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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 16, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz31%10087
3Mavericks69%10696
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.7
38.7
31.0
24
58%
7
3
1
2
0
7
2
5
4-4
100%
10-19
6-13
53%
45%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
37.9
24.3
18
66%
4
2
2
1
6
3
2
2
6-6
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
49%
0-2
0%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.1
37.8
30.2
7
34%
2
9
3
2
1
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.3
24.0
27.2
7
32%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
42%
1-4
25%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.4
18.3
17.4
1
13%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
24.2
22.5
15
84%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
22.4
25.8
6
38%
10
1
0
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Lewis
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
14.2
4.2
4
100%
1
0
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.0
10.2
16.3
3
22%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.1
7.6
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.7
4.5
13.7
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.4
12.0
0
1-3
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.1
39.8
36.6
35
67%
6
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
6-7
86%
10-19
7-15
53%
50%
3-4
75%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
37.0
12.3
24
60%
6
2
3
0
1
3
0
6
7-7
100%
7-14
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
32.9
28.2
6
34%
8
1
0
1
0
0
5
3
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
28.5
28.2
8
69%
10
0
2
1
2
3
5
5
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.2
24.7
30.2
2
17%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
25.8
29.0
11
38%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
0-2
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.1
19.9
7.1
6
51%
3
0
2
0
3
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
15.2
21.8
2
25%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.8
8.4
21.4
2
100%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.8
7.2
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.4
0.4
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
12.2
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.