Final Win Prob. pScore
2328%90
103
1372%97
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
108.49590.2
ORL logo Magic
94.794100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL103
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHudson STEAL (2 STL)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Marks Alley Oop Layup103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Hunter Layup103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJames Driving Layup (10 PTS)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Sasser 10' Turnaround Jump Shot101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Armstrong101
89
Q4 - 1:07ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Garrity101
89
Q4 - 1:07MIASUB: Marks FOR Jones101
89
Q4 - 1:07ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)101
89
Q4 - 1:13MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)101
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:27ORLMISS Buechler 3PT Jump Shot99
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIAStepania Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)99
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 1:42ORLJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)97
98.3%
89
1.7%
Q4 - 1:52ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot97
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 2:15ORLMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 2:29ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
86
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 197
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 2:29ORLSUB: Buechler FOR Sasser97
86
Q4 - 2:29ORLSUB: Jackson FOR Hunter97
86
Q4 - 2:29MIASUB: Carter FOR Gill97
86
Q4 - 2:2997
86
Q4 - 2:29ORLHunter S.FOUL (P3.T3)97
86
Q4 - 2:29MIAStepania Driving Layup (8 PTS)97
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 2:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 2:47ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 2:51ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Jones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot95
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 3:13ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)95
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 3:26MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)95
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 3:35ORLArmstrong P.FOUL (P2.T2)93
83
Q4 - 3:57ORLGarrity 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)93
97.5%
83
2.5%
Q4 - 4:06ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot93
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 4:20ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Grant93
80
Q4 - 4:20ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Williams93
80
Q4 - 4:20MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning93
80
Q4 - 4:20ORLArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T1)93
80
Q4 - 4:32ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)93
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 5:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup90
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)90
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
98.5%
77
1.5%
Q4 - 5:38ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot90
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 5:47MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T11)90
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAJames OFF.Foul (P3)90
77
Q4 - 5:59ORLWilliams Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)90
98.5%
77
1.5%
Q4 - 6:17MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)90
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIASUB: Jones FOR Carter88
75
Q4 - 6:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)88
75
Q4 - 6:36ORLWilliams Layup (19 PTS)88
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 6:38ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 6:40ORLMISS Hudson 16' Jump Shot88
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 6:48ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot88
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 7:12ORLWilliams Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)88
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 7:28ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot88
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q4 - 7:44ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 7:54ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Allen 7' Turnaround Jump Shot88
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound88
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 8:15ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 8:21ORLWilliams Free Throw Clear Path (15 PTS)88
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAJames C.P.FOUL (P2.T3)88
70
Q4 - 8:24ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q4 - 8:26MIAArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)88
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 8:30ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)88
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)88
70
Q4 - 8:50MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)88
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q4 - 8:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 9:00ORLMISS Hudson 16' Jump Shot86
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 9:17MIACarter 18' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones84
70
Q4 - 9:26MIAJones Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)84
95.0%
70
5.0%
Q4 - 9:26ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Hudson )83
70
Q4 - 9:44ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q4 - 9:44ORLSUB: Grant FOR Hunter83
69
Q4 - 9:44ORLSUB: Williams FOR Jackson83
69
Q4 - 9:44ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
93.9%
69
6.1%
Q4 - 9:44MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T2)83
68
Q4 - 9:52ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)83
68
Q4 - 9:55MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)83
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q4 - 10:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
92.3%
68
7.7%
Q4 - 10:06ORLMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot81
91.8%
68
8.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
90.6%
68
9.4%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAllen Tip Shot (12 PTS)81
90.6%
68
9.4%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup79
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q4 - 10:44ORLHudson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)79
88.5%
68
11.5%
Q4 - 11:04ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
84.0%
68
16.0%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot79
84.8%
68
15.2%
Q4 - 11:18ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q4 - 11:18ORLMAGIC Rebound79
67
Q4 - 11:18ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 279
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)79
67
Q4 - 11:35MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)79
86.8%
67
13.2%
Q4 - 12:0077
67
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL77
84.0%
67
16.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound77
81.1%
67
18.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Armstrong Layup77
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
79.2%
67
20.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Garrity 22' Jump Shot77
81.1%
67
18.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 1 AST)77
79.3%
67
20.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLSUB: Jackson FOR Williams74
67
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Grant Layup74
70.2%
67
29.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
67.5%
67
32.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot74
68.7%
67
31.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
69.7%
67
30.3%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
68.5%
67
31.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)74
65.9%
67
34.1%
Q3 - 1:50ORLArmstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
56.2%
67
43.8%
Q3 - 1:55ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
65.9%
64
34.1%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot71
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q3 - 2:07ORLWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T3)71
64
Q3 - 2:17ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
67.8%
64
32.2%
Q3 - 2:17ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
68.2%
63
31.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T4)71
62
Q3 - 2:21MIAHudson STEAL (1 STL)71
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 2:24ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)71
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania71
62
Q3 - 2:45MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)71
62
Q3 - 2:45MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)71
71.9%
62
28.1%
Q3 - 3:03ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
73.4%
62
26.6%
Q3 - 3:03ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
73.7%
61
26.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T3)71
60
Q3 - 3:07ORLMAGIC Rebound71
76.5%
60
23.5%
Q3 - 3:09ORLMISS Armstrong Driving Layup71
78.8%
60
21.2%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMAGIC Rebound71
60
Q3 - 3:15ORLJump Ball Garrity vs. Stepania: Tip to Armstrong71
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 12' Running Jump Shot71
77.6%
60
22.4%
Q3 - 3:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
79.9%
60
20.1%
Q3 - 3:24ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
78.9%
60
21.1%
Q3 - 3:36MIASUB: James FOR Marks71
60
Q3 - 3:36ORLMAGIC Rebound71
76.7%
60
23.3%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Marks Alley Oop Layup71
77.7%
60
22.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
79.9%
60
20.1%
Q3 - 3:45ORLMISS Hudson Reverse Layup71
79.0%
60
21.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)71
75.1%
60
24.9%
Q3 - 4:21ORLHudson 4' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)69
72.4%
60
27.6%
Q3 - 4:33MIAStepania 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)69
75.2%
58
24.8%
Q3 - 4:47ORLWilliams 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
72.4%
58
27.6%
Q3 - 4:59MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 5:14ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
76.7%
56
23.3%
Q3 - 5:22ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)67
56
Q3 - 5:22ORLMAGIC Rebound67
73.2%
56
26.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot67
74.3%
56
25.7%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot67
75.7%
56
24.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMarks 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)67
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 6:28ORLHudson 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
68.5%
56
31.5%
Q3 - 6:34ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
71.6%
54
28.4%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot65
72.7%
54
27.3%
Q3 - 6:54ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Buechler65
54
Q3 - 6:55MIAHeat Rebound65
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Williams 11' Fadeaway Jumper65
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q3 - 7:11MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning65
54
Q3 - 7:11ORLSUB: Garrity FOR DeClercq65
54
Q3 - 7:11MIASUB: Marks FOR Gill65
54
Q3 - 7:11MIAGill Foul Turnover (P3.T7)65
69.5%
54
30.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAGill OFF.Foul (P4)65
54
Q3 - 7:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMISS DeClercq 7' Hook Shot65
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 7:30MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland65
54
Q3 - 7:30MIAGill P.FOUL (P3.T2)65
54
Q3 - 7:36ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
69.6%
54
30.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Mourning 7' Fadeaway Jumper65
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q3 - 7:59ORLDeClercq Layup (2 PTS)65
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q3 - 8:00ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
75.8%
52
24.2%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS DeClercq Layup65
76.6%
52
23.4%
Q3 - 8:11MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
74.5%
52
25.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
71.8%
52
28.2%
Q3 - 8:17ORLMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot63
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q3 - 8:22ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
68.4%
52
31.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Allen 4' Running Jump Shot63
69.5%
52
30.5%
Q3 - 8:47ORLBuechler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)63
71.8%
52
28.2%
Q3 - 9:06ORLMAGIC Rebound63
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 9:07MIADeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)63
74.4%
50
25.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 9:19ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
73.6%
50
26.4%
Q3 - 9:19ORLMISS Williams Tip Shot63
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q3 - 9:22ORLMISS Grant Layup63
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMAGIC Rebound63
73.6%
50
26.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot63
74.5%
50
25.5%
Q3 - 9:49ORLHudson Finger Roll (14 PTS)63
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q3 - 9:59MIAAllen 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)63
79.0%
48
21.0%
Q3 - 10:15ORLHudson P.FOUL (P1.T2)61
48
Q3 - 10:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
74.8%
48
25.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot61
72.9%
48
27.1%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
72.9%
48
27.1%
Q3 - 10:38ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q3 - 10:38ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
46
Q3 - 10:43ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
77.5%
46
22.5%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot61
78.2%
46
21.8%
Q3 - 10:52ORLGrant P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
46
Q3 - 11:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
78.5%
46
21.5%
Q3 - 11:07ORLMISS Hudson 19' Jump Shot61
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q3 - 11:26ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
75.9%
46
24.1%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot61
76.8%
46
23.2%
Q3 - 11:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
78.6%
46
21.4%
Q3 - 11:51ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot61
77.8%
46
22.2%
Q3 - 12:0061
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound61
78.6%
46
21.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot61
76.8%
46
23.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
76.9%
46
23.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Hudson 9' Running Jump Shot61
76.3%
46
23.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)61
46
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)61
75.1%
46
24.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Hudson Layup59
71.2%
46
28.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
69.8%
46
30.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAAllen Tip Shot (8 PTS)59
69.8%
46
30.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Gill 8' Jump Shot57
64.5%
46
35.5%
Q2 - 1:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q2 - 1:09ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup57
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)57
62.8%
46
37.2%
Q2 - 1:47ORLWilliams Driving Layup (12 PTS)54
55.6%
46
44.4%
Q2 - 1:56ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Strickland 23' Jump Shot54
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q2 - 2:15ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q2 - 2:15ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)54
42
Q2 - 2:33MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
63.9%
42
36.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q2 - 2:33ORLJackson S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
42
Q2 - 2:55MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
61.0%
42
39.0%
Q2 - 2:57ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup52
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 3:05ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Allen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot52
57.7%
42
42.3%
Q2 - 3:21ORLWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T3)52
42
Q2 - 3:22ORLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q2 - 3:34ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T2)51
42
Q2 - 3:34MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
53.5%
42
46.5%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)49
42
Q2 - 3:47ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q2 - 3:47ORLSUB: Jackson FOR Buechler49
41
Q2 - 3:47ORLSUB: Garrity FOR DeClercq49
41
Q2 - 3:47ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
51.7%
41
48.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIASUB: Gill FOR House49
40
Q2 - 3:47MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
40
Q2 - 4:06MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)49
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
46.6%
40
53.4%
Q2 - 4:14ORLMISS Williams Layup46
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)46
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 4:48MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
40.7%
40
59.3%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot44
38.5%
40
61.5%
Q2 - 4:55ORLBuechler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
40.7%
40
59.3%
Q2 - 5:13MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)44
37.3%
40
62.7%
Q2 - 5:19MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter42
40
Q2 - 5:19ORLSUB: Buechler FOR Armstrong42
40
Q2 - 5:1942
40
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot42
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 5:54ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
31.9%
40
68.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot42
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 6:15ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)42
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 6:22ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Garrity42
40
Q2 - 6:22MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania42
40
Q2 - 6:22MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill42
40
Q2 - 6:22ORLMAGIC Rebound42
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIACarter 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 7:00ORLGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)40
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 7:15MIACarter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 7:33ORLWilliams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 7:50ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot38
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot38
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 8:21ORLHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)38
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)38
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:40ORLGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)38
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 8:53ORLSUB: Williams FOR Jackson38
33
Q2 - 8:53ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
33
Q2 - 9:01MIAGill 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)38
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 9:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 9:16ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)36
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIASUB: Allen FOR Marks34
33
Q2 - 9:43ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)34
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 10:22ORLHudson Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)32
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 10:54ORLMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot29
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 11:05ORLSUB: Grant FOR Hunter29
31
Q2 - 11:05MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 11:05MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning27
31
Q2 - 11:05ORLHunter S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
31
Q2 - 11:26MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 11:28ORLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 11:33ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot27
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 11:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 11:51ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q2 - 12:0027
31
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound27
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Garrity 5' Running Hook Shot27
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)27
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAGarrity STEAL (1 STL)25
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)25
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)25
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHudson Layup (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)23
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot23
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q1 - 1:15ORLHunter P.FOUL (P1.T4)23
25
Q1 - 1:25ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)23
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)23
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 2:00ORLHudson 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)21
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)21
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:29ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMourning Driving Dunk (6 PTS)19
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 2:55ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)17
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Gill FOR Stepania17
19
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Mourning FOR Jones17
19
Q1 - 2:55ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
19
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)17
19
Q1 - 2:55ORLHunter Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)17
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 2:59ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Stepania Driving Layup17
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 3:14MIASUB: Jones FOR Strickland17
17
Q1 - 3:14MIASUB: House FOR Allen17
17
Q1 - 3:14ORLSUB: Hudson FOR Grant17
17
Q1 - 3:14ORLGrant P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
17
Q1 - 3:25ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 3:25ORLMAGIC Rebound17
16
Q1 - 3:25ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 217
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 3:25ORLSUB: Jackson FOR Williams17
16
Q1 - 3:25MIASUB: Carter FOR Jones17
16
Q1 - 3:25MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
16
Q1 - 3:44MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)17
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 4:04ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)15
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
28.6%
13
71.4%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)15
13
Q1 - 4:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 4:20ORLMISS Garrity 10' Turnaround Jump Shot15
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 4:30ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.6%
13
71.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 215
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 4:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:30ORLWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
13
Q1 - 4:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 4:36ORLMISS Hunter Layup14
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 4:50ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Hudson14
13
Q1 - 4:50ORLSUB: Hunter FOR DeClercq14
13
Q1 - 5:01ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
27.0%
13
73.0%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot14
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 5:10ORLGrant Layup (4 PTS)14
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 5:11ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 5:13ORLMISS Williams Reverse Layup14
31.5%
11
68.5%
Q1 - 5:25MIAAllen Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)14
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound12
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 5:43ORLMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot12
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 5:56ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot12
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:08ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Buechler12
11
Q1 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
11
Q1 - 6:15ORLWilliams 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)12
28.3%
11
71.7%
Q1 - 6:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Gill12
9
Q1 - 6:25MIASUB: Marks FOR Mourning12
9
Q1 - 6:25MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
9
Q1 - 6:32MIAMourning 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 6:48ORLMISS Buechler 3PT Jump Shot10
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 7:18ORLHudson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Buechler 1 AST)8
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 7:30MIAGill P.FOUL (P2.T3)8
7
Q1 - 7:41MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 7:45MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot8
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 8:03MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)8
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:21ORLMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot6
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 8:30MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 8:31MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)6
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 8:52ORLGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)6
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 9:07ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Strickland 12' Running Jump Shot6
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 9:19ORLWilliams Layup (4 PTS)6
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:37MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)6
28.8%
3
71.2%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 9:50ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 2 of 24
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 9:50ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
27.1%
3
72.9%
Q1 - 9:50MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:02ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Allen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:23ORLWilliams Layup (2 PTS)4
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:44MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)4
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 10:58ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:10MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:16ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:37ORLMISS DeClercq 16' Jump Shot0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball DeClercq vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
ORL
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
25
72%
ORL
15
31
48%
Midrange
MIA
21
51
41%
ORL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
ORL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
7
9
78%
ORL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
A. Mourning1653%8.0 / 15
M. Allen1444%7.0 / 16
V. Stepania1275%6.0 / 8
A. Carter1071%5.0 / 7
M. James10125%5.0 / 4
S. Marks643%3.0 / 7
E. House563%2.5 / 4
K. Gill425%2.0 / 8
R. Strickland440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hudson2244%11.0 / 25
M. Williams2170%10.5 / 15
D. Armstrong1359%6.5 / 11
H. Grant1045%5.0 / 11
P. Garrity950%4.5 / 9
J. Jackson550%2.5 / 5
S. Hunter542%2.5 / 6
J. Buechler233%1.0 / 3
A. DeClercq225%1.0 / 4
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+8
-12
91
ORL
82
+9
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
ORL
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
104.4
MIA 108.4 +13.7
ORL 94.7
Pace
89.7
95.6
MIA 90.2
ORL 100.2 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.6
MIA 16.0
ORL 14.4 −1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.3%
MIA 56.5% +11.5%
ORL 45.0%
TO %
15.5%
13.7%
MIA 12.8%
ORL 11.9% −0.9%
ORB %
26.7%
26.4%
MIA 19.4% +7.5%
ORL 11.9%
FTrt
26.8
27.8
MIA 10.6
ORL 25.0 +14.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.4%
MIA 73.3% +23.3%
ORL 50.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
MIA 9.5% +4.2%
ORL 5.3%
BLK %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 6.8% +4.2%
ORL 2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.9%
MIA 56.0% +8.2%
ORL 47.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.9%
MIA 72.0% +23.6%
ORL 48.4%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.6%
MIA 41.2% +9.1%
ORL 32.1%
3P %
34.7%
37.3%
MIA 66.7% +28.6%
ORL 38.1%
FT %
72.4%
75.4%
MIA 77.8%
ORL 85.0% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
33.5%
MIA 29.4%
ORL 38.8% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
42.4%
MIA 60.0%
ORL 35.0% −25.0%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.1%
MIA 10.6%
ORL 26.3% +15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.322.5
Points10389
Rebounds4434
Assists3316
Steals95
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)29 (5)
Field Goals45-8532-80
At-the-Rim FG18-2515-31
Midrange FG21-519-28
2-Point FG39-7624-59
3-Point FG6-98-21
Free Throws7-917-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
42.5
14
44%
11
2
1
2
1
4
3
8
0-0
-
7-16
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
35.2
22
69%
5
8
2
1
2
4
1
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
3-4
75%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
31.0
16
53%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
29.7
4
25%
4
1
0
0
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
18.6
4
40%
3
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
25.6
10
71%
4
10
3
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
17.0
12
75%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
15.6
10
125%
5
2
0
0
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
13.4
6
43%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
11.4
5
63%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 244 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
56%
44
33
9
4
12
0
7
37
7-9
78%
39-76
51%
6-9
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.