Final Win Prob. pScore
351%94
96
1549%93
86
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
107.98984.1
DET logo Pistons
97.78894.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDET
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS96
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETAtkins Layup (18 PTS)96
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker96
84
Q4 - 0:56.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Duncan96
84
Q4 - 0:56.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Smith96
84
Q4 - 0:57.0SASSpurs Rebound96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02SASSUB: Bryant FOR Robinson96
84
Q4 - 1:02DETPISTONS Rebound96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DETMISS Williamson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)94
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 1:34DETMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 1:45DETSUB: Barry FOR Rebraca94
84
Q4 - 1:45DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)94
84
Q4 - 1:45SASParker Finger Roll (14 PTS)94
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 1:53DETAtkins P.FOUL (P3.T2)92
84
Q4 - 2:06SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 2:08DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot92
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 2:23SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)92
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 2:47DETAtkins 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)90
97.1%
84
2.9%
Q4 - 2:57DETSUB: Williamson FOR Barry90
81
Q4 - 2:57SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
81
Q4 - 2:57DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)90
81
Q4 - 3:01SASSmith Layup (16 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)90
98.2%
81
1.8%
Q4 - 3:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
97.5%
81
2.5%
Q4 - 3:15DETMISS Rebraca 16' Jump Shot88
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 3:27SASParker Palming Turnover (P3.T13)88
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 3:43DETBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)88
95.4%
81
4.6%
Q4 - 3:57SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)88
93.4%
81
6.6%
Q4 - 3:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)87
93.0%
81
7.0%
Q4 - 3:57SASSUB: Smith FOR Daniels86
81
Q4 - 3:57DETBarry S.FOUL (P2.T1)86
81
Q4 - 4:14DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)86
91.0%
81
9.0%
Q4 - 4:19DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
87.0%
81
13.0%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot86
88.4%
81
11.6%
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)86
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 4:44DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
90.1%
81
9.9%
Q4 - 4:51SASAtkins STEAL (2 STL)86
87.2%
81
12.8%
Q4 - 4:52SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 4:55SASMISS Daniels 9' Running Jump Shot86
88.6%
81
11.4%
Q4 - 5:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)86
88.1%
81
11.9%
Q4 - 5:11DETMISS Atkins Layup86
86.9%
81
13.1%
Q4 - 5:27SASRobinson Tip Shot (10 PTS)86
84.0%
81
16.0%
Q4 - 5:28SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
79.2%
81
20.8%
Q4 - 5:32SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot84
74.9%
81
25.1%
Q4 - 5:46DETSUB: Wallace FOR Williamson84
81
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose84
81
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter84
81
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ferry84
81
Q4 - 5:46DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)84
81
Q4 - 6:03DETBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)84
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 6:08DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
85.9%
78
14.1%
Q4 - 6:10DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 6:30SASPorter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)84
86.0%
78
14.0%
Q4 - 6:46DETStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
89.5%
78
10.5%
Q4 - 6:53DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Wallace84
76
Q4 - 6:53DETSUB: Atkins FOR Jones84
76
Q4 - 6:53SASRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
76
Q4 - 6:57DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
91.9%
76
8.1%
Q4 - 7:00SASMISS Porter 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
92.6%
76
7.4%
Q4 - 7:14DETJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)84
92.7%
76
7.3%
Q4 - 7:32SASPorter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
90.4%
76
9.6%
Q4 - 7:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
88.0%
76
12.0%
Q4 - 7:42DETMISS Williamson 8' Jump Shot82
86.9%
76
13.1%
Q4 - 8:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
83.1%
76
16.9%
Q4 - 8:06SASWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)82
84.1%
76
15.9%
Q4 - 8:21SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
86.4%
76
13.6%
Q4 - 8:22DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
85.4%
76
14.6%
Q4 - 8:34SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan82
76
Q4 - 8:3482
76
Q4 - 8:34SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P6.T10)82
83.2%
76
16.8%
Q4 - 8:34SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)82
76
Q4 - 8:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
86.4%
76
13.6%
Q4 - 8:48DETMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
85.5%
76
14.5%
Q4 - 9:13SASRose Dunk (11 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)82
81.7%
76
18.3%
Q4 - 9:24DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
77.7%
76
22.3%
Q4 - 9:24DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
78.4%
75
21.6%
Q4 - 9:24SASFerry S.FOUL (P2.T1)80
74
Q4 - 9:40SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS)80
81.8%
74
18.2%
Q4 - 9:58SASSUB: Ferry FOR Bowen78
74
Q4 - 9:58DETRebraca 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16)78
77.8%
74
22.2%
Q4 - 10:10DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
72.3%
74
27.7%
Q4 - 10:12SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot78
73.6%
74
26.4%
Q4 - 10:34DETBarry 13' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)78
76.6%
74
23.4%
Q4 - 10:46DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
80.5%
72
19.5%
Q4 - 10:47SASMISS Porter 17' Jump Shot78
81.5%
72
18.5%
Q4 - 11:06DETWilliamson Tip Shot (12 PTS)78
82.4%
72
17.6%
Q4 - 11:07DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q4 - 11:10DETMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
87.1%
70
12.9%
Q4 - 11:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
85.5%
70
14.5%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Daniels Layup78
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q4 - 11:30DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)78
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q4 - 11:38DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
85.5%
70
14.5%
Q4 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot78
86.3%
70
13.7%
Q4 - 12:0078
70
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS78
87.9%
70
12.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound78
87.9%
70
12.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot78
85.1%
70
14.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen78
70
Q3 - 0:03.0DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
86.6%
70
13.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETPISTONS Rebound78
84.4%
70
15.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot78
86.0%
70
14.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0SASRose P.FOUL (P3.T3)78
70
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan Tip Shot (24 PTS)78
84.5%
70
15.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)76
81.2%
70
18.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Rose 11' Hook Shot76
79.2%
70
20.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
81.3%
70
18.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot76
79.3%
70
20.7%
Q3 - 1:06SASSUB: Daniels FOR Smith76
70
Q3 - 1:06SASSpurs Rebound76
80.3%
70
19.7%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Stackhouse 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
79.4%
70
20.6%
Q3 - 1:31SASSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)76
77.3%
70
22.7%
Q3 - 1:53DETBarry 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)74
73.4%
70
26.6%
Q3 - 2:20SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)74
76.2%
68
23.8%
Q3 - 2:38DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
72.6%
68
27.4%
Q3 - 2:38DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 2:38SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.T2)72
66
Q3 - 2:42SASBarry STEAL (2 STL)72
76.2%
66
23.8%
Q3 - 2:45DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)72
79.4%
66
20.6%
Q3 - 3:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
75.4%
66
24.6%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 272
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 3:03SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson72
66
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
77.8%
66
22.2%
Q3 - 3:03DETAtkins P.FOUL (P2.PN)71
66
Q3 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
75.7%
66
24.3%
Q3 - 3:15SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot71
73.1%
66
26.9%
Q3 - 3:35DETBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)71
75.7%
66
24.3%
Q3 - 3:40DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 3:42SASMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q3 - 3:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
84.2%
63
15.8%
Q3 - 3:50DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot71
83.5%
63
16.5%
Q3 - 4:09SASSmith Driving Layup (12 PTS)71
80.6%
63
19.4%
Q3 - 4:23DETWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 4:26DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 4:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 4:35SASAtkins BLOCK (1 BLK)69
75.8%
63
24.2%
Q3 - 4:56SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
63
Q3 - 5:00DETStackhouse Layup (15 PTS)69
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 5:05SASAtkins STEAL (1 STL)69
79.6%
61
20.4%
Q3 - 5:26DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
82.5%
61
17.5%
Q3 - 5:26DETSUB: Barry FOR Curry69
60
Q3 - 5:26DETPISTONS Rebound69
60
Q3 - 5:26DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 269
83.2%
60
16.8%
Q3 - 5:26SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
60
Q3 - 5:41SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)69
82.2%
60
17.8%
Q3 - 5:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 5:57DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot67
79.1%
60
20.9%
Q3 - 6:10DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)67
60
Q3 - 6:13SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)67
76.2%
60
23.8%
Q3 - 6:21DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)64
70.1%
60
29.9%
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
66.4%
60
33.6%
Q3 - 6:49DETSUB: Williamson FOR Rebraca62
60
Q3 - 6:49DETRebraca P.FOUL (P3.T4)62
60
Q3 - 7:00SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
63.0%
60
37.0%
Q3 - 7:01DETMISS Rebraca 9' Jump Shot62
61.0%
60
39.0%
Q3 - 7:17SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 7:31DETRebraca 10' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)60
54.7%
60
45.3%
Q3 - 7:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
58.4%
58
41.6%
Q3 - 7:47SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 260
58.9%
58
41.1%
Q3 - 7:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
61.5%
58
38.5%
Q3 - 7:47DETRebraca S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
58
Q3 - 7:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
58.6%
58
41.4%
Q3 - 7:59DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot59
57.4%
58
42.6%
Q3 - 8:20SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)59
54.3%
58
45.7%
Q3 - 8:34DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)57
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 8:34DETPISTONS Rebound57
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot57
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 8:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 8:58SASSpurs Rebound56
58
Q3 - 8:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 256
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 8:58DETAtkins S.FOUL (P1.T2)56
58
Q3 - 9:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
47.1%
58
52.9%
Q3 - 9:11DETMISS Stackhouse 8' Hook Shot56
46.0%
58
54.0%
Q3 - 9:23DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
58
Q3 - 9:26SASRobinson Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)56
43.4%
58
56.6%
Q3 - 9:37DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T1)54
58
Q3 - 9:53DETAtkins 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
39.9%
58
60.1%
Q3 - 10:15SASParker 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 10:29DETAtkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)52
40.3%
56
59.7%
Q3 - 10:55SASDuncan Finger Roll (15 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)52
47.2%
53
52.8%
Q3 - 11:18DETRebraca Dunk (11 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)50
44.3%
53
55.7%
Q3 - 11:32SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)50
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q3 - 11:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q3 - 11:44DETMISS Wallace Layup48
43.1%
51
56.9%
Q3 - 12:0048
51
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
40.6%
51
59.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETRebraca Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)48
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASRose Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)48
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETAtkins Layup (7 PTS)46
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker Layup (6 PTS)46
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)44
44.2%
47
55.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASDaniels 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)44
41.6%
47
58.4%
Q2 - 1:03DETRebraca P.FOUL (P1.T4)42
47
Q2 - 1:17DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P3.T8)42
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 1:17DETStackhouse OFF.Foul (P2)42
47
Q2 - 1:36SASDuncan Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)42
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 1:55DETWallace Layup (7 PTS)40
32.0%
47
68.0%
Q2 - 2:07SASBarry STEAL (1 STL)40
35.8%
45
64.2%
Q2 - 2:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot40
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q2 - 2:29SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson40
45
Q2 - 2:29DETRebraca Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 2:32DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
35.8%
45
64.2%
Q2 - 2:34SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot40
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q2 - 3:00DETRebraca 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)40
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 3:21SASDaniels 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 3:35DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 3:35DETPISTONS Rebound38
42
Q2 - 3:35DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 238
40.9%
42
59.1%
Q2 - 3:35SASRobinson S.FOUL (P2.T2)38
42
Q2 - 3:46SASSUB: Bowen FOR Rose38
42
Q2 - 3:46SASSUB: Duncan FOR Ferry38
42
Q2 - 3:46DETSUB: Wallace FOR Williamson38
42
Q2 - 3:46DETSUB: Atkins FOR Jones38
42
Q2 - 3:46DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
42
Q2 - 3:54SASDaniels Layup (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)38
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q2 - 3:57SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 4:00DETMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot36
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 4:14SASRose Layup (7 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)36
33.7%
42
66.3%
Q2 - 4:29DETRebraca 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)34
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 4:40SASFerry P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
42
Q2 - 4:57SASRobinson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)34
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q2 - 5:09SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
26.2%
42
73.8%
Q2 - 5:20DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Curry32
42
Q2 - 5:2032
42
Q2 - 5:32DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 5:34SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot32
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 5:57DETWilliamson 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 6 AST)32
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 6:13SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 6:13DETBarry S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
40
Q2 - 6:13SASRose Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)31
27.2%
40
72.8%
Q2 - 6:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 6:29DETMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 6:34SASRebraca STEAL (1 STL)29
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 6:48DETWilliamson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)29
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 7:06SASRobinson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)29
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 7:27SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter27
38
Q2 - 7:27SASSpurs Rebound27
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 7:33DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:37SASBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)27
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 7:57DETRebraca 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)27
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 8:15SASRose 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)27
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 8:27SASDaniels Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 8:27SASSpurs Rebound24
36
Q2 - 8:27SASMISS Daniels Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 224
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 8:27DETCurry FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T2)24
36
Q2 - 8:29DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 8:49DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 8:50SASMISS Robinson Layup24
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 8:59SASSUB: Rose FOR Bryant24
36
Q2 - 8:59DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Wallace24
36
Q2 - 8:59DETSUB: Curry FOR Stackhouse24
36
Q2 - 8:59SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan24
36
Q2 - 8:59SASSUB: Ferry FOR Bowen24
36
Q2 - 8:59SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)24
36
Q2 - 9:07DETBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)24
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 9:12DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 9:14SASMISS Bryant 10' Jump Shot24
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 9:20SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
31.1%
33
68.9%
Q2 - 9:22DETMISS Williamson Layup24
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 9:45SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS)24
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Daniels Layup22
25.2%
33
74.8%
Q2 - 9:53DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 9:57SASStackhouse STEAL (2 STL)22
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 10:16DETWilliamson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)22
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 10:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 10:26SASSpurs Rebound21
31
Q2 - 10:26SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 221
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 10:26DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
31
Q2 - 10:43DETStackhouse Layup (13 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)21
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 10:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 10:48SASMISS Daniels 8' Running Jump Shot21
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 11:07SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 11:09DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot21
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 11:17DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Porter 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 11:45DETBarry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)21
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 12:0021
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)21
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
41.9%
25
58.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot21
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)21
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q1 - 1:09SASSmith Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 1:14SASSpurs Rebound19
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 1:15SASMISS Bryant Layup19
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 1:17SASBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot19
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 1:42DETWilliamson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)19
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 2:01SASSmith Reverse Layup (5 PTS)19
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q1 - 2:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 2:09DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot17
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q1 - 2:14DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 2:15SASMISS Bryant Layup17
45.5%
20
54.5%
Q1 - 2:18SASBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot17
45.5%
20
54.5%
Q1 - 2:37DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)17
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 2:37SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker17
19
Q1 - 2:37DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)17
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 2:37SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
18
Q1 - 2:45DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot17
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 2:59SASSUB: Bryant FOR Rose17
18
Q1 - 2:59DETSUB: Barry FOR Curry17
18
Q1 - 2:59SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
18
Q1 - 2:59DETWilliamson P.FOUL (P1.T1)17
18
Q1 - 3:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
18
Q1 - 3:16DETSUB: Williamson FOR Rebraca17
18
Q1 - 3:16DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 117
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 3:16SASRose S.FOUL (P2.T4)17
18
Q1 - 3:16DETCurry Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)17
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 3:20DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
54.0%
16
46.0%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot17
54.7%
16
45.3%
Q1 - 3:41DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 3:41DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 3:41SASRose S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
14
Q1 - 3:47SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson17
14
Q1 - 3:47SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
14
Q1 - 4:07SASSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)17
57.6%
14
42.4%
Q1 - 4:10DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
53.6%
14
46.4%
Q1 - 4:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 4:16DETMISS Stackhouse Layup14
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 4:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 4:33SASWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)14
52.1%
14
47.9%
Q1 - 4:46DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
53.6%
14
46.4%
Q1 - 4:46DETPISTONS Rebound14
13
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 1 of 214
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 4:46SASRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
13
Q1 - 4:53SASWallace STEAL (1 STL)14
53.5%
13
46.5%
Q1 - 5:08DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)14
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 5:08DETPISTONS Rebound14
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot14
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 5:35SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 5:51SASSpurs Rebound12
13
Q1 - 5:51DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Robinson: Tip to12
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 5:51DETMISS Rebraca 6' Jump Shot12
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 5:57DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
13
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS)12
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 6:31DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)10
47.8%
13
52.2%
Q1 - 6:34DETPISTONS Rebound10
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 6:35DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot10
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 6:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot8
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 7:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 7:07DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot8
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 7:35DETMISS Rebraca 10' Hook Shot8
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 7:54SASRobinson Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 8:07DETStackhouse Driving Layup (7 PTS)6
45.2%
11
54.8%
Q1 - 8:19SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 8:46DETWallace Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)4
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 8:52DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 8:54SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot4
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 9:12DETStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 9:25DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 9:26SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot4
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:39DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:39DETStackhouse OFF.Foul (P1)4
4
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 10:08DETRebraca Layup (2 PTS)4
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:10DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:13DETMISS Wallace Layup4
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 10:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:51DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot2
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 11:12SASParker Layup (2 PTS)2
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 11:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 11:24SASMISS Parker Layup0
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 11:42DETStackhouse Layup (2 PTS)0
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 11:45SASStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Rebraca vs. Robinson: Tip to Parker0
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DET
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
30
77%
DET
14
19
74%
Midrange
SAS
18
44
41%
DET
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
DET
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
8
13
62%
DET
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3257%16.0 / 28
S. Smith1673%8.0 / 11
T. Parker1464%7.0 / 11
M. Rose1169%5.5 / 8
D. Robinson1056%5.0 / 9
A. Daniels739%3.5 / 9
B. Bowen467%2.0 / 3
T. Porter220%1.0 / 5
M. Bryant0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Atkins1869%9.0 / 13
J. Stackhouse1747%8.5 / 18
J. Barry1575%7.5 / 10
C. Williamson1454%7.0 / 13
Z. Rebraca1359%6.5 / 11
B. Wallace739%3.5 / 9
M. Curry250%1.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+13
-13
89
DET
71
+10
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
DET
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
102.0
SAS 107.9 +10.1
DET 97.7
Pace
92.4
92.6
SAS 84.1
DET 94.2 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.7
SAS 17.1
DET 15.3 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.7%
SAS 54.3% +1.5%
DET 52.8%
TO %
14.8%
15.0%
SAS 13.9% −6.6%
DET 20.5%
ORB %
27.2%
24.5%
SAS 28.9% +11.7%
DET 17.2%
FTrt
35.3
31.0
SAS 16.0
DET 21.1 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.0%
SAS 58.1%
DET 70.6% +12.5%
STL %
8.2%
8.5%
SAS 12.4% +3.3%
DET 9.1%
BLK %
9.5%
10.2%
SAS 9.8% +4.4%
DET 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
51.3%
SAS 52.7% +0.9%
DET 51.8%
Rim FG%
60.3%
59.4%
SAS 76.7% +3.0%
DET 73.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.1%
SAS 40.9% +0.3%
DET 40.6%
3P %
36.2%
37.6%
SAS 28.6%
DET 35.0% +6.4%
FT %
74.2%
75.6%
SAS 61.5%
DET 73.3% +11.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
31.6%
SAS 37.0% +10.3%
DET 26.8%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
44.4%
SAS 54.3%
DET 45.1% −9.3%
3P Att. %
19.0%
23.9%
SAS 8.6%
DET 28.2% +19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDET
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.422.4
Points9686
Rebounds3532
Assists2524
Steals118
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)27 (0)
Field Goals43-8134-71
At-the-Rim FG23-3014-19
Midrange FG18-4413-32
2-Point FG41-7427-51
3-Point FG2-77-20
Free Throws8-1311-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
39.0
32
57%
11
4
2
2
6
2
5
6
4-6
67%
14-25
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
38.5
4
67%
2
3
4
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
33.7
14
64%
3
10
2
0
3
1
0
3
2-4
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
31.2
10
56%
10
1
1
1
2
3
2
8
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 221 · 33
26.0
16
73%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
21.1
7
39%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
17.8
11
69%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
13.4
2
20%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
10.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
7.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 24
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
35
25
11
5
13
0
11
24
8-13
62%
41-74
55%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.