Final Win Prob. pScore
297%84
79
493%102
87
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
90.88785.8
SAS logo Spurs
106.18283.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN79
87
Q4 - 0:00.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
87
Q4 - 0:02.0DENHart BLOCK (1 BLK)79
87
Q4 - 0:04.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)79
87
Q4 - 0:04.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
87
Q4 - 0:04.0SASSPURS Rebound79
86
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 279
86
Q4 - 0:04.0DENSatterfield P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
86
Q4 - 0:04.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
86
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Andersen 14' Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 0:13.0SASSUB: Bryant FOR Duncan79
86
Q4 - 0:13.0DENSatterfield P.FOUL (P1.PN)79
86
Q4 - 0:13.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)79
86
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
86
Q4 - 0:13.0SASSPURS Rebound79
85
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 279
85
Q4 - 0:26.0SASHart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
85
Q4 - 0:30.0DENRose BLOCK (2 BLK)79
85
Q4 - 0:51.0DENNuggets Rebound79
85
Q4 - 0:51.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
85
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Rose 2' Tip Shot79
85
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Daniels 1' Layup79
85
Q4 - 1:06DENLenard P.FOUL (P3.T4)79
85
Q4 - 1:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)79
85
Q4 - 1:07DENRose BLOCK (1 BLK)79
85
Q4 - 1:19SASSUB: Bowen FOR Smith79
85
Q4 - 1:19SASRose Foul Turnover (P5.T15)79
85
Q4 - 1:19SASRose OFF.Foul (P4)79
85
Q4 - 1:34DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
85
Q4 - 1:34SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bryant78
85
Q4 - 1:34DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
85
Q4 - 1:34SASSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)77
85
Q4 - 1:51DENNuggets Rebound77
85
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot77
85
Q4 - 1:55SASHart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
85
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Hart 8' Jump Shot77
85
Q4 - 2:20DENHarvey 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
85
Q4 - 2:22DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
85
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot75
85
Q4 - 2:3175
85
Q4 - 2:31DENNuggets Rebound75
85
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Lenard 2' Layup75
85
Q4 - 2:33DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
85
Q4 - 2:35DENMISS Harvey 15' Jump Shot75
85
Q4 - 2:59DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
85
Q4 - 3:00SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 275
85
Q4 - 3:00DENSUB: Bateer FOR Hamilton75
85
Q4 - 3:00SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
85
Q4 - 3:00DENLenard S.FOUL (P2.T3)75
84
Q4 - 3:05DENHamilton P.FOUL (P3.T2)75
84
Q4 - 3:21DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)75
84
Q4 - 3:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
84
Q4 - 3:25SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 3:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
84
Q4 - 3:44DENMISS Satterfield 3' Layup75
84
Q4 - 4:12SASRose 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)75
84
Q4 - 4:32DENAndersen 1' Layup (9 PTS)75
82
Q4 - 4:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
82
Q4 - 4:34DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 273
82
Q4 - 4:34DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
82
Q4 - 4:34SASSmith S.FOUL (P1.T4)72
82
Q4 - 4:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
82
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Smith 3' Layup72
82
Q4 - 5:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
82
Q4 - 5:02DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 272
82
Q4 - 5:02DENNuggets Rebound72
82
Q4 - 5:02DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 272
82
Q4 - 5:02SASRose S.FOUL (P3.T3)72
82
Q4 - 5:15SASHart 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
82
Q4 - 5:40DENSatterfield 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)72
80
Q4 - 6:04SASRose 2' Layup (12 PTS)69
80
Q4 - 6:22SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)69
78
Q4 - 6:22DENSatterfield Layup (6 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)69
78
Q4 - 6:24SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)67
78
Q4 - 6:50DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
78
Q4 - 6:50DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
78
Q4 - 6:50SASDaniels S.FOUL (P3.T2)65
78
Q4 - 7:02SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T13)65
78
Q4 - 7:02SASDaniels OFF.Foul (P2)65
78
Q4 - 7:08SASSUB: Bryant FOR Ferry65
78
Q4 - 7:08DENHarvey P.FOUL (P5.T1)65
78
Q4 - 7:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
78
Q4 - 7:25DENAndersen Tip Shot (7 PTS)65
78
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Satterfield 12' Jump Shot63
78
Q4 - 7:39SASHart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
78
Q4 - 7:54DENLenard 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Satterfield 5 AST)63
78
Q4 - 8:08SASSmith Layup (4 PTS)61
78
Q4 - 8:15SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
76
Q4 - 8:17SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot61
76
Q4 - 8:38DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T16)61
76
Q4 - 8:38DENLenard OFF.Foul (P1)61
76
Q4 - 8:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
76
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Smith 2' Layup61
76
Q4 - 9:05DENLenard 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)61
76
Q4 - 9:16SASSUB: Rose FOR Duncan59
76
Q4 - 9:16SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker59
76
Q4 - 9:16SASSUB: Daniels FOR Bowen59
76
Q4 - 9:16DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)59
76
Q4 - 9:26SASSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)59
76
Q4 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
74
Q4 - 9:32DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot59
74
Q4 - 9:55SASFerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)59
74
Q4 - 10:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
72
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Ferry 20' Jump Shot59
72
Q4 - 10:26DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
72
Q4 - 10:26DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
72
Q4 - 10:26SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.T1)57
72
Q4 - 10:28DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
72
Q4 - 10:31SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
72
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Smith 2' Layup57
72
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS Smith 2' Layup57
72
Q4 - 10:42SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
72
Q4 - 10:46SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
72
Q4 - 10:58DENSatterfield Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)57
72
Q4 - 11:03DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
72
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot57
72
Q4 - 11:07SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
72
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot57
72
Q4 - 11:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
72
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Satterfield 2' Reverse Layup57
72
Q4 - 11:45SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
72
Q4 - 12:0057
70
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS57
70
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound57
70
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 44' 3PT Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 0:02.0DENAndersen Dunk (5 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)57
70
Q3 - 0:20.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)55
70
Q3 - 0:31.0DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)55
68
Q3 - 0:31.0DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Howard54
68
Q3 - 0:31.0DENNuggets Rebound54
68
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 254
68
Q3 - 0:31.0SASFerry S.FOUL (P1.PN)54
68
Q3 - 0:39.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
68
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot54
68
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)54
68
Q3 - 0:55.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Rose53
68
Q3 - 0:55.0SASRose S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
68
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)53
68
Q3 - 1:07SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)51
68
Q3 - 1:36DENHarvey 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)51
65
Q3 - 1:45DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
65
Q3 - 1:47SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup49
65
Q3 - 2:06DENHarvey Layup (4 PTS)49
65
Q3 - 2:08DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
65
Q3 - 2:10DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot47
65
Q3 - 2:34SASParker 1' Running Layup (11 PTS)47
65
Q3 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
63
Q3 - 2:57DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 2 of 247
63
Q3 - 2:57DENNuggets Rebound47
63
Q3 - 2:57DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 1 of 247
63
Q3 - 2:57DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)47
63
Q3 - 2:57SASParker P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
63
Q3 - 3:10SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
63
Q3 - 3:28DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)47
60
Q3 - 3:28SASSUB: Smith FOR Smith46
60
Q3 - 3:28SASRose S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
60
Q3 - 3:28DENHoward 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)46
60
Q3 - 3:33SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T4)44
60
Q3 - 3:37SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)44
60
Q3 - 3:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
60
Q3 - 3:41SASMISS Rose 1' Layup44
60
Q3 - 3:59DENHoward 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)44
60
Q3 - 4:13DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
60
Q3 - 4:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
60
Q3 - 4:14DENSUB: Lenard FOR Posey42
60
Q3 - 4:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
60
Q3 - 4:14DENHarvey S.FOUL (P4.T4)42
59
Q3 - 4:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
59
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Harvey 1' Layup42
59
Q3 - 4:41SASBowen L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)42
59
Q3 - 4:41DENNuggets Rebound42
59
Q3 - 4:41DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
59
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Andersen 2' Follow Up Dunk42
59
Q3 - 4:42DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
59
Q3 - 5:04DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
59
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 242
59
Q3 - 5:04DENSUB: Satterfield FOR McCloud42
59
Q3 - 5:04SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
59
Q3 - 5:04DENMcCloud S.FOUL (P3.T3)42
58
Q3 - 5:09DENPosey 2' Layup (8 PTS)42
58
Q3 - 5:14SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
58
Q3 - 5:29SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
58
Q3 - 5:29SASSPURS Rebound40
57
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
57
Q3 - 5:29DENHarvey S.FOUL (P3.T2)40
57
Q3 - 5:43DENSUB: Andersen FOR Bateer40
57
Q3 - 5:43SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)40
57
Q3 - 5:53DENHoward 1' Layup (14 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)40
57
Q3 - 6:02DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
57
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
57
Q3 - 6:32DENHarvey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
57
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)36
57
Q3 - 6:59DENHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T14)36
57
Q3 - 6:59DENHoward OFF.Foul (P2)36
57
Q3 - 7:09DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
57
Q3 - 7:11SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
57
Q3 - 7:24DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)36
57
Q3 - 7:36SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
57
Q3 - 7:55DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
55
Q3 - 7:55DENSUB: Harvey FOR Cheaney35
55
Q3 - 7:55DENNuggets Rebound35
55
Q3 - 7:55DENMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 235
55
Q3 - 7:55SASSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)35
55
Q3 - 7:59SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
55
Q3 - 8:16DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)35
55
Q3 - 8:32DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
55
Q3 - 8:35SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 8:42SASSPURS Rebound35
55
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Smith Free Throw Technical35
55
Q3 - 8:42DENMcCloud T.FOUL (P2.T1)35
55
Q3 - 8:42DENMcCloud P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
55
Q3 - 8:49SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 9:06DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55
Q3 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
55
Q3 - 9:19DENMISS Cheaney 15' Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 9:32SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)35
55
Q3 - 9:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
55
Q3 - 9:55DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot35
55
Q3 - 10:23SASRose 2' Layup (10 PTS)35
55
Q3 - 10:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
53
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Bateer 15' Jump Shot35
53
Q3 - 10:42DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
53
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
53
Q3 - 11:12SASParker 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)35
53
Q3 - 11:21SASSPURS Rebound35
51
Q3 - 11:21SASJump Ball Rose vs. Cheaney: Tip to Parker35
51
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup35
51
Q3 - 11:39DENBateer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cheaney 3 AST)35
51
Q3 - 12:0032
51
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN32
51
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound32
51
Q2 - 0:00.0DENRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
51
Q2 - 0:02.0SASRobinson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)32
51
Q2 - 0:24.0DENRobinson STEAL (5 STL)32
49
Q2 - 0:38.0SASSmith P.FOUL (P2.T4)32
49
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
49
Q2 - 0:46.0DENSUB: Lenard FOR Cheaney32
48
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
48
Q2 - 0:46.0DENCheaney S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
47
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
47
Q2 - 0:48.0SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup32
47
Q2 - 1:07DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)32
47
Q2 - 1:29DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47
Q2 - 1:31SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot30
47
Q2 - 1:47DENSUB: Harvey FOR Bateer30
47
Q2 - 1:47SASSPURS Rebound30
47
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot30
47
Q2 - 2:01DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup30
47
Q2 - 2:25DENRose STEAL (1 STL)30
47
Q2 - 2:43DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
47
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot30
47
Q2 - 3:00SASSUB: Bowen FOR Daniels30
47
Q2 - 3:00DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)30
47
Q2 - 3:08SASRose Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)30
47
Q2 - 3:13DENRobinson STEAL (4 STL)30
45
Q2 - 3:31SASRobinson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)30
45
Q2 - 3:45SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43
Q2 - 3:48DENMISS Cheaney 14' Jump Shot30
43
Q2 - 3:53DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot30
43
Q2 - 4:13DENRobinson STEAL (3 STL)30
43
Q2 - 4:25SASParks T.FOUL (P2.T3)30
43
Q2 - 4:25SASSUB: Rose FOR Parks30
43
Q2 - 4:25DENSUB: Arroyo FOR Lenard30
43
Q2 - 4:25DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 4:25DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)29
43
Q2 - 4:25SASParks Ejection:Second Technical28
43
Q2 - 4:25SASParks T.FOUL (P2.T3)28
43
Q2 - 4:25SASParks P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
43
Q2 - 4:38SASParks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
43
Q2 - 4:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
43
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Parks 16' Jump Shot28
43
Q2 - 4:56DENRobinson STEAL (2 STL)28
43
Q2 - 5:16SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
43
Q2 - 5:32SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
43
Q2 - 5:34DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot28
43
Q2 - 5:52SASSUB: Smith FOR Ferry28
43
Q2 - 5:52SASSUB: Parker FOR Hart28
43
Q2 - 5:52SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
43
Q2 - 5:52SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
43
Q2 - 5:57SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
43
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
43
Q2 - 6:05DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
43
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Ferry 21' Jump Shot28
43
Q2 - 6:23SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
43
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Robinson 2' Dunk28
43
Q2 - 6:38DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
43
Q2 - 6:38DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
43
Q2 - 6:38SASParks S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
43
Q2 - 6:41DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
43
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Parks 17' Jump Shot26
43
Q2 - 7:03SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
43
Q2 - 7:05DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot26
43
Q2 - 7:17DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
43
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
43
Q2 - 7:42DENHoward 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)26
43
Q2 - 7:55SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
43
Q2 - 7:55SASSPURS Rebound24
42
Q2 - 7:55SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 224
42
Q2 - 7:55SASSUB: Parks FOR Rose24
42
Q2 - 7:55DENCheaney S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
42
Q2 - 8:10DENBateer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)24
42
Q2 - 8:30SASHart 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
42
Q2 - 8:39DENSUB: Cheaney FOR Satterfield22
40
Q2 - 8:53DENSUB: Bateer FOR Hamilton22
40
Q2 - 8:5322
40
Q2 - 8:53SASSPURS Rebound22
40
Q2 - 8:55DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot22
40
Q2 - 9:08SASDaniels P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
40
Q2 - 9:20SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
40
Q2 - 9:20SASSPURS Rebound22
39
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 222
39
Q2 - 9:20DENHamilton S.FOUL (P2.T3)22
39
Q2 - 9:25DENSUB: McCloud FOR Posey22
39
Q2 - 9:25DENPosey P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
39
Q2 - 9:37DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)22
39
Q2 - 9:50SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
39
Q2 - 9:50DENSUB: Howard FOR Harvey22
38
Q2 - 9:50SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan22
38
Q2 - 9:50SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
38
Q2 - 9:50DENHarvey S.FOUL (P2.T1)22
37
Q2 - 10:01DENSatterfield 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
37
Q2 - 10:17DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Hart 17' Jump Shot20
37
Q2 - 10:40DENPosey 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)20
37
Q2 - 10:45DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
37
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot18
37
Q2 - 11:01DENPosey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)18
37
Q2 - 11:01SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Rose )17
37
Q2 - 11:17SASHart 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ferry 2 AST)17
37
Q2 - 11:20DENHart STEAL (2 STL)17
35
Q2 - 11:36SASDaniels 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)17
35
Q2 - 11:39DENHart STEAL (1 STL)17
33
Q2 - 12:0017
33
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
33
Q1 - 0:00.0DENLenard 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)17
33
Q1 - 0:03.0SASHart P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
33
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33
Q1 - 0:12.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 215
33
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
33
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHamilton P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
32
Q1 - 0:27.0DENSatterfield 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)15
32
Q1 - 0:43.0DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Howard13
32
Q1 - 0:43.0SASSUB: Daniels FOR Bowen13
32
Q1 - 0:43.0SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
32
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
32
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Lenard 11' Jump Shot13
32
Q1 - 1:17SASRose 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)13
32
Q1 - 1:22SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot13
30
Q1 - 1:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
30
Q1 - 1:45SASSPURS Rebound13
29
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 213
29
Q1 - 1:45DENSUB: Satterfield FOR McCloud13
29
Q1 - 1:45SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker13
29
Q1 - 1:45DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)13
29
Q1 - 1:45DENHarvey S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
29
Q1 - 1:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
29
Q1 - 1:51DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
29
Q1 - 2:13SASParker 2' Layup (7 PTS)13
29
Q1 - 2:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27
Q1 - 2:19DENMISS Harvey 11' Jump Shot13
27
Q1 - 2:39SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)13
27
Q1 - 3:00DENMcCloud 1' Layup (3 PTS)13
24
Q1 - 3:01DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
24
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
24
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
24
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
23
Q1 - 3:11DENHoward S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
22
Q1 - 3:21DENSUB: Lenard FOR Posey11
22
Q1 - 3:21SASSUB: Ferry FOR Smith11
22
Q1 - 3:21SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
22
Q1 - 3:21SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
21
Q1 - 3:21DENMcCloud FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T3)11
20
Q1 - 3:29SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 3:31DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 3:39SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson11
20
Q1 - 3:40DENNuggets Rebound11
20
Q1 - 3:42DENMISS Harvey 3' Layup11
20
Q1 - 3:59DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 4:02SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup11
20
Q1 - 4:20DENHoward 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)11
20
Q1 - 4:44SASBowen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
20
Q1 - 5:10DENPosey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)9
18
Q1 - 5:21DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18
Q1 - 5:23SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
18
Q1 - 5:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot7
18
Q1 - 5:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
18
Q1 - 5:54SASSPURS Rebound7
17
Q1 - 5:54SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 27
17
Q1 - 5:54SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
17
Q1 - 5:54DENPosey S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
17
Q1 - 6:05SASSPURS Rebound7
17
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot7
17
Q1 - 6:26SASSmith 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
17
Q1 - 6:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
15
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
15
Q1 - 6:56DENCheaney 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
15
Q1 - 7:09DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
15
Q1 - 7:09SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bowen )4
15
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 7:39DENSUB: Harvey FOR Bateer4
13
Q1 - 7:39DENBateer Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
13
Q1 - 7:39DENBateer OFF.Foul (P2)4
13
Q1 - 7:59SASRobinson 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)4
13
Q1 - 8:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
11
Q1 - 8:10DENMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:29SASBowen 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 8:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
9
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
9
Q1 - 8:50DENHoward 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)2
9
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
9
Q1 - 9:00DENMISS McCloud 7' Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 9:13SASSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 9:13DENNuggets Rebound2
9
Q1 - 9:15DENMISS Posey 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
9
Q1 - 9:24DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)2
9
Q1 - 9:30SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)2
9
Q1 - 9:33DENRobinson STEAL (1 STL)2
7
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 10:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 10:16DENMISS Cheaney 12' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 10:30SASSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:45SASSPURS Rebound2
3
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
3
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
3
Q1 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
3
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 22
3
Q1 - 10:54SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:54DENBateer S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:56SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:06DENHoward 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:14SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:19DENParker STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:44SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44SASRobinson OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Bateer: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 45.9%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
26
69%
SAS
15
29
52%
Midrange
DEN
10
34
29%
SAS
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
SAS
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
SAS
20
33
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard1963%9.5 / 15
C. Andersen1169%5.5 / 8
V. Lenard932%4.5 / 14
K. Satterfield950%4.5 / 9
J. Posey840%4.0 / 10
D. Harvey844%4.0 / 9
G. McCloud536%2.5 / 7
M. Bateer583%2.5 / 3
Z. Hamilton350%1.5 / 3
C. Cheaney217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1657%8.0 / 14
B. Bowen1575%7.5 / 10
M. Rose1458%7.0 / 12
T. Parker1146%5.5 / 12
D. Robinson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Hart660%3.0 / 5
S. Smith433%2.0 / 6
A. Daniels440%2.0 / 5
C. Smith429%2.0 / 7
D. Ferry233%1.0 / 3
C. Parks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
70
+16
-17
86
SAS
67
+17
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 45.9%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
103.9
DEN 90.8
SAS 106.1 +15.3
Pace
92.1
92.4
DEN 85.8 +2.7
SAS 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
DEN 16.8 −0.5
SAS 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
49.2%
DEN 42.5%
SAS 47.9% +5.4%
TO %
14.9%
14.8%
DEN 16.9%
SAS 15.1% −1.8%
ORB %
30.7%
27.2%
DEN 29.7%
SAS 38.5% +8.8%
FTrt
25.6
35.3
DEN 32.9
SAS 47.1 +14.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.4%
DEN 63.3% +10.2%
SAS 53.1%
STL %
8.0%
8.2%
DEN 9.2%
SAS 12.2% +3.0%
BLK %
8.6%
9.5%
DEN 6.9%
SAS 8.3% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
51.2%
DEN 45.9%
SAS 50.0% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.3%
DEN 69.2% +17.5%
SAS 51.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
DEN 29.4%
SAS 48.3% +18.9%
3P %
32.9%
36.2%
DEN 15.4%
SAS 25.0% +9.6%
FT %
74.4%
74.2%
DEN 70.8% +10.2%
SAS 60.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
37.2%
DEN 35.6%
SAS 41.4% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
43.8%
DEN 46.6%
SAS 41.4% −5.1%
3P Att. %
18.7%
19.0%
DEN 17.8% +0.7%
SAS 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8782
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points7987
Rebounds3541
Assists1917
Steals810
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals30-7332-70
At-the-Rim FG18-2615-29
Midrange FG10-3414-29
2-Point FG28-6029-58
3-Point FG2-133-12
Free Throws17-2420-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
32.6
19
63%
3
2
0
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 230 · 35
26.6
5
36%
3
3
1
0
4
3
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 31
24.0
2
17%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
20.7
5
83%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
19.0
8
40%
4
0
2
0
3
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
31.5
8
44%
7
2
2
0
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
27.9
9
32%
3
3
2
1
1
3
2
1
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
22.2
9
50%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
17.7
11
69%
7
0
0
3
1
0
3
4
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
13.4
3
50%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
3-6
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
35
19
8
4
17
0
11
24
17-24
71%
28-60
47%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.