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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks40%9373
22Raptors60%96112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.9
35.8
31.6
8
34%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
29.5
36.8
20
68%
1
4
2
2
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
45%
2-5
40%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
27.8
39.3
13
41%
6
1
1
1
0
7
2
4
3-4
75%
5-14
7-15
36%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
27.0
29.3
4
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
17.5
31.0
2
25%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.2
22.9
15.5
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
21.7
2.6
4
42%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.6
18.6
16.0
10
63%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
18.4
2.6
4
41%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-2
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.6
10.4
23.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-3
0%
Leon Smith
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
10.4
3.0
4
40%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
43%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.4
5.5
0
1-1
46%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.5
3.4
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 28.9
39.0
31.2
20
66%
6
3
2
1
1
3
3
3
4-7
57%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
33.9
36.9
18
67%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 27.0
32.0
24.7
20
89%
6
1
3
1
3
3
1
5
2-5
40%
9-9
4-9
100%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
25.0
36.6
9
51%
4
7
0
1
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
3-7
6-14
43%
45%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.7
19.4
32.4
4
67%
3
4
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
4-9
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 25.8
30.0
9.4
10
56%
3
11
2
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Hakeem Olajuwon
C · 7'0" 255 · 39.2
20.9
18.0
7
61%
5
1
1
1
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dell Curry
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 37.8
17.9
9.6
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
13.0
2.3
6
50%
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Dial
G · 6'4" 184 · 26.3
8.8
8.0
8
68%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Childs
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
17.4
1
1-3
42%
Eric Montross
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.6
11.5
0
1-2
46%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
9.3
0
2-4
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.