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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Rockets16%9898
3Mavericks84%11095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.6
48.8
29.9
29
53%
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
5-5
100%
12-22
5-10
55%
45%
0-3
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.1
45.9
39.8
20
41%
4
7
1
1
1
4
2
2
4-8
50%
8-19
7-16
42%
44%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 24.7
37.0
32.8
11
53%
9
0
0
1
1
0
3
6
1-3
33%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 27.6
19.6
23.1
7
66%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-3
33%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
16.6
23.9
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.7
37.9
24.3
8
54%
7
6
4
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 19.9
33.6
20.6
9
52%
10
1
0
0
2
0
2
8
3-6
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.2
12.8
16.9
8
68%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 25.3
10.7
9.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.9
2.0
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.6
11.3
0
1-3
46%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.6
5.1
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.1
47.0
38.3
25
43%
7
4
1
1
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
7-22
7-14
32%
51%
3-6
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.2
42.6
28.5
16
53%
2
4
0
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
3-9
4-7
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
41.8
22.1
17
58%
15
3
0
1
0
0
8
7
3-6
50%
7-12
2-5
58%
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.8
30.2
16.7
8
40%
8
3
2
1
2
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
55%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
22.9
29.9
4
25%
8
0
0
1
4
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
34.1
29.7
10
30%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-5
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
22.3
19.0
4
40%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.8
15.3
14.6
9
113%
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.0
6.1
6.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
2.6
4.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
20.8
1
3-6
53%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.1
10.1
0
1-2
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.