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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Warriors52%10189
29Nuggets48%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
39.2
34.5
11
56%
5
6
2
1
2
9
2
3
2-2
100%
3-7
5-12
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.3
38.6
31.8
14
41%
4
7
5
2
0
5
0
4
4-9
44%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
37.0
36.0
21
56%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
2-6
33%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.0
27.3
24.5
11
76%
8
1
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-5
60%
4-5
4-8
80%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
21.6
20.0
4
33%
5
1
0
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
21.6
17.4
7
47%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
20.3
20.9
2
50%
6
0
1
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
18.2
15.6
7
27%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-11
3-6
27%
47%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
16.2
13.6
12
77%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
19.8
1
3-5
47%
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Dean Garrett
C · 6'11" 250 · 35.4
2.2
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.2
35.1
26.3
17
56%
8
6
6
1
1
3
1
7
3-7
43%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
2-5
40%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.6
33.8
23.1
14
54%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.9
16.8
26.2
4
33%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
6.0
24.2
4
67%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
5.6
29.6
4
67%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
6-13
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.4
33.9
13.6
7
64%
0
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
29.9
23.9
12
40%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27.0
23.7
13.6
14
60%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
2-4
50%
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.4
17.1
17.8
2
41%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 21.0
16.8
21.4
12
90%
1
2
3
1
0
4
0
1
6-6
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.7
14.4
6.9
7
60%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
7.0
13.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.