q3 - 2:15LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 269
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q3 - 2:15MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.PN)69
65
Q3 - 2:29LALSUB: Horry FOR Walker69
65
Q3 - 2:29LALSUB: George FOR Fox69
65
Q3 - 2:29LALSUB: Hunter FOR Fisher69
65
Q3 - 2:29LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)69
65
Q3 - 2:32MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
78.3%
65
21.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
84.1%
62
15.9%
Q3 - 2:42LALMISS Fox 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
84.8%
62
15.2%
Q3 - 2:46LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup69
85.7%
62
14.3%
Q3 - 3:07LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
83.6%
62
16.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)67
81.2%
62
18.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIASUB: House FOR Strickland67
60
Q3 - 3:43MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning67
60
Q3 - 3:43LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)67
83.6%
60
16.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)67
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 4:04MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
87.3%
58
12.7%
Q3 - 4:06LALMISS Fox 14' Jump Shot67
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:19LALFox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot67
88.8%
58
11.2%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
87.4%
58
12.6%
Q3 - 4:29LALMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot67
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)67
89.5%
58
10.5%
Q3 - 5:11LALFisher 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)65
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 5:48LALO'Neal Dunk (29 PTS) (Fox 2 AST)65
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 5:53LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot63
88.1%
54
11.9%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 2)63
54
Q3 - 6:06LALLakers Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)63
86.2%
54
13.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
88.5%
53
11.5%
Q3 - 6:22LALFox S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
52
Q3 - 6:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 6:30LALMISS Fisher Driving Layup63
90.1%
52
9.9%
Q3 - 6:36LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
91.1%
52
8.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot63
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 6:56LALFisher 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)63
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)60
85.5%
52
14.5%
Q3 - 7:26LALBryant P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
50
Q3 - 7:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
87.3%
50
12.7%
Q3 - 7:29LALMISS O'Neal Layup60
87.8%
50
12.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)60
89.0%
50
11.0%
Q3 - 7:55LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)60
90.4%
48
9.6%
Q3 - 7:55LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)59
89.8%
48
10.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T4)58
48
Q3 - 7:55MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)58
89.0%
48
11.0%
Q3 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q3 - 8:02LALMISS Fisher Driving Layup58
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIAStrickland 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q3 - 8:39LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q3 - 8:39LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAGill S.FOUL (P1.T3)56
46
Q3 - 8:49MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS)56
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
89.9%
44
10.1%
Q3 - 9:02LALMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot56
90.1%
44
9.9%
Q3 - 9:21MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
91.0%
44
9.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 2)56
42
Q3 - 9:39LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)56
92.1%
42
7.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)54
91.0%
42
9.0%
Q3 - 10:09LALWalker 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)54
91.7%
40
8.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)52
90.6%
40
9.4%
Q3 - 10:43LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)52
92.7%
37
7.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAGrant S.FOUL (P4.T2)51
37
Q3 - 10:43LALO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (24 PTS)51
91.7%
37
8.3%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T1)49
37
Q3 - 11:10LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
90.3%
37
9.7%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot49
89.9%
37
10.1%
Q3 - 11:20LALO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
37
Q3 - 11:26LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
88.9%
37
11.1%
Q3 - 11:41LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
87.6%
37
12.4%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot47
87.1%
37
12.9%
Q3 - 12:0047
37
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 43' 3PT Jump Shot47
87.1%
37
12.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0LALMISS Fisher Driving Layup47
86.1%
37
13.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAGatling 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)47
87.0%
37
13.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
88.8%
35
11.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0LALMISS Fisher 8' Running Jump Shot47
89.1%
35
10.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
90.1%
34
9.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1)47
33
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
91.2%
33
8.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot47
91.7%
33
8.3%
Q2 - 1:01LALHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
90.9%
33
9.1%
Q2 - 1:01MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones46
33
Q2 - 1:01LALSUB: Walker FOR O'Neal46
33
Q2 - 1:01MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning46
33
Q2 - 1:01LALHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
90.7%
33
9.3%
Q2 - 1:01MIAGatling S.FOUL (P1.PN)45
33
Q2 - 1:15MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)45
89.4%
33
10.6%
Q2 - 1:37LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 2 AST)45
91.9%
30
8.1%
Q2 - 1:47LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
90.6%
30
9.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Gatling 7' Jump Shot43
90.4%
30
9.6%
Q2 - 2:04LALO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (22 PTS)43
89.2%
30
10.8%
Q2 - 2:26MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
88.0%
30
12.0%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
28
Q2 - 2:41LALMISS Fisher Free Throw 1 of 141
89.4%
28
10.6%
Q2 - 2:41LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)41
28
Q2 - 2:41MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)41
28
Q2 - 2:41LALFisher Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
89.2%
28
10.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)39
88.0%
28
12.0%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
88.9%
26
11.1%
Q2 - 3:19LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 239
89.1%
26
10.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant39
26
Q2 - 3:19LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)39
89.7%
26
10.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T3)38
26
Q2 - 3:38MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)38
89.1%
26
10.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
90.1%
24
9.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot38
91.0%
24
9.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)38
24
Q2 - 4:16LALO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Horry 6 AST)38
89.8%
24
10.2%
Q2 - 4:24LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
88.7%
24
11.3%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot36
88.3%
24
11.7%
Q2 - 4:46LALGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
87.4%
24
12.6%
Q2 - 5:05LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
88.4%
24
11.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS House 7' Running Jump Shot36
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q2 - 5:26LALGeorge Dunk (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)36
87.2%
24
12.8%
Q2 - 5:32MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T2)34
24
Q2 - 5:33LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
85.7%
24
14.3%
Q2 - 5:35LALMISS George Layup34
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 5:53MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (7 PTS)34
85.8%
24
14.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis34
22
Q2 - 5:58MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning34
22
Q2 - 6:04MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
86.5%
22
13.5%
Q2 - 6:05LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot34
87.0%
22
13.0%
Q2 - 6:25MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)34
88.0%
22
12.0%
Q2 - 6:40LALGeorge Layup (9 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)34
89.0%
20
11.0%
Q2 - 6:58LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
88.1%
20
11.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot32
87.6%
20
12.4%
Q2 - 7:22LALGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horry 5 AST)32
86.5%
20
13.5%
Q2 - 7:38LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot29
83.2%
20
16.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter29
20
Q2 - 7:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
20
Q2 - 7:53LALBryant Layup (6 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)29
82.0%
20
18.0%
Q2 - 8:04LALSUB: Bryant FOR Hunter27
20
Q2 - 8:04MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill27
20
Q2 - 8:04MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T4)27
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P2)27
20
Q2 - 8:20LALO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Horry 4 AST)27
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
76.1%
20
23.9%
Q2 - 8:43LALO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (George 1 AST)25
74.1%
20
25.9%
Q2 - 8:5823
20
Q2 - 8:58MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
20
Q2 - 9:11MIAHouse Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 9:15LALHouse STEAL (1 STL)23
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q2 - 9:22LALLakers Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)23
18
Q2 - 9:35MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)23
75.8%
18
24.2%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot23
80.7%
15
19.3%
Q2 - 10:08LALGeorge 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
79.1%
15
20.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
77.4%
15
22.6%
Q2 - 10:49LALGeorge Dunk (2 PTS)21
79.1%
13
20.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
77.4%
13
22.6%
Q2 - 10:55MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.5%
13
24.5%
Q2 - 10:57LALMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot19
76.1%
13
23.9%
Q2 - 11:15LALHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
76.9%
13
23.1%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot19
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q2 - 11:30MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.1%
13
24.9%
Q2 - 11:32LALMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
75.6%
13
24.4%
Q2 - 11:45LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.0%
13
23.0%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot19
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q2 - 12:0019
13
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
75.1%
13
24.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
75.1%
13
24.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0LALMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
75.2%
13
24.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot19
75.8%
13
24.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)19
74.8%
13
25.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones17
13
Q1 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland17
13
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)17
13
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
72.5%
13
27.5%
Q1 - 1:24LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)17
74.7%
11
25.3%
Q1 - 1:35LALHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
72.3%
11
27.7%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
71.9%
11
28.1%
Q1 - 1:56LALHunter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)15
71.0%
11
29.0%
Q1 - 2:06LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
68.4%
11
31.6%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot13
67.9%
11
32.1%
Q1 - 2:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot13
67.9%
11
32.1%
Q1 - 2:17LALGrant STEAL (2 STL)13
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 2:25MIASUB: House FOR Gill13
11
Q1 - 2:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning13
11
Q1 - 2:25LALSUB: George FOR O'Neal13
11
Q1 - 2:25LALSUB: Horry FOR Fox13
11
Q1 - 2:25LALLakers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
11
Q1 - 2:33MIAStrickland Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
68.4%
11
31.6%
Q1 - 2:38MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 2:40LALMISS Fox 18' Jump Shot13
71.2%
9
28.8%
Q1 - 2:44LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
72.2%
9
27.8%
Q1 - 2:46LALMISS Fox 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
71.2%
9
28.8%
Q1 - 2:57LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
72.2%
9
27.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot13
71.8%
9
28.2%
Q1 - 3:16LALO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)13
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 3:22LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
68.8%
9
31.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot11
68.2%
9
31.8%
Q1 - 3:35LALO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)11
66.8%
9
33.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)9
64.7%
9
35.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot9
67.4%
7
32.6%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHEAT Rebound9
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 4:15LALMISS Fox 16' Jump Shot9
66.7%
7
33.3%
Q1 - 4:38LALLakers Rebound9
67.9%
7
32.1%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot9
67.3%
7
32.7%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
7
Q1 - 4:55LALO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 4:55LALO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)9
7
Q1 - 5:10LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
67.4%
7
32.6%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
66.8%
7
33.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot9
66.8%
7
33.2%
Q1 - 5:37LALO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)9
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 5:39LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
63.9%
7
36.1%
Q1 - 5:41LALMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot7
62.5%
7
37.5%
Q1 - 6:04MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
63.9%
7
36.1%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound7
6
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 27
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 6:04LALHunter P.FOUL (P1.PN)7
6
Q1 - 6:14LALO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fox 1 AST)7
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 6:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
62.3%
5
37.7%
Q1 - 6:36LALFox S.FOUL (P1.T4)5
4
Q1 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 6:42LALMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot5
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMourning P.FOUL (P1.T3)5
4
Q1 - 7:04MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)5
4
Q1 - 7:04LALLakers Rebound5
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot5
64.8%
4
35.2%
Q1 - 7:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
63.5%
4
36.5%
Q1 - 7:14LALMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot5
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 7:37MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
65.0%
4
35.0%
Q1 - 7:45LALSUB: Hunter FOR Fisher5
2
Q1 - 7:45LALFisher P.FOUL (P2.T3)5
2
Q1 - 8:00LALO'Neal 14' Hook Shot (5 PTS)5
66.1%
2
33.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 8:31LALFisher L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)3
2
Q1 - 8:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot3
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 8:40LALMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)3
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 8:55LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
64.2%
2
35.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot3
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:10LALMISS Fisher 18' Jump Shot3
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
64.8%
0
35.2%
Q1 - 9:37LALMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot3
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 9:47LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 10:05LALO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)3
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 10:16LALLakers Rebound1
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup1
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 10:28LALBryant P.FOUL (P1.T1)1
0
Q1 - 10:30MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot1
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
61.6%
0
38.4%
Q1 - 10:44LALMISS Fisher 22' Jump Shot1
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:51LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot1
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 11:11LALGrant STEAL (1 STL)1
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:21LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot1
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:36LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:36LALLakers Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:36LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:40LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. O'Neal: Tip to Walker0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
15
22
68%
MIA
12
16
75%
Midrange
LAL
18
40
45%
MIA
21
57
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
LAL
18
27
67%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal4063%20.0 / 32
K. Bryant1968%9.5 / 14
D. George1365%6.5 / 10
D. Fisher941%4.5 / 11
R. Horry550%2.5 / 5
L. Hunter536%2.5 / 7
S. Walker440%2.0 / 5
B. Shaw150%0.5 / 1
R. Fox0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Strickland2166%10.5 / 16
A. Mourning1550%7.5 / 15
E. House1336%6.5 / 18
E. Jones1243%6.0 / 14
B. Grant1050%5.0 / 10
C. Gatling850%4.0 / 8
K. Gill429%2.0 / 7
L. Ellis375%1.5 / 2
V. Stepania233%1.0 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
83
+10
-8
93
MIA
81
+17
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
96.1
LAL 105.5 +5.5
MIA 100.0
Pace
94.9
89.7
LAL 88.1
MIA 91.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.7
LAL 16.4
MIA 15.8 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
46.3%
LAL 52.0% +8.2%
MIA 43.8%
TO %
12.7%
15.5%
LAL 9.4%
MIA 6.9% −2.5%
ORB %
28.9%
26.7%
LAL 23.1%
MIA 29.2% +6.1%
FTrt
31.3
26.8
LAL 36.0 +20.3
MIA 15.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.7%
59.4%
LAL 62.2% +5.4%
MIA 56.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
LAL 3.3%
MIA 5.7% +2.4%
BLK %
8.7%
8.7%
LAL 11.0% +9.4%
MIA 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
47.7%
LAL 51.6% +6.7%
MIA 44.9%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.6%
LAL 68.2%
MIA 75.0% +6.8%
Mid FG%
39.5%
38.0%
LAL 45.0% +8.2%
MIA 36.8%
3P %
35.4%
34.7%
LAL 30.8% +5.8%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
69.9%
72.4%
LAL 66.7%
MIA 71.4% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
28.1%
LAL 29.3% +11.4%
MIA 18.0%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
57.8%
LAL 53.3% −10.7%
MIA 64.0%
3P Att. %
21.0%
14.1%
LAL 17.3%
MIA 18.0% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9188
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9688
Rebounds4344
Assists2321
Steals35
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)30 (2)
Field Goals37-7537-89
At-the-Rim FG15-2212-16
Midrange FG18-4021-57
2-Point FG33-6233-73
3-Point FG4-134-16
Free Throws18-2710-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 325 · 30
41.3
40
63%
11
2
0
2
2
4
3
8
12-19
63%
14-22
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 24
38.0
19
68%
11
4
0
0
2
2
2
9
3-3
100%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 210 · 28
32.9
9
41%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 260 · 26
25.4
4
40%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
19.1
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32
28.9
5
50%
5
7
1
3
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
28.9
13
65%
2
3
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
19.4
5
36%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 200 · 36
6.0
1
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 23
F · 6'9" 255 · 26
G · 6'5" 220 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
43
23
3
8
8
0
9
34
18-27
67%
33-62
53%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.